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2022-09-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2554
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.5%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.06304-0.54%0.061288-3.31%0.0168✗0.59123k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.493925-0.62%0.418-15.90%0.0763✓1.194,5592022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.554357-0.63%0.49675-10.96%0.0153✓1.2441k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4206-0.66%1.44+0.70%0.0028✓-0.21128k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,229.64-0.67%19,713.60-7.76%0.0025✓0.9413k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.228043-0.72%0.2244-2.31%0.0517✗0.89537k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero161.29160.1212-0.72%149.19-7.50%0.0056✓1.001.3M2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.169113-0.76%0.15812-7.21%0.0969✗2.164042022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.05972-0.80%0.0555-7.81%0.0045✓0.9180k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038641-0.82%0.03549-8.91%0.0263✓0.772,4552022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012257-0.84%0.01206-2.43%0.0329✗0.65228k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2776-0.84%4.2657-1.11%0.0556✗0.77724k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.1342-0.84%16.31-5.61%0.0114✗0.801.6M2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,183.33-0.85%19,801.04-7.32%0.0085✓1.00480.9M2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021064-0.92%0.02106-0.94%0.0555✗0.73234k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.02576-0.92%0.02271-12.65%0.0315✓1.242,9582022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066675-0.97%0.0652-3.16%0.0446✗0.886022022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.183188-1.03%0.155-16.26%0.0688✓1.291,5202022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1490.0576-1.19%79.37-12.91%0.0181✓1.426.0M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012764-1.20%0.00001157-10.45%0.0291✓0.91898k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum103.35102.0509-1.26%107.74+4.25%0.1140✗0.793.4M2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8267-1.26%1.76-4.86%0.0046✓0.4363k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.211731-1.29%0.1907-11.10%0.0104✓1.24139k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.112861-1.35%0.107109-6.38%0.0110✓0.836.5M2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.37e-7-1.35%8.30e-7-12.63%0.0636✓0.7615k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.8403-1.36%24.08-11.50%0.0378✓0.936.8M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.329182-1.38%0.30013-10.08%0.0344✓0.76332k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.4768-1.40%9.137-4.93%0.0331✗0.921.2M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.225972-1.41%0.19-17.10%0.1152✓0.7767k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.0016-1.45%0.001455-10.41%0.0450✓0.667,1022022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8963-1.46%4.9422-0.54%0.0162✗0.09115k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006122-1.49%0.005888-5.27%0.0133✓0.692,0942022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.045533-1.49%0.042068-8.99%0.0183✓0.8029k2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.2561-1.52%3.874-10.37%0.0716✓0.302.2M2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.218282-1.54%0.2047-7.67%0.0080✓0.9557k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.209197-1.55%0.1847-13.08%0.0363✓1.16111k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.43706-1.56%0.434-2.25%0.0687✗1.007,7812022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51254.6236-1.60%52.013-6.30%0.0082✓0.75287k2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038474-1.60%0.0352-9.97%0.0231✓0.8777k2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,691.32-1.62%1,433.73-16.61%0.0668✓1.30617.0M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3645-1.63%6.26-3.25%0.0182✗0.462.1M2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.136623-1.64%0.1457+4.90%0.1274✗0.8324k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.57680.567325-1.64%0.5573-3.38%0.0409✗0.77867k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.2135-1.66%1.173-4.94%0.0355✗0.911.1M2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006206-1.66%0.006297-0.22%0.0471✗0.4336k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038419-1.67%0.03294-15.69%0.0780✓1.0072k2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.013021-1.71%0.012294-7.20%0.0098✓0.63929k2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001524-1.74%0.001658+6.90%0.1424✗0.77374k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8096-1.76%1.8924+2.73%0.1130✗0.901.2M2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.046654-1.78%0.043-9.47%0.0132✓0.90138k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.126.0085-1.82%5.56-9.15%0.0421✓0.473.6M2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.93e-7-1.84%8.20e-7-9.89%0.0285✓0.751.8M2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.490087-1.85%0.4634-7.19%0.0274✗1.10384k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0274-1.86%0.9744-6.93%0.0128✓0.532.8M2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.4899-1.87%9.36-12.44%0.0210✓1.22281k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.096653-1.88%0.0976-0.91%0.0785✗0.90359k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.943892-1.88%0.896-6.86%0.0418✗1.231.5M2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.271283-1.89%0.3024+9.37%0.1698✗0.8184k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.909458-1.90%0.810979-12.52%0.0536✓0.8052k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.052073-1.93%0.0498-6.21%0.0319✗1.01234k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.9575-1.95%55.93-8.54%0.0036✓0.9613.1M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.1402-1.96%3.867-8.43%0.0323✓0.472.1M