8=======>

2021-12-22 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2050
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.8%
in alpha space · 72.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3438.5226+0.05%430.11-1.87%0.0270✓1.0314.2M2021-12-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.7655+0.00%1.6398-7.11%0.0503✗0.528.5M2021-12-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.5258-0.08%5.44-1.63%0.0330✗1.085.3M2021-12-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.5451-0.10%15.01-3.53%0.0163✗1.145.7M2021-12-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0244.0169-0.18%4.796+19.18%0.2134✗0.80714k2021-12-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.355992-0.28%0.405+13.45%0.1624✗0.7449k2021-12-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.09387-0.35%0.08784-6.75%0.0015✓1.516.4M2021-12-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.1315-0.40%26.81-1.58%0.0439✗1.2475.5M2021-12-29
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.1425-0.42%17.13+5.68%0.1165✗1.2714.1M2021-12-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5619-0.46%1.576+0.45%0.0682✗1.325.4M2021-12-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.060626-0.51%0.0617+1.25%0.0847✗1.4911.0M2021-12-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.9575-0.52%2.862-3.73%0.0050✓0.84103k2021-12-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44154.5424-0.58%145.62-6.32%0.0034✓1.4060.2M2021-12-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8388-0.60%4.115+6.55%0.1001✗0.68487k2021-12-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.1994-0.60%24.05+3.04%0.0961✗1.3421.2M2021-12-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.3604-0.76%34.21-3.99%0.0124✗1.0122.5M2021-12-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,949.90-0.78%3,630.59-8.80%0.0366✓1.06768.5M2021-12-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.206119-0.81%0.1965-5.44%0.0085✓0.87776k2021-12-29
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48204.809-0.81%236.52+14.55%0.1874✗0.9711.4M2021-12-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,381.97-0.86%48,010.00-1.63%0.0366✗0.9812k2021-12-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0795-0.86%1.2537+15.13%0.2178✗1.523.0M2021-12-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.3567-0.88%34.13-4.32%0.0116✗1.046.2M2021-12-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.7124-0.88%9.02+2.62%0.0642✗0.661.1M2021-12-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.7441-0.88%19.74-0.90%0.0570✗1.2767.0M2021-12-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.114047-0.89%0.10818-5.99%0.0033✓1.1030k2021-12-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2595-0.91%1.223-3.78%0.0147✗0.984.4M2021-12-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4476-0.91%2.41-2.43%0.0271✗0.954.7M2021-12-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1042-0.91%5.14-0.21%0.0354✗0.63936k2021-12-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.1824-0.92%8.678+5.09%0.1182✗1.32635k2021-12-29
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65204.7503-0.92%197-4.67%0.0087✓1.05236k2021-12-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3577-0.95%3.23-4.72%0.0054✓0.981.3M2021-12-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.205724-0.95%0.2068-0.43%0.0589✗1.197.6M2021-12-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5124.2698-0.98%23.93-2.37%0.0338✗1.062.7M2021-12-29
GTGateEthereum6.1256.0643-0.99%6.3273+3.30%0.0791✗0.814.7M2021-12-29
KSMKusamaHydration273.22270.5022-0.99%283.66+3.82%0.0961✗1.081.5M2021-12-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,118.35-1.01%46,471.24-4.40%0.0101✓1.00750.8M2021-12-29
FTTFTXEthereum41.3340.9123-1.01%38.54-6.75%0.0120✓1.0623.4M2021-12-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.729197-1.02%0.7006-4.90%0.0147✗1.227.7M2021-12-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.171418-1.02%0.167974-3.01%0.0291✗1.105.5M2021-12-29
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000109394-1.05%0.00010763-2.64%0.0284✗0.9912.0M2021-12-29
XMRMoneroMonero190.53188.5209-1.05%214.5+12.58%0.1719✗0.952.8M2021-12-29
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072179.9716-1.06%185.3722+1.90%0.0809✗1.14748k2021-12-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67122.3453-1.07%121.4-1.84%0.0365✗0.982.8M2021-12-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.325771-1.07%0.375+13.88%0.2061✗1.454.4M2021-12-29
