8=======>

2022-01-11 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0990
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.6%
in alpha space · 66.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.93890.954193+1.63%0.8648-7.89%0.0903✗0.893.1M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014580.014694+0.78%0.01274-12.62%0.1214✗2.3626.8M2022-01-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0770.077413+0.54%0.0631-18.05%0.1954✗1.0030.6M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.932.9454+0.53%3.25+10.92%0.1092✓1.193.2M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.84370.761+0.25%381.47+3.14%0.0376✓1.018.5M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum13.7113.7006-0.07%13.04-4.89%0.0391✓1.143.3M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum213.29212.7844-0.24%232.45+8.98%0.0989✗1.1717.6M2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.67131.3477-0.24%141.53+7.49%0.0868✗1.3535.0M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.085.0664-0.27%5.03-0.98%0.0032✗1.153.3M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2685-0.35%1.273+0.00%0.0156✗1.342.9M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.079760.079439-0.40%0.07514-5.79%0.0428✓1.432.6M2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum72.7572.3657-0.53%73.86+1.53%0.0299✗1.056.4M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.8928.7326-0.54%28.48-1.42%0.0006✓1.0518.5M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.5525.41-0.55%25.15-1.57%0.0016✓1.3270.4M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana140.27139.4903-0.56%141.35+0.77%0.0233✗1.11194.0M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.8827-0.61%15.98+0.00%0.0178✗1.3013.1M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17780.176704-0.62%0.1749-1.63%0.0020✓0.91463k2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.7526.5848-0.62%23.4-12.52%0.1111✓1.835.0M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186970.01858-0.63%0.019469+4.13%0.0577✗1.222.5M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1537220.152747-0.63%0.165155+7.44%0.0881✗1.115.1M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum188.96187.7426-0.64%178.35-5.61%0.0408✓1.17161k2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,240.833,219.21-0.67%3,160.81-2.47%0.0087✓1.06591.9M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.996.943-0.67%6.21-11.16%0.0998✓1.3118.2M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.1352-0.69%2.19+1.86%0.0351✗1.083.3M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.786.7306-0.73%6.43-5.16%0.0398✓0.65645k2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.6929.47-0.74%32.64+9.94%0.1116✗1.053.2M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.14710.146006-0.74%0.1293-12.10%0.1103✓1.242.1M2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.3285.2877-0.76%5.9429+11.54%0.1276✗1.20446k2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.013860.013754-0.76%0.01322-4.62%0.0287✓1.222.1M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49151.48-0.77%1.1612-22.15%0.2254✓1.911.4M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0649340.064431-0.77%0.068419+5.37%0.0686✗0.95552k2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16050.159246-0.78%0.1541-3.99%0.0217✓1.234.2M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum3.543.5123-0.78%4.64+31.07%0.2846✗0.68486k2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8183.7879-0.79%3.727-2.38%0.0099✓0.70526k2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum8.017.9462-0.80%7.44-7.12%0.0578✓0.891.1M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.03123.0069-0.80%2.9248-3.51%0.0177✓1.10699k2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0451.0365-0.81%1.008-3.54%0.0193✓0.952.2M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.6688.9268-0.82%86.02-4.06%0.0228✓1.16115.7M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.56910.564407-0.82%0.5309-6.71%0.0495✓1.3012.5M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,753.4442,396.20-0.84%42,369.74-0.90%0.0084✗1.00754.4M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000093560.000092754-0.86%0.00009565+2.23%0.0398✗1.006.7M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31010.30743-0.86%0.3129+0.90%0.0290✗1.262.2M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08240.081665-0.89%0.0808-1.94%0.0018✓1.381.2M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.861.843-0.91%1.794-3.55%0.0166✓1.152.3M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3981.3852-0.91%1.348-3.58%0.0150✓1.365.2M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.3920.2031-0.92%19.56-4.07%0.0230✓1.041.0M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana87.9247-0.94%7.79-2.62%0.0115✓0.62714k2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65110.644914-0.95%0.6816+4.68%0.0666✗1.254.4M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0251.0151-0.97%0.9593-6.41%0.0440✓1.391.6M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104960.103943-0.97%0.10541+0.43%0.0243✗1.1423k2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV110.22109.1244-0.99%108.41-1.64%0.0020✓0.952.6M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.23651.2242-1.00%1.236-0.04%0.0189✗1.023.3M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.68260.67575-1.00%0.9154+34.10%0.3196✗1.7938.7M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration260.77258.1483-1.01%253.4-2.83%0.0080✓1.171.3M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.091340.090419-1.01%0.08843-3.19%0.0160✓0.7052k2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3824.3377-1.01%4.117-6.05%0.0451✓0.791.1M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.739.6298-1.03%8.79-9.66%0.0918✓-0.061.6M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.346-1.03%1.28-5.88%0.0352✓1.67738k2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.7652.736-1.05%2.691-2.68%0.0085✓0.9029k2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.17524.1308-1.06%4.1162-1.41%0.0086✓1.354.6M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.37819.1695-1.08%20.371+5.12%0.0754✗1.6113.0M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,770.2042,304.63-1.09%42,495.40-0.64%0.0134✗0.9814k2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3610.357036-1.10%0.376+4.16%0.0584✗0.7339k2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.173030.1711-1.12%0.19779+14.31%0.1590✗1.565,3602022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.5217.4365-1.12%7.8307+4.12%0.0645✗1.42273k2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7186320.71055-1.12%0.720057+0.20%0.0236✗1.142.6M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027620.000027309-1.13%0.00002811+1.77%0.0401✗1.241.7M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016440.016253-1.13%0.01679+2.13%0.0388✗0.7027k2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292650.028927-1.15%0.027164-7.18%0.0536✓1.036.3M2022-01-18
