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2022-08-28 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0183
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
29.0%
in alpha space · 18.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.491636+0.54%0.5+2.25%0.0117✗1.252,6092022-09-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.0093+0.29%2.3166+15.63%0.1150✓1.2013k2022-09-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0062+0.19%1.1582+15.32%0.1124✓1.24973k2022-09-04
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7495+0.18%6.488+13.05%0.0912✓1.3010.0M2022-09-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.8264+0.13%4.91+1.87%0.0023✗0.861.6M2022-09-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9517+0.09%2.31+18.46%0.1407✓1.22255k2022-09-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,545.03-0.05%20,004.73+2.30%0.0005✓1.00474.0M2022-09-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,630.01-0.08%19,865.80+1.12%0.0095✓0.9411k2022-09-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.325823-0.08%0.357+9.48%0.0626✗1.26176k2022-09-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3585-0.11%1.498+10.15%0.0711✗1.17128k2022-09-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.845325-0.11%0.86904+2.69%0.0052✗0.9814k2022-09-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.303972-0.14%0.3157+3.71%0.0132✗1.08112k2022-09-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.235862-0.14%0.2399+1.57%0.0047✓0.9579k2022-09-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.931674-0.16%0.9726+4.22%0.0153✗1.22972k2022-09-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.20206-0.17%0.211+4.25%0.0201✗1.0261k2022-09-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.044099-0.18%0.04481+1.43%0.0013✓0.6416k2022-09-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002981-0.20%0.002943-1.47%0.0337✓0.911.1M2022-09-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005507-0.22%0.005979+8.34%0.0670✗0.672,5882022-09-04
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.217763-0.25%0.2251+3.11%0.0125✗0.90528k2022-09-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.13776-0.25%0.1523+10.28%0.0766✗1.041,7802022-09-04
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.04288-0.27%0.044132+2.64%0.0095✗0.8529k2022-09-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.2328-0.29%7.155+14.46%0.1139✗1.0619.0M2022-09-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.024129-0.29%0.02502+3.39%0.0071✗1.283,4352022-09-04
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.117848-0.30%0.13+9.98%0.0763✗0.961.8M2022-09-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.158707-0.31%0.1782+11.93%0.0843✗1.382,2552022-09-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3225-0.32%1.98-15.02%0.1714✓0.5293k2022-09-04
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3088-0.32%4.2121-2.56%0.0403✓0.77775k2022-09-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.522634-0.33%0.55389+5.63%0.0285✗1.3041k2022-09-04
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.7866-0.33%9.394+6.56%0.0449✗0.961.5M2022-09-04
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.1487-0.38%30.11+2.90%0.0104✓1.88304k2022-09-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041739-0.39%0.0444+5.97%0.0397✗0.97175k2022-09-04
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061148-0.40%0.063547+3.51%0.0248✗0.60142k2022-09-04
ZENHorizenBase14.814.7394-0.41%16.45+11.15%0.0850✗1.09119k2022-09-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085036-0.43%0.0958+12.18%0.0974✗0.96409k2022-09-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035547-0.43%0.0364+1.96%0.0056✗0.7911k2022-09-04
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.36145-0.44%0.38677+6.54%0.0457✗0.9745k2022-09-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.231-0.47%26.4+4.14%0.0233✗0.967.3M2022-09-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.432834-0.48%0.4695+7.96%0.0558✗1.12364k2022-09-04
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9682-0.48%3.2367+8.52%0.0636✗1.0126k2022-09-04
XMRMoneroMonero146.4145.6776-0.49%155.77+6.40%0.0446✗0.981.2M2022-09-04
