XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s3

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1153

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0246

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.294681	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.29343	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.28228	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.283016	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.283146	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.295445	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.293493	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.288932	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.300412	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.282382	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.299487	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.279888	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.277843	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.269621	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.289503	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.308336	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.3112	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.305931	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.297035	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.291266	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.29938	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.290277	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.286318	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.286547	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.292918	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.298657	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.300759	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.300144	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.295866	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.315414	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.311127	-8.42%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0612	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.316234	-9.57%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0365	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.326051	-11.15%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.0903	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.276059	-6.59%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0686	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.242989	-4.59%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1466	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.242673	-4.32%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1907	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.240148	-3.73%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1730	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.261079	-4.31%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1256	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.268078	-5.51%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1029	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.25655	-3.47%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1060	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.247596	-1.28%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1810	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.248899	-1.71%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1031	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.258549	-1.94%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0876	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249263	-0.15%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1048	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.242444	+3.09%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.1974	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.249113	+3.42%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2224	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.247553	+3.66%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2296	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.241967	+5.07%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2242	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.242491	+6.06%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2394	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.228234	+4.78%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2199	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.227142	+5.96%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2516	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.229904	+8.01%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2495	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.2305	+9.29%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2190	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.242613	+10.45%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.1832	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.243021	+10.12%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.1882	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.258282	+11.89%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.1849	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.252642	+10.83%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2040	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.249952	+11.77%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2001	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.256445	+11.43%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.1614	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.256007	+8.90%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.1888	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.252357	+8.58%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1654	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.264874	+9.81%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2380	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.231851	+4.64%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3409	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.214564	-0.07%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1423	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.194498	-2.80%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0762	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.193289	-3.06%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0769	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.187873	-3.55%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0666	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.190767	-3.63%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1052	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.1894	-3.64%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1700	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.18974	-3.55%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1036	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.187837	-3.32%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0565	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.188608	-3.04%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0769	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.192024	-3.28%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0797	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.195472	-3.35%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0208	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.200938	-3.41%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0751	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.195406	-3.00%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0439	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.19405	-3.34%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0484	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.190517	-3.13%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0603	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.191787	-3.17%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1083	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.195799	-3.74%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1326	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.192914	-3.63%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1366	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.191277	-3.75%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1654	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.193565	-3.74%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1714	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.200024	-2.65%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1395	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.198071	-2.93%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1307	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.200747	-2.99%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1361	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.201379	-2.90%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1368	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.217501	-2.56%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1861	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.217247	-2.92%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1795	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.221793	-2.84%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1642	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.2292	-2.56%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1802	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.22472	-1.16%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1280	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.227929	-0.31%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1374	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.225652	-1.11%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1212	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.220449	-1.29%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0968	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.222636	-1.18%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1045	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219629	-1.19%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.1004	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.21758	-1.31%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0806	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.225079	-1.09%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1039	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229306	-1.11%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1248	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.216206	-2.00%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1283	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.223517	-1.48%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1351	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.227548	-1.43%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1388	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233072	-1.15%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1545	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.231711	-1.57%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1388	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.237005	-1.90%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2112	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.249301	-1.92%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2336	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.247529	-1.22%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2408	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.251642	-0.82%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2480	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238811	-0.13%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1675	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.244002	-0.54%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2157	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.214929	+0.25%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1007	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.210695	+0.45%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0972	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.20331	+0.47%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0976	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212444	+0.34%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1044	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.211527	+0.54%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0975	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213818	+0.56%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0955	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.217724	+0.81%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0662	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.214959	+1.04%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0388	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.21703	+0.92%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0035	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.223044	+0.93%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0116	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.229394	+0.48%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0446	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.230499	+0.66%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0631	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.238085	+0.42%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0589	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.244332	-0.08%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1104	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.231982	+0.40%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0617	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245111	-0.00%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0886	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.24525	+0.18%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0758	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.242021	+0.29%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0367	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.240241	+0.29%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0239	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.239621	+0.58%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0464	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.236393	+1.01%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0444	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.236225	+0.78%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0265	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.229205	+0.83%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0172	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.23842	+0.27%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0381	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.245279	-0.16%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0012	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245135	-0.14%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0359	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.244825	+0.15%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0303	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.244542	+0.53%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0064	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.274209	-1.37%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1261	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.289462	-2.34%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1427	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.286972	