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2022-08-27 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0598
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.5%
in alpha space · 37.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.511343+0.46%0.519+1.96%0.0273✓1.242,6092022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8737+0.08%4.84-0.62%0.0017✓0.851.6M2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0869+0.05%2.2636+8.52%0.0936✓1.2213k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0502-0.10%6.305+4.11%0.0545✗1.3210.1M2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,013.53-0.12%19,835.47-1.00%0.0012✗1.00474.0M2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045117-0.14%0.04477-0.91%0.0007✓0.6916k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0596-0.15%1.1328+6.75%0.0794✗1.25981k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.862419-0.19%0.86852+0.52%0.0169✗0.9814k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.241861-0.22%0.2386-1.57%0.0039✓0.9681k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.963941-0.22%0.9295-3.79%0.0241✓1.22999k2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.206231-0.23%0.2102+1.69%0.0293✗1.0261k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,884.53-0.24%19,875.80-0.29%0.0091✗0.9511k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005604-0.25%0.005893+4.90%0.0571✗0.672,5882022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.003033-0.26%0.002948-3.06%0.0195✓0.891.1M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.313531-0.28%0.3208+2.04%0.0346✗1.16112k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.220413-0.31%0.2228+0.77%0.0199✗0.91504k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3613-0.34%4.2494-2.89%0.0182✓0.77798k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024607-0.34%0.02472+0.12%0.0175✗1.283,4352022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.5397-0.34%0.54122-0.06%0.0158✗1.2843k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum30.0529.9338-0.39%30.98+3.09%0.0534✗1.89327k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.36380.362384-0.39%0.361-0.77%0.0080✗1.17432k2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.366283-0.40%0.3754+2.08%0.0343✗0.9651k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase15.215.1374-0.41%15.52+2.11%0.0362✗1.11125k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.347756-0.41%0.3659+4.78%0.0633✗1.24191k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118099-0.42%0.1211+2.11%0.0354✗1.0232k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.0952-0.42%9.192+0.63%0.0201✗0.941.6M2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.101-0.43%2.25+6.64%0.0809✗1.23281k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062654-0.45%0.06311+0.28%0.0132✗0.59151k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044505-0.45%0.043496-2.71%0.0143✓0.8530k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4036-0.46%1.49+5.67%0.0594✗-0.04115k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero145.16144.4932-0.46%154.44+6.39%0.0766✗1.001.2M2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6697-0.46%2.976+10.96%0.1153✗0.66650k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3974-0.47%1.482+5.56%0.0707✗1.18130k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.6764-0.48%26.2+1.55%0.0299✗0.967.4M2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.043387-0.49%0.0443+1.61%0.0307✗0.98175k2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.4987-0.49%6.861+5.05%0.0650✗1.0719.3M2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036409-0.52%0.0358-2.19%0.0084✓0.8411k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.168404-0.53%0.1738+2.66%0.0454✗1.382,1742022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.878096-0.54%0.885648+0.32%0.0167✗0.8184k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1397-0.55%1.159+1.13%0.0268✗0.992.1M2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.454159-0.56%0.4583+0.35%0.0204✗1.12386k2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4561-0.56%1.93-21.86%0.2359✓0.5189k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.151496-0.59%0.1524+0.00%0.0169✗1.091,7802022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.287139-0.61%0.303+4.88%0.0631✗0.927.4M2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.104951-0.61%0.105238-0.34%0.0113✗0.857.4M2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.123839-0.61%0.1258+0.96%0.0251✗0.931.9M2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.002920.002901-0.65%0.00311+6.51%0.0800✗1.03520k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.773239-0.67%0.78775+1.20%0.0278✗0.92512k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056515-0.68%0.0578+1.58%0.0316✗0.9099k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.373455-0.68%0.4418+17.50%0.1794✗1.1289k2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.28-0.68%7.65+4.37%0.0608✗1.11592k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.09018-0.68%0.0949+4.52%0.0606✗0.95414k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047072-0.69%0.0485+2.32%0.0397✗0.97843k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060378-0.69%0.0608+0.00%0.0193✗1.23984k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034557-0.70%0.0354+1.72%0.0333✗0.9186k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001594-0.72%0.001655+3.05%0.0471✗0.98538k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