XVG

Verge · native · gru_s3

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0940

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002581	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002562	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.00249	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002506	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002555	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002583	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002621	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002613	-0.59%	0.002616	-0.51%	0.0111	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002746	-0.99%	0.002588	-6.67%	0.0575	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002709	-0.90%	0.002506	-8.34%	0.0790	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002894	-1.36%	0.002517	-14.20%	0.1239	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002927	-1.45%	0.002567	-13.54%	0.1165	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002804	-1.15%	0.002596	-8.48%	0.0673	✓	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.00276	-1.07%	0.002636	-5.52%	0.0501	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002925	-1.43%	0.002629	-11.39%	0.0912	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003028	-1.48%	0.002773	-9.79%	0.0671	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003095	-1.65%	0.002734	-13.12%	0.0893	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003127	-1.73%	0.002933	-7.81%	0.0393	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003152	-2.00%	0.002969	-7.69%	0.0434	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003052	-1.94%	0.002837	-8.85%	0.0555	✓	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003138	-2.09%	0.00279	-12.95%	0.0895	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003201	-2.36%	0.002967	-9.49%	0.0732	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003075	-2.14%	0.003074	-2.18%	0.0176	✓	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003064	-2.15%	0.003147	+0.49%	0.0055	✓	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.00335	-3.63%	0.003182	-8.46%	0.0699	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.0031	-2.29%	0.003217	+1.39%	0.0340	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003053	-2.28%	0.003112	-0.38%	0.0154	✓	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.00296	-1.96%	0.003205	+6.16%	0.0753	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002806	-1.55%	0.003278	+15.02%	0.1634	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003124	-2.07%	0.003142	-1.50%	0.0282	✗	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003083	-1.91%	0.003132	-0.37%	0.0437	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002977	-2.16%	0.003476	+14.23%	0.1233	✗	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003079	-2.28%	0.003173	+0.71%	0.0001	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003129	-2.32%	0.003124	-2.48%	0.0323	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002921	-1.82%	0.003019	+1.48%	0.0396	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002771	-1.11%	0.00285	+1.71%	0.0468	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002636	-0.23%	0.003191	+20.78%	0.0953	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002744	-0.21%	0.003143	+14.31%	0.0627	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.00268	+0.19%	0.003043	+13.78%	0.0877	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002698	+0.39%	0.003151	+17.25%	0.1189	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002616	+1.23%	0.003204	+23.95%	0.1683	✓	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002615	+1.36%	0.002975	+15.33%	0.1309	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002741	+1.10%	0.002802	+3.36%	0.0421	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002922	+0.06%	0.002642	-9.55%	0.0736	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002919	+0.30%	0.00275	-5.52%	0.0510	✗	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002898	+0.86%	0.002674	-6.91%	0.0454	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002833	+1.02%	0.002687	-4.17%	0.0276	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002855	+0.71%	0.002584	-8.84%	0.0752	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002705	+2.55%	0.00258	-2.20%	0.0028	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002763	+0.01%	0.002711	-1.88%	0.0310	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002505	+1.93%	0.00292	+18.82%	0.1401	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002594	+1.68%	0.00291	+14.07%	0.1086	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002441	+1.86%	0.002873	+19.91%	0.1297	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002483	+1.54%	0.002804	+14.68%	0.1023	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002477	+1.38%	0.002835	+16.05%	0.1127	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002611	+1.31%	0.002638	+2.35%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.00258	+0.88%	0.002763	+8.04%	0.0893	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002484	+0.96%	0.002458	-0.08%	0.0032	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.00255	+0.69%	0.002551	+0.71%	0.0051	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002635	-0.06%	0.002396	-9.14%	0.0945	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002551	-0.24%	0.002445	-4.40%	0.0569	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002456	+0.48%	0.002443	-0.06%	0.0006	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002207	-0.08%	0.002577	+16.66%	0.0700	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002094	-0.68%	0.002557	+21.32%	0.0810	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.00196	-1.09%	0.00246	+24.12%	0.0529	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001994	-1.18%	0.002533	+25.52%	0.0494	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.002002	-1.33%	0.002637	+29.97%	0.0709	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002046	-1.41%	0.002557	