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2021-12-26 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1269
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.8%
in alpha space · 79.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86451.3808-0.11%447.91-0.87%0.0654✗1.0211.4M2022-01-02
XVSVenusEthereum17.1117.0155-0.55%16.04-6.25%0.0223✗1.144.8M2022-01-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6578-0.61%1.667-0.06%0.0987✗1.304.3M2022-01-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.099218-0.65%0.09233-7.55%0.0326✗1.464.8M2022-01-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3393-0.70%5.012+14.69%0.2036✗0.83719k2022-01-02
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,033.39-0.80%3,828.87-5.83%0.0224✗1.04760.7M2022-01-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96154.6924-0.81%151.2-3.05%0.0762✗1.3954.4M2022-01-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.1887-0.82%6.24+0.00%0.0881✗1.124.6M2022-01-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.889-0.89%7.19-9.67%0.0478✓0.63986k2022-01-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2936.9535-0.90%35.76-4.10%0.0397✗1.0122.1M2022-01-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.0755-0.91%4.172+1.43%0.0745✗0.72473k2022-01-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3431.0421-0.95%29.7-5.23%0.0457✗1.2677.1M2022-01-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3050,481.13-0.99%47,411.90-7.01%0.0074✓0.988,5662022-01-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9237.5368-1.01%35.38-6.70%0.0155✗1.055.6M2022-01-02
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.4781-1.03%18.41-1.39%0.0905✗1.3214.2M2022-01-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5126.1792-1.04%124.05-2.71%0.0535✗0.993.2M2022-01-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4294-1.05%5.195-5.32%0.0020✓0.65798k2022-01-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.5714-1.07%3.4-5.82%0.0214✗0.991.2M2022-01-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.216632-1.08%0.2055-6.16%0.0092✓0.87748k2022-01-02
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.236684-1.13%0.2093-12.57%0.0895✓0.47392k2022-01-02
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.080577-1.14%0.077643-4.74%0.0315✗0.96648k2022-01-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.7283-1.15%2.56-7.25%0.0089✓1.024.1M2022-01-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2624-1.16%2.225-2.80%0.0622✗1.103.3M2022-01-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.187801-1.17%0.174401-8.22%0.0050✓1.115.5M2022-01-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.1568-1.17%1.265+8.07%0.1960✗1.492.3M2022-01-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.4039-1.18%27.32+2.25%0.1339✗1.4022.9M2022-01-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.5249-1.19%8.85-8.20%0.0260✓0.67952k2022-01-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,189.74-1.20%47,299.07-6.89%0.0121✓1.00744.5M2022-01-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.3011-1.21%1.266-3.87%0.0417✗0.973.4M2022-01-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.123063-1.22%0.12251-1.66%0.0740✗1.1029k2022-01-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.063257-1.22%0.065084+1.63%0.1327✗1.468.7M2022-01-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.779565-1.23%0.727-7.89%0.0195✗1.257.3M2022-01-02
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5232.5873-1.24%211.43-10.22%0.0167✓1.10236k2022-01-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.4964-1.25%24.4-5.50%0.0327✗1.072.2M2022-01-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.699-1.27%21.88-4.83%0.0568✗1.3169.7M2022-01-02
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.2363-1.30%3.127-4.64%0.0256✗0.8497k2022-01-02
SOLSolanaSolana198195.4042-1.31%176.32-10.95%0.0299✓1.02255.1M2022-01-02
FTTFTXEthereum42.5942.0306-1.31%40.16-5.71%0.0300✗1.0620.7M2022-01-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.024101-1.32%0.02233-8.57%0.0097✓1.202.3M2022-01-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.725573-1.34%0.6765-8.01%0.0214✗1.2812.8M2022-01-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0387-1.34%3.2+3.90%0.1433✗1.283.0M2022-01-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.2727-1.35%8.56-8.94%0.0247✓0.77934k2022-01-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2329.1034-1.39%8.698-5.78%0.0497✗1.33411k2022-01-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.4341-1.39%3.7845+8.67%0.0908✗-0.09384k2022-01-02