SOLSolanaSolana178.45176.4915-1.10%170.64-4.38%0.0117✗1.01265.5M2021-12-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2025-1.10%2.015-9.52%0.0390✓1.113.4M2021-12-29
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.078167-1.11%0.076395-3.35%0.0204✗0.96787k2021-12-29
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.2885-1.12%9.26+45.60%0.4461✗1.3113.8M2021-12-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.686503-1.14%0.6329-8.86%0.0235✓1.2914.9M2021-12-29
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.239634-1.14%0.1955-19.35%0.1830✓0.46428k2021-12-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022725-1.15%0.021726-5.49%0.0095✓1.212.0M2021-12-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.8389-1.15%7.25-8.58%0.0497✓0.631.1M2021-12-29
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.3214-1.15%8.7853-6.83%0.0058✓1.45349k2021-12-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.282276-1.16%0.287+0.49%0.0733✗1.266.6M2021-12-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0343-1.16%3.03-1.30%0.0564✗1.293.2M2021-12-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7633.3558-1.20%33.2-1.66%0.0629✗1.501.6M2021-12-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.886911-1.23%0.862-4.01%0.0376✗1.479.7M2021-12-29
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.4318-1.25%3.4827+0.22%0.0616✗1.04819k2021-12-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.56100.2883-1.25%93.8-7.64%0.0239✓0.969.8M2021-12-29
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.4848-1.26%4.3759-3.65%0.0338✗1.305.1M2021-12-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.070304-1.26%0.0651-8.57%0.0155✓1.372.7M2021-12-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.813816-1.26%0.759647-7.83%0.0209✓1.074.7M2021-12-29
DASHDashDash135.16133.4277-1.28%133.27-1.40%0.0549✗1.252.2M2021-12-29
BANDBandEthereum5.365.2907-1.29%5.08-5.22%0.0125✓1.182.8M2021-12-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5792-1.30%1.69+5.62%0.1441✗1.701.6M2021-12-29
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.3102-1.33%1.3322+0.32%0.0628✗1.03128.9M2021-12-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.9953-1.39%4.8341-4.57%0.0286✗1.375.0M2021-12-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1812.009-1.40%11.58-4.93%0.0505✓-0.315.4M2021-12-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.43521.1334-1.41%20.666-3.59%0.0536✗1.6922.7M2021-12-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.7056-1.41%8.64-2.15%0.0271✗0.77934k2021-12-29
QNTQuantEthereum182.5179.9223-1.41%175.55-3.81%0.0165✗0.9112.1M2021-12-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.5392-1.41%4.84+34.82%0.3580✗1.0011.9M2021-12-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.4218-1.42%2.3803-3.11%0.0368✗1.20147k2021-12-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.6055-1.43%31.67-4.26%0.0009✓0.67711k2021-12-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3443-1.45%1.5828+16.03%0.2105✗1.0535.5M2021-12-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.2613-1.47%3.34+0.91%0.0675✗0.97807k2021-12-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.263732-1.49%0.266803-0.34%0.0560✗0.9939.0M2021-12-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5453-1.50%3.7411+3.93%0.0497✗-0.09372k2021-12-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.104415-1.51%0.09831-7.27%0.0358✓0.54143k2021-12-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7736-1.52%1.589-11.77%0.0520✓1.296.8M2021-12-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.444189-1.53%0.4107-8.96%0.0146✓1.421.6M2021-12-29
XVGVergenative0.017240.016972-1.55%0.01691-1.91%0.0493✗1.182.9M2021-12-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.01762-1.56%0.01559-12.91%0.0660✓1.263.6M2021-12-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3415-1.56%1.2952-4.96%0.0132✓1.071.5M2021-12-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.5424-1.57%15.52-1.71%0.0284✗0.661.5M2021-12-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.8622-1.58%10.96+9.38%0.1482✗0.951.9M2021-12-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9289-1.58%4.5321-9.50%0.0497✓0.7631k2021-12-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.100954-1.60%0.0988-3.70%0.0391✗1.353.3M2021-12-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1842-1.64%3.2326-0.14%0.0693✗1.214.0M2021-12-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.055918-1.64%0.05381-5.35%0.0121✓1.1220k2021-12-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.371066-1.68%0.3698-2.01%0.0549✗1.306.6M2021-12-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.2484-1.77%1.482+16.61%0.2194✗1.0723.6M2021-12-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.9605-1.77%9.485-6.46%0.0200✓0.64455k2021-12-29
