OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s3

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0729

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0130

actual -0.0150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.126013	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.125712	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.126603	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.121363	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.122334	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.125904	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.134491	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.134019	-2.43%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0753	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.137212	-2.52%	0.12882	-8.48%	0.1111	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.153968	-2.80%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1680	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.127566	-2.36%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0280	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.14016	-2.42%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0835	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.135742	-2.45%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0246	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129007	-2.51%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0847	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.115669	-2.76%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1645	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.1194	-2.93%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1933	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.126437	-2.98%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2650	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.134491	-2.91%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0361	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.130162	-3.03%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1446	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.131963	-3.23%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0838	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.122508	-3.69%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.1102	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.123083	-3.89%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0192	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.124247	-4.10%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0052	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.123282	-4.25%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0231	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.128711	-4.09%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0352	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.143888	-3.66%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1023	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.138753	-3.54%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0226	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.141412	-3.43%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1126	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.12708	-3.29%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0001	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.119139	-3.02%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0977	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.13149	-2.81%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0192	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.124205	-2.55%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1252	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.121501	-2.91%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1513	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.118349	-2.70%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1419	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.117428	-2.60%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1665	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100133	-0.76%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1500	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095973	+0.22%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1236	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.094289	+0.72%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2077	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.102331	+0.12%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1070	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.095712	+1.05%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2093	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.096907	+1.27%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1739	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.097148	+1.70%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1666	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.095594	+1.92%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0567	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.101427	+1.99%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0283	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.10719	+1.79%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0956	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.112414	+1.78%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0827	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.112762	+2.32%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1267	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.110279	+2.51%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.1073	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.101195	+3.11%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0246	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.104847	+3.61%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0484	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.101601	+2.39%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0366	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.097475	+2.41%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0607	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.095972	+2.59%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1331	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.088112	+1.97%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1872	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.090492	+2.03%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1525	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.091757	+1.87%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0436	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.099579	+2.43%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0040	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.100674	+1.69%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0074	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.102801	+1.29%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0625	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.108952	+1.12%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1471	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.112703	+0.47%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2648	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.109102	+0.16%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2226	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.107346	+0.18%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1691	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.097266	-0.75%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088852	-1.23%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0176	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080418	-1.92%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0608	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082553	-1.92%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0838	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.081576	-2.13%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1249	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.082998	-2.15%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0893	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084455	-2.19%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0385	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.086652	-2.28%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0061	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.083807	-2.47%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0125	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089249	-2.46%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1012	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089185	-2.53%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0660	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.085736	-2.57%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0018	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.086164	-2.64%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.084143	-2.72%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0541	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084205	-2.65%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0639	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085237	-2.59%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0258	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086219	-2.58%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0670	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086181	-2.62%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0532	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.083857	-2.49%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0278	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.080666	-2.22%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0606	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083365	-1.92%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0060	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.08618	-1.51%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0105	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.088242	-1.41%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0191	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088383	-1.25%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0018	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.08646	-1.19%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0268	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.094406	-1.15%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0671	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.091422	-1.17%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0808	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.091524	-1.06%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0561	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.091717	-0.85%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0425	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.095772	-0.75%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0380	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097302	-0.71%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0475	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.093722	-0.82%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0491	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093634	-0.92%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0113	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.094592	-0.95%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0159	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.095503	-1.03%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0345	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.097443	-1.07%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0699	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.101367	-1.11%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0677	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.100439	-1.05%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0455	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.097324	-1.19%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0727	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.099349	-1.15%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0638	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.100358	-1.13%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0657	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.102327	-1.13%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0548	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100771	-1.21%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0326	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098261	-1.25%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0017	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100666	-1.31%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0184	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105508	-1.39%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0405	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.106952	-1.43%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0649	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106058	-1.34%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0555	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105614	-1.29%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0470	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.097867	-1.14%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0136	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.093993	-1.06%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0192	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.09591	-1.12%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0218	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099184	-1.31%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0108	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.09816	-1.35%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0287	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.099035	-1.46%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0268	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103322	-1.60%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0094	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.104224	-1.68%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0832	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.102568	-1.85%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0579	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.09947	-2.00%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0535	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.098284	-2.21%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0937	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.097277	-2.23%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0944	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.100918	-2.49%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0711	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.100909	-2.50%	0.105	+1.45%	0.1014	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.106622	-2.63%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0527	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.105934	-2.81%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0500	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.105339	-2.91%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0173	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.105273	-2.97%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0033	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.104931	-2.84%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0069	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.103651	-2.67%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0025	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.097304	-2.21%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0629	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.094199	-1.88%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1638	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.089274	-1.36%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1419	