+23.22%	0.0303	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002073	-1.50%	0.002445	+16.13%	0.0454	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002039	-1.48%	0.002209	+6.71%	0.0575	✓	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002076	-1.49%	0.002108	+0.05%	0.0753	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002085	-1.46%	0.001982	-6.31%	0.0695	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002169	-1.56%	0.002018	-8.40%	0.0814	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002211	-1.63%	0.002029	-9.74%	0.0521	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002074	-1.40%	0.002076	-1.31%	0.0327	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001994	-1.18%	0.002105	+4.31%	0.0863	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001977	-1.15%	0.00207	+3.50%	0.0601	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001962	-1.09%	0.002107	+6.23%	0.0914	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001932	-1.09%	0.002116	+8.32%	0.0997	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001988	-1.29%	0.002203	+9.38%	0.0950	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001889	-1.17%	0.002248	+17.60%	0.1506	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001898	-1.31%	0.002103	+9.33%	0.0647	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001891	-1.36%	0.002018	+5.27%	0.0287	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001866	-1.23%	0.002	+5.88%	0.0777	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001868	-1.25%	0.001984	+4.84%	0.0465	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001971	-1.42%	0.001953	-2.30%	0.0128	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002074	-1.69%	0.002014	-4.55%	0.0251	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.00214	-1.50%	0.001912	-11.99%	0.0776	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002109	-1.43%	0.001924	-10.07%	0.0621	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002111	-1.37%	0.001917	-10.42%	0.0718	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002077	-1.12%	0.001889	-10.09%	0.0888	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002145	-1.02%	0.001892	-12.69%	0.0838	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002106	-0.86%	0.001999	-5.89%	0.0012	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002076	-1.08%	0.00211	+0.52%	0.0439	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002144	-1.32%	0.002172	-0.05%	0.0007	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.00201	-0.69%	0.002139	+5.68%	0.0711	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002023	-0.72%	0.00214	+5.00%	0.0529	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002053	-0.76%	0.002101	+1.55%	0.0008	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002102	-0.80%	0.002167	+2.27%	0.0116	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.0021	-0.78%	0.002124	+0.38%	0.0095	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002089	-0.83%	0.002099	-0.38%	0.0391	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002114	-0.81%	0.002173	+1.97%	0.0137	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002136	-0.82%	0.002024	-6.04%	0.0687	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002154	-0.82%	0.002038	-6.17%	0.0520	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002117	-0.75%	0.002069	-3.00%	0.0317	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002096	-0.68%	0.002119	+0.43%	0.0262	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002129	-0.68%	0.002116	-1.31%	0.0317	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002221	-0.77%	0.002107	-5.85%	0.0258	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002244	-0.79%	0.002131	-5.79%	0.0542	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002274	-0.80%	0.002154	-6.02%	0.0651	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002295	-0.84%	0.002172	-6.14%	0.0808	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002224	-0.69%	0.002133	-4.78%	0.0693	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.00218	-0.58%	0.00211	-3.78%	0.0703	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002081	-0.38%	0.002144	+2.63%	0.0481	✓	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002206	-0.65%	0.002238	+0.77%	0.0456	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002214	-0.65%	0.002262	+1.50%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002228	-0.68%	0.002292	+2.18%	0.0225	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002277	-0.73%	0.002314	+0.89%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002254	-0.65%	0.00224	-1.28%	0.0355	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002332	-0.77%	0.002193	-6.68%	0.0444	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002419	-0.90%	0.002089	-14.40%	0.0792	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002458	-0.93%	0.002221	-10.48%	0.0408	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002493	-0.96%	0.002229	-11.48%	0.0514	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002532	-1.02%	0.002243	-12.30%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002603	-1.12%	0.002293	-12.86%	0.0694	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002529	-0.97%	0.002269	-11.16%	0.0567	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002597	-1.12%	0.00235	-10.51%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002639	-1.27%	0.00244	-8.70%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002703	-1.53%	0.002481	-9.63%	0.0496	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002575	-1.14%	0.002518	-3.36%	0.0160	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002492	-0.98%	0.002557	+1.61%	0.0290	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002441	-0.78%	0.002632	+6.99%	0.0764	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002493	-0.83%	0.002554	+1.61%	0.0353	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002382	-0.32%	0.002626	+9.87%	0.0501	✗	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002456	-0.41%	0.002673	+8.39%	