8=======>

2021-12-21 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2682
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
23.5%
in alpha space · 36.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.021639-5.67%0.02187-4.66%0.0390✓1.0033.0M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.568913-5.50%0.7896+31.16%0.3802✗1.8412.4M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27117.5727-4.62%107.05-13.16%0.0610✓1.15164.3M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3047-4.03%2.0752-13.59%0.0480✓2.002.4M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,308.66-4.00%28,691.22-17.31%0.1340✓0.536.8M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037008-3.37%0.033967-11.31%0.0568✓1.0215.0M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.7832-3.17%4.56-7.69%0.0193✓1.001.9M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.215374-3.16%0.1923-13.53%0.0807✓1.154.2M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7526-3.14%1.8135+0.22%0.0539✗0.701.4M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.488-3.04%4.5-20.49%0.1700✓1.007.1M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.099-2.92%1.027-9.28%0.0393✓1.00215k2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.094993-2.84%0.07538-22.90%0.1961✓1.2422.6M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.5045-2.50%4.72+2.16%0.0853✗1.3628.7M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.2067-2.44%3.3399+1.61%0.0648✗0.8510.1M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1379-2.44%1.2203+4.62%0.1195✗1.751.5M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019246-2.35%0.01993+1.12%0.0506✗0.5561k2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4654-2.35%1.6826+12.13%0.1669✗1.017.8M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.3166-2.34%14.64+53.46%0.4487✗-0.123.7M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.7449-2.30%3.891+1.51%0.0667✗1.003.6M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5054-2.27%4.87+5.64%0.1062✗1.002.5M2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1633-2.24%1.18-0.84%0.0427✗1.002.4M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.6892-2.20%11.57+5.86%0.0937✗0.514.1M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015414-2.20%0.01563-0.82%0.0402✗0.921.6M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.7461-2.15%10.76+8.03%0.1201✗0.741.9M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032147-2.14%0.00003492+6.30%0.1112✗1.001.8M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum98.8177-2.03%9.59+6.56%0.1150✗1.094.1M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.2728-2.01%14.59+54.18%0.4484✗-0.17119k2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2885-1.99%1.4291+8.70%0.1338✗1.0623.6M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4473-1.93%1.6115+9.20%0.1448✗1.3111.9M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.202123-1.88%0.2085+1.21%0.0774✗1.6334k2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.326718-1.83%0.342+2.76%0.0710✗0.89544k2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.084528-1.83%0.0838-2.67%0.0227✗1.1024k2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.047501-1.82%0.05063+4.65%0.0908✗0.9515.8M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.659013-1.82%0.7106+5.87%0.1105✗1.237.1M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3932-1.80%2.754+13.01%0.1666✗0.923.2M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.132621-1.76%0.1358+0.59%0.0545✗1.08559k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.0774-1.76%9.798-4.48%0.0098✓0.64388k2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5335.8871-1.76%38.45+5.26%0.1184✗1.745.5M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.22-1.71%39.7-2.98%0.0397✗1.8513.1M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1381-1.64%3.3661+5.50%0.1044✗1.214.7M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017772-1.60%0.01651-8.58%0.0379✓1.263.6M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash162.44159.8677-1.58%149.45-8.00%0.0286✓1.3613.6M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9004-1.56%4.8047-3.48%0.0019✓0.7631k2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.363997-1.54%0.3842+3.92%0.0909✗1.306.6M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.017350.017087-1.52%0.0176+1.44%0.0631✗1.183.1M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.055351-1.51%0.05427-3.43%0.0123✓1.1222k2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.441752-1.50%0.4301-4.10%0.0136✓1.421.8M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.0432-1.50%6.2683+2.17%0.0704✗1.19833k2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.547-1.50%3.6-0.03%0.0123✓-0.09372k2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum186.26183.4716-1.50%188.78+1.35%0.0545✗0.9112.3M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.263982-1.49%0.274101+2.29%0.0657✗0.9940.4M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.1280.126096-1.49%0.1284+0.31%0.0490✗1.09202k2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7497-1.48%1.664-6.31%0.0136✓1.296.8M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.8279-1.48%16.17+7.44%0.1056✗0.671.6M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.614806-1.47%0.64+2.56%0.0750✗1.223.2M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5631-1.46%9.08+4.49%0.0806✗0.77934k2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.6776-1.45%33.51+1.06%0.0441✗0.67744k2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.5892-1.44%7.57-1.69%0.0155✗0.631.1M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase64.3763.448-1.43%63.32-1.63%0.0412✗1.521.9M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.5675-1.41%21.506-1.69%0.0452✗1.6922.7M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.0684-1.40%12.05-1.55%0.0104✓-0.315.7M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.941-1.39%5.0292+0.37%0.0566✗1.375.2M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3388-1.39%1.4667+8.03%0.1211✗1.0535.7M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.102877-1.37%0.10316-1.10%0.0182✗0.54143k2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.6563-1.37%11.66+19.10%0.2156✗0.951.9M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.331-1.35%26.57+12.35%0.1548✗0.8741.0M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.5617-1.34%4.38+21.33%0.2352✗1.0012.1M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