8=======>

2021-12-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2515
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1514.7808-8.48%13.58-15.91%0.0860✓-0.025.1M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.6884-6.42%4.49-10.38%0.0117✓1.0012.1M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.09-6.02%13.69-14.74%0.1019✓-0.08134k2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.698425-5.03%1.0026+36.33%0.4583✗1.7617.7M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2312.5762-4.94%13.2-0.23%0.0774✗0.532.7M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.510316-4.79%0.43-19.78%0.1314✓0.7345k2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86109.5198-4.65%114.26-0.52%0.1046✗1.13136.0M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.021787-4.61%0.02333+2.15%0.1233✗1.0035.6M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.588-4.27%3.3501-10.62%0.0205✓0.888.6M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.9365-3.95%1.835-8.99%0.0154✓0.701.3M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.6561-3.94%1.5787-8.43%0.0070✓1.006.2M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.196-3.86%2.08-8.94%0.0526✗1.951.9M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9249-3.76%1.6281-18.59%0.1314✓0.667.5M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.694104-3.73%0.633-12.21%0.0243✓1.243.0M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.352692-3.61%0.3671+0.33%0.0898✗0.91356k2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0227-3.55%2.681-14.45%0.0667✓0.972.2M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.4332-3.55%9.33-4.60%0.0481✗1.084.1M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.6357-3.50%6.21+6.34%0.1689✗1.3128.7M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.65091.5947-3.41%1.5238-7.70%0.0269✓1.328.6M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.208944-3.40%0.20032-7.38%0.0468✗1.6223k2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.1478-3.36%3.609-15.91%0.0842✓1.003.6M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.036586-3.33%0.033863-10.52%0.0212✓1.0211.6M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5743.1082-3.28%41.07-7.85%0.0457✗1.714.2M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.1177-3.26%4.37-17.39%0.1030✓1.006.5M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016214-3.20%0.01554-7.22%0.0089✓0.931.3M2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1435-3.08%0.9793-17.00%0.1001✓1.00184k2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.7601-3.05%4.36-11.20%0.0329✓1.001.3M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.763036-3.03%0.715-9.14%0.0052✓1.284.0M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.2987-3.00%1.2582-6.03%0.0651✗1.761.6M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4145.0388-2.95%40.17-13.45%0.0131✓1.858.6M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8853-2.82%1.7-12.37%0.0102✓1.701.5M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.080305-2.78%0.0797-3.51%0.0643✗1.312.3M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.6744-2.71%6.1094-10.94%0.0232✓1.19819k2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000036702-2.70%0.00003416-9.44%0.0169✓1.002.1M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase70.7768.9966-2.51%63.94-9.65%0.0068✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7130,421.25-2.49%36,545.69+17.15%0.2121✗0.527.7M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.8086-2.45%11-0.72%0.0698✗0.952.0M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 298.496.0131-2.43%91.66-6.85%0.0085✓1.006.1M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.018380.017936-2.41%0.01775-3.43%0.0546✗1.182.8M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019498-2.31%0.0202+1.20%0.0678✗0.5953k2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.057659-2.31%0.05488-7.01%0.0118✓1.1116k2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.408014-2.30%0.3879-7.11%0.0329✗1.524.4M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6123-2.28%4.83+2.33%0.1010✗1.002.5M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash169.64165.8564-2.23%150.36-11.37%0.0258✓1.3212.7M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.086066-2.21%0.08625-2.00%0.0682✗1.2021.7M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2434-2.09%1.17-7.87%0.0059✓1.002.4M2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.108595-2.08%0.1001-9.74%0.0066✓1.363.0M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.389367-2.02%0.3775-5.01%0.0389✗1.275.3M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5432-2.01%1.7433+10.70%0.1808✗1.0733.5M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.0674-2.00%4.5517-11.97%0.0661✓0.7528k2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.2031-1.97%36.33+21.95%0.2652✗0.8539.4M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.087755-1.95%0.0839-6.26%0.0150✓1.0919k2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.048601-1.94%0.04964+0.16%0.0714✗0.9111.3M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5205-1.94%3.73+3.90%0.1136✗1.02787k2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.312161-1.93%0.2952-7.26%0.0142✓1.285.8M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.110523-1.91%0.10295-8.63%0.0396✓0.57113k2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.137931-1.90%0.1339-4.77%0.0283✗1.06413k2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5168-1.88%3.2078-10.50%0.0235✓1.253.4M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.765-1.88%9.193-7.63%0.0258✓0.63388k2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4138.6698-1.88%35.27-10.50%0.0091✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1810.9715-1.86%10.37-7.25%0.0139✓0.771.4M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.1370.134452-1.86%0.126-8.03%0.0048✓1.10199k2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.46161-1.85%0.4264-9.33%0.0011✓1.421.1M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2907-1.85%1.411+7.30%0.1462✗1.0422.8M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.6973-1.84%15.4-9.47%0.0430✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.5111-1.82%9.14+19.48%0.2720✗1.3815.1M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3843-1.81%1.3805-2.08%0.0562✗1.071.3M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018472-1.80%0.01654-12.07%0.0420✓1.252.9M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