GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s3

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0938

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0167

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.286979	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.298869	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.316188	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.245032	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.219811	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.185176	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.189379	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.208137	-5.69%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3780	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.211073	-6.12%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4158	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.258506	-8.25%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2812	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.173716	-4.29%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4300	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.176452	-4.90%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3068	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.181576	-5.10%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0778	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.197947	-6.53%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.178673	-6.13%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2297	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.143198	-3.75%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4830	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.176326	-5.88%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5198	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.164379	-5.97%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1360	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111981	-2.41%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5251	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129143	-3.80%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4145	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.136723	-4.98%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4713	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092878	-1.42%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7201	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085589	-0.81%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5353	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084801	-0.87%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7701	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.089935	-1.06%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6452	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090072	-1.02%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2390	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091361	-1.50%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3809	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085821	-0.71%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5123	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082641	-0.43%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1392	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087797	-0.45%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0069	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086872	-0.39%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0144	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083213	-0.86%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0540	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084868	-0.98%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0367	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.081095	-0.97%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1003	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076204	-1.14%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0402	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074984	-1.08%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0138	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074234	-1.06%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0572	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076717	-0.84%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0380	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077184	-0.89%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0352	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077341	-0.72%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0586	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075731	-0.45%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0368	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075302	-0.28%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0255	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078314	-0.14%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0081	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082274	-0.51%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0576	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080127	-0.05%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0240	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082468	-0.01%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.08218	-0.05%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0225	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079407	+0.10%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0142	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081758	+0.60%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0244	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078785	+0.05%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0165	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079529	-0.04%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0261	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.081314	+0.05%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0204	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.08004	-0.06%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0030	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083113	-0.09%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0292	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084792	-0.13%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0878	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.088452	+0.00%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0957	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.085258	-0.07%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0598	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.082462	+0.03%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0229	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085478	-0.11%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0459	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088236	-0.46%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0961	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086582	-0.39%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0536	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.09112	-0.51%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0653	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084945	-1.21%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0405	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.08259	-1.72%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0799	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079673	-2.13%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1447	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081576	-2.20%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1410	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.083088	-2.39%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1424	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083817	-2.49%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1599	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.082517	-2.83%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1103	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078941	-2.09%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079892	-2.18%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0434	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081146	-2.35%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0149	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083919	-2.55%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0154	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.086302	-2.64%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0229	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.086181	-2.56%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0298	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.082443	-2.32%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0621	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.079771	-2.46%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0249	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.077552	-2.06%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0718	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073273	-1.99%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1342	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.075871	-2.30%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1192	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075591	-2.16%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1377	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074676	-2.08%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1349	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072712	-2.02%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1161	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072022	-1.96%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1345	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071638	-1.95%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0885	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075217	-2.18%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0095	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069815	-1.86%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1102	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067854	-1.62%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1614	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067645	-1.68%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1457	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064621	-1.58%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1590	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066104	-1.53%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066921	-1.53%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1210	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067355	-1.60%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1731	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066221	-1.63%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0936	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065282	-1.70%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0458	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065138	-1.84%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0619	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065123	-1.93%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0057	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065839	-1.97%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0041	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.067848	-2.08%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0143	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068893	-2.15%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0245	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066202	-1.78%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0188	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067833	-1.96%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0324	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067106	-2.00%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0250	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067988	-2.06%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0203	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067079	-1.97%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0069	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067968	-1.73%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0151	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069192	-1.90%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0052	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072766	-2.24%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0530	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073594	-2.24%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0637	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073822	-2.07%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0841	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.078376	-2.47%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1420	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072361	-1.87%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0770	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072022	-1.91%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0699	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065308	-1.27%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0186	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067048	-1.61%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0591	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067464	-1.46%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0602	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067171	-1.60%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0773	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067472	-1.66%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1441	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067089	-1.62%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0726	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068591	-1.82%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0799	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.070095	-2.12%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0077	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074706	-2.00%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0490	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073766	-1.97%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0319	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076651	-2.17%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0689	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.074229	-2.27%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0414	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.074691	-1.99%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0556	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078382	-2.25%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0796	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.080261	-2.40%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0844	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.078877	-2.53%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0110	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079233	-2.56%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0267	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077053	-2.39%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0187	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.075205	-2.29%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0105	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077222	-1.88%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0067	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071541	-1.30%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0895	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075378	