0.0236	✗	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002538	-0.60%	0.002746	+7.54%	0.0296	✗	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.00256	-0.53%	0.002605	+1.20%	0.0188	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002492	+0.22%	0.002517	+1.25%	0.0447	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002546	+0.19%	0.00246	-3.19%	0.0729	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002622	-0.31%	0.002514	-4.43%	0.0385	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002896	-0.95%	0.00239	-18.26%	0.1519	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002951	-1.28%	0.002466	-17.50%	0.1018	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003233	-2.10%	0.002553	-22.68%	0.1234	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003247	-2.04%	0.002574	-22.33%	0.0908	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.00317	-1.81%	0.002486	-22.99%	0.0706	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003154	-1.74%	0.002541	-20.83%	0.0489	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003204	-1.75%	0.00263	-19.35%	0.0692	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.00319	-1.60%	0.002924	-9.81%	0.0498	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003197	-1.33%	0.002989	-7.75%	0.0532	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003286	-1.25%	0.003302	-0.78%	0.0776	✗	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003227	-1.14%	0.003314	+1.52%	0.0676	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003319	-1.29%	0.003228	-4.00%	0.0057	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003223	-1.27%	0.00321	-1.67%	0.0201	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003397	-1.30%	0.003261	-5.26%	0.0047	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003451	-1.48%	0.003242	-7.45%	0.0268	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003157	-1.06%	0.00324	+1.55%	0.0364	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003183	-1.08%	0.003328	+3.43%	0.0413	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003142	-0.96%	0.003265	+2.92%	0.0431	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003216	-1.03%	0.003363	+3.49%	0.0604	✗	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003338	-1.12%	0.003264	-3.32%	0.0174	✗	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003625	-1.43%	0.003442	-6.42%	0.0152	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003393	-1.30%	0.003503	+1.89%	0.0502	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003515	-1.32%	0.003191	-10.43%	0.0604	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.00369	-1.43%	0.003217	-14.04%	0.0923	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003726	-1.40%	0.003172	-16.06%	0.1181	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003648	-1.39%	0.003249	-12.17%	0.0930	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003694	-1.44%	0.003376	-9.93%	0.0800	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.0036	-1.12%	0.003678	+1.02%	0.0119	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003735	-1.06%	0.003438	-8.93%	0.0591	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003796	-1.12%	0.003562	-7.22%	0.0592	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003592	-0.78%	0.003743	+3.40%	0.0221	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003498	-0.96%	0.003779	+6.99%	0.0401	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.00322	-0.11%	0.003699	+14.73%	0.1178	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003277	-0.12%	0.003748	+14.23%	0.1136	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003053	-0.22%	0.003641	+19.01%	0.1363	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003112	-0.34%	0.003775	+20.92%	0.1320	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003251	-0.36%	0.003839	+17.65%	0.1159	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003307	-0.14%	0.00362	+9.30%	0.0631	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003426	+0.13%	0.003532	+3.21%	0.0316	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003368	-0.00%	0.003224	-4.28%	0.0551	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003439	+0.01%	0.003281	-4.58%	0.0558	✗	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003411	+0.32%	0.00306	-10.01%	0.0859	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003457	+0.46%	0.003122	-9.27%	0.0734	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003618	+0.02%	0.003263	-9.80%	0.1030	✗	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003617	+0.04%	0.003312	-8.41%	0.1064	✗	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.00367	-0.39%	0.003422	-7.11%	0.1308	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003541	+0.08%	0.003368	-4.80%	0.0743	✗	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.00374	+0.27%	0.003439	-7.82%	0.0886	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004628	-1.05%	0.0034	-27.30%	0.3506	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004553	-0.99%	0.003441	-25.17%	0.3258	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004597	-1.14%	0.003618	-22.20%	0.2698	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004768	-1.28%	0.003616	-25.13%	0.2964	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004676	-1.56%	0.003684	-22.44%	0.2832	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004947	-1.61%	0.003538	-29.63%	0.3729	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.00493	-1.68%	0.00373	-25.61%	0.3367	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004678	-1.50%	0.004677	-1.52%	0.0483	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004435	-1.44%	0.004599	+2.20%	0.0175	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004598	-1.39%	0.00465	-0.28%	0.0212	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004307	-1.41%	0.00483	+10.58%	0.0331	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004263	-1.36%	0.00475	+9.90%	0.0819	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004208	-1.31%	0.005028	+17.92%	0.0921	✗	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.00418	