8=======>

2022-09-12 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0589
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.829-0.60%2.28+23.91%0.2846✗0.4758k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233853-0.70%0.2188-7.09%0.0527✗0.87527k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012847-0.72%0.01128-12.83%0.0405✓0.65233k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.4455-0.81%14.77-10.92%0.0007✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.182301-0.87%0.1539-16.31%0.0121✓1.151,7442022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059448-0.92%0.0547-8.83%0.0326✗0.8590k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.313252-0.94%0.38357+21.29%0.2971✗0.69326k2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063244-1.00%0.060295-5.62%0.0160✗0.47123k2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020795-1.07%0.01974-6.09%0.0307✗0.61191k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.0042-1.11%49.657-9.07%0.0371✗0.88264k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9891-1.11%4.6593-7.65%0.0596✓0.06119k2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.556602-1.14%0.47873-14.97%0.0321✗1.3439k2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.358558-1.14%0.3044-16.07%0.0194✓1.061,1592022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.921-1.17%76.38-16.06%0.0458✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.413-1.19%1.44+0.70%0.0002✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.203805-1.21%0.1842-10.71%0.0476✗1.09135k2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5968-1.22%9.098-6.35%0.0646✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.402923-1.24%0.3256-20.20%0.0644✓1.09202k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7211-1.27%2.425-12.01%0.0016✓0.83523k2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,037.04-1.27%19,581.40-12.27%0.0074✓0.9213k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024559-1.29%0.02205-11.37%0.0401✗1.082,9582022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012711-1.31%0.00001097-14.83%0.0089✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068239-1.32%0.06161-10.90%0.0252✗0.938202022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.11231-1.36%0.111743-1.86%0.1164✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006148-1.38%0.006367+2.13%0.0857✗0.3730k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046031-1.46%0.040881-12.48%0.0034✓0.8928k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.475948-1.46%0.391-19.05%0.0311✓1.214,2692022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.487528-1.47%0.4467-9.72%0.0706✗1.16384k2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.202245-1.49%0.1786-13.01%0.0290✗1.12108k2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065682-1.53%0.0609-8.70%0.0677✗1.0579k2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006258-1.53%0.005618-11.61%0.0206✓0.641,9622022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.230995-1.54%0.1992-15.09%0.0254✓0.9057k2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099711-1.57%0.0949-6.32%0.0546✗0.762,7302022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.3766-1.60%40.04-23.31%0.1087✓1.03363k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.090039-1.60%0.0828-9.51%0.0507✗0.9814k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046711-1.60%0.04122-13.17%0.0363✓0.6514k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021664-1.61%0.020248-8.04%0.0171✗0.6212k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001624-1.62%0.001428-13.51%0.0360✓0.685,8832022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.781278-1.63%0.72902-8.21%0.0851✗1.13624k2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.169747-1.63%0.15899-7.86%0.0387✗0.765152022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012939-1.63%0.011897-9.56%0.0303✗0.84882k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039344-1.64%0.03487-12.83%0.0254✓0.702,2982022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039048-1.64%0.034-14.36%0.0007✓1.0289k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1239-1.67%0.9829-14.01%0.0771✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.717761-1.68%0.66-9.59%0.0510✓0.2444k2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4732-1.69%4.26-6.37%0.0343✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,023.35-1.69%19,540.38-12.78%0.0171✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.839713-1.71%0.77846-8.88%0.0321✗0.7913k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.8171-1.72%107.75+1.03%0.1553✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036657-1.72%0.03126-16.19%0.0143✓1.0635k2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.593-1.74%6.05-9.84%0.0185✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0719-1.75%0.962594-11.77%0.0023✓0.7736k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.94e-7-1.76%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0030✓0.7415k2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77160.8785-1.77%140.37-14.29%0.0042✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.472494-1.77%0.437-9.15%0.0645✗1.047,9852022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.897965-1.78%0.816606-10.68%0.0225✗0.8649k2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004125-1.78%0.00357-15.00%0.0159✓0.94103k2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006098-1.81%0.00502-19.16%0.1078✓0.63911k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129504-1.82%0.1251-5.16%0.1264✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8398-1.82%5.296-10.96%0.0099✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.05066-1.82%0.0498-3.49%0.1140✗0.96234k2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.4338-1.83%11.4637-9.49%0.0582✗1.0221k