8=======>

2022-01-18 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0065
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.872595-4.68%0.5541-39.47%0.2136✓1.7748.9M2022-01-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.9136-4.09%2.8609-29.89%0.2115✓0.752,2572022-01-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.4512-4.07%3.79-18.32%0.0309✓0.95471k2022-01-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.190947-3.46%0.16966-14.22%0.0957✗1.576,4462022-01-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.0573-3.09%6.89-39.61%0.4530✓0.152.8M2022-01-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.584096-3.09%0.523-13.22%0.0783✗1.391.5M2022-01-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.397669-2.82%0.2593-36.63%0.2253✓1.494.1M2022-01-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2737.2993-2.54%35.92-6.14%0.0939✗0.9798.5M2022-01-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.074165-2.45%0.052323-31.18%0.2128✓1.001.1M2022-01-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.296-2.43%2.615-22.59%0.0036✓1.731.2M2022-01-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0106-2.37%0.8523-17.67%0.0229✓1.08108k2022-01-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4381-2.37%1.6576+12.53%0.2575✗0.851.1M2022-01-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4131,836.82-2.33%24,507.83-24.81%0.1689✓0.6822.2M2022-01-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.0778-2.26%0.0592-25.63%0.1245✓1.0921k2022-01-25
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.3721-2.26%2.32-32.75%0.2261✓1.09811k2022-01-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.4603-2.25%1.94-45.20%0.4041✓1.288.5M2022-01-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.305921-2.20%0.2141-31.55%0.2168✓1.03397k2022-01-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1802-2.15%2.37-27.08%0.1256✓1.242.8M2022-01-25
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.0075-2.14%36.46-18.92%0.0364✓1.1223.6M2022-01-25
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.428-2.12%1.043-28.51%0.1625✓1.1198.5M2022-01-25
LUNATerraTerra 280.4978.8234-2.07%62.78-22.00%0.0283✗1.887.6M2022-01-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.36825-2.06%0.243-35.37%0.3100✓0.7847k2022-01-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.597224-1.98%0.4382-28.08%0.1214✓1.382.7M2022-01-25
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.1654-1.90%6.883-39.53%0.4725✓0.0844k2022-01-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.8681-1.88%5.904-15.66%0.0253✗1.30271k2022-01-25
BANDBandEthereum5.054.9555-1.87%3.5-30.69%0.1969✓1.112.1M2022-01-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0435-1.83%1.7009-18.29%0.0319✓1.1189k2022-01-25
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013057-1.83%0.00946-28.87%0.1867✓1.00654k2022-01-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2359-1.80%1.532-32.72%0.2245✓1.132.0M2022-01-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.98641-1.78%0.79477-20.86%0.0266✗1.78896k2022-01-25
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.654-1.77%2.35-36.83%0.2445✓1.452.2M2022-01-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.1667-1.76%2.6858-16.68%0.0043✓1.182.3M2022-01-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.6267-1.75%5.54-36.90%0.3445✓0.72995k2022-01-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.8505-1.73%3.801-22.99%0.1526✓0.67469k2022-01-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.4822-1.71%3.01-33.99%0.2075✓1.4032.4M2022-01-25
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1944-1.69%0.8391-30.93%0.1629✓1.403.7M2022-01-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.103242-1.67%0.0797-24.10%0.1059✓1.12244k2022-01-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.4939-1.67%12.48-15.33%0.0568✓0.68916k2022-01-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2959-1.67%0.9223-30.02%0.1796✓1.1830.5M2022-01-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.964049-1.63%0.68-30.61%0.0891✓1.911.5M2022-01-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.249866-1.63%0.196794-22.52%0.0980✓1.0324.4M2022-01-25
XMRMoneroMonero204.44201.1675-1.60%144.83-29.16%0.1942✓0.993.1M2022-01-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.5485-1.59%23.69-30.51%0.1218✓1.662.7M2022-01-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.1761-1.59%8.63-16.54%0.0628✓0.75872k2022-01-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.016524-1.58%0.01209-27.99%0.2118✓0.7423k2022-01-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.616-1.58%15.49-32.59%0.2158✓1.2072.8M2022-01-25
