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2021-12-29 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2555
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 61.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.53%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.412.4351+1.04%2.32-3.73%0.0224✓1.054.4M2022-01-05
COMPCompoundEthereum197198.9549+0.99%204.79+3.95%0.1070✓1.16228k2022-01-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.257.3203+0.97%6.84-5.66%0.0244✗0.641.1M2022-01-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07240.073062+0.91%0.07653+5.70%0.1302✓1.2421.1M2022-01-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1679740.169294+0.79%0.158936-5.38%0.0121✓1.115.5M2022-01-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0152.0306+0.77%2.079+3.18%0.1002✓1.133.3M2022-01-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19650.197824+0.67%0.1832-6.77%0.0162✗0.90688k2022-01-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015590.015682+0.59%0.01768+13.41%0.2067✓1.282.6M2022-01-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.445.4718+0.58%6.37+17.10%0.2296✓1.154.6M2022-01-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19550.196632+0.58%0.1904-2.61%0.0048✓0.55393k2022-01-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.5215.6043+0.54%14.28-7.99%0.0423✗0.691.4M2022-01-05
XEMNEMnative0.12440.125069+0.54%0.1297+4.26%0.1112✓1.11160k2022-01-05
AAVEAaveEthereum236.52237.7111+0.50%230.12-2.71%0.0422✓1.1111.4M2022-01-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108180.108662+0.45%0.10913+0.88%0.0801✓1.1229k2022-01-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0217260.021822+0.44%0.020489-5.69%0.0189✓1.212.4M2022-01-05
GTGateEthereum6.32736.3529+0.40%6.1854-2.24%0.0285✓0.824.0M2022-01-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6968+0.40%1.56-7.69%0.0326✓1.731.3M2022-01-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.082005+0.37%0.0819+0.24%0.0721✓1.0918k2022-01-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.83414.8521+0.37%4.2873-11.31%0.0355✗1.315.2M2022-01-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6788.71+0.37%7.866-9.36%0.0155✗1.28411k2022-01-05
TRXTRONTron0.0763950.076656+0.34%0.071153-6.86%0.0105✗0.95632k2022-01-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63290.635047+0.34%0.6298-0.49%0.0796✓1.3012.2M2022-01-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5891.5942+0.33%1.533-3.52%0.0522✓1.358.3M2022-01-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.227+0.32%1.178-3.68%0.0231✓0.953.0M2022-01-05
BANDBandEthereum5.085.0963+0.32%6.23+22.64%0.2827✓1.212.5M2022-01-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0524.1211+0.30%30.63+27.36%0.3355✓1.4324.1M2022-01-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8620.864455+0.28%0.829-3.83%0.0587✓1.498.7M2022-01-05
XMRMoneroMonero214.5215.0418+0.25%206.96-3.52%0.0273✓0.972.9M2022-01-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.033.0373+0.24%3.1+2.31%0.1084✓1.303.2M2022-01-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,010.0048,123.37+0.24%43,367.50-9.67%0.0376✗0.9810k2022-01-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,471.2446,578.81+0.23%43,436.04-6.53%0.0023✗1.00750.8M2022-01-05
SOLSolanaSolana170.64170.9932+0.21%154.44-9.49%0.0305✗1.06255.1M2022-01-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.11430.9738+0.20%399.79-7.05%0.0065✗1.0210.5M2022-01-05
NANOnanopayBase3.48273.4888+0.17%3.3854-2.80%0.0418✓1.06819k2022-01-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.233.2531+0.16%33.42+0.66%0.1085✓1.531.3M2022-01-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.029.0344+0.16%8.19-9.20%0.0566✗0.611.1M2022-01-05
XVSVenusEthereum15.0115.0337+0.16%15.17+1.07%0.0860✓1.144.7M2022-01-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6731.7188+0.15%29.76-6.03%0.0186✗0.67534k2022-01-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4050.405563+0.14%0.4-1.23%0.0372✓0.7646k2022-01-05
QNTQuantEthereum175.55175.7508+0.11%166.2-5.33%0.0098✓0.9710.5M2022-01-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin145.62145.786+0.11%135.32-7.07%0.0174✓1.3651.4M2022-01-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.5438.581+0.11%38.06-1.25%0.0575✓1.0520.7M2022-01-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.9323.9552+0.11%22.63-5.43%0.0146✓1.061.5M2022-01-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.7419.7603+0.10%25.22+27.76%0.3346✓1.3469.7M2022-01-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.648.6479+0.09%8.07-6.60%0.0179✗0.761.1M2022-01-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70060.701082+0.07%0.646-7.79%0.0037✓1.276.4M2022-01-05
