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2021-12-20 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2552
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.1%
in alpha space · 13.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.5781+3.68%2.0783+36.54%0.2388✓0.478.8M2021-12-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.067515+2.95%0.08443+28.74%0.1466✓0.9922.6M2021-12-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.23.2436+1.36%5.18+61.87%0.3904✓1.0011.9M2021-12-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.1347+0.48%6.44+26.03%0.1429✓1.085.5M2021-12-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.065476+0.42%0.0741+13.65%0.0182✓1.362.9M2021-12-27
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.8917+0.35%16.84+13.48%0.0335✓1.156.6M2021-12-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.058135+0.27%0.063833+10.09%0.0228✗1.5013.8M2021-12-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28431.1854+0.21%465.3+8.14%0.0054✗1.0514.2M2021-12-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0824.1272+0.20%30.97+28.61%0.1528✓1.2575.1M2021-12-27
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.5416+0.15%19.11+31.61%0.1736✓1.2814.2M2021-12-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.7682+0.08%28.24+29.84%0.1571✓1.3320.8M2021-12-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.349074+0.02%0.466+33.52%0.2312✓0.7454k2021-12-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.4089-0.01%1.686+19.66%0.0770✗1.325.6M2021-12-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.8376-0.02%3.267+15.12%0.0749✗0.85104k2021-12-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.088971-0.04%0.09816+10.28%0.0146✓1.456.7M2021-12-27
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01180.8061-0.11%277.6+53.36%0.3530✗0.9811.0M2021-12-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.9329-0.15%4.744+20.44%0.1236✗0.82780k2021-12-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.3977-0.18%10.034+35.39%0.2001✗1.35635k2021-12-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.194004-0.34%0.22849+17.38%0.0363✗1.6434k2021-12-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71152.1745-0.35%155.78+2.01%0.0879✓1.4360.7M2021-12-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,701.13-0.36%51,195.60+9.23%0.0149✗0.9915k2021-12-27
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138176.2429-0.38%211.5789+19.59%0.0940✗1.141.1M2021-12-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.266279-0.42%0.3372+26.10%0.1377✗1.277.0M2021-12-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.19-0.42%1.325+10.88%0.0304✗0.994.6M2021-12-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.6949-0.43%4.361+17.52%0.1130✗0.68544k2021-12-27
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43187.607-0.44%237.34+25.96%0.1527✗1.06236k2021-12-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7572-0.46%3.39+22.38%0.1070✗1.283.0M2021-12-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.198145-0.48%0.2396+20.34%0.0959✗1.218.9M2021-12-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.66588-0.50%0.7943+18.69%0.0830✗1.207.8M2021-12-27
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.4516-0.52%9.15+66.97%0.4164✗1.3112.7M2021-12-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3830.2108-0.56%39.59+30.32%0.1531✗1.511.6M2021-12-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.618684-0.57%0.7375+18.53%0.0802✗1.2314.9M2021-12-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.6613-0.57%39.2+12.45%0.0430✗1.0321.2M2021-12-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.315619-0.59%0.3756+18.30%0.1059✗0.88693k2021-12-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.094427-0.60%0.1161+22.21%0.1010✗1.363.4M2021-12-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6392.0677-0.61%107.04+15.56%0.0768✗0.9510.6M2021-12-27
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.80607-0.61%1.017+25.40%0.1184✗1.4710.9M2021-12-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0418-0.62%1.3056+24.54%0.1077✗1.523.4M2021-12-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.6575-0.65%23.02+22.58%0.1102✗1.2969.7M2021-12-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.108052-0.66%0.12484+14.77%0.0577✗1.1231k2021-12-27