ZENHorizenBase52.3251.4966-1.57%34.97-33.16%0.1841✓1.49642k2022-01-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.491164-1.57%0.322-35.47%0.2445✓1.311.8M2022-01-25
DASHDashDash130.54128.5273-1.54%89.59-31.37%0.1985✓1.192.8M2022-01-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.047405-1.53%0.03703-23.08%0.0979✓1.1023k2022-01-25
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.727822-1.51%0.502-32.07%0.1690✓1.498.0M2022-01-25
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.8201-1.51%5.92-25.44%0.1467✓0.973.9M2022-01-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.014037-1.50%0.01045-26.67%0.1166✓1.312.1M2022-01-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.1544-1.49%24.07-26.26%0.1437✓1.073.0M2022-01-25
GTGateEthereum7.04646.9424-1.48%6.2549-11.23%0.0127✓0.864.1M2022-01-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.856-1.46%4.2137-29.10%0.1635✓1.22457k2022-01-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5276-1.46%1.0136-34.61%0.2901✓0.88423k2022-01-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.4362-1.45%18.99-31.79%0.1573✓1.551.0M2022-01-25
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.7177-1.44%5.5513-29.11%0.1336✓1.44263k2022-01-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3828.9561-1.44%20.06-31.72%0.1750✓1.4134.3M2022-01-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.698-1.43%5.6-28.30%0.2141✓0.77652k2022-01-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.0625-1.39%3.0512-25.94%0.1148✓1.264.1M2022-01-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6202-1.38%3.525-3.97%0.0354✓-0.06361k2022-01-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2626.8888-1.36%20.45-24.98%0.1772✓0.71353k2022-01-25
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112657-1.35%0.0957-16.20%0.0192✓1.0643k2022-01-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038353-1.33%0.02893-25.57%0.1583✓0.918.4M2022-01-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.255563-1.33%0.1718-33.67%0.2155✓1.334.0M2022-01-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.821-1.33%2.1037-26.42%0.1534✓1.034.6M2022-01-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.710646-1.31%0.520192-27.76%0.1557✓1.152.4M2022-01-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0872-1.30%0.8103-26.44%0.1600✓0.9823.2M2022-01-25
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.183995-1.29%0.1597-14.32%0.0494✓0.68577k2022-01-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41107.0484-1.26%90.34-16.67%0.0396✓0.961.9M2022-01-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.9823-1.25%2.33-22.85%0.1123✓0.99891k2022-01-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6576-1.24%2.039-24.23%0.1418✓0.9125k2022-01-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2208-1.23%0.99943-19.14%0.0565✓1.062.6M2022-01-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2642-1.23%0.81-36.72%0.2189✓1.66556k2022-01-25
ZECZcashZcash131.97130.3519-1.23%90.46-31.45%0.1897✓1.2910.6M2022-01-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.08735-1.22%0.06302-28.73%0.2271✓0.7350k2022-01-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.2652-1.22%6.296-14.40%0.0483✓0.70170k2022-01-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.164-1.19%1.59-27.40%0.1627✓1.072.7M2022-01-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.104163-1.18%0.08097-23.19%0.0970✓1.1430k2022-01-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027778-1.18%0.00002106-25.08%0.0928✓1.351.8M2022-01-25
QNTQuantEthereum146.04144.3299-1.17%103.44-29.17%0.2067✓0.936.7M2022-01-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.064033-1.17%0.04971-23.28%0.0858✓1.2312.4M2022-01-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.152313-1.16%0.1133-26.48%0.1240✓1.264.2M2022-01-25
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.0687-1.15%2.9206-29.05%0.1446✓1.373.3M2022-01-25
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000094547-1.15%0.00007213-24.59%0.1325✓1.016.5M2022-01-25
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.1377-1.15%16.01-21.41%0.0106✓1.6110.7M2022-01-25
