GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s3

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +30d

assessed

367

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1675

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0370

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.249545	-18.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.258894	-19.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.273399	-20.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.212822	-19.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.191732	-18.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.164218	-15.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.166722	-16.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.181958	-17.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.184289	-18.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.225178	-20.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.155835	-14.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.156812	-15.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.160768	-15.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.173551	-18.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.159	-16.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.131382	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.158129	-15.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.149231	-14.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.106912	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.120246	-10.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.126638	-11.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.091697	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085768	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084931	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.08911	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089404	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090631	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085739	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.08316	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088608	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.088655	+1.65%	0.305135	+249.87%	1.2732	✓	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.082575	-1.62%	0.3197	+280.89%	1.3350	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084047	-1.94%	0.34262	+299.74%	1.3989	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.081011	-1.07%	0.262905	+221.07%	1.1651	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075106	-2.56%	0.236285	+206.55%	1.0914	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.074015	-2.35%	0.194295	+156.33%	0.9070	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073236	-2.39%	0.19959	+166.01%	0.9299	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076253	-1.44%	0.22069	+185.26%	1.0253	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.076549	-1.71%	0.22483	+188.69%	1.0079	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.076869	-1.33%	0.28174	+261.65%	1.2492	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075685	-0.51%	0.181495	+138.59%	0.8030	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075462	-0.07%	0.18555	+145.71%	0.8281	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.079092	+0.85%	0.191325	+143.96%	0.8365	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082337	-0.43%	0.21178	+156.10%	0.9071	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.081034	+1.08%	0.190335	+137.43%	0.8048	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.08344	+1.16%	0.14877	+80.37%	0.5190	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.083035	+0.99%	0.187335	+127.85%	0.7460	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.080605	+1.61%	0.17482	+120.38%	0.6991	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.084326	+3.76%	0.11475	+41.20%	0.2696	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.079653	+1.15%	0.13424	+70.47%	0.4375	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.080492	+1.17%	0.143895	+80.86%	0.4926	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.083247	+2.43%	0.09422	+15.93%	0.0671	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.081686	+1.99%	0.08629	+7.74%	0.0175	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.084374	+1.43%	0.085545	+2.84%	0.0449	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.086197	+1.53%	0.0909	+7.07%	0.0211	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.091502	+3.45%	0.091	+2.88%	0.0508	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.087767	+2.87%	0.092755	+8.72%	0.0002	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.085445	+3.64%	0.086435	+4.85%	0.0528	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.087772	+2.57%	0.083	-3.00%	0.1129	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.089856	+1.37%	0.088195	-0.50%	0.1113	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.088809	+2.17%	0.087215	+0.34%	0.1221	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.093264	+1.83%	0.083935	-8.36%	0.1363	✗	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084197	-2.08%	0.08571	-0.32%	0.0733	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.080555	-4.14%	0.081885	-2.56%	0.1158	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.076559	-5.96%	0.07708	-5.32%	0.1461	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.078201	-6.25%	0.0758	-9.12%	0.1860	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.079065	-7.12%	0.07503	-11.86%	0.2322	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.079506	-7.51%	0.077365	-10.00%	0.2377	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.078079	-8.06%	0.07788	-8.30%	0.1978	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.075817	-5.97%	0.077905	-3.38%	0.1696	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.076548	-6.28%	0.07607	-6.86%	0.2146	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.077389	