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.070624-1.98%0.06472-10.17%0.0772✓0.13397k2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.062727-1.99%0.0575-10.16%0.0039✓1.20608k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1802-1.99%1.0589-12.07%0.0021✓1.454.5M2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.389572-2.00%0.37431-5.84%0.0301✗0.9231k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.492116-2.01%0.4748-5.46%0.0323✗0.9037.9M2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.677096-2.01%0.586-15.20%0.0585✓1.133.8M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.112095-2.02%0.1034-9.62%0.0187✓0.82169k2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5279-2.02%2.13-17.44%0.1192✓0.69262k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.091994-2.03%0.0859-8.52%0.0005✓0.9113k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.407039-2.04%0.346-16.73%0.0810✓1.07215k2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.133018-2.05%0.119-12.37%0.1104✓0.0187k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6504-2.05%1.475-12.46%0.0553✓0.7551k2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.023741-2.06%0.025951+7.06%0.0938✗0.06465k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.9691-2.08%32.23-7.09%0.0278✗1.0660.5M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007675-2.11%0.00771-1.66%0.0854✗1.06406k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.062256-2.11%0.0646+1.57%0.0981✗0.8082k2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.2546-2.12%5.78-9.55%0.0438✓0.462.2M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.317705-2.12%0.2979-8.23%0.0020✓0.875.8M2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003280.00321-2.13%0.00319-2.74%0.0665✗0.96483k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.958324-2.16%0.8768-10.48%0.0007✓1.16899k2022-09-16
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010935-2.18%0.01195+6.91%0.1648✗1.005862022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.07245-2.19%0.06705-9.48%0.0072✓1.1125k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.9089-2.21%4.36-13.15%0.0573✓0.81943k2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6889-2.22%2.56-6.91%0.0140✓0.83630k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5075-2.22%4.31-6.51%0.0043✓0.531.3M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.3757-2.22%3.6957-17.42%0.1264✓0.567.3M2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.346251-2.24%0.32095-9.38%0.0029✓0.9635k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021301-2.24%0.020411-6.33%0.0163✓0.7813k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005706-2.29%0.00531-9.08%0.0248✓0.62951k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash49.0147.8782-2.31%43.69-10.85%0.0191✓0.95338k2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.7536-2.31%16.596+2.91%0.1392✗1.1515.6M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.6715-2.31%11.2265-13.45%0.0513✓0.9222k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000043509-2.31%0.00004223-5.19%0.0317✗0.812.5M2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.04512-2.32%0.04256-7.86%0.0047✓0.7114k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.101002-2.32%0.0959-7.25%0.0014✓0.702,7842022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001356-2.32%0.001201-13.44%0.0639✓0.752.5M2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6950.4749-2.35%54.06+4.59%0.1604✗1.219,1802022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004062-2.35%0.00373-10.34%0.0152✓0.92111k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.270474-2.36%0.262-5.42%0.0234✓0.73563k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.406291-2.36%0.38821-6.70%0.0267✗0.95392k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.730.712314-2.42%0.7-4.11%0.0055✓0.3052k2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.372731-2.43%0.3538-7.38%0.0284✗1.066802022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.062362-2.44%0.060443-5.44%0.0460✗1.021.3M2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.788234-2.45%0.7411-8.28%0.0009✓0.82537k2022-09-16
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,558.08-2.46%1,354.73-15.19%0.0639✓1.003.4M2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.4615-2.48%14.36-14.93%0.0538✓1.0987k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036655-2.51%0.0374-0.53%0.0752✗0.727,8252022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0532-2.52%1.003-7.17%0.0119✓0.8038k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.041485-2.55%0.039113-8.12%0.0213✓0.5025k2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000419652-2.55%0.00030458-29.27%0.2826✓0.501.5M2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.174237-2.56%0.15442-13.65%0.0492✓0.94268k2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.28458-2.61%0.2626-10.13%0.0105✓0.922.7M2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.199922-2.62%0.2101+2.34%0.1142✗0.853.2M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.137574-2.63%0.13109-7.22%0.0369✗1.12163k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.2477-2.64%5.31-1.48%0.0455✗0.442.0M2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7961-2.65%1.541-16.48%0.0865✓0.88627k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.641375-2.67%0.616-6.53%0.0296✗0.92178k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.5368-2.68%7.655-1.15%0.0908✗0.9918.0M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.6416-2.69%8.46-4.73%0.0145✓0.472.2M2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration52.6551.2347-2.69%43.86-16.70%0.0828✓0.96395k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6006-2.72%1.5208-7.57%0.0286✗1.05247k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8832-2.73%1.7566-9.27%0.0099✓1.0523k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.305251-2.77%0.283015-9.85%0.0016✓1.02514k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9129.2155-2.77%119.59-10.02%0.0073✓1.