-2.49%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2116	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.308578	-2.96%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2236	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.320036	-2.41%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2443	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.323727	-2.52%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2409	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.299058	-1.84%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1629	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.304101	-1.84%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1751	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.312184	-2.01%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1784	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.32548	-1.89%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2155	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.33011	-1.12%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.2096	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.330606	-1.37%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2122	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.339526	-1.64%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2325	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.328189	-1.90%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.2004	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.344928	-1.35%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.2067	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.337741	-0.96%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1441	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.3315	-0.73%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1827	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.339773	-0.64%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1679	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.33886	-0.38%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1777	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.355409	-0.56%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2423	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.363387	-0.43%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2508	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.378242	+0.09%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2553	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.37232	-0.69%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2671	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384445	-0.13%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2879	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.399427	+0.52%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3163	✗	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.404148	+0.90%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2811	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.388321	+0.39%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2462	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.394135	-0.09%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2720	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.378215	+0.74%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.2033	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.389063	+1.57%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2288	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.380663	+1.51%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0963	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.368499	+1.82%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0186	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.365894	+0.85%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0711	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.368941	+0.72%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0603	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.368066	+0.54%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0605	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.362114	-0.87%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0557	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.367054	-1.08%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1571	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.382002	-0.75%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1753	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.379519	+0.30%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1381	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.377033	+1.71%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0939	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.372671	+0.87%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.1052	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.37494	+0.70%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.1062	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.382475	+2.14%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0830	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.377468	+1.37%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0873	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.366079	-0.16%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0604	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.365254	-0.31%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0884	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.349937	-1.18%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0843	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.365215	+0.03%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0809	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.381006	+0.30%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1172	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.373234	-0.91%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0801	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.360883	-0.00%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0411	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.345797	-0.12%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0046	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.354396	-0.17%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0029	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.335669	-1.82%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0138	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.349658	-1.17%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0212	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.353398	-1.48%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0121	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.346385	-1.97%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.344145	-2.20%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0217	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.353564	-2.11%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0414	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.331814	-2.88%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0158	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.333921	-3.16%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0353	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.335742	-3.74%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0900	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.334684	-4.31%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0738	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.328354	-4.13%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0474	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.337568	-4.05%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0533	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.33778	-4.15%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0306	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.33224	-4.20%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.327072	-3.75%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0194	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.3335	-3.64%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0251	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.337503	-3.49%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0739	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.355636	-3.88%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0807	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.373575	-3.94%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0841	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.383174	-4.23%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1253	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.377312	-4.13%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1099	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.363522	-3.98%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1075	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.373125	-3.96%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1125	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.388017	-3.80%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1364	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.376571	-3.29%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1087	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.380421	-3.30%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0783	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.384913	-3.00%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0380	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.388306	-3.09%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0725	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.374997	-3.08%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.0980	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.36617	-3.16%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0746	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.362444	-2.91%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0557	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.357396	-2.91%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0454	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.354484	-2.88%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0269	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.353104	-2.78%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.353062	-2.82%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.349734	-2.61%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0550	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.351864	-2.72%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0533	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.360281	-2.86%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0571	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.371559	-3.34%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0105	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.376274	-3.67%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0103	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.364517	-3.11%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0401	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.364203	-3.09%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0237	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.361286	-2.64%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0632	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.372486	-3.12%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0679	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.371532	-3.07%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0908	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.377583	-3.68%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0689	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.380727	-3.86%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0597	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.357074	-2.47%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0366	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.360185	-2.38%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.366833	-3.22%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0441	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.374795	-3.56%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0062	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.378335	-3.58%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0028	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.370954	-3.08%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0175	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.37342	-2.96%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0171	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.382143	-3.25%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.385857	-3.35%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0149	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.385268	-3.20%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0432	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.406408	-3.97%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0851	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.393394	-3.20%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0736	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.390076	-2.52%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1059	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.385325	-2.24%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0887	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.392141	-2.56%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0882	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.399738	-2.67%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0924	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.402732	-2.32%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0987	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.41182	-2.35%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1133	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.418049	-2.75%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0852	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.389293	-1.07%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1461	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.449453	-3.89%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1170	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.453741	-4.09%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0986	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.458438	-4.25%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0765	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.445426	-3.55%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0477	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.449817	-3.51%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.481926	-4.68%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0027	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.484052	-4.83%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0139	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.509631	-4.92%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0353	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.537954	-5.74%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.532016	-5.90%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0191	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.527789	-6.12%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0436	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.546936	-6.47%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0524	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.55066	-6.54%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0789	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.542886	