-1.23%	0.005014	+18.48%	0.0920	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004193	-1.22%	0.004749	+11.89%	0.0506	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004336	-1.22%	0.0045	+2.51%	0.0074	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004444	-1.30%	0.004663	+3.56%	0.0066	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004213	-1.08%	0.004368	+2.56%	0.0038	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004253	-1.07%	0.004322	+0.52%	0.0319	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004423	-1.13%	0.004264	-4.69%	0.0520	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004476	-1.13%	0.004232	-6.52%	0.0656	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004731	-1.28%	0.004245	-11.43%	0.0794	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.00487	-1.31%	0.00439	-11.05%	0.0558	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004904	-1.35%	0.004503	-9.42%	0.0502	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004808	-1.28%	0.004259	-12.55%	0.0577	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004624	-1.16%	0.0043	-8.09%	0.0428	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004737	-1.20%	0.004474	-6.68%	0.0165	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.00484	-1.25%	0.004527	-7.63%	0.0031	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004907	-1.22%	0.004792	-3.53%	0.0062	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005026	-1.25%	0.004935	-3.05%	0.0192	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005334	-1.35%	0.004971	-8.06%	0.0211	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005536	-1.43%	0.00487	-13.28%	0.0696	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.00529	-1.37%	0.004678	-12.78%	0.0484	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.00523	-1.39%	0.004794	-9.62%	0.0523	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005053	-1.26%	0.004901	-4.22%	0.0237	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004987	-1.22%	0.004967	-1.61%	0.0053	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005076	-1.25%	0.00509	-0.97%	0.0129	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.00506	-1.25%	0.005407	+5.52%	0.0070	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005134	-1.29%	0.005616	+7.98%	0.0085	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005017	-1.15%	0.005364	+5.68%	0.0419	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005126	-1.24%	0.005304	+2.19%	0.0289	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.00508	-1.20%	0.005117	-0.49%	0.0375	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005363	-1.39%	0.005049	-7.16%	0.0548	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005566	-1.51%	0.00514	-9.06%	0.0430	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005386	-1.35%	0.005124	-6.15%	0.0755	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005342	-1.33%	0.005201	-3.93%	0.0202	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005364	-1.25%	0.005075	-6.57%	0.0587	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005623	-1.48%	0.00519	-9.07%	0.0849	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.00561	-1.37%	0.005142	-9.60%	0.1245	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005823	-1.58%	0.005438	-8.07%	0.1228	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005894	-1.66%	0.005652	-5.69%	0.1160	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005724	-1.39%	0.00546	-5.94%	0.1199	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005763	-1.47%	0.005413	-7.45%	0.1328	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005864	-1.64%	0.005432	-8.89%	0.0451	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005935	-1.72%	0.005708	-5.48%	0.0223	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006059	-1.83%	0.005688	-7.83%	0.0279	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.00596	-1.73%	0.005916	-2.46%	0.0159	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005872	-1.63%	0.005993	+0.39%	0.0056	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005913	-1.73%	0.005805	-3.52%	0.0387	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006007	-1.82%	0.005849	-4.40%	0.0448	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005925	-1.74%	0.005962	-1.13%	0.0254	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006397	-2.19%	0.006039	-7.66%	0.0294	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006245	-1.93%	0.006171	-3.09%	0.0010	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006129	-1.64%	0.006065	-2.66%	0.0233	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005918	-1.40%	0.00597	-0.53%	0.0185	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005918	-1.40%	0.006017	+0.25%	0.0379	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005742	-1.14%	0.006118	+5.34%	0.0832	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.00578	-1.04%	0.00603	+3.24%	0.0663	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005782	-0.76%	0.00654	+12.26%	0.1145	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005934	-0.97%	0.006368	+6.28%	0.0983	✗	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005157	+1.67%	0.006231	+22.85%	0.1326	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005713	-0.39%	0.006002	+4.66%	0.1520	✗	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005631	-0.44%	0.006002	+6.12%	0.1812	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005775	-0.92%	0.005808	-0.36%	0.1528	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005413	-0.07%	0.005841	+7.83%	0.1834	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005485	-0.37%	0.005826	+5.83%	0.2042	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005943	-1.50%	0.005992	-0.69%	0.2029	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006151	-1.75%	0.005072	-18.99%	0.1427	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006648	-2.23%	0.005735	-15.66%	0.0782	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007106	-2.52%	0.005656	-22.41%	0.0385	