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2022-09-14 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0917
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.129812-0.53%0.1218-6.67%0.0161✓0.5283k2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7983-0.64%2.02+11.60%0.1580✗0.4656k2022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.217979-0.69%0.208-5.24%0.0351✗0.90504k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012263-0.87%0.01042-15.76%0.1075✓0.61233k2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.162207-0.91%0.1377-15.88%0.0628✓1.111,5602022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.9449-0.97%13.34-26.38%0.2293✓0.741.4M2022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.438426-1.03%0.35-20.99%0.1172✓1.184,5592022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.508997-1.07%0.44504-13.50%0.0024✓1.5039k2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.319234-1.11%0.38128+18.11%0.2480✗0.77326k2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9282.9837-1.12%71.58-14.70%0.0159✓1.446.2M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.05754-1.13%0.0524-9.97%0.0234✓0.7782k2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.373043-1.21%0.3067-18.78%0.1080✓0.96202k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.103918-1.23%0.110695+5.21%0.1413✗0.866.5M2022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060883-1.24%0.059212-3.95%0.0113✓0.43129k2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020165-1.25%0.01932-5.39%0.0082✓0.56173k2022-09-21
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.316892-1.25%0.3328+3.71%0.1361✗0.957782022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.194967-1.28%0.1706-13.62%0.0465✓0.95130k2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.186457-1.29%0.169-10.53%0.0050✓1.0286k2022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.209159-1.29%0.1888-10.90%0.0189✓0.9257k2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.6875-1.30%47.682-8.94%0.0029✓0.85221k2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.101-1.31%5.338-13.65%0.0116✓1.346.9M2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,990.11-1.33%18,203.70-10.15%0.0106✓0.9113k2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012028-1.33%0.00001039-14.77%0.0589✓0.96951k2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.02293-1.33%0.02131-8.30%0.0242✗1.072,9142022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,955.05-1.35%18,462.64-8.73%0.0136✓1.00480.9M2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042137-1.35%0.038758-9.26%0.0012✓0.9028k2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.2409-1.36%8.775-6.33%0.0256✗0.851.2M2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.012017-1.36%0.011185-8.19%0.0076✓0.87851k2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005532-1.39%0.00487-13.19%0.0706✓0.62911k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042393-1.41%0.0371-13.72%0.0283✓1.15546k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.733799-1.41%0.68363-8.15%0.0258✗1.06584k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.059841-1.42%0.0569-6.26%0.0467✗1.0677k2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3898-1.43%1.39-1.42%0.0171✓-0.19113k2022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.8076-1.46%4.3216-11.42%0.0969✓0.11135k2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5758-1.46%2.296-12.17%0.0388✓0.83464k2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0548-1.48%0.8625-19.44%0.0668✓1.474.5M2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.123006-1.52%0.1199-4.00%0.0748✗1.101.4M2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065724-1.52%0.06031-9.63%0.0004✓0.958692022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.424434-1.52%0.397-7.89%0.0317✗1.087,9852022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.093819-1.55%0.09-5.56%0.0279✗0.762,9132022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035737-1.58%0.03345-7.88%0.0011✓0.712,2982022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.798711-1.61%0.75889-6.51%0.0184✗0.7613k2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036003-1.63%0.0323-11.75%0.0171✓1.0093k2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.033858-1.63%0.02917-15.25%0.0523✓1.0629k2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3083-1.64%4.2-4.11%0.0214✗0.511.4M2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum99.0597.4245-1.64%100.7+1.67%0.1131✗0.883.5M2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.883702-1.66%0.8154-9.26%0.0285✗1.19874k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.79-1.66%40.18-15.55%0.0652✓0.95363k2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.206399-1.67%0.172-18.06%0.1316✓0.5666k2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.643-1.67%4.929-14.11%0.0890✓0.513.1M2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.093373-1.71%0.0964+1.47%0.1223✗0.99319k2022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5896-1.72%4.4-5.78%0.0323✗0.82808k2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5094-1.73%1.458-5.08%0.0286✗0.6929k2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001504-1.73%0.001377-10.00%0.0171✓0.785,8832022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.8476-1.74%10.5504-12.50%0.0309✓0.9321k2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.8147.195-1.74%135.48-9.56%0.0068✓0.981.5M2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020239-1.75%0.02112+2.52%0.1274✗0.939.2M2022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005871-1.75%0.004956-17.06%0.1140✓0.611,9622022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.146078-1.76%0.13-12.58%0.0144✓1.128922022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1679-1.76%1.0124-14.85%0.0463✓1.061.2M2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.479588-1.78%0.4173-14.54%0.0476✓1.00366k2022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.320288-1.79%0.28908-11.36%0.0093✓1.0233k2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