8=======>

2022-01-05 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1676
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.8%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.2991+1.39%1.1869-7.37%0.1001✗0.884.1M2022-01-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.160693+1.11%0.162908+2.50%0.0015✓1.104.6M2022-01-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.3298+0.99%4.2739-0.31%0.0271✗1.274.5M2022-01-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.9049+0.95%6.98+2.05%0.0037✓0.64778k2022-01-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3411+0.91%2.24-3.45%0.0560✗1.073.8M2022-01-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.184632+0.78%0.1826-0.33%0.0212✗0.92503k2022-01-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5441+0.72%1.49-2.80%0.0509✗1.375.7M2022-01-12
GTGateEthereum6.18546.2299+0.72%6.8813+11.25%0.0901✓0.853.9M2022-01-12
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79206.1946+0.69%196.42-4.09%0.0614✗1.16211k2022-01-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5705+0.67%1.43-8.33%0.1125✗1.69928k2022-01-12
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12231.6678+0.67%218.61-5.00%0.0708✗1.1614.0M2022-01-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.7142+0.65%3.02-18.16%0.2180✗1.003.3M2022-01-12
SOLSolanaSolana154.44155.4078+0.63%151.56-1.86%0.0371✗1.08211.5M2022-01-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.3685+0.62%15.33+7.35%0.0571✓0.691.1M2022-01-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,699.75+0.61%43,920.37+1.12%0.0061✗1.00727.0M2022-01-12
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.191514+0.59%0.2011+5.62%0.0418✓0.63441k2022-01-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0904+0.55%1.905-8.37%0.1054✗1.132.5M2022-01-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1842+0.52%1.084-7.98%0.0987✗0.932.4M2022-01-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.07692+0.51%0.07298-4.64%0.0663✗1.2420.3M2022-01-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.109667+0.49%0.11114+1.84%0.0009✓1.1226k2022-01-12
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.071501+0.49%0.068101-4.29%0.0593✗0.95556k2022-01-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.02058+0.44%0.01979-3.41%0.0526✗1.212.4M2022-01-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.64829+0.35%0.6995+8.28%0.0619✓1.275.0M2022-01-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79400.8872+0.27%383.83-3.99%0.0548✗1.029.0M2022-01-12
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.6332+0.26%168.76+1.54%0.0019✓0.977.9M2022-01-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32135.6654+0.26%142.02+4.95%0.0308✓1.3536.7M2022-01-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.8317+0.24%28.89-2.92%0.0397✗0.69385k2022-01-12
DASHDashDash122.47122.7631+0.24%143.32+17.02%0.1406✓1.291.9M2022-01-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.2083+0.22%8.19+0.00%0.0091✗0.62828k2022-01-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.082078+0.22%0.0825+0.73%0.0066✗1.0618k2022-01-12
XMRMoneroMonero206.96207.3361+0.18%199.2-3.75%0.0513✗1.023.2M2022-01-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9632.0136+0.17%31.15-2.53%0.0389✗1.043.6M2022-01-12
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.830372+0.17%0.833+0.48%0.0130✗1.468.1M2022-01-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.6668+0.16%20.88-7.73%0.0935✗1.031.2M2022-01-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.400638+0.16%0.379-5.25%0.0635✗0.7239k2022-01-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.091339+0.15%0.0875-4.06%0.0581✗1.371.5M2022-01-12
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.8073+0.14%1.6281-9.79%0.1257✗1.921.4M2022-01-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.63066+0.14%0.5942-5.65%0.0739✗1.2911.4M2022-01-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.8756+0.12%7.779-1.11%0.0261✗1.24336k2022-01-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04114.1569+0.10%112.64-1.23%0.0240✗0.963.0M2022-01-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2511+0.10%1.4029+12.25%0.1022✓1.11922k2022-01-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.1029+0.09%2.89-6.77%0.0857✗1.323.0M2022-01-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,389.82+0.05%43,982.00+1.42%0.0027✓0.9810k2022-01-12
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.6664+0.05%144.49+5.78%0.0406✓1.369.4M2022-01-12