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007037	-2.48%	0.005829	-19.22%	0.0572	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006825	-2.33%	0.005417	-22.47%	0.0951	✓	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007608	-2.89%	0.005505	-29.74%	0.1881	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.0075	-2.87%	0.006033	-21.87%	0.1478	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006966	-2.59%	0.006261	-12.45%	0.0419	✓	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007394	-3.05%	0.0068	-10.83%	0.0811	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006524	-2.60%	0.00729	+8.84%	0.1014	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007043	-2.97%	0.007216	-0.59%	0.0730	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006917	-2.78%	0.006987	-1.80%	0.0934	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006897	-2.70%	0.007835	+10.54%	0.1967	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006846	-2.72%	0.007722	+9.73%	0.1895	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006656	-2.76%	0.007151	+4.47%	0.1426	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007109	-2.98%	0.007626	+4.08%	0.1564	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006851	-3.39%	0.006698	-5.54%	0.0585	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006706	-4.01%	0.007259	+3.91%	0.0626	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005762	-2.97%	0.007115	+19.82%	0.1779	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005783	-2.98%	0.007088	+18.91%	0.1464	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005652	-2.89%	0.007037	+20.91%	0.1537	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005797	-2.89%	0.006845	+14.68%	0.1069	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005645	-2.76%	0.007327	+26.22%	0.1662	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.006093	-2.71%	0.007091	+13.22%	0.1243	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005965	-2.58%	0.006986	+14.09%	0.2039	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.00596	-2.82%	0.005938	-3.18%	0.0074	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005832	-2.88%	0.005961	-0.73%	0.0259	✓	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.0056	-2.73%	0.00582	+1.09%	0.0288	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005621	-2.83%	0.005969	+3.18%	0.0192	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005599	-2.82%	0.005805	+0.76%	0.0290	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.0061	-3.77%	0.006263	-1.20%	0.0733	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005443	-3.06%	0.006123	+9.05%	0.0186	✓	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004932	-2.01%	0.006133	+21.84%	0.1436	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005008	-2.11%	0.006005	+17.38%	0.1245	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004688	-1.48%	0.005757	+20.97%	0.1513	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004755	-1.44%	0.005785	+19.90%	0.1639	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004811	-1.38%	0.005761	+18.10%	0.1826	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004817	-1.27%	0.006339	+29.92%	0.2543	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004777	-1.21%	0.005615	+16.13%	0.1920	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004707	-1.00%	0.005033	+5.86%	0.0829	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004951	-1.17%	0.005116	+2.12%	0.0437	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004896	-1.01%	0.004759	-3.77%	0.0113	✓	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.00474	-0.52%	0.004825	+1.26%	0.0197	✓	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.00504	-0.89%	0.004878	-4.08%	0.0631	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005503	-1.39%	0.004879	-12.56%	0.1113	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005514	-1.30%	0.004835	-13.46%	0.1774	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005541	-1.34%	0.004755	-15.33%	0.1629	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005898	-1.64%	0.00501	-16.46%	0.1229	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005846	-1.58%	0.004946	-16.74%	0.1215	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006172	-1.81%	0.004765	-24.20%	0.1108	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006023	-1.67%	0.005085	-16.97%	0.0477	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006423	-1.97%	0.00558	-14.84%	0.0419	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006246	-1.79%	0.005587	-12.15%	0.0235	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006215	-1.77%	0.005616	-11.24%	0.0553	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006311	-1.78%	0.005997	-6.66%	0.0715	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006403	-1.90%	0.00594	-8.99%	0.0944	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006153	-1.73%	0.006286	+0.39%	0.0120	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006324	-1.88%	0.006125	-4.97%	0.0026	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005943	-1.47%	0.006552	+8.62%	0.0688	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005998	-1.18%	0.00636	+4.79%	0.0451	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006626	-1.88%	0.006327	-6.31%	0.0470	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006651	-1.93%	0.006425	-5.26%	0.0011	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006774	-2.05%	0.006527	-5.62%	0.0015	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006885	-2.20%	0.006261	-11.06%	0.1124	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007402	-2.56%	0.006445	-15.16%	0.2066	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007289	-2.40%	0.006032	-19.23%	0.2856	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007474	-2.65%	0.006069	-20.95%	0.1591	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007135	-2.32%	0.006753	-7.56%	0.1416	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007512	-2.63%	0.006782	-12.09%	0.2609	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006713	