XECeCashnative0.000107630.000107704+0.07%0.00010469-2.73%0.0389✓1.009.9M2022-01-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06510.065132+0.05%0.0676+3.84%0.1265✓1.321.7M2022-01-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09880.098841+0.04%0.0912-7.69%0.0132✓1.391.9M2022-01-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1334.141+0.03%31.96-6.36%0.0047✓1.054.7M2022-01-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.8126.8152+0.02%26.71-0.37%0.0826✓1.2877.1M2022-01-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.4121.4091+0.01%114.04-6.06%0.0025✓0.963.7M2022-01-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1317.1281-0.01%17.11-0.12%0.0860✗1.2916.1M2022-01-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.78538.7837-0.02%8.2328-6.29%0.0325✗1.44280k2022-01-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.63981.6395-0.02%1.2813-21.86%0.1916✓0.815.2M2022-01-05
DASHDashDash133.27133.2247-0.03%122.47-8.10%0.0028✗1.292.0M2022-01-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29521.2939-0.10%1.2498-3.51%0.0382✗1.081.0M2022-01-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8622.8588-0.11%2.861-0.03%0.0600✗0.8880k2022-01-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053810.053748-0.11%0.0501-6.89%0.0044✗1.1115k2022-01-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.145.1341-0.12%4.727-8.04%0.0421✓0.60846k2022-01-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1154.1092-0.14%3.808-7.46%0.0318✓0.66564k2022-01-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41070.410055-0.16%0.5593+36.18%0.4053✗1.41898k2022-01-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019390.019358-0.17%0.01856-4.28%0.0003✓0.6344k2022-01-05
XVGVergenative0.016910.016876-0.20%0.01601-5.32%0.0282✗1.202.6M2022-01-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2668030.266193-0.23%0.26604-0.29%0.0687✗1.0330.9M2022-01-05
ADACardanoCardano1.33221.3291-0.23%1.2304-7.64%0.0043✓1.08120.2M2022-01-05
KSMKusamaHydration283.66282.9294-0.26%266.77-5.95%0.0170✗1.121.5M2022-01-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2134.1199-0.26%33.09-3.27%0.0390✗1.0322.7M2022-01-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7596470.757403-0.30%0.826502+8.80%0.1622✗1.113.0M2022-01-05
ZECZcashZcash146.64146.1563-0.33%136.6-6.85%0.0237✗1.3511.8M2022-01-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20680.206107-0.33%0.1904-7.93%0.0042✗1.246.0M2022-01-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.310.2651-0.34%10-2.91%0.0253✗0.761.4M2022-01-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.38032.372-0.35%2.1886-8.05%0.0034✓1.14152k2022-01-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.2186-0.35%3.3+2.17%0.0925✗1.001.1M2022-01-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.91485.8922-0.38%5.6004-5.32%0.0303✗1.20673k2022-01-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.2870.285844-0.40%0.2787-2.89%0.0633✗1.315.6M2022-01-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,630.593,615.05-0.43%3,539.00-2.52%0.0494✗1.05766.3M2022-01-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087840.087446-0.45%0.08369-4.72%0.0545✗1.464.0M2022-01-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.3750.373279-0.46%0.3671-2.11%0.0833✗1.484.7M2022-01-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.39.2506-0.53%11.01+18.39%0.2502✗1.134.1M2022-01-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12850.127739-0.59%0.1229-4.36%0.0335✗1.07344k2022-01-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5761.5665-0.60%1.465-7.04%0.0206✗1.304.1M2022-01-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.34.274-0.60%3.69-14.19%0.0794✓1.003.9M2022-01-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06170.061313-0.63%0.067553+9.49%0.1934✗1.438.2M2022-01-05
ZENHorizenBase61.8861.4839-0.64%60.33-2.50%0.0836✗1.521.1M2022-01-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.049180.048862-0.65%0.04681-4.82%0.0192✗0.929.8M2022-01-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23263.2116-0.65%2.8503-11.83%0.0368✓1.223.3M2022-01-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.343.3179-0.66%3.86+15.57%0.2226✗1.06787k2022-01-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9827.7687-0.76%38.67+38.21%0.3913✗0.8941.0M2022-01-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7964.7596-0.76%4.395-8.36%0.0319✓0.71842k2022-01-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.58281.5707-0.77%1.5562-1.68%0.0649✗1.1031.7M2022-01-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.893.0781-0.77%80.37-14.32%0.0810✓0.977.5M2022-01-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.15081.1419-0.78%1.1756+2.15%0.1499✗1.791.5M2022-01-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.53214.4968-0.78%4.1357-8.75%0.0337✓0.7426k2022-01-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.3722183.8041-0.85%198.6558+7.17%0.1563✗1.16648k2022-01-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36980.366661-0.85%0.3554-3.89%0.0557✗1.294.4M2022-01-05