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.16119-1.83%0.1389-15.41%0.0305✗1.319132022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.986003-1.84%0.9446-5.96%0.0350✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062754-1.88%0.05866-8.28%0.0706✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.100761-1.89%0.0944-8.08%0.0734✗1.01336k2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.491897-1.90%0.4526-9.73%0.0542✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.43517-1.90%0.3928-11.45%0.0585✗1.1875k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7685-1.91%1.496-17.03%0.0284✓1.02627k2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1568-1.92%3.746-11.61%0.0328✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2451-1.92%1.0665-15.99%0.0012✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2024-1.93%3.728-13.00%0.0696✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.221304-1.95%0.1798-20.34%0.1039✓0.7667k2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001297-1.95%0.0011-16.90%0.0524✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.347444-1.95%0.30629-13.57%0.0213✗1.0833k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.173836-1.96%0.145-18.22%0.0336✓1.08271k2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.298-1.96%4.2119-3.92%0.0809✗0.74688k2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.940134-1.98%0.8565-10.70%0.0798✗1.27899k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.39178-2.00%0.38968-2.52%0.1331✗1.0131k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.04182-2.00%0.039404-7.66%0.0135✓0.5323k2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.950356-2.03%0.902-7.01%0.1102✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,681.85-2.03%1,376.17-19.84%0.0151✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.070528-2.03%0.06261-13.03%0.0177✓1.0025k2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.139197-2.05%0.12606-11.29%0.0663✗1.21151k2022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9879-2.06%4.057-20.34%0.0699✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8757-2.09%4.59-7.83%0.0579✗0.87839k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.313716-2.10%0.271513-15.27%0.0098✓0.99471k2022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.1813-2.10%40.74-13.63%0.0209✓1.07312k2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.7875-2.11%9.08-17.60%0.0115✓1.34288k2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.316865-2.11%0.3172-2.01%0.1354✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.657663-2.13%0.572-14.88%0.0160✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.003494-2.14%0.00326-8.68%0.0661✗0.99483k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.285452-2.14%0.2595-11.04%0.0434✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5868-2.17%1.485-8.45%0.0341✗0.7329k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.251-2.19%1.092-14.62%0.0083✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048122-2.19%0.0393-20.12%0.0418✓1.18546k2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1228-2.22%1.845-15.02%0.0338✗1.2732k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.80e-7-2.22%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0056✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8698-2.22%1.4112-26.20%0.1657✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039008-2.24%0.0357-10.53%0.0328✗0.899,1922022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5101-2.24%5.479-17.72%0.0196✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6195-2.24%1.4887-10.13%0.0607✗1.06241k2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87125.986-2.24%112.05-13.05%0.0436✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008143-2.25%0.0074-11.16%0.0651✗1.18428k2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.8172-2.26%24.19-15.00%0.0009✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023488-2.28%0.027182+13.09%0.1583✗0.09465k2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,577.97-2.31%1,331.44-17.57%0.0332✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.566794-2.31%0.5271-9.15%0.0117✓0.62836k2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011725-2.33%0.011007-8.31%0.0735✗1.006492022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7646-2.33%6.057-12.55%0.0260✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.2471-2.33%6.52-12.13%0.0441✗1.10224k2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2051-2.34%5.15-3.38%0.0775✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2285-2.37%5.75-9.87%0.0082✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048124-2.38%0.0432-12.37%0.0083✓0.85145k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.0857-2.39%13.84-16.02%0.0208✓1.2579k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4159.9407-2.39%52.89-13.87%0.0175✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.111366-2.40%0.1003-12.09%0.0155✓0.88188k2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.7455-2.42%5.2403+7.76%0.3033✗1.49122k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.528856-2.43%0.485-10.52%0.0802✗1.2277k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4002-2.43%2.07-15.85%0.0649✓0.61261k2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000044845-2.45%0.0000394-14.29%0.0091✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.7293-2.47%8-10.61%0.0067✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148048-2.47%0.1312-13.57%0.0157✓1.00119k2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.131349-2.49%0.1151-14.55%0.0161✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.723383-2.50%0.6251-15.74%0.0645✗1.54210k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4953-2.52%1.365-11.02%0.0627✗1.1371k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.631594-2.53