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2021-12-27 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2185
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.6%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3464.4309-0.19%434.61-6.60%0.0235✗1.0212.3M2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.7539-0.51%15.52-7.84%0.0233✗1.144.8M2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.097546-0.63%0.09008-8.23%0.0487✗1.464.8M2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6751-0.65%1.616-4.15%0.0785✗1.304.1M2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,007.04-0.78%3,766.04-6.75%0.0294✗1.04760.7M2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78154.5201-0.81%148.43-4.72%0.0813✗1.3954.4M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.7098-0.84%30.09-2.84%0.0899✗1.2677.1M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6050,714.70-0.94%46,018.20-10.11%0.0111✓0.988,5662022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9312-0.98%7.21-9.99%0.0401✓0.631.0M2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.2351-1.00%34.72-7.68%0.0218✗1.055.1M2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.3739-1.03%7.19+11.65%0.2186✗1.125.1M2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41126.0995-1.03%122.18-4.10%0.0550✗0.993.7M2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.185836-1.05%0.170103-9.43%0.0086✓1.115.5M2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5613-1.08%3.43-4.72%0.0490✗0.991.2M2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.3464-1.10%8.89-5.93%0.0083✓0.661.0M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.216973-1.11%0.1984-9.57%0.0134✓0.87701k2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.080252-1.13%0.076988-5.15%0.0427✗0.96648k2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.238.7502-1.15%35.08-10.51%0.0104✓1.0222.1M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,122.17-1.17%46,459.56-8.40%0.0118✓1.00744.5M2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7663-1.20%2.56-8.57%0.0117✓1.024.4M2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.8795-1.21%18.47-3.35%0.0938✗1.3214.6M2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.7377-1.23%23.72+3.04%0.1571✗1.3169.7M2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.023866-1.24%0.022053-8.74%0.0266✗1.202.3M2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.06304-1.24%0.0636-0.37%0.1367✗1.468.2M2022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3079-1.24%2.265-3.08%0.0780✗1.103.3M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.78436-1.25%0.7048-11.27%0.0027✓1.256.8M2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3084-1.26%1.24-6.42%0.0311✗0.973.1M2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.123268-1.26%0.12106-3.03%0.0783✗1.1029k2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34234.3132-1.28%222.2-6.38%0.0435✗1.10239k2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana195.74193.2107-1.29%170.13-13.08%0.0377✓1.02255.1M2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2226-1.36%3.381+3.49%0.1216✗0.8495k2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.0189-1.36%40.22-5.59%0.0489✗1.0620.7M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.72742-1.37%0.6582-10.75%0.0122✓1.2812.5M2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4132-1.38%3.7914+9.55%0.0973✗-0.09395k2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4235-1.39%5.152-6.33%0.0053✓0.65798k2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2427.8446-1.40%29.28+3.68%0.1729✗1.4022.9M2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.3339-1.41%24.7-7.53%0.0301✗1.071.6M2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2155-1.45%4.6279-12.55%0.0007✓1.365.2M2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.8535-1.45%9.2052-7.94%0.0580✗1.44299k2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8565-1.46%1.682-10.72%0.0163✗1.317.9M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.1933-1.47%8.6-7.82%0.0012✓0.771.1M2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.083-1.47%31.64-8.53%0.0158✓0.67572k2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000118590.00011684-1.48%0.00011648-1.78%0.0836✗0.9910.2M2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.235485-1.51%0.2058-13.93%0.0937✓0.47392k2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0238-1.53%4.8156-5.61%0.0714✗1.305.3M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04105.3945-1.54%94.38-11.83%0.0266✓0.967.6M2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.862641-1.54%0.94026+7.32%0.1810✗1.083.0M2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration322.27317.145-1.59%289.65-10.12%0.0060✓1.101.5M2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.4919-1.61%1.3186-13.04%0.0302✓1.06120.2M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9007-1.63%3.5792-9.73%0.0072✓1.06798k2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero220.72217.0832-1.65%231.81+5.02%0.1525✗0.992.8M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.83956.7259-1.66%6.4392-5.85%0.0271✗0.814.3M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum206.05202.5865-1.68%178.99-13.13%0.0414✓0.9411.9M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.875.7713-1.68%5.56-5.28%0.0673✗1.192.6M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.5871-1.69%22.363-2.67%0.1373✗1.6818.6M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.295093-1.73%0.290288-3.33%0.0716✗1.0033.6M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1610.9638-1.76%10.51-5.82%0.0256✗0.771.4M2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.5141-1.76%15.18-9.70%0.0239✓0.691.4M2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.284-1.76%4.152-4.79%0.0315✗0.72487k2022-01-03