XTZTezosTezos4.37594.3385-0.86%4.5093+3.05%0.1287✗1.335.2M2022-01-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.96621.9473-0.96%1.8048-8.21%0.0553✗1.941.5M2022-01-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.033310.032987-0.97%0.03194-4.11%0.0385✗1.059.0M2022-01-05
SCSiacoinnative0.015160.015006-1.01%0.01446-4.62%0.0280✗0.961.1M2022-01-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.18170.179827-1.03%0.1723-5.17%0.0348✗1.153.3M2022-01-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.098310.097294-1.03%0.10219+3.95%0.0926✗0.6483k2022-01-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5811.4582-1.05%10.74-7.25%0.0775✓-0.194.0M2022-01-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4859.3828-1.08%8.683-8.46%0.0372✓0.60455k2022-01-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.74113.7004-1.09%3.7977+1.51%0.0174✗-0.13405k2022-01-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.66620.441-1.09%21.226+2.71%0.1496✗1.6617.8M2022-01-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.71011.6908-1.12%1.6291-4.73%0.0161✗0.791.0M2022-01-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1171-1.15%1.11-1.77%0.0612✗1.002.4M2022-01-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68240.674464-1.16%0.643-5.77%0.0420✗1.333.3M2022-01-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6280.620203-1.24%0.595-5.25%0.0444✗1.272.8M2022-01-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.3310.326854-1.25%0.3305-0.15%0.0748✗0.94328k2022-01-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033650.000033228-1.26%0.00003037-9.75%0.0224✓1.002.4M2022-01-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.25371.2377-1.27%1.099-12.34%0.0227✓1.422.3M2022-01-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum28,569.8928,200.11-1.29%32,578.76+14.03%0.1834✗0.589.2M2022-01-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6442.6078-1.37%2.442-7.64%0.0037✓1.032.1M2022-01-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.5137.9348-1.49%33.82-12.18%0.0090✓1.837.0M2022-01-05
RADRadworksEthereum10.9610.7937-1.52%10.08-8.03%0.0101✓0.861.3M2022-01-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.844.7594-1.66%4.41-8.88%0.0087✓1.002.5M2022-01-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.854.7674-1.70%5.4+11.34%0.2140✗1.3228.7M2022-01-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9610.944286-1.74%0.9503-1.11%0.0739✗1.00149k2022-01-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.4821.4561-1.75%1.171-20.99%0.1539✓0.9523.6M2022-01-05
LUNATerraTerra 284.3282.8456-1.75%78.41-7.01%0.0125✓1.006.3M2022-01-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25693.1981-1.80%2.9141-10.52%0.0286✓0.957.6M2022-01-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.53981.5096-1.97%1.3601-11.67%0.0370✓1.005.2M2022-01-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6533.5808-1.98%3.067-16.04%0.0874✓1.002.8M2022-01-05
SUSHISushiEthereum9.269.075-2.00%7.64-17.49%0.0839✓1.3115.8M2022-01-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.11100.9931-2.05%97.36-5.58%0.0402✗1.14136.0M2022-01-05
API3Api3Ethereum4.494.396-2.09%4.14-7.80%0.0075✓1.001.2M2022-01-05
HIVEHivenative1.49181.4601-2.12%1.5149+1.55%0.1315✗1.407.0M2022-01-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.911.6196-2.36%11.18-6.05%0.0000✓0.571.5M2022-01-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204230.19903-2.55%0.18607-8.89%0.0409✗1.609,9442022-01-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.5341.4433-2.56%42.44-0.21%0.1384✗1.703.0M2022-01-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.51213.1248-2.87%13.46-0.38%0.0190✓-0.09129k2022-01-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.5413.0163-3.87%13.31-1.70%0.0199✓-0.044.8M2022-01-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.844.6214-4.52%3.55-26.65%0.1962✓1.0018.1M2022-01-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021150.020177-4.60%0.01834-13.29%0.0279✓1.0035.6M2022-01-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.98190.901677-8.17%0.7389-24.75%0.0830✓1.7228.8M2022-01-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.