STXStacksnative0.35290.351139-0.50%0.3678+4.22%0.0198✗1.17410k2022-09-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.744471-0.51%0.80657+7.78%0.0597✗0.89509k2022-09-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.078787-0.52%0.0828+4.55%0.0279✗0.9614k2022-09-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.123-0.53%1.166+3.28%0.0152✗0.981.9M2022-09-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3826-0.53%1.49+7.19%0.0765✗-0.07105k2022-09-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034316-0.53%0.0365+5.80%0.0404✗0.9386k2022-09-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.117752-0.55%0.1229+3.80%0.0195✗1.0230k2022-09-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055097-0.55%0.0577+4.15%0.0250✗0.9399k2022-09-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102169-0.55%0.106324+3.49%0.0209✗0.837.1M2022-09-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.045235-0.58%0.0506+11.21%0.0897✗0.98843k2022-09-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.280638-0.59%0.3127+10.77%0.0877✗0.907.1M2022-09-04
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.857412-0.59%0.900625+4.42%0.0308✗0.8177k2022-09-04
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.5911-0.59%48.47+10.54%0.0780✗1.2312k2022-09-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.412-0.64%19.01+2.59%0.0019✓1.3222.5M2022-09-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8162-0.65%1.96+7.22%0.0380✗1.6890k2022-09-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098956-0.65%0.1029+3.31%0.0224✗0.733,2112022-09-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011694-0.65%0.00001284+9.09%0.0719✗0.95886k2022-09-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.098556-0.65%0.1045+5.34%0.0338✗1.093.6M2022-09-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001577-0.65%0.001563-1.51%0.0306✓0.96538k2022-09-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.986821-0.66%1.0925+9.98%0.0674✗1.514.6M2022-09-04
XVGVergenative0.002890.002871-0.66%0.00311+7.61%0.0568✗1.02508k2022-09-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.317778-0.69%0.3125-2.34%0.0432✓1.16146k2022-09-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006375-0.71%0.00608-5.30%0.0617✓0.631.1M2022-09-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.158637-0.71%0.15518-2.87%0.0692✓2.076362022-09-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.0664-0.71%14.56+10.64%0.0825✗1.131.0M2022-09-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.188944-0.71%0.2046+7.51%0.0568✗1.00146k2022-09-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.311296-0.74%0.36077+15.03%0.1271✗0.90378k2022-09-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.8099-0.74%7.375+7.49%0.0560✗1.0413.1M2022-09-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.138544-0.76%0.1437+2.94%0.0135✗1.01149k2022-09-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.132688-0.76%0.1462+9.35%0.0738✗1.02553k2022-09-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.1452-0.76%7.74+7.50%0.0545✗1.12534k2022-09-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5877-0.77%1.729+8.06%0.0639✗0.94623k2022-09-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.364468-0.77%0.4349+18.40%0.1511✗1.1289k2022-09-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.021452-0.78%0.02157-0.23%0.0142✓0.8612.4M2022-09-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.768367-0.78%0.8453+9.16%0.0716✗1.041.9M2022-09-04
FLOWFlownative1.6921.6788-0.78%1.95+15.25%0.1192✗1.341.2M2022-09-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.2416-0.78%13.72+21.09%0.1751✗1.061.9M2022-09-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.639947-0.78%0.687+6.51%0.0431✗1.224.8M2022-09-04
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.43e-7-0.78%8.80e-7+3.53%0.0248✗0.782.3M2022-09-04
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.2107-0.79%32.17+5.65%0.0359✗1.1867.0M2022-09-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.641105-0.80%0.7071+9.41%0.0658✗1.41242k2022-09-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.059907-0.82%0.0625+3.48%0.0138✗1.26908k2022-09-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061245-0.82%0.063218+2.38%0.0077✓1.051.7M2022-09-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.5856-0.82%2.771+6.29%0.0496✗0.86734k2022-09-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.100463-0.83%0.1033+1.97%0.0080✓0.87200k2022-09-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020208-0.88%0.020714+1.61%0.0061✓0.8213k2022-09-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.044003-0.89%0.042185-4.98%0.0541✓0.5228k2022-09-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.6254-0.89%0.671+6.34%0.0491✗0.93235k2022-09-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9267-0.89%2.121+9.10%0.0700✗1.1547k2022-09-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.408284-0.90%0.424+2.91%0.0147✗1.018,1172022-09-04
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.413-0.91%1.5561+9.12%0.0712✗1.11319k2022-09-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.3164-0.92%53.273+2.86%0.0206✗0.74328k2022-09-04