-1.48%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0536	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073382	-1.26%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0818	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073459	-0.87%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0374	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076561	-1.05%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0187	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.08043	-1.57%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0196	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087085	-1.85%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1592	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087771	-2.05%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0899	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096418	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092342	-2.33%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1443	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091309	-2.31%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1174	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090383	-2.26%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0646	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.09128	-2.35%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0428	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093988	-2.56%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0134	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.091049	-2.55%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0486	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095769	-2.74%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0737	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098547	-2.93%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0179	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105963	-3.18%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1046	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.10586	-3.30%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1198	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.105264	-3.03%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0884	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.101352	-2.88%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0259	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.099652	-2.79%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0575	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.093207	-2.40%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0526	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.095523	-2.50%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0642	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.099505	-2.77%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1061	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.101375	-2.91%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1041	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.111571	-3.36%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0038	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.115435	-3.34%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0873	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.130682	-4.26%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2179	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.165218	-7.05%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5230	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.099302	-2.15%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0179	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.098634	-2.21%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0537	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.091328	-1.59%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2276	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090067	-1.32%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2993	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087428	-1.06%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4494	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092228	-1.38%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6388	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.091652	-1.37%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0680	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.091751	-1.26%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0758	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092123	-1.39%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0305	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092158	-1.37%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0676	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.094372	-1.33%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1138	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096005	-1.20%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0522	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090978	-0.60%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0223	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093677	-1.03%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0193	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.113756	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.10742	-1.83%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1170	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100836	-1.54%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0481	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104671	-2.22%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0898	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.111143	-2.78%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1521	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.106241	-3.05%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2080	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095709	-1.88%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0351	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088992	-1.01%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2633	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.087176	-1.40%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1872	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081442	-1.19%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1859	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078624	-1.21%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2804	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082303	-1.34%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3103	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074313	-1.69%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3475	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077477	-1.32%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1961	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076996	-1.26%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1026	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077081	-1.44%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0931	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078184	-1.56%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0032	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079252	-1.42%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0257	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078034	-1.92%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0100	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073352	-1.63%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0055	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075194	-1.83%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072018	-1.68%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073108	-1.74%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077034	-1.78%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076191	-1.68%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0005	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075115	-1.60%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0259	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074693	-1.49%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0474	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078059	-1.50%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0336	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077846	-1.41%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0701	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076712	-1.25%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0019	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082644	-1.14%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0054	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084375	-1.26%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0508	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081515	-1.15%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0035	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079375	-1.26%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0165	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078604	-1.24%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0482	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082415	-1.25%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0200	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.087753	-1.40%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1046	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089433	-1.34%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0683	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092023	-1.18%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0238	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093097	-1.11%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0624	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093215	-1.24%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0718	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093428	-1.28%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1246	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.09436	-1.19%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1159	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.106191	-1.85%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1670	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.090882	-1.09%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.08274	-0.84%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0587	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081483	-0.82%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0470	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.07808	-0.71%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0823	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078002	-0.71%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1307	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080465	-0.76%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1270	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084008	-0.83%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2585	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086561	-0.86%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0975	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086324	-0.87%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0609	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083922	-0.79%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0146	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082891	-0.67%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0562	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086746	-0.84%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1041	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088666	-0.87%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1284	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090352	-0.94%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1215	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090629	-0.95%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1148	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.08588	-0.65%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0618	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086423	-0.67%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0945	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089547	-0.89%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0381	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092626	-0.99%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0401	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092525	-0.99%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092469	-0.94%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0227	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094688	-1.00%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0617	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100133	-1.24%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0903	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103155	-1.41%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1006	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101377	-1.32%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0963	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.103868	-1.45%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0755	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.102755	-1.30%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0817	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097379	-0.69%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0547	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095103	-0.55%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0153	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095192	-0.62%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0843	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097649	-0.77%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0883	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096854	-0.56%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0822	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099851	-0.36%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0455	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.10066	-0.34%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0607	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.091853	+2.17%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0063	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103641	-0.58%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0251	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.106242	-0.99%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0146	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109618	-1.42%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0385	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.103871	-0.70%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0400	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104836	-0.91%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1099	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.115433	-1.84%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0739	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.117372	-1.86%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0840	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.127714	-1.83%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0273	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.129051	-1.79%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.12839	-1.77%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0091	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.1225	-1.65%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0204	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.133485	-1.70%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0921	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.129554	-1.41%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0267	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124978	