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3868+0.04%3.2877-2.88%0.0417✗1.08754k2022-01-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.7284+0.03%5.032+6.45%0.0553✓0.63498k2022-01-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0721+0.03%8.19+1.49%0.0060✓0.77771k2022-01-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.809+0.02%3.922+2.99%0.0216✓0.69454k2022-01-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050111+0.02%0.0507+1.20%0.0008✗1.1316k2022-01-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.8509+0.02%3.2451+13.85%0.1162✓1.202.7M2022-01-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.018563+0.02%0.01729-6.84%0.0784✗0.6733k2022-01-12
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000104699+0.01%0.00009819-6.21%0.0752✗1.007.2M2022-01-12
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2334+0.01%7.9176-3.83%0.0549✗1.42268k2022-01-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067589-0.02%0.0604-10.65%0.1276✓1.361.6M2022-01-12
XVGVergenative0.016010.016005-0.03%0.01475-7.87%0.0949✓1.202.2M2022-01-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017664-0.09%0.01542-12.78%0.1501✓1.292.2M2022-01-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1863-0.11%2.1488-1.82%0.0298✓1.13100k2022-01-12
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2289-0.12%1.313+6.71%0.0540✗1.1097.2M2022-01-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.38-0.12%31.51-5.72%0.0745✓1.521.1M2022-01-12
FTTFTXEthereum38.0638.0116-0.13%41.43+8.85%0.0743✗1.0719.4M2022-01-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.101543-0.15%0.0819-19.47%0.2261✓1.0030.6M2022-01-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6687-0.15%27.32+2.28%0.0098✗1.2971.0M2022-01-12
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.1424-0.18%14.23-6.20%0.0748✓1.143.5M2022-01-12
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.2821-0.18%275.54+3.29%0.0215✗1.141.3M2022-01-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.59-0.19%5.895+5.26%0.0398✗1.21522k2022-01-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,531.83-0.20%3,373.64-4.67%0.0574✓1.05619.8M2022-01-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.206-0.20%78.16-2.75%0.0372✓1.026.3M2022-01-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6256-0.22%1.667+2.33%0.0158✗0.85668k2022-01-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.18995-0.24%0.1668-12.39%0.1436✓1.234.8M2022-01-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.9071-0.24%3.0897+6.02%0.0500✗0.985.6M2022-01-12
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.26537-0.25%0.282353+6.13%0.0508✗1.0224.9M2022-01-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9743-0.26%10.52+5.20%0.0449✗0.751.2M2022-01-12
XEMNEMnative0.12970.129321-0.29%0.1192-8.10%0.0930✓1.04115k2022-01-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0932.9869-0.31%30.77-7.01%0.0812✓1.0522.7M2022-01-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.277768-0.33%0.2778-0.32%0.0144✓1.314.6M2022-01-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.122471-0.35%0.1144-6.92%0.0802✓1.09304k2022-01-12
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.044-0.39%16.29-4.79%0.0594✓1.2814.1M2022-01-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.046628-0.39%0.04277-8.63%0.0964✓0.918.2M2022-01-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.365629-0.40%0.3542-3.51%0.0482✓1.483.4M2022-01-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.8488-0.43%2.853-0.28%0.0084✓0.8939k2022-01-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.083331-0.43%0.08196-2.07%0.0326✓1.452.8M2022-01-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4586-0.44%1.363-6.96%0.0824✓1.323.4M2022-01-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1702-0.45%1.1158-5.08%0.0673✓1.771.1M2022-01-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3537-0.47%1.3521-0.59%0.0120✓0.983.6M2022-01-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.6541-0.49%27.99-17.24%0.2046✓1.835.4M2022-01-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6383-0.52%8.452-2.66%0.0289✓0.64286k2022-01-12
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.014-0.52%59.25-1.79%0.0294✓1.50807k2022-01-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.3343-0.56%5.43-14.76%0.1666✓1.133.3M2022-01-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3699-0.57%4.416+0.48%0.0019✓0.771.1M2022-01-12