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.7591-1.41%9.2363-6.69%0.0476✗1.44285k2022-01-02
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.8-1.42%4.6703-4.08%0.0652✗1.305.3M2022-01-02
GTGateEthereum6.75026.6528-1.44%6.6057-2.14%0.0504✗0.814.3M2022-01-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.433.9-1.45%32.18-6.45%0.0043✓0.67572k2022-01-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.2634-1.48%4.65-12.96%0.0271✓1.355.4M2022-01-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53105.9251-1.49%96.42-10.33%0.0258✓0.967.9M2022-01-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.9125-1.52%1.776-8.55%0.0197✗1.317.9M2022-01-02
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.4326-1.53%1.3779-5.29%0.0370✗1.06120.2M2022-01-02
QNTQuantEthereum194.3191.3124-1.54%187.33-3.59%0.0460✗0.9411.9M2022-01-02
XMRMoneroMonero216.57213.2269-1.54%239.56+10.62%0.1872✗0.992.7M2022-01-02
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000119562-1.55%0.00011334-6.67%0.0172✗0.9911.0M2022-01-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.865523-1.55%0.888452+1.06%0.1034✗1.083.2M2022-01-02
KSMKusamaHydration322.4317.3531-1.57%295.23-8.43%0.0065✓1.101.5M2022-01-02
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.8077-1.58%3.5764-7.56%0.0132✓1.06798k2022-01-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.197806-1.64%0.2121+5.47%0.1510✗1.143.9M2022-01-02
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05263.6548-1.64%265.45-0.97%0.0834✗1.0711.4M2022-01-02
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.287115-1.67%0.292273+0.10%0.0894✗1.0034.1M2022-01-02
BANDBandEthereum5.855.7518-1.68%5.28-9.74%0.0004✓1.192.8M2022-01-02
KCSKuCoinnative22.89822.5128-1.68%22.624-1.20%0.1249✗1.6819.5M2022-01-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6712.4534-1.71%11.71-7.58%0.0817✓-0.284.5M2022-01-02
DASHDashDash149.09146.5301-1.72%141.99-4.76%0.0588✗1.262.0M2022-01-02
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077183.9161-1.76%200.0687+6.87%0.1654✗1.14674k2022-01-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.6208-1.77%15.31-9.52%0.0330✓0.691.4M2022-01-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018354-1.80%0.01661-11.13%0.0108✓1.252.8M2022-01-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3681-1.81%1.4243+2.22%0.1167✗1.071.3M2022-01-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2511.0454-1.82%10.51-6.58%0.0056✓0.771.4M2022-01-02
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.7856-1.82%8.93+12.61%0.2359✗1.3815.1M2022-01-02
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.98358-1.84%0.923-7.88%0.0416✗1.478.9M2022-01-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.5922-1.85%3.1749-13.25%0.0340✓1.253.1M2022-01-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.460175-1.88%0.7568+61.36%0.5993✗1.431.1M2022-01-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.543-1.89%10.125+4.09%0.1038✗0.62455k2022-01-02
XEMNEMnative0.14120.138519-1.90%0.1307-7.44%0.0204✗1.10178k2022-01-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.938.1603-1.90%35.55-8.61%0.0368✗1.511.3M2022-01-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.8356-1.93%4.5765-7.18%0.0021✓0.7427k2022-01-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.235373-1.93%0.2121-11.62%0.0168✓1.226.1M2022-01-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.141021-1.93%0.1368-4.87%0.0453✗1.06376k2022-01-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4446-1.93%2.4089-3.36%0.0697✗1.18147k2022-01-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.087861-1.94%0.088-1.79%0.0794✗1.0918k2022-01-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.049804-2.00%0.04899-3.60%0.0490✗0.9210.6M2022-01-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.5746-2.07%1.6739+4.10%0.1379✗1.0731.7M2022-01-02
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.3896-2.08%11.14+5.00%0.1372✗0.941.6M2022-01-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2533-2.09%1.17-8.59%0.0027✓1.002.3M2022-01-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3614-2.11%1.3723-1.32%0.0827✗1.0522.8M2022-01-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.323238-2.14%0.3119-5.57%0.0557✗1.285.8M2022-01-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.019159-2.15%0.0208+6.23%0.1241✗0.5946k2022-01-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.085927-2.19%0.08444-3.88%0.0682✗1.2021.7M2022-01-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.413215-2.20%0.3836-9.21%0.0342✗1.524.4M2022-01-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.110472-2.24%0.1001-11.42%0.0011✓1.362.5M2022-01-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1731.4427-2.26%35.54+10.48%0.1842✗0.8639.4M2022-01-02