-6.87%	0.075515	-9.12%	0.2127	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.079616	-7.55%	0.078425	-8.93%	0.2297	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.082068	-7.42%	0.082695	-6.71%	0.2139	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.082084	-7.19%	0.080165	-9.36%	0.2403	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.07899	-6.42%	0.08248	-2.28%	0.1877	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.076231	-6.79%	0.08222	+0.54%	0.1570	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.074795	-5.54%	0.079325	+0.18%	0.1669	✓	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.070774	-5.33%	0.08127	+8.71%	0.1090	✓	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.07268	-6.41%	0.078745	+1.40%	0.1301	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.072605	-6.02%	0.07956	+2.98%	0.1121	✓	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.071845	-5.79%	0.08127	+6.57%	0.1060	✓	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.070036	-5.62%	0.08009	+7.92%	0.0821	✓	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.069601	-5.26%	0.083185	+13.23%	0.0227	✓	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.069213	-5.27%	0.0849	+16.20%	0.0056	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.072193	-6.11%	0.08845	+15.03%	0.0411	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.067563	-5.03%	0.085315	+19.93%	0.0054	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.06623	-3.98%	0.08244	+19.52%	0.0157	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.06586	-4.27%	0.08557	+24.38%	0.0411	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.063036	-3.99%	0.08864	+35.01%	0.1403	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06469	-3.63%	0.08692	+29.48%	0.1255	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.065595	-3.48%	0.09159	+34.77%	0.1665	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.065894	-3.73%	0.085985	+25.62%	0.1736	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.064648	-3.97%	0.084035	+24.83%	0.2056	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.06355	-4.31%	0.08141	+22.59%	0.2477	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.063144	-4.85%	0.08341	+25.69%	0.2830	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.062855	-5.35%	0.085125	+28.19%	0.3170	✗	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.063488	-5.47%	0.08596	+27.98%	0.3122	✗	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.06534	-5.70%	0.084925	+22.56%	0.2830	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.066408	-5.68%	0.08063	+14.52%	0.2130	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.06402	-5.01%	0.081675	+21.18%	0.2295	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.065496	-5.34%	0.083095	+20.10%	0.2405	✗	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.064679	-5.54%	0.086115	+25.76%	0.2844	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.065478	-5.67%	0.088645	+27.70%	0.2931	✗	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.064592	-5.61%	0.088445	+29.25%	0.2905	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.065719	-4.98%	0.084405	+22.03%	0.2135	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.066699	-5.44%	0.08178	+15.94%	0.1910	✗	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.06964	-6.44%	0.079185	+6.38%	0.1204	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.070459	-6.40%	0.07476	-0.69%	0.0532	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.070817	-6.05%	0.077655	+3.02%	0.0872	✗	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.074466	-7.33%	0.07726	-3.86%	0.0242	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.069475	-5.78%	0.07626	+3.42%	0.0771	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.069063	-5.94%	0.07421	+1.07%	0.0350	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.06329	-4.32%	0.073465	+11.07%	0.0745	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.064743	-4.99%	0.073065	+7.22%	0.0767	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.065251	-4.69%	0.07689	+12.31%	0.1117	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.064927	-4.89%	0.07114	+4.21%	0.0463	✓	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.065193	-4.98%	0.068975	+0.53%	0.0072	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.064878	-4.86%	0.0688	+0.89%	0.0035	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.066249	-5.17%	0.065655	-6.02%	0.0435	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.067513	-5.72%	0.06713	-6.26%	0.0336	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.071996	-5.55%	0.06796	-10.85%	0.0808	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.071034	-5.60%	0.06845	-9.03%	0.0723	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.073446	-6.26%	0.06732	-14.08%	0.0975	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.071041	-6.47%	0.06641	-12.57%	0.0799	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.071667	-5.96%	0.06636	-12.92%	0.0975	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.074772	-6.75%	0.066405	-17.19%	0.1131	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.076383	-7.12%	0.067165	-18.33%	0.1103	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.075116	-7.17%	0.06929	-14.37%	0.0653	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.075386	-7.29%	0.070405	-13.42%	0.0612	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.07341	-7.01%	0.0674	-14.62%	0.0641	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.071683	-6.87%	0.06919	-10.11%	0.0373	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.073917	-6.08%	0.068475	-12.99%	0.0785	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.068733	-5.18%	0.069415	-4.24%	0.0121	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.072186	-5.65%	0.06843	-10.56%	0.0664	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.070354	-5.34%	0.070535	-5.09%	0.0024	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.070358	