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014376-0.58%0.01401-3.11%0.0365✓0.97783k2022-01-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.171292-0.58%0.1554-9.81%0.1109✓1.222.1M2022-01-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.6698-0.65%10.07-6.24%0.0565✓-0.122.0M2022-01-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030166-0.67%0.0000315+3.72%0.0295✗1.241.7M2022-01-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.163-0.68%1.1883+1.48%0.0107✗0.9721.2M2022-01-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.2772-0.69%3.27-0.91%0.0131✓0.98995k2022-01-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.425-0.70%2.521+3.24%0.0271✗1.061.9M2022-01-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.820342-0.75%0.752838-8.91%0.0984✓1.132.8M2022-01-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.0441-0.75%3.605+17.54%0.1517✗1.571.5M2022-01-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031698-0.76%0.029842-6.57%0.0717✓1.027.3M2022-01-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.35271-0.76%0.3269-8.02%0.0899✓1.253.0M2022-01-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0906-0.76%1.0716-2.49%0.0331✓1.401.7M2022-01-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.1032-0.79%3.9279-5.02%0.0520✓0.7517k2022-01-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5437-0.80%1.4989-3.68%0.0420✓1.1330.0M2022-01-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.067009-0.80%0.060875-9.89%0.1104✓1.307.4M2022-01-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.637658-0.83%0.6859+6.67%0.0580✗1.342.8M2022-01-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.3659-0.86%34.99+14.23%0.1262✗1.4024.2M2022-01-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.589633-0.90%0.539-9.41%0.1040✓1.282.2M2022-01-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7634-0.90%3.8595+1.63%0.0264✗-0.11364k2022-01-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0998-0.92%1.17+5.41%0.0508✗1.001.9M2022-01-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3696.4212-0.96%96.02-1.38%0.0167✓1.13115.7M2022-01-12
LUNATerraTerra 278.4177.6171-1.01%81.93+4.49%0.0430✗1.007.4M2022-01-12
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.0113-1.01%20.372-4.02%0.0488✓1.6113.6M2022-01-12
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.4633-1.02%4.3843-2.77%0.0329✓1.354.9M2022-01-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.326993-1.06%0.3384+2.39%0.0230✗1.02293k2022-01-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.101044-1.12%0.09754-4.55%0.0427✓0.6755k2022-01-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.939467-1.14%1.0214+7.48%0.0725✗1.00144k2022-01-12
BANDBandEthereum6.236.1582-1.15%5.64-9.47%0.0999✓1.082.1M2022-01-12
RADRadworksEthereum10.089.9637-1.15%8.13-19.35%0.2132✓0.881.2M2022-01-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2224.9253-1.17%26.76+6.11%0.0573✗1.2369.2M2022-01-12
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.358-1.18%3.73-15.42%0.1667✓1.002.5M2022-01-12
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.091-1.18%3.79-8.45%0.0875✓1.00962k2022-01-12
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558196.2965-1.19%169.994-14.43%0.1558✓1.08574k2022-01-12
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8126-1.23%3.59-6.99%0.0714✓1.02626k2022-01-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.0207-1.42%10.21-8.68%0.0836✓0.651.2M2022-01-12
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.5276-1.47%7.12-6.81%0.0701✓1.3018.2M2022-01-12
HIVEHivenative1.51491.4918-1.52%1.3807-8.86%0.0927✓1.385.2M2022-01-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.183066-1.61%0.18305-1.62%0.0175✓1.576,3502022-01-12
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.8311-1.63%8.89-19.26%0.2081✓0.953.9M2022-01-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,042.56-1.65%33,839.55+3.87%0.0472✗0.6620.1M2022-01-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4822-1.91%3.75+5.63%0.0595✗1.3110.7M2022-01-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.548319-1.96%0.6228+11.35%0.1117✗1.42650k2022-01-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.2935-1.97%4.91-9.07%0.0907✓1.4029.4M2022-01-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6737.8988-1.99%40.25+4.09%0.0499✗0.9243.4M2022-01-12
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.1815-2.07%11.904-11.56%0.1023✓0.0382k2022-01-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.01796-2.07%0.01576-14.07%0.1417✓1.0029.0M2022-01-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4441.5074-2.20%39.17-7.70%0.0757✓1.602.8M2022-01-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3112.8827-3.21%12-9.84%0.0720✓0.093.9M2022-01-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.712358-3.59%0.7422+0.45%0.0216✓1.7635.9M2022-01-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.