XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s3

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0515

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0123

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.307966	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.306002	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.294771	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.295131	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.295706	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.309271	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.30659	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.303267	-1.93%	0.31526	+1.95%	0.0230	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.31519	-2.32%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0044	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.297195	-1.86%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0100	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.315098	-2.46%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0246	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.294345	-2.01%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0430	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.29237	-2.02%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0913	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.283735	-1.78%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0914	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.304657	-2.46%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0367	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.32394	-2.76%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.326996	-2.85%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0276	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.3208	-2.81%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0412	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.312887	-2.89%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0184	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.3068	-2.88%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0036	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.316	-3.06%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0510	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.306836	-3.04%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0214	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.302474	-3.03%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0727	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.303294	-3.14%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0754	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.310637	-3.32%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0351	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.317347	-3.47%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0110	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.320248	-3.59%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0189	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.319255	-3.55%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0150	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.313574	-3.41%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0197	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.334916	-3.64%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0399	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.328201	-3.39%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0085	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.336929	-3.65%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.0962	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.348575	-5.01%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.1051	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.287157	-2.83%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.0984	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.250913	-1.48%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1707	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.250415	-1.27%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1494	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.247208	-0.90%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1966	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.268795	-1.48%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1292	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.278016	-2.01%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1717	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.26327	-0.94%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2789	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.251142	+0.13%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1137	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.25303	-0.08%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0091	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.262154	-0.57%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0040	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.251408	+0.71%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0314	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.241404	+2.65%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1351	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.247931	+2.93%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.1838	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.246691	+3.30%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1100	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.240137	+4.28%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.0765	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.240359	+5.12%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1162	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.226864	+4.15%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1355	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.223994	+4.49%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.0923	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.223679	+5.09%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0425	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.220718	+4.65%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0493	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.229128	+4.31%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0189	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.228401	+3.49%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0178	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.238721	+3.41%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0568	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.233707	+2.53%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0457	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.228538	+2.20%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0478	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.234191	+1.76%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0896	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.237502	+1.03%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1178	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.234295	+0.80%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0817	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.243075	+0.78%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0896	✗	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.221286	-0.13%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0628	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.212596	-0.98%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0815	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.197045	-1.53%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.0997	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.196243	-1.58%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0783	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.191599	-1.64%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0453	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.194633	-1.67%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0582	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.19328	-1.67%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0358	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.193498	-1.64%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0309	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.191268	-1.55%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0107	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.191616	-1.50%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0224	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.195382	-1.59%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0100	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.199047	-1.59%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0154	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.204617	-1.64%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0016	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.198424	-1.50%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0261	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.197618	-1.56%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0111	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.19378	-1.47%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0248	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.195121	-1.48%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0066	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.200066	-1.64%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0161	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.197038	-1.57%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0004	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.195585	-1.58%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0210	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.197927	-1.58%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0217	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.202681	-1.36%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0009	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.201168	-1.42%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0359	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.203964	-1.43%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0332	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.204488	-1.40%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0010	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.22015	-1.38%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0618	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.22054	-1.45%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0764	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.224956	-1.46%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0893	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.231863	-1.43%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1150	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.224988	-1.04%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0582	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.226636	-0.87%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0430	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.225767	-1.06%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0571	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.220913	-1.08%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0015	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.222922	-1.06%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0130	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219917	-1.06%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0339	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.218075	-1.08%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0522	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.22515	-1.05%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0145	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229366	-1.09%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0303	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.217872	-1.25%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0081	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.224264	-1.15%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0214	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.228186	-1.16%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0310	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233147	-1.12%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0436	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.232592	-1.20%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0643	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.238444	-1.30%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.0922	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.250692	-1.37%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1078	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.247619	-1.19%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0835	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.250418	-1.30%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.1016	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.236672	-1.03%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0375	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.24221	-1.27%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0559	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.212763	-0.76%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0718	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.208315	-0.68%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1078	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201241	-0.56%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1489	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.210307	-0.67%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1094	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209153	-0.59%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1221	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.211378	-0.59%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0686	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.21481	-0.54%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0889	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.211796	-0.45%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0191	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.213945	-0.52%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.219688	-0.59%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0072	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.226677	-0.71%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.227487	-0.65%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0115	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.23531	-0.75%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0269	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242416	-0.86%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0540	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229505	-0.67%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0197	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.243045	-0.84%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0631	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242767	-0.83%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0441	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.239387	-0.80%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0100	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237739	-0.75%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0026	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236797	-0.61%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0046	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.233122	-0.39%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0488	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.233599	-0.34%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.227594	+0.12%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0234	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.23774	-0.02%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0364	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.245075	