114.4M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.5427-2.79%6.906-10.99%0.0125✓1.0010.0M2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2892-2.79%1.1346-14.45%0.0439✓1.101.1M2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.8999-2.82%6.185-12.89%0.0451✓0.854.4M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.8245-2.82%18.06-11.47%0.0016✓1.2118.8M2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3117-2.84%1.2302-8.88%0.0073✓0.941.2M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.541-2.85%4.006-14.29%0.0576✓0.89298k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.38130.370345-2.87%0.3492-8.42%0.0255✓1.11348k2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,137.40-2.89%8,661.73-17.03%0.0522✓1.384.5M2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.6897-2.91%6.63-16.29%0.0661✓1.08255k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.821798-2.92%0.82039-3.09%0.0672✗0.9114k2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.318-2.95%5.824-10.54%0.0130✓1.246.9M2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.43793-2.96%0.4409-2.30%0.0951✗1.1675k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.531746-2.97%0.497-9.31%0.0156✓1.0977k2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.145426-2.98%0.1384-7.67%0.0248✓0.98128k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.1422-3.02%2.987-7.81%0.0085✓0.55720k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.516258-3.03%0.4698-11.76%0.0415✓0.69467k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2103-3.04%2.9941-9.57%0.0042✓0.9719k2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.360749-3.05%0.3247-12.74%0.0266✓1.0471k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.050217-3.06%0.0411-20.66%0.1267✓0.97546k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.7313-3.12%5.5996-19.41%0.1676✓0.228.6M2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002807-3.19%0.002807-3.17%0.0673✗0.881.2M2022-09-16
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017794-3.21%0.016065-12.61%0.0262✓1.004152022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.828873-3.21%0.8516-0.56%0.1314✗1.3794k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.9019-3.24%2.596-13.44%0.0040✓1.413.0M2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.158771-3.25%0.151-7.98%0.0207✓0.931,1642022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.9706-3.29%14.52-6.20%0.0371✗0.891.7M2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.130813-3.32%0.1221-9.76%0.0089✓1.021.4M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.132752-3.38%0.1213-11.72%0.0525✓0.503.0M2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4343-3.41%1.38-7.07%0.0451✗1.1071k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.119957-3.42%0.1059-14.73%0.0730✓0.68195k2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.963-3.42%11.384-8.10%0.0128✓0.4816.0M2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash66.0163.6801-3.53%56.74-14.04%0.0286✓1.141.2M2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.279529-3.61%0.26134-9.89%0.0079✓0.9914k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2431-3.62%1.9192-17.54%0.0729✓1.0913k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050116-3.62%0.0476-8.46%0.0151✓0.88204k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022649-3.66%0.02055-12.59%0.0366✓0.809.2M2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.1666-3.69%12.83-12.78%0.0191✓1.05925k2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-77.04e-7-3.70%5.40e-7-26.18%0.2123✓0.702.3M2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.4165-3.72%16-11.55%0.0357✓0.65396k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.108378-3.75%0.1057-6.13%0.0543✗1.042.7M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.2329-3.76%5.9681-20.59%0.1697✓0.309.9M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0009-3.76%0.928-10.77%0.0469✓0.382.9M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.3939-3.79%4.6927+2.75%0.1834✗1.55129k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.8502-3.90%4.665-7.57%0.0603✗1.316.4M2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.319037-3.90%0.3144-5.30%0.0650✗1.0587k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.105-3.97%1.988-9.31%0.0269✓1.1134k2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1937.6137-4.02%34.05-13.12%0.0109✓1.4511.8M2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.752774-4.03%0.6518-16.90%0.0364✓1.42210k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.845083-4.08%0.7965-9.59%0.0169✓1.001.0M2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.148473-4.09%0.1558+0.65%0.1276✗1.04421k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.538047-4.09%0.489-12.83%0.0139✓1.0757k2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3526-4.14%1.112-21.19%0.0723✓1.632.8M2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009308-4.23%0.00835-14.09%0.0520✓0.753.5M2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9245-4.25%1.715-14.68%0.0074✓1.6165k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4165-4.29%1.28-13.51%0.0318✓0.9181k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.2469-4.39%1.92-18.30%0.0698✓1.15232k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.295526-4.39%0.2667-13.72%0.0260✓1.0195k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.654057-4.52%0.605-11.68%0.0153✓0.83129k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3137-4.80%1.237-10.36%0.0286✓1.17385k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.47-4.86%1.34-13.27%0.0081✓1.1143k2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum32.4230.8374-4.88%24.55-24.28%0.0980✓1.71185k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.1112.0074-4.91%1.78-15.68%0.0205✓1.311.1M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.065849-5.54%0.06104-12.44%0.0085✓1.111.5M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.9667-6.46%5.824-8.70%0.0405✓0.856.2M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.