-5.05%	0.074435	+0.45%	0.0258	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.072989	-5.66%	0.07528	-2.70%	0.0065	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.076335	-6.58%	0.07538	-7.75%	0.0061	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.082495	-7.03%	0.08036	-9.43%	0.0121	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.083127	-7.23%	0.07374	-17.71%	0.0704	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.091081	-7.90%	0.073425	-25.75%	0.1396	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.087778	-7.16%	0.066145	-30.04%	0.1721	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.086825	-7.11%	0.068145	-27.09%	0.1454	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.085934	-7.07%	0.06846	-25.97%	0.1237	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.086556	-7.41%	0.068265	-26.97%	0.1394	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.088735	-8.01%	0.06861	-28.87%	0.1552	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.085987	-7.97%	0.068195	-27.01%	0.1121	✓	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.090271	-8.33%	0.06986	-29.05%	0.1333	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.092432	-8.95%	0.07161	-29.46%	0.1476	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.098605	-9.90%	0.07623	-30.35%	0.1588	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.098016	-10.46%	0.075245	-31.26%	0.1670	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.098118	-9.61%	0.07835	-27.82%	0.1179	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.09459	-9.36%	0.075955	-27.21%	0.1066	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.09295	-9.33%	0.076205	-25.66%	0.0872	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.087516	-8.36%	0.080185	-16.03%	0.0160	✓	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.089436	-8.71%	0.082235	-16.06%	0.0135	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.09271	-9.41%	0.08092	-20.93%	0.0406	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.094568	-9.43%	0.081315	-22.12%	0.0431	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.103721	-10.16%	0.07894	-31.62%	0.1512	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.106904	-10.49%	0.07697	-35.55%	0.1984	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.119536	-12.43%	0.0787	-42.34%	0.2935	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.147774	-16.86%	0.072485	-59.22%	0.5930	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.095248	-6.14%	0.07651	-24.61%	0.0689	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.094433	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.088554	-4.58%	0.0741	-20.16%	0.0385	✓	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.087935	-3.65%	0.07737	-15.23%	0.0565	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.085855	-2.84%	0.08171	-7.53%	0.1248	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.089894	-3.88%	0.08873	-5.12%	0.1512	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.089312	-3.88%	0.08961	-3.56%	0.1261	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.089633	-3.54%	0.09889	+6.42%	0.1730	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.089864	-3.81%	0.09347	+0.05%	0.0664	✗	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.089998	-3.68%	0.092475	-1.03%	0.0528	✗	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.092316	-3.48%	0.09348	-2.26%	0.0433	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.094279	-2.98%	0.09646	-0.73%	0.0559	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090689	-0.92%	0.093435	+2.08%	0.0606	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.09258	-2.19%	0.09847	+4.03%	0.0661	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.109026	-6.28%	0.10152	-12.73%	0.0658	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.104006	-4.95%	0.109445	+0.02%	0.0696	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.098476	-3.85%	0.10947	+6.89%	0.1376	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.100503	-6.12%	0.108555	+1.41%	0.0631	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.105341	-7.85%	0.104355	-8.72%	0.0285	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.1003	-8.47%	0.10251	-6.46%	0.0144	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.09317	-4.49%	0.095495	-2.10%	0.0094	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089125	-0.86%	0.09797	+8.98%	0.0907	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086482	-2.18%	0.10234	+15.76%	0.1305	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081303	-1.35%	0.10441	+26.68%	0.1963	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078431	-1.46%	0.11545	+45.06%	0.2994	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.081878	-1.85%	0.11943	+43.17%	0.3164	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.07292	-3.53%	0.1365	+80.58%	0.5029	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077043	-1.87%	0.177745	+126.38%	0.7288	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076701	-1.64%	0.10148	+30.14%	0.1662	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.07628	-2.47%	0.10086	+28.96%	0.1675	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077071	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078543	-2.30%	0.092805	+15.44%	0.0640	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.075956	-4.53%	0.09127	+14.72%	0.0188	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.071882	-3.60%	0.088365	+18.50%	0.0504	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.073128	-4.53%	0.09352	+22.09%	0.0749	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.070209	-4.15%	0.09292	+26.85%	0.1211	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.071154	-4.36%	0.09292	+24.89%	0.1047	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.075031	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.074395	-3.99%	0.093425	+20.56%	0.1147	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.073314	-3.96%	0.093435	