ZENHorizenBase61.4961.0816-0.66%70.72+15.01%0.0273✗1.532.2M2021-12-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.299677-0.67%0.4014+33.05%0.1780✗1.474.9M2021-12-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.2409-0.69%2.5471+12.89%0.0361✗1.18169k2021-12-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.202298-0.69%0.2194+7.71%0.0129✗0.88756k2021-12-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4995-0.69%2.01+33.11%0.1618✗1.692.0M2021-12-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0257-0.70%2.337+14.56%0.0563✗1.113.4M2021-12-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5434.2905-0.72%37.61+8.89%0.0102✗1.066.5M2021-12-27
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7932-0.72%6.8395+17.21%0.1025✗0.825.1M2021-12-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.602565-0.73%0.723+19.11%0.0857✗1.243.4M2021-12-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3724-0.74%2.8+17.15%0.0913✗0.964.9M2021-12-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.749505-0.74%0.876137+16.03%0.0726✗1.074.8M2021-12-27
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000105576-0.76%0.00011859+11.48%0.0385✗1.0013.4M2021-12-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.5679-0.77%26.71+12.46%0.0427✗1.062.9M2021-12-27
XVGVergenative0.016640.016512-0.77%0.01908+14.66%0.0527✗1.183.1M2021-12-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,915.37-0.78%4,038.64+2.34%0.0532✓1.08768.5M2021-12-27
KSMKusamaHydration263.85261.7903-0.78%322.27+22.14%0.1220✗1.101.5M2021-12-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.3938-0.78%9.45+11.70%0.0664✗0.671.1M2021-12-27
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0734-0.80%5.1016+24.24%0.1227✗1.324.7M2021-12-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,547.53-0.81%50,717.77+8.08%0.0081✓1.00750.8M2021-12-27
FTTFTXEthereum40.5740.2376-0.82%42.6+5.00%0.0259✓1.0725.2M2021-12-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.165808-0.82%0.187814+12.34%0.0380✗1.125.3M2021-12-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2288-0.82%1.415+14.21%0.0569✗1.081.6M2021-12-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.098322-0.83%0.11486+15.86%0.1145✗0.53143k2021-12-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.071-0.83%1.3793+27.72%0.1788✗0.9623.6M2021-12-27
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.8974-0.83%9.9988+11.45%0.0023✓1.47356k2021-12-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0334.9908-0.84%5.5+9.28%0.0473✗0.641.0M2021-12-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.2029-0.84%3.6+11.46%0.0398✗0.991.3M2021-12-27
DASHDashDash127.33126.2465-0.85%151.04+18.62%0.0822✗1.252.2M2021-12-27
HIVEHivenative1.41.388-0.85%1.852+32.29%0.1855✗1.3212.4M2021-12-27
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2594-0.89%3.9652+20.57%0.1151✗1.04798k2021-12-27
BANDBandEthereum5.065.0148-0.89%5.87+16.01%0.0658✗1.182.8M2021-12-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.1317-0.89%3.86+22.15%0.1328✗0.98821k2021-12-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.622818-0.92%0.8111+29.03%0.1690✗1.227.7M2021-12-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71120.5834-0.93%127.41+4.68%0.0223✓1.002.5M2021-12-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.7698-0.94%43.58+27.84%0.1191✗1.756.0M2021-12-27
ZECZcashZcash157.02155.5373-0.94%169.76+8.11%0.0200✓1.3813.6M2021-12-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.02207-0.95%0.024165+8.45%0.0050✓1.231.9M2021-12-27
XMRMoneroMonero188.84187.0368-0.95%220.72+16.88%0.0895✗0.982.9M2021-12-27
TRXTRONTron0.077610.076854-0.97%0.081167+4.58%0.0217✓0.98798k2021-12-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2847-1.01%1.6631+28.15%0.1767✗1.0535.8M2021-12-27
SOLSolanaSolana174.06172.2989-1.01%195.74+12.46%0.0484✗1.02281.0M2021-12-27
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.238052-1.02%0.2391-0.58%0.0314✓0.46434k2021-12-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.053509-1.02%0.05816+7.58%0.0045✓1.1322k2021-12-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.8028-1.03%6.874+17.24%0.0773✗1.18833k2021-12-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.3035-1.05%29.68+37.85%0.2673✗0.8342.5M2021-12-27
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2248-1.07%1.5164+22.48%0.1334✗1.03131.8M2021-12-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.41678-1.07%0.4709+11.77%0.0140✗1.391.8M2021-12-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.3745-1.08%1.7264+24.25%0.1507✗0.997.8M2021-12-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.34935-1.09%0.4183+18.43%0.0787✗1.306.8M2021-12-27
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.426-1.09%11.09+16.37%0.0881✗0.962.0M2021-12-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.2863-1.11%3.08+33.22%0.2269✗0.923.3M2021-12-27