QNTQuantEthereum92.3191.4556-0.93%95.29+3.23%0.0220✗0.843.3M2022-09-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061326-0.93%0.0562-9.21%0.1080✓0.91107k2022-09-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021933-0.94%0.02226+0.54%0.0036✓0.81419k2022-09-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.066473-0.96%0.06708-0.06%0.0095✓0.829142022-09-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.48327-0.97%0.534+9.43%0.0737✗1.1486k2022-09-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.036957-0.97%0.03774+1.13%0.0026✓0.812,7072022-09-04
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5777.8006-0.98%88.85+13.08%0.0987✗1.506.5M2022-09-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.924243-0.98%0.9786+4.84%0.0451✗0.533.6M2022-09-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,412.62-0.98%1,579.04+10.68%0.0806✗1.35597.1M2022-09-04
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003891-0.99%0.00402+2.29%0.0099✓0.99158k2022-09-04
KSMKusamaHydration45.444.9402-1.01%50.61+11.48%0.0966✗0.98560k2022-09-04
DASHDashDash44.1443.6887-1.02%47.59+7.82%0.0635✗0.97466k2022-09-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.272114-1.05%0.269-2.18%0.0282✓0.73710k2022-09-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.336381-1.06%0.3674+8.06%0.0637✗1.07170k2022-09-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2169-1.07%1.35+9.76%0.0822✗0.95154k2022-09-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.51e-7-1.07%8.90e-7+3.49%0.0266✗0.8116k2022-09-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012862-1.07%0.013172+1.31%0.0092✓0.641.3M2022-09-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.4069-1.08%10.54+10.83%0.0863✗1.20386k2022-09-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.027-1.10%1.0588+1.96%0.0112✗0.8550k2022-09-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.130234-1.13%0.13852+5.16%0.0336✗1.23210k2022-09-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.4789-1.15%17.39+4.32%0.0374✗0.72952k2022-09-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.05753-1.15%0.057-2.06%0.0356✓1.16252k2022-09-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.324274-1.15%0.34915+6.43%0.0515✗0.9850k2022-09-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.21093-1.16%0.2041-4.36%0.0626✓1.30133k2022-09-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.048728-1.16%0.0516+4.67%0.0346✗1.00249k2022-09-04
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.424087-1.17%0.5035+17.34%0.1492✗0.9939.2M2022-09-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.4933-1.17%1.573+4.10%0.0248✗1.2088k2022-09-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3852.7391-1.20%60.93+14.14%0.1219✗0.9812.8M2022-09-04
HIVEHivenative0.52820.521854-1.20%0.5439+2.97%0.0215✗0.871.3M2022-09-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.287636-1.25%0.299008+2.65%0.0141✗1.08593k2022-09-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59111.1816-1.25%118.36+5.12%0.0365✗1.144.7M2022-09-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,365.54-1.27%9,437.49+11.38%0.0895✗1.366.5M2022-09-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001484-1.28%0.00152+1.13%0.0081✓0.709,7092022-09-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.5891-1.29%4.798+3.20%0.0139✗1.348.9M2022-09-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.636675-1.29%0.673+4.34%0.0358✗0.86242k2022-09-04
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.9057-1.30%13.1461+8.99%0.0771✗0.9735k2022-09-04
ZECZcashZcash61.1760.3739-1.30%63.8+4.30%0.0294✗1.131.9M2022-09-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6928-1.31%1.9099+11.35%0.0959✗1.0931k2022-09-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.260337-1.31%0.2325-11.87%0.1343✓0.9394k2022-09-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008366-1.35%0.00892+5.19%0.0467✗0.766.2M2022-09-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.73-1.36%6.663+14.70%0.1413✗0.425.3M2022-09-04