-1.68%	0.006916	+1.29%	0.1204	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006798	-1.84%	0.00704	+1.65%	0.0874	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007156	-2.49%	0.007597	+3.52%	0.0854	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.008066	-3.34%	0.007468	-10.51%	0.0665	✗	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008266	-4.23%	0.007677	-11.05%	0.0256	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.00711	-2.73%	0.007305	-0.07%	0.2267	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007442	-3.69%	0.007715	-0.16%	0.3308	✗	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.00625	-1.80%	0.006828	+7.27%	0.3390	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006163	-2.05%	0.006926	+10.08%	0.4801	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006414	-2.41%	0.007339	+11.67%	0.4072	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006648	-2.64%	0.008345	+22.20%	0.4945	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007232	-3.06%	0.008631	+15.68%	0.5323	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007471	-3.34%	0.00731	-5.42%	0.2497	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006981	-2.86%	0.007727	+7.51%	0.2764	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007793	-3.75%	0.006365	-21.39%	0.0178	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007609	-3.57%	0.006292	-20.26%	0.1484	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007669	-3.81%	0.006572	-17.57%	0.0998	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.007163	-3.67%	0.006829	-8.16%	0.0856	✓	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007233	-3.48%	0.007461	-0.44%	0.0456	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006928	-3.23%	0.007729	+7.96%	0.2644	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006704	-3.60%	0.007187	+3.34%	0.2787	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.0059	-2.14%	0.008097	+34.30%	0.4839	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005293	-1.63%	0.007891	+46.67%	0.5876	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005707	-1.95%	0.007973	+36.99%	0.4943	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005667	-1.81%	0.007436	+28.83%	0.5756	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005955	-1.97%	0.007494	+23.36%	0.4236	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006257	-2.51%	0.007159	+11.55%	0.2358	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005769	-1.88%	0.006955	+18.30%	0.2283	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005373	-1.52%	0.006029	+10.50%	0.1533	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005269	-1.39%	0.00538	+0.69%	0.0678	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005432	-1.44%	0.00582	+5.61%	0.0038	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005602	-1.59%	0.005772	+1.41%	0.0893	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006025	-2.00%	0.006075	-1.19%	0.0830	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.006025	-1.92%	0.006418	+4.48%	0.0893	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005909	-1.76%	0.005879	-2.26%	0.1236	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005593	-1.33%	0.005456	-3.76%	0.1465	✓	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005769	-1.45%	0.005343	-8.73%	0.1276	✓	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005899	-1.51%	0.005511	-7.98%	0.0182	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006156	-1.62%	0.005692	-9.03%	0.0469	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006493	-1.97%	0.006148	-7.19%	0.0676	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006141	-1.70%	0.006143	-1.66%	0.1645	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005386	-0.69%	0.006015	+10.90%	0.2025	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005417	-0.82%	0.005669	+3.79%	0.2158	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007193	-2.19%	0.005854	-20.40%	0.0959	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007502	-2.65%	0.005989	-22.28%	0.0454	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006884	-1.93%	0.006257	-10.86%	0.0836	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007435	-2.25%	0.006624	-12.91%	0.0818	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007438	-2.33%	0.006247	-17.98%	0.0040	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008151	-3.90%	0.005424	-36.05%	0.1510	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007841	-3.66%	0.005462	-32.89%	0.1593	✓	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008839	-6.14%	0.007354	-21.91%	0.2079	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006107	-2.85%	0.007706	+22.59%	0.1391	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004931	-0.98%	0.007019	+40.95%	0.2196	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004928	-0.98%	0.007606	+52.82%	0.2450	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.0049	-0.98%	0.007616	+53.92%	0.2263	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004809	-0.90%	0.008481	+74.76%	0.3182	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004882	-0.94%	0.008139	+65.16%	0.2631	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004726	-0.86%	0.009417	+97.55%	0.4600	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005248	-1.24%	0.006286	+18.29%	0.0782	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.00515	-1.26%	0.00498	-4.52%	0.0743	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005231	-1.34%	0.004977	-6.13%	0.0814	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005649	-1.56%	0.004948	-13.78%	0.0736	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005683	-1.59%	0.004853	-15.97%	0.0393	✓	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005646	-1.59%	0.004928	-14.10%	0.0194	✓	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005905	-1.71%	0.004767	-20.66%	0.0583	✓	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005876	-1.78%	0.005314	-11.18%	0.0408	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.