.941-1.79%3.59-10.54%0.0620✓0.342.0M2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.146-1.80%1.03-11.74%0.0247✓0.901.1M2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.0874-1.82%5.89-5.00%0.0064✓0.432.1M2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.9508-1.83%6.28-11.30%0.0062✓1.04210k2022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.472113-1.85%0.4389-8.75%0.0137✓0.9536.8M2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6332-1.85%1.487-10.64%0.0145✓0.87578k2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001202-1.85%0.001013-17.27%0.1006✓0.772.1M2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.059986-1.86%0.057369-6.14%0.0402✗0.931.1M2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.160429-1.87%0.13996-14.39%0.0433✓1.02262k2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.8642-1.87%3.588-8.89%0.0290✓0.492.1M2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.997986-1.88%0.916656-9.88%0.0120✓0.8039k2022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,608.03-1.90%1,245.65-24.01%0.1373✓1.29569.9M2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003816-1.90%0.00342-12.08%0.0254✓0.9289k2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.1904-1.91%5.909-6.37%0.0397✗0.944.3M2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.997858-1.91%0.8937-12.15%0.0692✓0.452.8M2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6668-1.92%2.286-15.92%0.0166✓1.512.9M2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.288221-1.92%0.260294-11.42%0.0084✓1.02430k2022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.7618-1.92%16.54-13.54%0.0042✓1.3317.5M2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.899348-1.93%0.871-5.02%0.0658✗1.071.5M2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.297357-1.93%0.3352+10.55%0.2050✗0.935.9M2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.008-1.93%22.71-10.94%0.0046✓1.016.8M2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.042267-1.93%0.03911-9.26%0.0066✓0.7814k2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9897-1.93%1.682-17.10%0.0644✓1.1327k2022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.63e-7-1.94%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0376✓0.7015k2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4373-1.96%1.311-10.57%0.0096✓1.1168k2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.266568-1.96%0.2516-7.47%0.0311✗0.972.7M2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.615643-1.97%0.542-13.69%0.0316✓1.053.2M2022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99117.6227-1.97%108.98-9.18%0.0249✗1.114.3M2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.133611-1.99%0.12-11.97%0.0042✓1.13146k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.720.705577-2.00%0.63-12.50%0.0936✓0.2242k2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054191-2.00%0.0454-17.90%0.1130✓0.70234k2022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.398055-2.01%0.3588-11.67%0.0001✓1.1466k2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase15.114.7962-2.01%13.3-11.92%0.0004✓1.1675k2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.039639-2.02%0.036939-8.69%0.0178✓0.5824k2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3025-2.02%1.92-18.30%0.1272✓0.60200k2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.798-2.02%8.8-12.00%0.0104✓1.29288k2022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.372339-2.02%0.37235-2.02%0.0870✗0.9529k2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089519-2.06%0.0794-13.13%0.0439✓0.8310k2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.44e-7-2.06%5.15e-7-21.67%0.1510✓0.792.1M2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7766-2.06%1.583-12.73%0.0316✗1.6160k2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.069437-2.06%0.06177-12.88%0.0291✓0.9625k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003370.0033-2.07%0.00321-4.75%0.0529✗0.88483k2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.852353-2.11%0.785702-9.76%0.0058✓0.8347k2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001523-2.12%0.001531-1.61%0.0733✗0.75340k2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2173-2.12%4.1321-4.09%0.0428✗0.69696k2022-09-21
DASHDashDash45.5844.6147-2.12%39.84-12.59%0.0178✓1.04299k2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.61e-7-2.14%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0488✓0.691.7M2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.660416-2.18%0.598-11.42%0.0381✗1.50194k2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020242-2.18%0.019175-7.34%0.0053✓0.6512k2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.598587-2.19%0.563-8.01%0.0306✗1.01178k2022-09-21
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4189-2.19%3.64-19.43%0.1026✓1.001.4M2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006186-2.19%0.006319-0.09%0.0507✗0.3229k2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9949-2.21%1.8-11.76%0.0139✓1.28226k2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.496776-2.21%0.455-10.43%0.0195✓1.1870k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.35220.34437-2.22%0.3221-8.55%0.0297✗1.06298k2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.262026-2.23%0.246-8.21%0.0056✓0.75512k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.122397-2.24%0.1083-13.50%0.0279✓1.032.6M2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.356-2.24%30.68-10.08%0.0239✗1.1852.2M2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.136765-2.24%0.1248-10.79%0.0007✓1.00119k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55510.54265-2.24%0.4905-11.64%0.0493✓0.57836k2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.0461-2.25%6.125-15.02%0.0448✓1.049.9M2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105174-2.25%0.098-8.92%0.0049✓0.83188k2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.9566-2.26%23.03-16.50%0.0171✓1.54155k2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002807-2.27%0.002142-25.42%0.1871✓0.911.2M2022-09-21