XEMNEMnative0.13050.128188-1.77%0.1244-4.67%0.0188✗1.09202k2021-12-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.199851-1.80%0.20423+0.35%0.0950✗1.6334k2021-12-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.134043-1.80%0.1285-5.86%0.0064✓1.08508k2021-12-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.086102-1.82%0.0724-17.45%0.1175✓1.2422.6M2021-12-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.084915-1.83%0.0817-5.55%0.0109✓1.1022k2021-12-29
ZENHorizenBase6866.7469-1.84%61.88-9.00%0.0074✓1.521.7M2021-12-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.622261-1.85%0.628-0.95%0.0642✗1.223.2M2021-12-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.1712-1.92%10.3-0.68%0.0460✗0.741.6M2021-12-29
ZECZcashZcash165.84162.5899-1.96%146.64-11.58%0.0420✓1.3613.6M2021-12-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.049303-1.96%0.04918-2.21%0.0401✗0.9516.3M2021-12-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.675312-2.03%0.6824-1.00%0.0659✗1.236.5M2021-12-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.8215-2.08%27.98+2.15%0.0812✗0.8741.0M2021-12-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.5253-2.08%2.644+2.52%0.0872✗0.922.8M2021-12-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.333583-2.15%0.331-2.90%0.0321✗0.89401k2021-12-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1839-2.16%1.13-6.61%0.0016✓1.002.3M2021-12-29
HIVEHivenative1.50551.4729-2.17%1.4918-0.91%0.0717✗1.3111.9M2021-12-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.6768-2.19%3.653-2.82%0.0385✗1.003.6M2021-12-29
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.4286-2.24%4.84+6.84%0.1338✗1.002.8M2021-12-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.207013-2.31%0.1817-14.25%0.0788✓1.154.2M2021-12-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018952-2.31%0.01939-0.05%0.0476✗0.5561k2021-12-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.3882-2.32%5.9148-9.56%0.0237✓1.19833k2021-12-29
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.015628-2.39%0.01516-5.31%0.0111✓0.921.5M2021-12-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0343.9518-2.39%38.51-14.48%0.0489✓1.8510.6M2021-12-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0810.8094-2.44%11.9+7.40%0.1190✗0.513.4M2021-12-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28953.2073-2.50%3.2569-0.99%0.0536✗0.859.3M2021-12-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.469.2157-2.58%9.3-1.69%0.0580✗1.094.1M2021-12-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000034071-2.66%0.00003365-3.86%0.0325✗1.001.9M2021-12-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4940.3418-2.77%42.53+2.51%0.1308✗1.735.2M2021-12-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1533-2.80%1.1508-3.00%0.0764✗1.741.6M2021-12-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.035816-2.90%0.03331-9.70%0.0267✓1.0213.9M2021-12-29
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.891-2.96%4.49-10.91%0.0406✓1.001.8M2021-12-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.2845-3.04%4.3-21.10%0.1612✓1.006.8M2021-12-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.891-3.15%4.85-3.96%0.0524✗1.3528.7M2021-12-29
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.268-3.20%0.961-26.64%0.2323✓1.00196k2021-12-29
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19982.1286-3.23%1.9662-10.62%0.0107✓2.002.3M2021-12-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,606.04-3.24%28,569.89-9.68%0.0447✓0.546.8M2021-12-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.5542-3.34%1.5398-4.23%0.0359✗1.017.8M2021-12-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.8948-3.60%1.7101-13.00%0.0714✓0.691.3M2021-12-29
GITCOINGITCOIN10.5810.1868-3.72%13.512+27.71%0.2746✗-0.18129k2021-12-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66111.7286-4.23%103.11-11.61%0.0284✓1.15158.3M2021-12-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.6210.1314-4.60%13.54+27.50%0.2847✗-0.124.2M2021-12-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.022483-5.85%0.02115-11.43%0.0162✓1.0034.3M2021-12-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.629996-6.26%0.9819+46.09%0.5265✗1.8412.6M2021-12-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.