8=======>

2021-12-31 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1883
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.9%
in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.892919-4.56%0.6983-25.36%0.0662✓1.7030.1M2022-01-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.3608-4.16%3.62-20.44%0.0437✓1.3412.3M2022-01-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.022517-4.02%0.01509-35.68%0.2943✓1.0033.0M2022-01-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.2018-3.92%12.12-4.57%0.0113✓-0.044.2M2022-01-07
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.3258-3.21%12.098-4.99%0.0297✓-0.10111k2022-01-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.8359-3.14%10.15-16.94%0.0939✓0.561.3M2022-01-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4106.1641-2.96%86.79-20.67%0.0840✓1.11127.7M2022-01-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.171-2.80%5-6.02%0.1060✗1.3228.7M2022-01-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,148.12-2.69%35,821.08+8.42%0.1684✗0.5713.3M2022-01-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.319542-2.55%0.3309+0.91%0.1350✗0.94293k2022-01-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.074367-2.53%0.0669-12.32%0.0412✗1.391.7M2022-01-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4331.6102-2.53%38.54+18.84%0.2923✗0.8942.6M2022-01-07
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.1832-2.51%7.17-23.89%0.1055✓1.3417.1M2022-01-07
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.114-2.51%3.79-10.19%0.0239✓1.001.1M2022-01-07
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0396-2.45%1.668-20.22%0.0025✓1.921.5M2022-01-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6184-2.44%1.445-12.89%0.0054✓1.1231.7M2022-01-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6938.7319-2.41%37.02-6.73%0.1321✗1.672.9M2022-01-07
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.8902-2.41%9.41+3.29%0.1758✗1.124.1M2022-01-07
LUNATerraTerra 285.5683.5205-2.38%68.69-19.72%0.0895✓1.006.3M2022-01-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1757-2.35%1.0712-11.02%0.0959✗1.781.4M2022-01-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052081-2.31%0.04946-7.22%0.0658✗1.1115k2022-01-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.670686-2.29%0.5999-12.60%0.0290✗1.333.1M2022-01-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.888352-2.25%0.9215+1.40%0.1426✗1.00146k2022-01-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.704-2.23%1.5636-10.28%0.0021✓0.79889k2022-01-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.1952-2.22%3.05-6.66%0.0540✗0.956.9M2022-01-07
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.01485-2.17%0.01358-10.54%0.0123✓0.96868k2022-01-07
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4573-2.17%1.3612-8.62%0.0799✗1.405.8M2022-01-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5326-2.17%1.2622-19.43%0.0917✓0.974.3M2022-01-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.6402-2.16%3.9099-17.56%0.0940✓0.7322k2022-01-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.598838-2.15%0.546-10.78%0.0423✗1.272.5M2022-01-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018671-2.14%0.0169-11.43%0.0332✓0.6342k2022-01-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000032711-2.12%0.00002895-13.38%0.0117✓1.262.0M2022-01-07
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.6215-2.11%8.9-17.97%0.0865✓0.851.2M2022-01-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.52-2.10%2.344-8.94%0.0362✗1.032.1M2022-01-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.083347-2.09%0.0749-12.02%0.0243✗1.2421.7M2022-01-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4664-2.08%3.36-5.08%0.0821✗1.07723k2022-01-07
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8087-2.06%3.77-23.22%0.1374✓1.003.0M2022-01-07
XMRMoneroMonero228.93224.4663-1.95%194.72-14.94%0.0392✓0.973.0M2022-01-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033172-1.93%0.029557-12.62%0.0049✓1.048.5M2022-01-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.080741-1.89%0.076-7.65%0.0543✗1.0820k2022-01-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1089-1.87%1-11.50%0.0026✓1.002.2M2022-01-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.353-1.84%2.1392-10.76%0.0258✗1.14128k2022-01-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4323-1.82%2.889-17.36%0.0026✓1.602.5M2022-01-07