DASHDashDash151.04148.3671-1.77%139.05-7.94%0.0460✗1.262.0M2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5455-1.79%3.1177-13.64%0.0187✓1.253.1M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6272.6082-1.80%267.25-3.73%0.0742✗1.0711.4M2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13910.136586-1.81%0.127-8.70%0.0236✗1.10175k2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018418-1.82%0.01736-7.46%0.0501✗1.252.8M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum1.0170.998355-1.83%0.904-11.11%0.0298✗1.479.2M2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3275-1.84%3.25-4.13%0.0891✗1.283.0M2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.1291-1.86%39.29+32.38%0.3748✗0.8640.2M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.393943-1.86%0.3888-3.14%0.1200✗1.524.7M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.3887-1.86%1.3948-1.43%0.0982✗1.071.2M2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.6163-1.86%9.436-3.70%0.0358✗0.62455k2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5938.8487-1.87%36.41-8.03%0.0674✗1.511.3M2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.20602-1.90%0.197-6.19%0.0551✗1.143.8M2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.461945-1.90%0.64+35.91%0.4511✗1.431.0M2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.8428-1.91%8.316-17.12%0.0515✓1.33411k2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.234942-1.94%0.2052-14.36%0.0282✓1.226.1M2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.087949-1.95%0.086-4.12%0.0732✗1.0918k2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.8604-1.96%4.605-7.11%0.0111✓0.7427k2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.082766-1.97%0.0855+1.27%0.1376✗1.2021.1M2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2799-1.97%1.2437-4.74%0.1027✗1.502.3M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.771-1.99%11.56-11.28%0.1243✓-0.284.5M2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3517-2.00%1.3842+0.36%0.1154✗1.0523.6M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.142369-2.02%0.1352-6.95%0.0412✗1.06376k2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.4941-2.08%2.3545-7.56%0.0461✗1.18147k2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.456125-2.12%0.414-11.16%0.0345✓0.7145k2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.2914-2.17%1.14-13.64%0.0370✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6266-2.20%1.7949+7.92%0.1927✗1.0731.7M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.8431-2.23%11.29+1.80%0.1233✗0.951.3M2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6374-2.25%4.777+0.70%0.1028✗0.83719k2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.329614-2.25%0.3005-10.88%0.0198✓1.285.8M2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.052175-2.31%0.05248-1.74%0.0863✗0.9210.6M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.056803-2.33%0.05659-2.70%0.0938✗1.1116k2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.408381-2.37%0.3721-11.04%0.0192✓1.284.9M2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.072335-2.38%0.0731-1.35%0.1247✗1.302.1M2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2030,990.12-2.42%38,753.93+22.02%0.2694✗0.528.7M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash169.76165.4878-2.52%150.55-11.32%0.0205✓1.3111.8M2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.113162-2.53%0.1004-13.52%0.0001✓1.372.5M2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.6989-2.55%6.1828-10.05%0.0240✓1.19764k2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.111929-2.55%0.11092-3.43%0.0410✗0.57113k2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 291.0188.6537-2.59%88.92-2.30%0.0907✗1.006.1M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase70.7268.8809-2.60%63.44-10.29%0.0499✗1.511.2M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.3547-2.64%4.57-16.91%0.0708✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.019080.018545-2.80%0.01731-9.28%0.0355✗1.192.8M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.7502-2.84%3.57-7.51%0.0406✗1.02787k2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.1295-2.85%6.53+23.67%0.3555✗1.3026.8M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000037935-2.85%0.00003307-15.31%0.0496✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4443.1556-2.89%39.23-11.72%0.0655✗1.838.0M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.02091-2.92%0.02023-6.08%0.0185✓0.5946k2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5842.2947-2.95%41.84-3.99%0.1388✗1.713.1M2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3411-2.98%1.3019-5.81%0.1245✗1.761.5M2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum5.134.9759-3.00%4.13-19.49%0.0986✓1.001.2M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9483-3.07%1.72-14.43%0.0257✓1.711.5M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.8661-3.10%8.51-6.99%0.0806✗1.3915.8M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.036153-3.14%0.033837-9.34%0.0231✓1.0210.0M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.173-3.22%3.467-19.60%0.0977✓1.003.3M2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.784924-3.23%0.6942-14.41%0.0105✓1.283.6M2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789204.6555-3.27%191.896-9.30%0.0356✗1.14674k2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.8937-3.29%4.17-17.59%0.0723✓1.004.9M2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0637-3.30%1.0025-8.86%0.0284✓1.00165k2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.082.9782-3.30%2.796-9.22%0.0219✓0.972.2M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.01655-3.39%0.01573-8.17%0.0310✓0.931.2M2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.696082-3.72%0.64-11.48%0.0244✓1.242.9M2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9765-3.78%1.8521-9.83%0.0035✓0.701.2M2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.219795-3.81%0.19941-12.73%0.0443✗1.6118k2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.6606-3.81%1.5394-10.83%0.0112✓0.995.4M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.36089-3.92%0.374-0.43%0.1154✗0.91328k2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.169-3.93%2.0456-9.40%0.1116✗1.941.6M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.2118-4.15%12.81+0.55%0.0937✗0.521.5M2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.5165-4.18%13.612-3.50%0.0012✓-0.09129k2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.8521.7734-4.25%1.6303-11.97%0.0320✓1.327.3M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.5835-4.26%3.2506-13.15%0.0208✓0.878.0M2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96108.7869-4.54%108.09-5.15%0.0926✗1.13127.7M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.2525-4.63%9.27-13.77%0.0055✓1.094.1M2022-01-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.9749-4.97%1.5062-27.53%0.2124✓0.676.3M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.4127-5.28%13.72-3.11%0.0196✓-0.034.8M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.024683-5.79%0.02216-15.42%0.0201✓1.0035.6M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.8553-6.27%3.89-24.90%0.1340✓1.0012.4M2022-01-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.825479-6.65%0.8413-4.86%0.1728✗1.7523.5M2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.