+22.39%	0.1143	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.073019	-3.69%	0.095645	+26.15%	0.1221	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.076369	-3.64%	0.09717	+22.61%	0.0850	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.07635	-3.31%	0.09153	+15.92%	0.0091	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.075828	-2.38%	0.094655	+21.85%	0.0958	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082146	-1.74%	0.116335	+39.16%	0.2630	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.083604	-2.16%	0.109425	+28.06%	0.1617	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081081	-1.67%	0.102415	+24.20%	0.1320	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.078521	-2.32%	0.10705	+33.16%	0.1872	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.077957	-2.05%	0.11432	+43.64%	0.2825	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.08188	-1.89%	0.109585	+31.31%	0.2436	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.086737	-2.54%	0.097545	+9.60%	0.0337	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.088659	-2.20%	0.0899	-0.83%	0.0698	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.091839	-1.38%	0.08841	-5.06%	0.0557	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093221	-0.98%	0.08242	-12.45%	0.1224	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.092893	-1.59%	0.07959	-15.68%	0.1743	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.092981	-1.75%	0.08342	-11.86%	0.1562	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094257	-1.30%	0.07559	-20.85%	0.2178	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.104671	-3.26%	0.078515	-27.43%	0.3268	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091215	-0.72%	0.07798	-15.13%	0.1991	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083631	+0.23%	0.07821	-6.27%	0.0949	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082323	+0.20%	0.07942	-3.33%	0.0770	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078953	+0.40%	0.08039	+2.23%	0.0755	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078942	+0.49%	0.07956	+1.27%	0.0178	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081388	+0.38%	0.07457	-8.03%	0.1017	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084939	+0.27%	0.0766	-9.57%	0.0467	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087527	+0.25%	0.07325	-16.10%	0.0884	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087079	-0.00%	0.0744	-14.56%	0.1329	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.08485	+0.31%	0.07843	-7.28%	0.0667	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083888	+0.53%	0.07749	-7.14%	0.1209	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087418	-0.07%	0.07634	-12.73%	0.1315	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089193	-0.28%	0.07582	-15.23%	0.1641	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090794	-0.46%	0.07925	-13.11%	0.1157	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091045	-0.50%	0.07896	-13.70%	0.1140	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086517	+0.09%	0.07768	-10.13%	0.1908	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086999	-0.01%	0.0836	-3.92%	0.1537	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089906	-0.49%	0.08545	-5.42%	0.1002	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092718	-0.89%	0.08246	-11.86%	0.1661	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092545	-0.97%	0.08039	-13.98%	0.1384	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092415	-1.00%	0.07959	-14.74%	0.1827	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094347	-1.35%	0.083455	-12.74%	0.1926	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.09917	-2.19%	0.089	-12.22%	0.1474	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.101742	-2.76%	0.09065	-13.36%	0.1528	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.100079	-2.58%	0.09312	-9.35%	0.1511	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10215	-3.08%	0.09414	-10.68%	0.1589	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.101144	-2.85%	0.09439	-9.34%	0.1313	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.096404	-1.69%	0.09464	-3.49%	0.0977	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094128	-1.57%	0.0955	-0.14%	0.0463	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.094048	-1.82%	0.108195	+12.95%	0.1133	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.096117	-2.33%	0.09188	-6.64%	0.0467	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.095339	-2.12%	0.08344	-14.33%	0.1284	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.098066	-2.14%	0.08216	-18.01%	0.1640	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.098611	-2.37%	0.078635	-22.14%	0.1530	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090064	+0.18%	0.07856	-12.61%	0.2134	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.100702	-3.40%	0.08108	-22.23%	0.1310	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.102792	-4.20%	0.08471	-21.05%	0.1124	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.105593	-5.04%	0.08731	-21.48%	0.0897	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.100401	-4.01%	0.08708	-16.75%	0.0055	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.101196	-4.35%	0.08459	-20.05%	0.0169	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.111001	-5.61%	0.08345	-29.04%	0.0045	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.112846	-5.65%	0.08748	-26.86%	0.0200	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.123901	-4.76%	0.08944	-31.25%	0.0229	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.125271	-4.66%	0.09121	-30.59%	0.0063	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.124452	-4.78%	0.0915	-29.99%	0.0020	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.118607	-4.77%	0.08644	-30.60%	0.0333	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.129647	-4.53%	0.08701	-35.93%	0.0371	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.12671	