-0.25%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0682	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245171	-0.13%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0623	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245681	+0.50%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0914	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.245123	+0.77%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0887	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.276846	-0.42%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1628	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.294194	-0.74%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2188	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.291614	-0.91%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1273	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313618	-1.38%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1289	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.323513	-1.35%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1353	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.327245	-1.46%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1182	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.301556	-1.02%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0493	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.306666	-1.01%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0286	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.315186	-1.07%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0707	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.328036	-1.12%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0045	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.330619	-0.97%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0351	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.331923	-0.98%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0298	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.341494	-1.07%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0069	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.331216	-1.00%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0584	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.346197	-0.99%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0634	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.338237	-0.81%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.331775	-0.65%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0109	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.339705	-0.66%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0209	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.338208	-0.57%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0039	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.354821	-0.72%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0109	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.362243	-0.74%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0375	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.375346	-0.68%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0308	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.37191	-0.80%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0662	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.382245	-0.70%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0936	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.394925	-0.61%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0917	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.398338	-0.55%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1058	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.384652	-0.56%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0458	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.391794	-0.69%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0589	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.37405	-0.37%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0011	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.382199	-0.22%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0031	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.374438	-0.15%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0325	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.361976	+0.02%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0723	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.361985	-0.22%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0608	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365341	-0.26%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0348	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.364901	-0.33%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0559	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.362596	-0.74%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0084	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.367972	-0.83%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0261	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.38165	-0.84%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0710	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.37623	-0.57%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0679	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.369949	-0.20%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0182	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.36773	-0.47%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0161	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.370274	-0.56%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0205	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.373206	-0.33%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0023	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.370699	-0.44%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0305	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.363695	-0.81%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0570	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.363238	-0.86%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0225	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.350403	-1.04%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0048	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.36217	-0.80%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0039	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.376934	-0.77%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0167	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.372663	-1.06%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0341	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.357705	-0.89%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0019	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.343316	-0.83%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0385	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.351856	-0.89%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0228	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.337834	-1.19%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0064	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.349992	-1.08%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0083	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.354562	-1.15%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0168	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.348937	-1.25%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0328	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.347318	-1.30%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0106	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.356378	-1.33%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0585	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.336774	-1.43%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0214	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.339639	-1.50%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0172	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.343069	-1.64%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0488	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.343489	-1.79%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0402	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.336653	-1.71%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0199	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.345726	-1.73%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0238	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.346166	-1.77%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0087	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.340852	-1.72%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0282	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.334529	-1.55%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0142	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.340775	-1.54%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0090	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.344344	-1.53%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0066	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.363832	-1.67%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0334	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.382189	-1.73%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0382	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.392813	-1.82%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0759	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.386524	-1.79%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0494	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.372137	-1.71%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0632	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.381763	-1.73%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0604	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.396254	-1.76%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0659	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.383196	-1.59%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0189	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.387132	-1.59%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0038	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.390666	-1.55%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0703	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.394408	-1.57%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0524	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.380825	-1.57%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0640	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.372209	-1.56%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0755	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.36761	-1.52%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0991	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.362616	-1.49%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0799	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.359631	-1.47%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0752	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.357901	-1.46%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0482	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.358043	-1.45%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.354206	-1.36%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0118	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.356605	-1.41%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0002	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.365472	-1.46%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0200	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.378165	-1.62%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0219	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.383895	-1.72%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0152	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.370485	-1.52%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0443	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.370095	-1.52%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0125	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.365964	-1.38%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0221	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.37889	-1.46%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0509	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.377975	-1.39%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0537	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.385803	-1.58%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0545	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.389534	-1.63%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0663	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.362382	-1.02%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0283	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.365505	-0.93%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.37432	-1.25%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0194	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.383441	-1.34%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0176	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.387209	-1.32%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0218	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.378825	-1.03%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0264	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.381272	-0.92%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0143	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.390967	-1.02%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.395095	-1.04%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0047	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.394491	-0.88%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0226	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.418156	-1.19%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0464	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.403508	-0.71%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.399341	-0.20%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0542	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.394443	+0.07%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0157	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.402408	-0.01%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0012	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.410689	-0.00%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0102	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.413673	+0.33%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0169	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.424193	+0.58%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0103	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.432214	+0.55%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0370	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.403476	+2.54%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0643	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.467436	-0.05%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0781	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.471839	-0.27%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0610	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.476078	-0.57%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0258	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.462325	+0.11%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0221	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.465805	-0.08%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0368	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.49932	-1.24%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0353	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.501994	-1.30%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0682	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.526619	-1.75%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0927	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.558873	-2.07%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0088	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.553794	