6082-1.34%1.77+8.59%0.1441✗1.701.8M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.4031-1.30%2.4846+2.05%0.0676✗1.20169k2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2681-1.26%1.3011+1.32%0.0563✗1.081.6M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.700837-1.25%0.6659-6.17%0.0146✓1.2915.1M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3881-1.25%3.7465+9.20%0.1302✗1.04819k2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2642-1.24%1.3998+9.35%0.1311✗1.03131.8M2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2541-1.24%5.34+0.38%0.0499✗1.182.8M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.201-1.21%3.52+8.64%0.1226✗0.97807k2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.098005-1.20%0.1045+5.34%0.1026✗1.353.3M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash133.6132.0476-1.16%134.75+0.86%0.0558✗1.252.2M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana179.75177.7173-1.13%177.27-1.38%0.0262✗1.01275.4M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022494-1.12%0.021978-3.39%0.0112✓1.211.9M2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.240442-1.09%0.2158-11.23%0.0951✓0.46428k2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.5159-1.06%40.01-4.65%0.0067✓1.0625.2M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.855864-1.06%0.911+5.32%0.1043✗1.479.9M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1211-1.06%9.0923-1.37%0.0380✗1.45349k2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64123.3377-1.04%121.77-2.30%0.0152✗0.982.5M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078026-1.04%0.077218-2.07%0.0170✗0.96787k2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.774935-1.04%0.798687+1.99%0.0606✗1.074.8M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero188.96187.0061-1.03%208.62+10.40%0.1364✗0.952.9M2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,413.30-1.03%47,543.09-2.80%0.0103✓1.00754.4M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964182.0899-1.02%190.178+3.38%0.0759✗1.14853k2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.277445-1.02%0.3033+8.21%0.1250✗1.267.0M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.4908-1.01%25.42+2.75%0.0675✗1.062.8M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1937-0.99%4.4909+6.03%0.1055✗1.304.7M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.169234-0.98%0.173745+1.66%0.0576✗1.105.5M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9114-0.97%3.03+3.06%0.0766✗1.293.1M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108227-0.96%0.00010951+0.21%0.0400✗0.9912.6M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.3419-0.95%99.74+2.54%0.0619✗0.969.8M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration267.01264.4936-0.94%294.8+10.41%0.1392✗1.081.5M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.7286-0.94%35.02+9.33%0.1415✗1.501.5M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9881-0.94%6.459+6.86%0.0989✗0.814.9M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1085-0.92%2.108-0.94%0.0314✗1.113.3M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0943-0.91%1.2569+13.81%0.1817✗1.523.3M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.713453-0.91%0.7165-0.49%0.0389✗1.227.7M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3008-0.88%3.34+0.30%0.0398✗0.981.3M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.310484-0.87%0.3781+20.72%0.2384✗1.454.9M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.419-0.86%2.54+4.10%0.0758✗0.954.8M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.034-0.85%5.695+12.17%0.1414✗0.631.0M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.0324-0.84%34.96-1.05%0.0276✗1.046.5M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,041.96-0.84%47,383.60-2.20%0.0142✗0.9915k2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.20815-0.83%0.1998-4.81%0.0161✓0.87756k2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.2803-0.82%20.36+4.73%0.0907✗1.2769.7M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.202256-0.81%0.2199+7.85%0.1176✗1.198.6M2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4018-0.81%9.7+14.52%0.1624✗0.661.2M2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,984.82-0.80%3,793.67-5.56%0.0190✓1.06768.5M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8038-0.79%9.06+54.87%0.4828✗1.3213.8M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.110958-0.79%0.11446+2.34%0.0624✗1.1030k2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.0613-0.70%36.25+2.66%0.0622✗1.0121.2M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.068344-0.66%0.0659-4.22%0.0024✓1.362.7M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101625-0.65%0.08977-12.24%0.0812✓1.516.8M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4193.1547-0.64%209+7.51%0.1088✗1.05228k2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2133-0.63%1.28+4.83%0.0814✗0.984.4M2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7768-0.58%4.564+20.14%0.2087✗0.68544k2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8153.9535-0.55%145.67-5.90%0.0155✓1.4060.7M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.061337-0.53%0.05923-3.95%0.0075✗1.4913.0M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.9943-0.50%24.71+6.92%0.1100✗1.3420.8M2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4755-0.49%10.128+34.82%0.3413✗1.32635k2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.897-0.34%2.98+2.51%0.0522✗0.84104k2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4778-0.29%1.537+3.71%0.0768✗1.325.6M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.35605-0.27%0.423+18.49%0.1935✗0.7454k2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.6808-0.26%252.64+35.71%0.3355✗0.9711.0M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9407-0.13%5.349+35.55%0.3284✗0.80734k2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0406-0.13%18.4+22.18%0.2378✗1.2714.2M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1483-0.09%27.84+10.61%0.1371✗1.2475.1M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2793-0.00%15.54+1.70%0.0494✗1.146.2M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94438.1533+0.05%438.74+0.18%0.0307✓1.0314.2M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3639+0.07%5.85+9.14%0.1175✓1.085.5M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.706+1.15%1.71+1.39%0.0172✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.