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.094883	-1.68%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0597	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.094584	-1.47%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0764	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.095656	-1.39%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0763	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.093026	-1.04%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0660	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.096758	-1.27%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0206	✓	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.109481	-2.25%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1272	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.119398	-2.93%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2316	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.11244	-2.23%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0583	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.120674	-2.68%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0880	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.115895	-2.20%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0050	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.117841	-2.21%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.116263	-1.89%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0455	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.116376	-1.79%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1283	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.121529	-1.99%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1822	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.1245	-1.97%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0688	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.127015	-1.92%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0660	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.123972	-1.61%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0059	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.128335	-1.66%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0215	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.124136	-1.48%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0162	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.130456	-1.54%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0390	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.127154	-1.43%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0182	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.123707	-1.43%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0387	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.127519	-1.53%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0113	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.126323	-1.69%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0033	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.130198	-1.74%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0219	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.133973	-1.85%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0124	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.141784	-1.88%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0214	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.143537	-2.02%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0824	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148914	-2.03%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1222	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.154073	-1.86%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1119	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.160663	-1.74%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1618	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.161221	-1.69%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1630	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.169018	-1.73%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1991	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145812	-1.48%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0226	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.140679	-1.28%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0669	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127122	-1.07%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1842	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122588	-1.14%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2242	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.121413	-1.29%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2516	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.124476	-1.21%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2506	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.119495	-1.24%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3393	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118452	-1.70%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1732	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.117222	-1.91%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1197	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.119237	-1.86%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0122	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.120525	-1.61%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0056	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.1238	-1.35%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0049	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.123521	-1.58%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0056	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123353	-1.71%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0301	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119655	-1.52%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0350	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.119099	-1.57%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0382	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.121051	-1.98%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0041	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.121005	-2.02%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0094	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.117382	-2.18%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0036	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.123148	-1.87%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0086	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.132086	-1.79%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0563	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.130158	-1.77%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1137	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118135	-1.14%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0244	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.110405	-0.98%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0807	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.11535	-0.99%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0479	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.105167	-1.25%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0843	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.113312	-1.04%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0625	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.114351	-0.99%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1015	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.112795	-1.06%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1101	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.113249	-1.09%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117216	-1.08%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0845	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.10806	-1.31%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.108996	-1.36%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0505	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.108967	-1.39%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0416	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.109085	-1.28%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0384	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105363	-1.07%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0005	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.109407	-0.99%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0019	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.1095	-0.90%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0196	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104669	-0.79%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0102	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100836	-0.65%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0412	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.101825	-0.66%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0656	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103287	-0.69%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0574	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.107776	-0.67%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0190	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.112835	-0.59%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0305	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.112823	-0.60%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0167	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.11278	-0.63%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113551	-0.83%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0797	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116588	-0.78%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0847	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.122695	-0.65%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0960	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.120844	-0.54%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0888	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.125944	-0.44%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1050	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136139	-0.26%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1278	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137174	-0.24%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1256	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128245	-0.20%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0324	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123312	-0.15%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0107	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122835	-0.13%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0126	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119349	-0.13%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0278	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120716	-0.24%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0302	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118133	-0.31%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0822	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118093	-0.34%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0498	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114707	-0.25%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0004	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116784	-0.18%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0105	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120842	-0.13%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0292	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125284	-0.17%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0414	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128702	-0.23%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0213	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125844	-0.12%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0884	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124881	-0.10%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0454	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121623	+0.10%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0598	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122613	+0.09%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0524	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120257	+0.21%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0366	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119694	+0.16%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0157	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124167	+0.13%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0474	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118686	+0.58%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0242	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122155	+0.54%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0579	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122878	+0.31%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0251	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.12883	+0.26%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0310	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129319	+0.25%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0332	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140168	+0.12%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1698	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.164646	-0.21%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3159	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.18642	-0.58%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3882	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.189271	-0.65%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3583	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.188375	-0.59%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4072	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.195588	-0.72%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3843	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.187965	-0.55%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3602	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182034	-0.26%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2781	✓	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177194	-0.17%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0592	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.181966	-0.29%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0561	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.187815	-0.36%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0380	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190009	-0.26%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0261	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.196231	-0.14%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0067	✓	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.197847	-0.08%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0123	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.183144	+0.91%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.0824	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.21776	-0.34%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0598	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.21201	-0.23%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0165	✗	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.228119	-0.60%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0130	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.226649	-0.37%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0191	✓	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.232677	-0.57%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0615	✗	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.259609	-1.10%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0497	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.26628	-1.19%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1592	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.296961	-1.34%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0527	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.297352	