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.7238-2.26%3.78-0.79%0.0881✗1.02787k2022-01-02
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6124-2.28%4.96+5.08%0.1441✗1.002.5M2022-01-02
ZECZcashZcash167.45163.5884-2.31%153.06-8.59%0.0272✗1.3111.8M2022-01-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3430,465.95-2.33%39,116.51+25.40%0.2872✗0.528.3M2022-01-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.110517-2.45%0.11531+1.78%0.0832✗0.57113k2022-01-02
LUNATerraTerra 299.7897.3058-2.48%89.35-10.45%0.0139✓1.004.9M2022-01-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.057203-2.48%0.05753-1.93%0.0852✗1.1116k2022-01-02
ZENHorizenBase70.368.5047-2.55%65.06-7.45%0.0561✗1.511.3M2022-01-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.6381-2.64%6.29-7.74%0.0309✗1.19764k2022-01-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000037186-2.78%0.00003405-10.98%0.0166✓1.002.2M2022-01-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.414435-2.83%0.3822-10.39%0.0105✓1.285.3M2022-01-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.081568-2.90%0.079-5.95%0.0617✗1.312.1M2022-01-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.2937-2.90%1.3001-2.42%0.1305✗1.761.5M2022-01-02
XVGVergenative0.019370.0188-2.95%0.01767-8.78%0.0231✓1.192.8M2022-01-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6644.2964-2.99%41.08-10.03%0.0558✗1.848.5M2022-01-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5542.24-3.01%40.64-6.68%0.0833✗1.713.7M2022-01-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.64-3.13%4.34-9.39%0.0046✓1.001.2M2022-01-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.20301-3.18%0.2038-2.80%0.1191✗1.6122k2022-01-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.783494-3.19%0.714-11.78%0.0014✓1.283.8M2022-01-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.478237-3.19%0.417-15.59%0.0861✓0.7145k2022-01-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.235.0607-3.24%4.35-16.83%0.0799✓1.005.7M2022-01-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3074.1667-3.26%3.564-17.25%0.0848✓1.003.5M2022-01-02
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.016134-3.27%0.01618-3.00%0.0694✗0.931.3M2022-01-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08061.0451-3.28%1.007-6.81%0.0343✗1.00178k2022-01-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.5609-3.29%6.05+5.22%0.1774✗1.3028.7M2022-01-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.03641-3.29%0.0346-8.10%0.0218✓1.0211.0M2022-01-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.193.0786-3.49%2.859-10.38%0.0047✓0.972.2M2022-01-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.701715-3.87%0.642-12.05%0.0006✓1.243.0M2022-01-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.6261-3.89%1.5552-8.08%0.0263✓0.995.7M2022-01-02
STORJStorjEthereum2.07121.9893-3.95%1.9263-6.99%0.0180✓0.701.2M2022-01-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.356125-4.01%0.3957+6.66%0.1703✗0.91356k2022-01-02
HIVEHivenative1.76641.6914-4.25%1.7249-2.35%0.1142✗1.328.3M2022-01-02
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.244-4.28%2.095-10.64%0.0701✗1.941.8M2022-01-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.112.5267-4.38%13.99+6.79%0.1479✗0.522.1M2022-01-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.1223-4.40%1.83-17.57%0.0255✓1.721.5M2022-01-02
UMAUMAEthereum10.419.9491-4.43%9.49-8.84%0.0303✓1.084.1M2022-01-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.021031-4.45%0.02402+9.13%0.2044✗1.0034.3M2022-01-02
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.6879-4.51%3.3401-13.51%0.0365✓0.888.3M2022-01-02
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13614.4316-4.65%14.898-1.57%0.0252✓-0.09133k2022-01-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07109.7044-4.66%113.21-1.62%0.1121✗1.13127.7M2022-01-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.673077-4.77%0.9435+33.49%0.4627✗1.7517.7M2022-01-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1962.0779-5.38%1.5587-29.02%0.2398✓0.676.7M2022-01-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1714.2297-6.20%14.75-2.77%0.0335✓-0.035.1M2022-01-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.755.325-7.39%4.22-26.61%0.1611✓1.0012.3M2022-01-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.