-6.37%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0456	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.555271	-6.57%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0591	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.520061	-5.84%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0225	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.574071	-5.95%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0815	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.554138	-5.13%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0188	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.571066	-5.12%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0475	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.585175	-5.45%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0705	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.554376	-4.76%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0324	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.552529	-4.41%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0272	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.560128	-5.42%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0265	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.521368	-6.03%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0205	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.532713	-6.38%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0041	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.543252	-6.61%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.542282	-6.49%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0076	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.547924	-6.66%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0200	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.531626	-6.29%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.1012	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.561167	-6.28%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1267	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.528489	-5.56%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1783	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.511994	-5.85%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1510	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.499277	-6.17%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1282	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.494555	-6.41%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1214	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.474902	-6.20%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1259	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.466723	-5.67%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1270	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.487488	-5.80%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0955	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.465623	-5.21%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1135	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.47347	-5.27%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1704	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.463174	-4.46%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1936	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.455825	-4.12%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2194	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.429276	-3.32%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2846	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.429275	-3.23%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2927	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.430146	-3.14%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2721	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.429315	-3.07%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3148	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.425547	-3.02%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2650	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.436632	-3.31%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2802	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.429955	-3.03%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2351	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.41802	-2.94%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2391	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.426834	-3.23%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2510	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.443799	-3.71%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1725	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.444044	-3.87%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1280	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.458201	-4.12%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1639	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.479249	-4.46%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1344	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.472066	-4.09%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1791	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.485834	-4.02%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2078	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.475098	-3.77%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2188	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.479444	-3.82%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2237	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.474062	-3.78%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1714	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.457819	-3.29%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2260	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.464068	-3.36%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1273	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.462468	-3.21%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1337	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.479516	-3.26%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1235	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.486725	-3.20%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1276	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.472355	-2.75%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1034	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.458822	-2.36%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0582	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.470896	-2.66%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1226	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.479357	-2.71%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0774	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.490178	-2.89%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0624	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.495132	-3.01%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0287	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.494473	-3.03%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0066	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.493385	-2.93%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1031	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.489543	-2.92%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0886	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.47783	-2.22%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0826	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.476241	-2.07%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1332	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.486171	-2.39%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1583	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.49395	-2.74%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1174	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.51401	-3.83%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0942	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.523051	-4.12%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0748	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.510114	-3.66%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0505	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.526625	-4.48%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0335	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.543677	-5.08%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0189	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.530042	-4.66%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0044	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.538657	-5.06%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0782	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.554861	-4.92%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0597	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.563209	-5.05%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0555	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.592593	-5.47%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0280	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.593196	-5.47%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0106	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.611363	-6.06%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0259	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.645845	-7.30%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1088	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.569294	-4.91%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0117	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.522111	-2.45%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1432	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.507024	-2.24%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1272	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.522734	-1.85%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1742	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.566613	-2.32%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1512	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.564563	-2.38%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2067	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.566591	-2.35%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1517	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.552086	-2.32%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1690	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.573543	-2.76%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1767	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.577637	-2.34%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2262	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.585722	-2.43%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2441	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.596402	-2.94%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2875	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.585177	-3.40%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2458	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.582391	-3.48%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2364	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.572594	-3.64%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2755	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.559696	-3.96%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2771	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.562487	-4.05%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2753	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.57229	-4.35%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2568	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.570146	-4.47%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2196	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.561411	-4.29%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1964	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.553445	-4.21%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2008	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.569682	-4.47%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2131	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.581333	-4.45%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2205	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.599967	-4.60%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1555	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.627163	-4.69%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1367	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.601543	-4.69%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1660	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.553156	-4.66%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1954	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.537809	-4.59%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2792	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.643864	-5.01%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2569	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.654841	-4.54%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3131	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.642615	-5.42%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1859	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.690471	-3.73%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0033	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.688801	-3.62%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0050	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.668182	-3.66%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0304	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.692155	-3.77%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0341	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.683029	-4.12%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0367	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.670643	-4.62%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0300	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.634069	-5.17%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0399	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.635479	-5.11%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0175	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.636798	-5.48%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0834	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.632361	-5.69%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1136	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.639798	-5.95%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1082	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.618809	-5.87%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0585	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.654801	-6.21%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0497	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.65408	-6.50%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0690	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.653256	-6.55%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0416	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.69719	-7.09%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0803	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.70537	-7.29%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.0951	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.700718	-7.29%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0653	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.732411	-7.51%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0889	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.729219	-7.56%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.0963	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.