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528178.5561-1.81%163.2907-10.21%0.0335✗1.16622k2022-01-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.047409-1.80%0.04349-9.92%0.0105✓0.918.6M2022-01-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3413-1.79%1.1144-18.41%0.0857✓0.9423.6M2022-01-07
XVGVergenative0.017030.016733-1.75%0.01454-14.62%0.0141✓1.192.4M2022-01-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.126096-1.72%0.1111-13.41%0.0131✓1.07324k2022-01-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.2575-1.70%30.01-22.89%0.0501✓1.826.6M2022-01-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5927-1.68%1.55-4.32%0.1554✗1.721.1M2022-01-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.701-1.60%3.5714-5.05%0.0482✓-0.12409k2022-01-07
ZECZcashZcash146.46144.123-1.60%139.74-4.59%0.1136✗1.3611.8M2022-01-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.5944-1.58%1.0882-32.83%0.2948✓0.824.6M2022-01-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.359732-1.58%0.3192-12.67%0.0161✗1.284.2M2022-01-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.0969-1.57%3.0272-3.79%0.1052✗1.213.3M2022-01-07
ZENHorizenBase60.5759.6405-1.53%55.57-8.25%0.0891✗1.511.0M2022-01-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.6007-1.52%9.26-21.39%0.2437✓-0.173.4M2022-01-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.262426-1.52%0.257021-3.55%0.0874✗1.0227.7M2022-01-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2098-1.50%1.0067-18.03%0.0359✓1.402.1M2022-01-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.095652-1.49%0.0855-11.95%0.0336✗1.381.8M2022-01-07
DASHDashDash133.78131.8272-1.46%134.68+0.67%0.1566✗1.282.1M2022-01-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2609-1.46%2.05+60.21%0.6007✗1.08987k2022-01-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8006-1.45%5.4947-6.65%0.0734✗1.20649k2022-01-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.7475-1.41%8.183-7.78%0.0033✓0.60338k2022-01-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.8574-1.41%15.09+0.13%0.0882✗0.691.4M2022-01-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015568-1.41%0.01562-1.08%0.1411✗1.302.3M2022-01-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.420045-1.40%0.369-13.38%0.0515✓0.7446k2022-01-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.430.9611-1.40%27.94-11.02%0.0316✓0.67503k2022-01-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.9689-1.40%10.01-0.99%0.0834✗0.751.3M2022-01-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.349752-1.40%0.3378-4.76%0.1217✗1.484.3M2022-01-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.279393-1.38%0.2638-6.88%0.0812✗1.315.5M2022-01-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.6067-1.37%30.97-6.32%0.1109✗1.531.3M2022-01-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6116-1.37%1.506-7.83%0.0749✗1.357.6M2022-01-07
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.831519-1.36%0.802-4.86%0.1210✗1.488.5M2022-01-07
QNTQuantEthereum179.22176.7809-1.36%177.7-0.85%0.1079✗0.979.4M2022-01-07
GTGateEthereum6.55556.4664-1.36%6.1737-5.82%0.0424✗0.844.0M2022-01-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.791766-1.35%0.752558-6.24%0.0668✗1.112.8M2022-01-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.099539-1.35%0.0942-6.64%0.0132✓0.6564k2022-01-07
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.0916-1.33%19.19-10.23%0.0798✗1.6516.6M2022-01-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.0855-1.33%20.9-14.38%0.0308✓1.051.5M2022-01-07
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.2909-1.33%1.2093-7.56%0.0495✗1.08106.2M2022-01-07
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9438-1.32%5.27+5.19%0.1921✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.408564-1.29%0.5162+24.72%0.3825✗1.40722k2022-01-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3016-1.29%8.03-4.52%0.0476✗0.761.1M2022-01-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2429-1.28%1.054-16.28%0.0643✓0.952.7M2022-01-07
XEMNEMnative0.12270.121131-1.28%0.1166-4.97%0.0791✗1.11153k2022-01-07
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92250.6981-1.27%211.6-16.67%0.0497✓1.1311.5M2022-01-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.199759-1.26%0.173-14.48%0.0132✓1.235.4M2022-01-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,484.00-1.25%41,663.10-9.55%0.0158✗0.989,2042022-01-07
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000106886-1.21%0.00009855-8.91%0.0243✗1.008.0M2022-01-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.8948-1.20%2.83-3.41%0.1160✗1.313.2M2022-01-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.6312-1.20%7.8679-9.94%0.0593✗1.43280k2022-01-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0029-1.20%6.989-13.72%0.0015✓1.26391k2022-01-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.173106-1.20%0.1543-11.93%0.0078✓1.162.8M2022-01-07