-3.57%	0.09035	-31.24%	0.0208	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.122725	-2.98%	0.093555	-26.04%	0.0390	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.125504	-3.24%	0.09345	-27.95%	0.0144	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.121788	-3.57%	0.09335	-26.09%	0.0465	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.135845	-1.70%	0.09564	-30.80%	0.0113	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.137318	-1.00%	0.10139	-26.90%	0.0576	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146133	-0.72%	0.104625	-28.92%	0.0118	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.141384	+0.41%	0.10273	-27.04%	0.0353	✓	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.137836	+0.76%	0.1054	-22.95%	0.0717	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.144606	+1.19%	0.10411	-27.14%	0.0379	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.147039	-1.12%	0.09806	-34.06%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.131546	-3.35%	0.09563	-29.74%	0.0062	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.135575	-4.12%	0.09579	-32.26%	0.0479	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.136159	-4.58%	0.09841	-31.04%	0.0481	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.137646	-4.81%	0.0974	-32.64%	0.0578	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.138418	-4.61%	0.10021	-30.94%	0.0216	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.138541	-4.91%	0.101	-30.68%	0.0739	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.144766	-4.51%	0.0899	-40.70%	0.1293	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.146883	-4.68%	0.10425	-32.35%	0.0399	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.141991	-5.15%	0.1073	-28.32%	0.0105	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.139838	-5.07%	0.1112	-24.51%	0.0129	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.137574	-4.79%	0.1046	-27.61%	0.0353	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.134345	-4.52%	0.1058	-24.80%	0.0558	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.125736	-3.50%	0.1176	-9.75%	0.0082	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.129305	-3.29%	0.1196	-10.55%	0.0111	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.127732	-3.01%	0.1301	-1.21%	0.0170	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.129475	-2.87%	0.1314	-1.43%	0.0065	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.130939	-2.79%	0.1307	-2.97%	0.0093	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.125817	-2.24%	0.12455	-3.22%	0.0022	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.122855	-1.87%	0.1358	+8.47%	0.0685	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.125972	-2.12%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0113	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126322	-2.15%	0.1265	-2.01%	0.0329	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.125935	-2.07%	0.1297	+0.86%	0.0159	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123649	-1.87%	0.1263	+0.24%	0.0268	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125519	-2.01%	0.1382	+7.88%	0.0254	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.124677	-1.91%	0.1387	+9.13%	0.0143	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117794	-1.26%	0.1472	+23.39%	0.0628	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120199	-1.48%	0.1408	+15.41%	0.0037	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.123694	-1.83%	0.1368	+8.57%	0.0269	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.12506	-1.88%	0.1429	+12.12%	0.0423	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.125727	-2.04%	0.1487	+15.86%	0.0471	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.133222	-2.62%	0.1361	-0.51%	0.0057	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.135026	-2.65%	0.1414	+1.95%	0.0361	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.136821	-2.76%	0.1427	+1.42%	0.0787	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.138793	-2.74%	0.1446	+1.33%	0.0669	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.146971	-3.12%	0.1451	-4.35%	0.0150	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.140595	-2.67%	0.1457	+0.87%	0.0253	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.137703	-2.27%	0.1516	+7.59%	0.0418	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.140326	-2.21%	0.1541	+7.39%	0.0172	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.134171	-1.49%	0.1497	+9.91%	0.0734	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140579	-2.04%	0.1473	+2.65%	0.0716	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.141573	-2.23%	0.1445	-0.21%	0.0788	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140256	-1.92%	0.1407	-1.61%	0.0472	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138058	-1.39%	0.1303	-6.93%	0.0808	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.149408	-2.41%	0.1337	-12.67%	0.0754	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.150303	-2.34%	0.1317	-14.42%	0.0647	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.15369	-2.60%	0.1333	-15.53%	0.0877	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.15655	-2.88%	0.1347	-16.44%	0.0870	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.153639	-2.64%	0.1287	-18.44%	0.1188	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.152181	-2.57%	0.1252	-19.85%	0.1922	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.154851	-2.79%	0.1287	-19.21%	0.1723	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.155863	-2.77%	0.1291	-19.46%	0.2007	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.152479	-2.26%	0.1286	-17.56%	0.2489	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.150739	-2.12%	0.126	-18.18%	0.2514	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.156293	-2.74%	0.1281	-20.29%	0.2347	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.150815	-2.70%	0.1271	-18.00%	0.0982	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.154943	