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.6527-1.11%10.75+22.86%0.1314✗1.103.9M2021-12-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3739.9136-1.13%44.44+10.08%0.0428✓1.9313.8M2021-12-27
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.859-1.16%22.976+8.88%0.0372✓1.7223.4M2021-12-27
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.8509-1.16%14.106+57.52%0.4831✗-0.22119k2021-12-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.9968-1.18%13.03+7.33%0.1083✗-0.335.9M2021-12-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.4510.324-1.21%12.74+21.91%0.1718✗0.504.2M2021-12-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.8276-1.24%5.2921+8.27%0.0151✓1.385.2M2021-12-27
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.014744-1.25%0.01713+14.74%0.0790✗0.911.9M2021-12-27
QNTQuantEthereum174.01171.8346-1.25%206.05+18.41%0.1125✗0.8912.3M2021-12-27
XEMNEMnative0.12490.123293-1.29%0.1391+11.37%0.0350✗1.10202k2021-12-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.565-1.33%34.59+8.13%0.0402✗0.66754k2021-12-27
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.254841-1.37%0.300288+16.22%0.0872✗0.9940.4M2021-12-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.648-1.37%1.884+12.75%0.0338✗1.297.6M2021-12-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.017038-1.40%0.01876+8.56%0.0012✓1.263.6M2021-12-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.828-1.41%8.01+0.88%0.0291✓0.671.1M2021-12-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.8826-1.41%14.16+57.16%0.4789✗-0.163.7M2021-12-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.521-1.49%3.4608-3.17%0.0098✓-0.10372k2021-12-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8255-1.54%4.9574+1.15%0.0331✓0.7731k2021-12-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5547-1.56%9.33+7.36%0.0252✗0.79838k2021-12-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045906-1.57%0.05341+14.52%0.0774✗0.9515.8M2021-12-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19013.1399-1.58%3.7429+17.33%0.1078✗0.8710.9M2021-12-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.128224-1.59%0.1453+11.51%0.0404✗1.09603k2021-12-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.315.0545-1.60%16.81+9.87%0.0563✗0.691.6M2021-12-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.4939-1.62%11.16+15.65%0.1046✗0.741.9M2021-12-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.1144-1.65%3.6103+14.01%0.0521✗1.234.7M2021-12-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.082166-1.72%0.0897+7.30%0.0013✓1.1124k2021-12-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.24110.0628-1.74%9.799-4.32%0.0781✓0.66388k2021-12-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7324-1.81%4.312+13.44%0.0667✗1.003.7M2021-12-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.9819-1.83%2.2578+11.83%0.0219✓1.962.3M2021-12-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5964-1.85%2.0541+26.30%0.2019✗0.651.4M2021-12-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030623-1.91%0.00003905+25.08%0.1654✗1.001.9M2021-12-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.114.0301-1.95%5.28+28.47%0.1675✗1.3228.7M2021-12-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0853-2.01%1.3823+24.80%0.1042✗1.771.5M2021-12-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1639-2.20%1.32+10.92%0.0482✗1.002.3M2021-12-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.1853-2.21%5.5+28.50%0.1955✗1.002.8M2021-12-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.034961-2.47%0.037325+4.12%0.0127✓1.0115.0M2021-12-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.01877-2.49%0.02154+11.90%0.0949✗0.5567k2021-12-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.6063-2.67%5.06-12.15%0.1802✓1.009.3M2021-12-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.6564-2.79%5.13+7.10%0.0192✓1.001.8M2021-12-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.017471-3.42%0.0262+44.83%0.3275✗1.0030.7M2021-12-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.211456-3.44%0.21-4.11%0.0976✓1.173.9M2021-12-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55109.1934-3.84%113.96+0.36%0.0458✓1.14164.3M2021-12-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4334,794.39-5.50%31,759.20-13.74%0.1376✓0.606.2M2021-12-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.502254-6.51%0.8843+64.61%0.4231✗1.8310.2M2021-12-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.