-1.20%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0203	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.128028	-1.29%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0186	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124592	-1.35%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0429	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.136848	-0.98%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0061	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.137567	-0.82%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0129	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146018	-0.80%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.14006	-0.53%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0067	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136146	-0.48%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0019	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142306	-0.42%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0056	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.147197	-1.01%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0680	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.133935	-1.59%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0156	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.138844	-1.81%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0333	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.139928	-1.94%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0050	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141684	-2.02%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0673	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142234	-1.98%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0928	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.142687	-2.07%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0897	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148601	-1.98%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0259	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.150971	-2.03%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0596	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.146486	-2.15%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0249	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144173	-2.12%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0065	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.141537	-2.05%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0120	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.137927	-1.97%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0121	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.128107	-1.68%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0658	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131504	-1.64%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0551	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.12965	-1.56%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0593	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131255	-1.53%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0702	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132645	-1.53%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0585	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.126938	-1.37%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0856	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.123612	-1.27%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1035	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126975	-1.34%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0277	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.12736	-1.35%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0321	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126873	-1.34%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0619	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.124378	-1.29%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0822	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.126403	-1.32%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0724	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.125459	-1.29%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0392	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11805	-1.05%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0291	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120631	-1.12%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0404	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.124427	-1.25%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0442	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.125884	-1.23%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0160	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126675	-1.31%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0135	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134768	-1.49%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0178	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136625	-1.50%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0348	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.138518	-1.55%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0265	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140498	-1.54%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0396	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.149174	-1.66%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0866	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.142272	-1.51%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0377	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138931	-1.40%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0416	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.141538	-1.37%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0508	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.134607	-1.17%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0142	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.141566	-1.35%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0135	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142773	-1.40%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0229	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141162	-1.29%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0488	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138556	-1.03%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0393	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.150973	-1.39%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0696	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.151793	-1.37%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0282	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155538	-1.43%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1049	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158773	-1.51%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1148	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.155576	-1.41%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1248	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154187	-1.29%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1512	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.157131	-1.36%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0768	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.158255	-1.28%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1024	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.154513	-0.95%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1270	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.152691	-0.85%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0835	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.158947	-1.09%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0801	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.153101	-1.23%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0514	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157766	-1.40%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1092	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.156935	-1.30%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0968	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.1604	-1.47%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1529	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.163178	-1.58%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1848	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.162383	-1.47%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1478	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.166794	-1.83%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2468	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.171903	-1.99%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1111	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.17419	-2.03%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1289	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186523	-2.24%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1610	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.185622	-2.18%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1130	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.183393	-2.03%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0585	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.185678	-2.07%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0845	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.168608	-1.51%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0453	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.171806	-1.66%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0701	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.164177	-1.22%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0454	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.16052	-1.34%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1863	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.178721	-1.69%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1935	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.180698	-1.69%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2157	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177655	-1.58%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2104	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.176188	-1.46%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1370	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.185453	-1.51%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0810	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.193298	-1.48%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1128	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.202507	-1.46%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0506	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.210918	-1.44%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0608	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.204073	-1.46%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0682	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.204931	-1.45%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0931	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.203569	-1.42%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0881	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.197784	-1.31%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1060	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.206543	-1.41%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1551	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.214414	-1.46%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1225	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.216925	-1.55%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1466	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.211539	-1.43%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1243	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.210786	-1.36%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1198	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.213286	-1.44%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0769	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.222849	-1.61%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0311	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.231941	-1.55%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0070	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.244956	-1.45%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0124	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.227552	-1.32%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1091	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.209838	-1.02%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1034	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.199239	-0.80%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2217	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.275691	-0.90%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0019	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.281241	-0.78%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0050	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.269226	-0.87%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0137	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.282507	-0.77%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0365	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.276171	-0.84%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0319	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.279821	-1.02%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0680	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.284838	-1.13%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1837	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.282903	-1.31%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0357	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.273957	-1.38%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0486	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.251949	-1.39%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0572	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.260192	-1.55%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0984	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.273417	-1.79%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2000	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.269921	-1.85%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2082	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.276697	-1.98%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2117	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.266124	-1.94%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1589	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.292366	-2.22%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1560	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.295026	-2.34%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1859	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.298677	-2.46%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1552	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.325419	-2.58%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0952	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.332635	-2.65%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0685	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.327423	-2.67%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0268	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.358386	-2.84%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1170	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.35335	-2.85%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1057	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.341357	-2.76%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0270	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.338729	-2.87%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0482	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.347695	-2.99%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0394	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.