%0.596-8.02%0.0817✗1.02178k2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022217-2.56%0.0223-2.19%0.1494✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.8192-2.58%17.28-19.14%0.0018✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8846-2.60%1.699-12.20%0.1304✗1.7160k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4643-2.61%6.385-16.69%0.0035✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8659-2.62%2.506-14.85%0.0778✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.4764-2.63%32.65-12.84%0.0564✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008811-2.64%0.00746-17.57%0.0375✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003023-2.69%0.002524-18.74%0.0554✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.2499-2.70%52.16-4.70%0.1532✗1.278,6412022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.428367-2.71%0.4068-7.60%0.0825✗0.98379k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5469-2.72%7.3-5.90%0.1217✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2035-2.73%2.9221-11.27%0.0500✗1.0419k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9083-2.74%1.7159-12.55%0.0472✗1.1223k2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001581-2.76%0.001532-5.78%0.0759✗0.79374k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.1811-2.76%55.26-12.17%0.0575✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.26728-2.81%0.256-6.91%0.0623✗0.77563k2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.341492-2.82%0.3113-11.41%0.0675✗1.1772k2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.498375-2.83%0.4508-12.11%0.0167✓0.86396k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3133-2.86%1.167-13.68%0.0564✗1.28323k2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1268-2.89%1.88-14.16%0.0509✗1.27227k2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.195576-2.89%0.2531+25.67%0.3924✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.37633-2.98%0.3301-14.90%0.0151✓1.07314k2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.28551-2.99%0.25224-14.29%0.0004✓0.9015k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,455.51-3.04%8,481.63-13.02%0.0851✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.0576-3.04%15.618+0.57%0.2116✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.7857-3.05%12.27-13.71%0.0457✗1.19925k2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.110903-3.06%0.0903-21.07%0.1237✓0.60188k2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017921-3.07%0.0155-16.17%0.0084✓1.009912022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.551502-3.08%0.473-16.87%0.0030✓1.1466k2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.6547-3.08%13.68-9.52%0.0680✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3652-3.18%1.19-15.60%0.0076✓1.0668k2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1418-3.18%2.975-8.32%0.0037✓0.37676k2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.071629-3.20%0.0621-16.08%0.1244✓0.13378k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.04965-3.22%0.0433-15.59%0.0222✓1.16178k2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.9378-3.26%12.487+1.19%0.0963✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.063254-3.28%0.0563-13.91%0.0499✗1.22563k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3515-3.30%1.1772-15.77%0.0099✓1.08922k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.124285-3.36%0.1014-21.15%0.0323✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.64751-3.36%0.598-10.75%0.0661✗1.07111k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.7677-3.39%5.54-20.91%0.1865✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.834261-3.42%0.7721-10.62%0.0831✗1.17946k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4039-3.48%3.5781-21.58%0.1238✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.863605-3.49%0.8509-4.91%0.1993✗1.5789k2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.322856-3.51%0.3026-9.56%0.0775✗1.0482k2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.22e-7-3.57%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1398✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.2952-3.58%5.865+6.79%0.2933✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.184614-3.65%0.1112-41.96%0.4879✓0.1483k2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.5617-3.67%15.52-14.87%0.0507✓0.53396k2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0696-3.69%1.8797-12.52%0.0579✗1.1313k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.971128-3.85%0.893-11.58%0.0280✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5022-3.89%1.258-19.51%0.0099✓1.2343k2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.148625-3.93%0.1384-10.54%0.0670✗1.01336k2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9328.754-3.93%24.04-19.68%0.0485✗1.66159k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.3449-3.96%4.135-8.60%0.0793✗0.94273k2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.285496-4.07%0.2802-5.85%0.1289✗1.0874k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.3373-4.22%5.92-22.72%0.1804✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.207142-4.28%0.1327-38.68%0.3430✓0.7526k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0115-4.31%1.696-19.31%0.0232✓1.42967k2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.061838-4.48%0.05812-10.23%0.1086✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2078-4.67%0.955-24.63%0.0032✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.5368-4.98%30.44-20.83%0.0327✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.226-5.03%5.478-16.44%0.0044✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.388641-5.05%0.2908-28.95%0.1789✓0.8189k2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000284209-5.26%0.00031125+3.75%0.1277✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.