-1.38%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0378	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.293246	-1.43%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0395	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.282029	-1.56%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0029	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.298434	-1.67%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0207	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.298882	-1.68%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0196	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.301658	-1.74%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0114	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.302853	-1.83%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0021	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.293256	-2.08%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0116	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.31347	-1.89%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0337	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.316678	-1.96%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0415	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.340194	-1.82%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0025	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.333862	-1.81%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0226	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.334968	-1.77%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0310	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.345894	-1.59%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0306	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.360159	-1.86%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0436	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.301059	-2.41%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0338	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.307926	-2.40%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0038	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.31021	-2.30%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0223	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.307883	-2.10%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0063	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.307536	-1.90%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0173	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.311458	-1.75%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0075	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.326823	-1.56%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0784	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.325087	-1.49%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0095	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.314156	-1.52%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0189	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.30553	-1.44%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0438	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.300746	-1.39%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0314	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.292078	-1.33%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0162	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.264597	-1.09%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0919	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.268718	-1.02%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0878	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.266437	-0.95%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0575	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.271429	-0.94%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0770	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.275409	-0.93%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0536	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.265251	-0.84%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0781	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.250149	-0.73%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1319	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.261455	-0.78%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0255	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.268314	-0.81%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0106	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.268939	-0.76%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0337	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.270486	-0.74%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0305	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.276396	-0.76%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0179	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.277517	-0.71%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0180	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.25851	-0.57%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0662	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.271168	-0.67%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0617	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.291034	-0.84%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0633	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.290065	-0.83%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1183	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.297768	-0.91%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.0997	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.31229	-1.02%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0697	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.304467	-0.99%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0348	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.311235	-1.04%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0135	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.319818	-1.14%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0211	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.334238	-1.26%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0178	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.314995	-1.10%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0249	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.301715	-1.08%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0475	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.310788	-1.18%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0079	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.297308	-1.06%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0121	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.315187	-1.20%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0123	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.323365	-1.26%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0324	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.312594	-1.23%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0480	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.284812	-0.94%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0064	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.314592	-1.23%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0317	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.322358	-1.27%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0122	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.327556	-1.34%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0494	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.328764	-1.42%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0482	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.320809	-1.44%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0478	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.320226	-1.32%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1095	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.314204	-1.35%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0388	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.298136	-1.12%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0220	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.299696	-0.93%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0731	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.30483	-1.03%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0651	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.355917	-1.27%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1839	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.368441	-1.62%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.0982	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.373872	-1.74%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0043	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.358647	-1.61%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0185	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.375422	-1.72%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0283	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.382587	-1.77%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0491	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.371803	-1.64%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0592	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.382975	-1.93%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2905	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.391295	-2.05%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2213	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.39758	-2.07%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2208	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.43381	-2.30%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1892	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.41874	-2.16%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1824	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.415186	-2.08%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1155	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.414955	-2.13%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1354	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.358859	-1.68%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1264	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.366142	-1.84%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1421	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.339723	-1.53%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1401	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.346023	-1.84%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2639	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.413396	-1.69%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1763	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.410333	-1.60%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2246	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.392271	-1.56%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2320	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.394477	-1.50%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0985	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.433882	-1.50%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0024	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.430164	-1.34%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0628	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.445168	-1.40%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0523	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.457966	-1.41%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0092	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.440493	-1.35%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0162	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.443069	-1.21%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0702	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.428845	-1.07%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0245	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.41577	-0.89%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0020	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.429233	-0.98%	0.436	+0.58%	0.0935	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.442195	-1.19%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0641	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.434089	-1.12%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0731	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.423181	-1.01%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0556	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.416231	-0.90%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0379	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.422378	-1.20%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0213	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.448938	-1.66%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0108	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.477021	-1.75%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0176	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.493433	-1.90%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0137	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.476777	-2.30%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0659	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.444446	-2.53%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0473	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.484112	-2.79%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0126	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.695412	-1.71%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2457	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.71967	-1.62%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2379	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.699411	-1.77%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2170	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.746546	-1.58%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2297	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.706956	-1.61%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2231	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.712669	-1.70%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2377	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.732531	-1.67%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2207	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.737759	-1.83%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0609	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.690729	-2.02%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0246	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.65519	-2.28%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0528	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.65819	-2.35%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0475	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.666823	-2.37%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1429	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.658042	-2.30%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1595	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.654655	-2.29%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1277	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.626149	-2.32%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0552	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.666096	-2.40%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0536	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.666073	-2.41%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0374	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.686741	-2.45%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0530	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.758456	-2.64%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0417	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.787335	-2.68%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0292	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.77254	-2.52%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0165	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.809848	-2.55%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0635	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.