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1755-1.38%1.336+12.08%0.1007✗1.20491k2022-09-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.061428-1.38%0.06473+3.92%0.0271✗1.112.2M2022-09-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.288852-1.40%0.28914-1.30%0.0228✓1.0412k2022-09-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.9237-1.43%2.981+0.51%0.0145✓1.493.8M2022-09-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.4076-1.43%13.046+23.55%0.2002✗1.1310.4M2022-09-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.161644-1.44%0.174+6.10%0.0494✗1.07399k2022-09-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.096686-1.44%0.1213+23.65%0.2094✗0.76247k2022-09-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.6027-1.44%4.6707+27.77%0.2461✗0.593.7M2022-09-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.269156-1.44%0.2908+6.48%0.0554✗0.963.2M2022-09-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.719421-1.45%0.73+0.00%0.0070✓0.3384k2022-09-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7068-1.51%1.762+1.67%0.0103✓0.94137k2022-09-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.067919-1.52%0.07376+6.95%0.0555✗1.1927k2022-09-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.516515-1.62%0.528+0.57%0.0022✓1.0678k2022-09-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0291-1.63%4.597+12.23%0.1283✗0.162.3M2022-09-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.4628-1.64%7.0178+26.36%0.2459✗0.205.2M2022-09-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.491228-1.68%0.5043+0.94%0.0074✓0.83625k2022-09-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0449-1.69%2.31+11.06%0.1039✗0.79384k2022-09-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.169-1.69%6.686+6.55%0.0601✗0.895.2M2022-09-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.034914-1.71%0.03585+0.93%0.0035✓1.0131k2022-09-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9346-1.75%6.81+12.75%0.1276✗0.441.9M2022-09-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.118059-1.78%0.1386+15.31%0.1479✗0.553.8M2022-09-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.179-1.83%1.1233-6.47%0.0690✓0.901.5M2022-09-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9245-1.84%4.41+10.31%0.1078✗0.392.0M2022-09-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.824348-1.86%0.982+16.90%0.1658✗0.404.2M2022-09-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0283-1.89%4.053-1.29%0.0167✓1.00245k2022-09-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.532-1.90%6.265+11.10%0.1048✗0.8610.1M2022-09-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006581-1.90%0.006455-3.77%0.0290✓0.4358k2022-09-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.255913-1.95%0.1803-30.92%0.3504✓0.0191k2022-09-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.0735-1.96%5.256+1.57%0.0324✗0.13119k2022-09-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6328-1.97%1.6865+1.25%0.0099✓0.991.2M2022-09-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.897756-1.99%1.045+14.08%0.1236✗1.241.4M2022-09-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.3059-2.02%32.46+4.95%0.0347✗1.4914.6M2022-09-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.1321-2.02%13.539+9.34%0.0983✗0.506.1M2022-09-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001318-2.08%0.001339-0.50%0.0021✓0.802.1M2022-09-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.022482-2.10%0.025674+11.81%0.1303✗0.11262k2022-09-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.7385-2.24%6.73+14.65%0.1493✗0.442.1M2022-09-04
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0302-2.26%1.174+11.39%0.0912✗1.733.3M2022-09-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.236.3576-2.26%18.92-49.14%0.6694✓0.711.6M2022-09-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.3111-2.28%7.4422+36.93%0.3319✗0.244.6M2022-09-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.00806-2.30%0.00793-3.88%0.0418✓1.12477k2022-09-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.084313-2.39%0.07814-9.54%0.0774✓0.06598k2022-09-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.2354-2.41%4.88+12.44%0.1304✗0.491.3M2022-09-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014417-2.46%0.01286-12.99%0.1299✓0.69165k2022-09-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.8899-2.47%9.26+14.46%0.1492✗0.482.1M2022-09-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000121905-2.55%0.00025377+102.85%0.7156✗0.77352k2022-09-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.204595-2.67%0.2134+1.52%0.0234✓0.822.9M2022-09-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.354091-2.69%0.35382-2.77%0.0222✓0.94321k2022-09-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.76306-2.70%0.8485+8.20%0.0724✗1.48161k2022-09-04
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000045499-2.70%0.00004432-5.22%0.0458✓0.861.7M2022-09-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.54e-7-3.08%9.24e-7+18.83%0.1846✗0.85542k2022-09-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.9935-3.23%5.8+12.40%0.1397✗0.442.5M2022-09-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.7466-3.34%3.038-21.62%0.2233✓0.60650k2022-09-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.2058-4.17%5.1362+17.04%0.1771✗1.00147k2022-09-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.