FTTFTXEthereum38.2537.8062-1.16%35.51-7.16%0.0487✗1.0520.7M2022-01-07
KSMKusamaHydration276.22273.0174-1.16%250.4-9.35%0.0315✗1.111.4M2022-01-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1734-1.14%3.11-3.12%0.0858✗1.001.1M2022-01-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.634862-1.13%0.5936-7.55%0.0704✗1.3011.8M2022-01-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.062818-1.12%0.059308-6.64%0.0921✗1.417.9M2022-01-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.111465-1.11%0.10346-8.21%0.0439✗1.1229k2022-01-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.193-1.09%73.42-21.23%0.1245✓0.977.0M2022-01-07
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3646-1.09%3.0909-9.13%0.0277✗1.06798k2022-01-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.9686-1.08%4.597-8.48%0.0148✓0.59773k2022-01-07
SOLSolanaSolana169.88168.0657-1.07%136.37-19.73%0.0973✓1.05236.5M2022-01-07
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.2941-1.07%4.2564-1.94%0.1311✗1.324.9M2022-01-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4613-1.04%4.127-8.45%0.0031✓0.711.0M2022-01-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.700522-1.03%0.638-9.86%0.0414✗1.276.1M2022-01-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.0216-1.02%0.019625-10.07%0.0325✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.2959-1.02%3.07-29.26%0.2300✓1.003.4M2022-01-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.194909-1.00%0.17255-12.36%0.0465✗1.598,4562022-01-07
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.074723-1.00%0.068128-9.74%0.0084✓0.95607k2022-01-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.5609-0.99%4.1928-8.98%0.0531✗1.305.0M2022-01-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7157-0.96%8.18-7.05%0.0010✓0.61999k2022-01-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.1906-0.94%30.22+23.75%0.3741✗1.4324.2M2022-01-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02119.8888-0.93%109.72-9.34%0.0133✗0.963.7M2022-01-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0394-0.90%1.857-9.77%0.0263✗1.133.1M2022-01-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.7535-0.90%30.45-10.60%0.0078✓1.054.7M2022-01-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8561-0.90%2.661-7.67%0.0222✗0.8853k2022-01-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.369-0.88%2.18-8.79%0.0283✗1.054.1M2022-01-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2445,811.84-0.86%41,565.18-10.05%0.0087✗1.00750.8M2022-01-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.3424-0.86%25.97+33.11%0.4365✗1.3469.7M2022-01-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.196758-0.83%0.1763-11.14%0.0146✓0.90622k2022-01-07
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.192912-0.82%0.1805-7.20%0.0106✓0.53410k2022-01-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.168845-0.81%0.154835-9.04%0.0311✗1.115.5M2022-01-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2433.9773-0.77%31.53-7.91%0.0347✗1.0323.7M2022-01-07
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58198.0737-0.75%192.9-3.35%0.0955✗1.15210k2022-01-07
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.854-0.74%15.75-7.24%0.0699✗1.3015.5M2022-01-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.989-0.72%3.811-5.15%0.0231✗0.65502k2022-01-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,650.65-0.68%3,198.82-12.98%0.0213✓1.05716.9M2022-01-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5327-0.60%1.306-15.30%0.0246✓1.283.6M2022-01-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0182-0.59%6.64-5.95%0.0120✗0.641.1M2022-01-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15145.3987-0.51%131.34-10.13%0.0420✗1.3646.1M2022-01-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.5481-0.46%24.88-6.71%0.0712✗1.2875.1M2022-01-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.459-0.38%5.4-1.46%0.1107✗1.154.3M2022-01-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087363-0.35%0.07895-9.95%0.0523✗1.453.9M2022-01-07
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1114-0.19%13.92-8.06%0.0387✗1.144.3M2022-01-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15430.1056-0.01%385.43-10.40%0.0027✓1.019.8M2022-01-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.