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011464-2.28%0.010823-7.74%0.0338✗1.007452022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.736-2.28%5.55-5.45%0.0135✓0.512.1M2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.3822-2.29%5.3357+18.97%0.3169✗1.31118k2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007865-2.30%0.00702-12.80%0.0102✓1.13463k2022-09-21
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,511.46-2.30%1,207.28-21.96%0.1334✓1.003.3M2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0251-2.30%2.7487-11.23%0.0043✓1.0019k2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045428-2.31%0.0411-11.61%0.0240✓0.83142k2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.913-2.32%12.016+7.55%0.1284✗0.3515.8M2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.2224-2.35%7.72-8.31%0.0147✓0.532.4M2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.4917-2.37%53.54-13.59%0.0246✓1.071.1M2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5722-2.37%1.4095-12.48%0.0171✓1.01236k2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008298-2.38%0.00682-19.76%0.1149✓0.893.3M2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.058669-2.38%0.055-8.49%0.0470✗1.22608k2022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.4105-2.40%5.2376-5.52%0.0236✓0.109.6M2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2016-2.41%4.93-7.50%0.0117✓0.462.4M2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.7406-2.42%3.3008-13.90%0.0687✓0.626.3M2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.328393-2.44%0.2926-13.07%0.0162✓1.0972k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.258.728-2.45%51.08-15.15%0.0537✓0.9414.4M2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.033-2.45%2.88-7.37%0.0227✓0.32676k2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.067061-2.47%0.0672-2.27%0.0202✓0.20351k2022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.27-2.52%6.682-10.40%0.0140✓1.0818.0M2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3518-2.53%1.186-14.49%0.0249✓1.1643k2022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.30168-2.56%0.273-11.82%0.0160✓0.9289k2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,958.61-2.56%7,985.43-13.15%0.0063✓1.334.0M2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.9688-2.56%11.82-11.19%0.0068✓1.09874k2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038098-2.56%0.035-10.49%0.0183✓0.739,5132022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.472742-2.59%0.4207-13.31%0.0435✓0.80396k2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.499413-2.65%0.445-13.26%0.0133✓1.1266k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7608-2.65%1.6506-8.75%0.0345✗1.0928k2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2234-2.67%1.098-12.65%0.0007✓1.19303k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.401876-2.68%0.3965-3.99%0.0763✗0.98379k2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.187228-2.69%0.2287+18.87%0.2823✗0.903.1M2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.801257-2.69%0.7438-9.67%0.0250✓1.09920k2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.614944-2.70%0.573-9.34%0.0205✓1.00114k2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8852-2.72%1.216-37.25%0.3771✓0.671.5M2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.2891-2.73%13.46-8.37%0.0193✓0.871.9M2022-09-21
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016678-2.74%0.01435-16.31%0.0590✓1.001,0682022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000044894-2.74%0.00003771-18.31%0.0988✓0.833.5M2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9684-2.77%1.7738-12.38%0.0037✓1.1013k2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025236-2.78%0.026042+0.33%0.0273✓-0.04485k2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.586-2.78%13.395-4.14%0.0974✗1.2220.3M2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.293-2.78%1.14-14.29%0.0368✓0.9856k2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.109661-2.78%0.0932-17.38%0.0462✓1.272.4M2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.329887-2.80%0.2884-15.03%0.0434✓1.0079k2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047327-2.82%0.0405-16.84%0.0603✓1.05177k2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.5011-2.82%15.17-10.66%0.0342✓0.55384k2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.827214-2.85%0.8507-0.09%0.1526✗1.3789k2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.261266-2.88%0.23945-10.99%0.0102✓0.8415k2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1931-2.89%1.2073-1.73%0.1071✗1.04844k2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0958.3338-2.92%58.27-3.03%0.0976✗1.088,4972022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.110446-2.95%0.0951-16.43%0.1068✓0.47182k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.9515-2.95%5.793+13.54%0.2690✗1.236.4M2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.8205-2.99%5.7947-3.42%0.0186✓0.2512.5M2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.276401-3.02%0.2521-11.54%0.0006✓1.0172k2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8108-3.06%1.622-13.17%0.0128✓1.35967k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.898802-3.15%0.868-6.47%0.0078✓0.472.5M2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.058559-3.19%0.05474-9.51%0.0406✗1.181.1M2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.143264-3.33%0.1316-11.20%0.0008✓0.94322k2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1722-3.60%0.892-26.64%0.1302✓1.572.7M2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.7377-3.65%5.248-11.87%0.0011✓0.975.9M2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.131-3.93%3.91-9.07%0.0290✓0.92223k2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3737.6368-4.40%27.69-29.67%0.1691✓1.5110.6M2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.00028686-4.51%0.0002847-5.23%0.0062✓0.012.4M2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.195196-4.55%0.1289-36.97%0.3445✓0.7730k2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.