-3.16%	0.1193	-25.44%	0.1008	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.154122	-3.07%	0.122	-23.27%	0.1064	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.157141	-3.48%	0.126	-22.60%	0.0899	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.159553	-3.77%	0.12745	-23.13%	0.0335	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.158827	-3.62%	0.12835	-22.12%	0.0807	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.162397	-4.42%	0.1368	-19.48%	0.0276	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.166852	-4.87%	0.1387	-20.92%	0.0563	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.169006	-4.95%	0.1407	-20.87%	0.0389	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.180218	-5.55%	0.1427	-25.21%	0.0889	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.179563	-5.37%	0.1517	-20.05%	0.1125	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.177667	-5.09%	0.14445	-22.84%	0.0752	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.179767	-5.19%	0.1409	-25.69%	0.0619	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.164578	-3.87%	0.1435	-16.18%	0.1481	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.16753	-4.10%	0.1362	-22.04%	0.1359	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.160553	-3.40%	0.1435	-13.66%	0.1084	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.157281	-3.33%	0.1448	-11.00%	0.2430	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.17513	-3.67%	0.143	-21.34%	0.2678	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.176974	-3.71%	0.14	-23.83%	0.3653	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.174221	-3.48%	0.1531	-15.18%	0.3455	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.172861	-3.32%	0.1539	-13.93%	0.3192	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.182417	-3.12%	0.1578	-16.20%	0.3213	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.190813	-2.75%	0.1612	-17.84%	0.3556	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.200219	-2.57%	0.1578	-23.21%	0.3336	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.208862	-2.40%	0.1562	-27.01%	0.3771	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.201459	-2.72%	0.1593	-23.08%	0.3543	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.202178	-2.78%	0.1603	-22.91%	0.3866	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.200639	-2.84%	0.156	-24.46%	0.4091	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.194465	-2.96%	0.154	-23.15%	0.3606	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.202943	-3.13%	0.1607	-23.29%	0.3347	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.210995	-3.04%	0.155	-28.77%	0.1763	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.212312	-3.65%	0.16	-27.39%	0.1132	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.20677	-3.65%	0.159	-25.91%	0.1218	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.205758	-3.72%	0.1628	-23.82%	0.0750	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.208303	-3.74%	0.1658	-23.38%	0.0875	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.217612	-3.92%	0.1648	-27.24%	0.1272	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.22756	-3.41%	0.1699	-27.89%	0.0318	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.241699	-2.76%	0.1754	-29.43%	0.0004	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.224764	-2.53%	0.1778	-22.90%	0.0392	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.206715	-2.49%	0.1908	-10.00%	0.0295	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.198208	-1.32%	0.18975	-5.53%	0.1507	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277402	-0.29%	0.1872	-32.71%	0.0327	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.284499	+0.37%	0.1896	-33.11%	0.0392	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.271237	-0.13%	0.1712	-36.97%	0.0852	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.286158	+0.51%	0.1747	-38.64%	0.1112	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.279116	+0.22%	0.1662	-40.32%	0.1067	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281134	-0.55%	0.1627	-42.45%	0.2564	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.285226	-1.00%	0.1818	-36.90%	0.2390	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.28149	-1.80%	0.1838	-35.88%	0.2336	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.271483	-2.27%	0.1805	-35.03%	0.2378	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.248265	-2.83%	0.1788	-30.02%	0.2181	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.255329	-3.39%	0.1883	-28.76%	0.2206	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.266165	-4.39%	0.1962	-29.53%	0.3193	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.261435	-4.93%	0.2055	-25.27%	0.3317	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.267093	-5.39%	0.214	-24.19%	0.3218	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.256744	-5.40%	0.2071	-23.69%	0.2699	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.281738	-5.77%	0.20795	-30.45%	0.2566	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.283219	-6.25%	0.2065	-31.65%	0.2763	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.286211	-6.53%	0.2004	-34.55%	0.2492	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.311165	-6.85%	0.2095	-37.28%	0.2567	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.317554	-7.07%	0.2176	-36.32%	0.2744	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.312637	-7.06%	0.22035	-34.50%	0.2070	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.34054	-7.68%	0.2146	-41.82%	0.2627	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.335655	-7.71%	0.2137	-41.24%	0.2495	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.325138	-7.38%	0.2164	-38.36%	0.2336	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.321613	-7.78%	0.2265	-35.05%	0.2586	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.329093	-8.18%	0.2356	-34.26%	0.2898	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.