.230288-1.80%0.2128-9.25%0.0120✓1.226.2M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.20214-1.78%0.1885-8.41%0.0072✓1.144.2M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash150147.3377-1.77%138.03-7.98%0.0043✓1.272.1M2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91259.2373-1.77%266.48+0.97%0.0864✗1.0711.4M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.475-1.76%2.3965-4.87%0.0328✗1.18147k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.285168-1.68%0.276802-4.57%0.0253✗1.0035.1M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.5385-1.66%22.386-2.33%0.0856✗1.6820.1M2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.3613-1.66%11.76-6.44%0.0655✓-0.284.9M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.755.6572-1.61%5.18-9.91%0.0227✓1.193.0M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458182.5803-1.60%189.4715+2.12%0.0995✗1.14704k2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum195.44192.3864-1.56%179.87-7.97%0.0157✓0.9412.0M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9216-1.56%1.748-10.45%0.0224✓1.327.9M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4317-1.55%1.3797-5.12%0.0214✗1.06120.7M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.7968-1.54%8.94-10.15%0.0547✓0.671.0M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7219-1.54%3.58-5.29%0.0193✗1.06819k2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28107.6164-1.52%94.1-13.89%0.0815✓0.968.4M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2022-1.50%4.7558-9.95%0.0155✓1.355.4M2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero211.35208.2047-1.49%250.04+18.31%0.2373✗0.992.8M2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4433.9304-1.48%32.46-5.75%0.0076✓0.67611k2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.849703-1.48%0.875736+1.54%0.0895✗1.083.4M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000118122-1.47%0.00011077-7.60%0.0100✓0.9911.6M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.2035-1.46%8.65-7.39%0.0195✓0.77934k2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.92729-1.46%0.875-7.01%0.0223✗1.468.9M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5011-1.44%3.7989+6.94%0.0769✗-0.09384k2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.9077-1.44%8.9613-10.86%0.0212✓1.44309k2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.0869-1.38%3.1-0.96%0.0749✗1.293.2M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2872-1.31%2.914-12.52%0.0742✓0.8499k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.8843-1.30%8.39-6.79%0.0158✗1.33455k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.1904-1.29%40.2-5.94%0.0098✓1.0621.2M2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023502-1.28%0.022463-5.65%0.0208✗1.202.2M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2926.9423-1.27%25.61-6.16%0.0263✗1.4024.1M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.781634-1.26%0.7302-7.76%0.0007✓1.257.7M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana193.06190.6566-1.24%179.21-7.17%0.0060✓1.02257.1M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.710956-1.24%0.6647-7.67%0.0029✓1.2813.2M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.188379-1.24%0.173118-9.24%0.0236✓1.116.1M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration293.74290.1014-1.24%289.04-1.60%0.0562✗1.091.5M2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.6964-1.23%2.53-7.33%0.0079✓1.024.4M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5278-1.22%4.7494+3.61%0.1185✗1.295.4M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.3109-1.21%24.52-4.29%0.0271✗1.072.7M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.063864-1.20%0.064208-0.67%0.0857✗1.469.2M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3125-1.20%6.7635+5.86%0.1129✗0.804.3M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.2823-1.20%2.133-7.66%0.0069✓1.113.3M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3149,831.75-1.18%47,733.43-5.34%0.0119✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44225.7446-1.18%210.69-7.77%0.0087✓1.10239k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.239573-1.17%0.2245-7.38%0.0392✓0.47393k2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.080768-1.16%0.076625-6.23%0.0002✓0.96655k2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1221.8664-1.15%20.75-6.19%0.0192✗1.3069.7M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.121921-1.14%0.11476-6.95%0.0002✓1.1029k2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2873-1.13%1.276-2.00%0.0441✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21126.813-1.09%123.03-4.04%0.0240✗0.993.2M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4115-1.07%5.211-4.73%0.0023✓0.65846k2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.215143-1.04%0.2061-5.20%0.0047✓0.87756k2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.7087-1.03%34.87-8.48%0.0207✓1.055.9M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5136-1.03%3.35-5.63%0.0065✓0.991.2M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.1067-1.02%1.2912+15.48%0.2356✗1.482.4M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,491.56-1.02%47,429.60-7.02%0.0086✓0.988,5662022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.9716-0.97%7.24-10.06%0.0616✓0.631.0M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0114-0.95%4.221+4.22%0.0901✗0.71473k2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.6925-0.88%35.88-3.08%0.0333✗1.0122.7M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158156.7038-0.82%150.83-4.54%0.0381✗1.3956.9M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,064.27-0.81%3,765.72-8.10%0.0189✓1.05768.5M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.3377-0.76%17.47+0.00%0.0795✗1.3114.6M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101061-0.72%0.093-8.64%0.0025✓1.474.8M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.6913-0.58%28.61-0.87%0.0656✗1.2577.3M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6296-0.57%1.651+0.73%0.0846✗1.304.8M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2571-0.54%5.069+18.43%0.2201✗0.83719k2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8491-0.53%5.98+1.70%0.0831✗1.114.6M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.3935-0.40%16.08-2.31%0.0429✗1.134.9M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36454.83-0.12%445.07-2.26%0.0347✗1.0313.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.