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45229.7988-1.14%152.06-34.58%0.2505✓1.1917.6M2022-01-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.309357-1.13%0.2283-27.04%0.1294✓1.282.0M2022-01-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.3393-1.13%13.07-33.18%0.2477✓1.06841k2022-01-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5217-1.11%1.76-30.98%0.1798✓1.323.2M2022-01-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.6926-1.11%6.12-30.38%0.3533✓-0.021.3M2022-01-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.3332-1.09%1.245-7.64%0.1178✗1.373.8M2022-01-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7746-1.08%1.425-20.57%0.0622✓1.162.0M2022-01-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.026872-1.07%0.020821-23.35%0.1154✓1.035.2M2022-01-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.079942-1.06%0.0566-29.95%0.1555✓1.40990k2022-01-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.049371-1.06%0.0337-32.46%0.1958✓1.371.3M2022-01-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6879-1.05%2.907-22.00%0.1417✓0.71526k2022-01-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.674456-1.05%0.513-24.74%0.0991✓1.283.5M2022-01-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.7089-1.04%5.59-28.24%0.2351✓0.63680k2022-01-25
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385125.0785-1.03%77.9071-38.36%0.3202✓1.13489k2022-01-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0285.1358-1.03%68.08-20.86%0.0618✓1.19100.4M2022-01-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.525648-0.99%0.4145-21.93%0.0592✓1.3111.7M2022-01-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,950.95-0.99%36,980.00-12.72%0.0099✗1.00636.6M2022-01-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.998264-0.97%0.709-29.66%0.2096✓0.972.2M2022-01-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.163561-0.97%0.142925-13.46%0.0143✗1.106.0M2022-01-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8673.1484-0.96%50.79-31.23%0.2179✓1.086.4M2022-01-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,087.47-0.96%36,572.80-13.94%0.0060✓0.9914k2022-01-25
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067765-0.96%0.055872-18.34%0.0636✓0.95494k2022-01-25
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.3691-0.95%4.9-34.14%0.2884✓0.881.1M2022-01-25
SOLSolanaSolana141.35140.0108-0.95%94.76-32.96%0.2359✓1.14152.8M2022-01-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019287-0.93%0.014419-25.94%0.1241✓1.232.7M2022-01-25
KSMKusamaHydration253.4251.0581-0.92%173.57-31.50%0.2072✓1.191.4M2022-01-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.173291-0.92%0.1273-27.22%0.1842✓0.91397k2022-01-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.950688-0.90%0.5734-40.23%0.3151✓1.401.5M2022-01-25
XVGVergenative0.013220.013103-0.88%0.00972-26.48%0.1294✓1.242.0M2022-01-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.2401-0.84%18.16-36.24%0.2933✓1.0915.1M2022-01-25
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35176.9426-0.79%127.15-28.71%0.1713✓1.17100k2022-01-25
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.1617-0.78%4.54-26.89%0.1292✓1.3017.7M2022-01-25
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.8563-0.77%10.59-33.73%0.2253✓1.3112.4M2022-01-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3817-0.75%4.91-23.64%0.1723✓0.66564k2022-01-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,137.31-0.74%2,460.68-22.15%0.0968✓1.07496.9M2022-01-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.0873-0.72%3.073-25.36%0.1774✓0.791.1M2022-01-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.051704-0.71%0.038883-25.33%0.1213✓1.209.0M2022-01-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.2337-0.71%16.59-29.10%0.0831✓1.863.9M2022-01-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.128432-0.67%0.1006-22.20%0.0695✓1.282.1M2022-01-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53140.5967-0.66%107.9-23.76%0.0810✓1.3531.1M2022-01-25
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9057-0.65%2.3437-19.87%0.0596✓1.14665k2022-01-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.988-0.64%18.32-27.16%0.1265✓1.3560.5M2022-01-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.999-0.62%4.28-14.91%0.0074✗1.203.2M2022-01-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2653-0.61%0.852-33.07%0.2096✓1.372.4M2022-01-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.07482-0.43%0.04882-35.03%0.2330✓1.432.3M2022-01-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012695-0.35%0.00833-34.62%0.0920✓2.4223.7M2022-01-25
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.9957-0.34%8.13-37.65%0.3138✓1.142.7M2022-01-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47380.5548-0.24%291.7-23.53%0.1278✓1.027.0M2022-01-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.863155-0.19%0.4433-48.74%0.5262✓1.032.6M2022-01-25
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1622+0.09%1.0337-10.98%0.1436✓1.921.3M2022-01-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.063161+0.10%0.04-36.61%0.3208✗1.0024.6M2022-01-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.