-2.05%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0238	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.55108	-1.98%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0500	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.571584	-2.26%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0713	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.575457	-2.33%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0644	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.567033	-2.20%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0490	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.580676	-2.29%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0777	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.541635	-1.93%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0429	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.596329	-2.31%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0075	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.572115	-2.05%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0591	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.589136	-2.12%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0555	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.605046	-2.24%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0361	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.570248	-2.04%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0802	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.566686	-1.96%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1271	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.578764	-2.27%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0298	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.541773	-2.35%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.1047	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.55496	-2.47%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0214	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.566821	-2.56%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.565068	-2.56%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0345	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.571337	-2.67%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0317	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.553167	-2.49%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0295	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.583367	-2.58%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0061	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.54663	-2.32%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0495	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.530762	-2.40%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0778	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.518871	-2.49%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1173	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.514877	-2.56%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1114	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.493851	-2.46%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1423	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.4832	-2.34%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1101	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.504507	-2.51%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.1022	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.480662	-2.15%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0646	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.488971	-2.17%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0591	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.475395	-1.94%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0766	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.465767	-2.03%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0920	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.436922	-1.59%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1272	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.436778	-1.54%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1262	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.437392	-1.51%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1555	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.436305	-1.49%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1374	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.432382	-1.46%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1548	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.444593	-1.55%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0934	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.43688	-1.47%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0951	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.424809	-1.37%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0209	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.434668	-1.46%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0014	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.453466	-1.61%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0152	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.454423	-1.62%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0545	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.469629	-1.73%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0741	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.492231	-1.87%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0609	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.483529	-1.76%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0580	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.49685	-1.85%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0497	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.48532	-1.70%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0190	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.490011	-1.70%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0016	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.48442	-1.68%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0090	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.46636	-1.49%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0539	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.473014	-1.50%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0456	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.470889	-1.45%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0319	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.488082	-1.54%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0307	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.495117	-1.53%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0154	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.479046	-1.37%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0219	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.464862	-1.07%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0031	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.477569	-1.28%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0092	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.48623	-1.31%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0095	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.497866	-1.36%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0192	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.503333	-1.40%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0260	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.5029	-1.37%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0420	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.502262	-1.19%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0925	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.498403	-1.16%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0287	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.485031	-0.75%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0558	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.484191	-0.43%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0775	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.495529	-0.51%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0716	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.504514	-0.66%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0611	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.527192	-1.37%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0178	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.537261	-1.52%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0332	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.522822	-1.26%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0249	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.54253	-1.60%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0125	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.562273	-1.84%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0280	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.547143	-1.58%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0564	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.556495	-1.91%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1218	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.572296	-1.94%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0915	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.581307	-2.00%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0927	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.612948	-2.23%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0632	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.613983	-2.15%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0527	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.635547	-2.34%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0033	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.67545	-3.05%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0601	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.585526	-2.20%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0075	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.528787	-1.20%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1320	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.513773	-0.94%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1204	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.526995	-1.05%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1824	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.572559	-1.29%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1784	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.570861	-1.29%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2484	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.572766	-1.29%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2907	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.558226	-1.23%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1776	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.581688	-1.38%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0086	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.583725	-1.31%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0578	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.592079	-1.37%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0068	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.605317	-1.49%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0161	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.596274	-1.57%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0062	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.593732	-1.60%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0004	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.584621	-1.62%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0061	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.573243	-1.63%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0092	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.576562	-1.64%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0434	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.587602	-1.79%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0323	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.586314	-1.77%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0417	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.576934	-1.65%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0195	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.568704	-1.57%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0111	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.586188	-1.70%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0157	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.597622	-1.77%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0239	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.617195	-1.86%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0194	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.645199	-1.95%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0064	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.618972	-1.93%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0565	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.569964	-1.76%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0807	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.553489	-1.81%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1404	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.663692	-2.09%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0597	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.672413	-1.97%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0517	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.664321	-2.23%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0459	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.704443	-1.78%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0429	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.702028	-1.77%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0059	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.681719	-1.71%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0196	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.706613	-1.76%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1142	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.699211	-1.85%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0438	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.689092	-1.99%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0602	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.654807	-2.07%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0533	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.655821	-2.07%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0386	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.65927	-2.15%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0660	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.65599	-2.16%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1165	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.664957	-2.26%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0921	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.642712	-2.23%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0547	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.681626	-2.37%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0403	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.682412	-2.45%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0489	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.681608	-2.50%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0399	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.730301	-2.68%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0398	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.740024	-2.74%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0169	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.735045	-2.75%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0036	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.769487	-2.82%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0498	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.766516	-2.83%	0.69815	-11.50%	0.0520	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.