LUNATerraTerra 273.5772.7188-1.16%80.49+9.41%0.1105✗1.007.4M2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.82.7675-1.16%2.55-8.93%0.0700✓1.323.2M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05740.056728-1.17%0.0499-13.07%0.1162✓1.341.5M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1411.1276-1.18%1.1015-3.46%0.0146✓0.9823.2M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5669-1.19%3.72+3.05%0.0543✗1.362.4M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070760.069916-1.19%0.06479-8.44%0.0651✓1.2216.9M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.18791.1737-1.20%1.4589+22.81%0.2275✗1.1195.6M2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum6.41296.336-1.20%7.0464+9.88%0.1139✗0.853.7M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.2218.1216-1.21%7.355-10.53%0.0932✓0.66221k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26410.260874-1.22%0.259-1.93%0.0047✓1.324.6M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero193.01190.6097-1.24%204.44+5.92%0.0794✗1.033.0M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7470.737683-1.25%0.739-1.07%0.0148✗1.447.7M2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.33630.332089-1.25%0.4092+21.68%0.2224✗1.503.8M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.4329.0512-1.29%27.84-5.40%0.0288✓1.521.0M2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.17684.123-1.29%4.1197-1.37%0.0108✓1.284.2M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.041840.041297-1.30%0.03887-7.10%0.0524✓0.918.4M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.047650.047031-1.30%0.04814+1.03%0.0334✗1.1217k2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1578-1.32%3.02-5.62%0.0357✓0.98977k2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.20620.203448-1.33%0.1864-9.60%0.0813✓0.69428k2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash141.38139.458-1.36%131.97-6.66%0.0433✓1.3210.9M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.5472-1.36%4.56-1.08%0.0155✗1.4130.4M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum169.57167.2474-1.37%146.04-13.88%0.1270✓0.957.5M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93122.891-1.37%2.859-2.47%0.0021✓1.005.4M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.960.946712-1.38%0.98+2.08%0.0502✗1.731.6M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014750.014545-1.39%0.01425-3.39%0.0087✓1.312.2M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.0233-1.40%27.26-4.08%0.0213✓0.70363k2022-01-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89210.878909-1.48%1.0352+16.04%0.1711✗0.82122k2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.73233.6771-1.48%3.6709-1.65%0.0024✓-0.08371k2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.11450.112802-1.48%0.1142-0.26%0.0218✗1.0567k2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.59241.5687-1.49%1.5502-2.65%0.0041✓0.86610k2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7814.5576-1.50%14.74-0.27%0.0185✗0.671.1M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1910.0332-1.54%10.34+1.47%0.0369✗0.75994k2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11020.108503-1.54%0.105-4.72%0.0229✓1.10304k2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5160.508002-1.55%0.499-3.29%0.0062✓1.292.1M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0946.9836-1.56%7-1.33%0.0139✓1.29271k2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7839.1405-1.61%44.97+13.05%0.1487✗1.1020.7M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57990.570455-1.63%0.6093+5.07%0.0781✗1.362.7M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0649250.063864-1.63%0.052076-19.79%0.1930✓1.237.3M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN11.20311.0199-1.63%11.382+1.60%0.0330✗0.0756k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2631770.258868-1.64%0.253995-3.49%0.0098✓1.0224.9M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase56.1155.1803-1.66%52.32-6.75%0.0397✓1.49736k2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.145.0543-1.67%5.05-1.75%0.0092✓1.112.2M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase165.565162.7539-1.70%126.385-23.66%0.2428✓1.13540k2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01350.013269-1.71%0.0133-1.48%0.0112✓0.98756k2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3112.2711-1.73%2.277-1.47%0.0124✓1.091.9M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.84243.7756-1.74%4.0803+6.19%0.0844✗0.753,1162022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8144.7282-1.78%4.936+2.53%0.0489✗0.65481k2022-01-18
DASHDashDash141.85139.3203-1.78%130.54-7.97%0.0541✓1.222.2M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.658.4938-1.81%7.94-8.21%0.0588✓0.954.4M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.10252.0645-1.81%2.0816-1.00%0.0183✗1.1283k2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.3853-1.88%3.45+0.00%0.0284✗1.05715k2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.17.9463-1.90%7.81-3.58%0.0103✓0.77741k2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.8436.1376-1.91%34.09-7.46%0.0435✓1.642.8M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.31021.2849-1.93%1.2149-7.27%0.0435✓1.394.5M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05481.0344-1.93%1.0043-4.79%0.0135✓1.781.0M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.44671.4184-1.95%1.3179-8.90%0.0631✓1.1532.1M2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum34.4533.7567-2.01%29.38-14.72%0.1263✓1.3929.9M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37091.3432-2.02%1.473+7.45%0.1000✗0.87922k2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.679.4728-2.04%8.78-9.20%0.0698✓0.681.2M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.074357-2.16%0.0796+4.74%0.0779✗1.0819k2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18573.1155-2.20%3.2233+1.18%0.0449✗1.212.5M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32280.31555-2.25%0.3128-3.10%0.0003✓1.00397k2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum26.625.9941-2.28%22.98-13.61%0.1126✓1.1970.9M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,768.9632,020.22-2.28%32,596.41-0.53%0.0236✗0.6426.4M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.573.4859-2.36%3.54-0.84%0.0268✗1.269.3M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.2310.9599-2.41%11.41+1.60%0.0414✗0.132.8M2022-01-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0864230.084218-2.55%0.076024-12.03%0.0933✓1.002.8M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.7137.684-2.65%38.27-1.14%0.0237✓0.9265.3M2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62610.599319-4.28%0.6027-3.74%0.0187✓1.45736k2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7663.6044-4.29%3.378-10.30%0.0486✓1.801.2M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.