.140874-0.72%0.1418-0.07%0.0168✗1.01166k2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.156472-0.73%0.15784+0.14%0.0297✗2.086362022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.083884-0.73%0.0824-2.49%0.0083✓0.9414k2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.1038-0.74%3.1511+0.77%0.0253✗1.0127k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003861-0.75%0.00397+2.06%0.0379✗1.00152k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012068-0.76%0.0000123+1.15%0.0285✗0.94895k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.9903-0.76%7.29+3.49%0.0523✗1.0213.7M2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.00655-0.76%0.00602-8.79%0.0778✓0.651.1M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.408825-0.77%0.412+0.00%0.0177✗0.998,1172022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.100717-0.77%0.1012-0.30%0.0136✗0.87212k2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.102494-0.78%0.1018-1.45%0.0042✓1.093.7M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0945.7264-0.79%47.89+3.91%0.0588✗1.2412k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.78329-0.80%0.8243+4.39%0.0619✗1.082.0M2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.63e-7-0.82%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0277✗0.802.4M2022-09-03
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.194084-0.83%0.2036+4.04%0.0580✗1.00149k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.102635-0.84%0.102-1.45%0.0010✓0.713,4822022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036568-0.84%0.00004471+21.23%0.2101✗0.901.7M2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.045016-0.85%0.042307-6.81%0.0568✓0.5230k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.06287-0.87%0.062675-1.18%0.0074✓1.041.7M2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4546-0.89%1.5227+3.75%0.0569✗1.11336k2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6749-0.89%1.68-0.59%0.0125✗0.94704k2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.679179-0.89%0.678-1.07%0.0127✗1.44257k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.2572-0.90%31.12-1.33%0.0073✓1.1668.8M2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.653029-0.91%0.669+1.52%0.0362✗1.195.0M2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.326728-0.92%0.36179+9.71%0.1120✗0.99391k2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0382-0.93%1.0729+2.39%0.0480✗1.494.7M2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.139092-0.93%0.1379-1.78%0.0012✓0.97624k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.646-0.94%2.744+2.73%0.0450✗0.86749k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.6697-0.94%15.21+10.22%0.1192✗1.231.1M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9414-0.95%1.881-4.03%0.0142✓1.7294k2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8633-0.96%2.941+1.73%0.0427✗1.583.8M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.953728-0.96%0.9676+0.48%0.0201✗0.563.6M2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.067532-0.96%0.06648-2.51%0.0075✓0.829142022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020472-0.97%0.020633-0.19%0.0162✗0.8313k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37451.8634-0.97%52.516+0.27%0.0200✗0.74332k2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.645611-0.98%0.688+5.52%0.0731✗0.94266k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.332797-1.02%0.33497-0.37%0.0164✗0.9852k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.71e-7-1.03%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0071✓0.8117k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash45.1344.6654-1.03%46.77+3.63%0.0559✗0.98486k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.022377-1.03%0.02203-2.57%0.0080✓0.76444k2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum94.3893.4021-1.04%93.83-0.58%0.0132✗0.863.4M2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.037881-1.04%0.03762-1.72%0.0013✓0.822,8422022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.3587-1.05%48.81+6.48%0.0833✗0.99572k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.277022-1.06%0.269-3.93%0.0221✓0.72772k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.063217-1.07%0.0572-10.49%0.0910✓0.90111k2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.13075-1.10%0.13707+3.68%0.0594✗1.21210k2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.013033-1.10%0.013081-0.74%0.0102✓0.651.4M2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.50435-1.11%0.52+1.96%0.0421✗1.1488k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.7674-1.11%14.03+17.90%0.1873✗1.131.9M2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.022769-1.13%0.02059-10.59%0.0920✓0.8613.0M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0369-1.13%1.0572+0.81%0.0280✗0.8551k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8023-1.14%1.951+7.02%0.0927✗1.331.2M2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.279072-1.14%0.29127+3.18%0.0534✗1.0512k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,473.88-1.16%1,557.70+4.46%0.0689✗1.35597.1M2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.4088-1.17%60.19+13.50%0.1485✗0.9913.0M2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash61.3660.6357-1.18%62.7+2.18%0.0448✗1.131.9M2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.8031-1.18%18.9-5.69%0.0337✓1.2923.0M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1181.1265-1.20%87.18+6.17%0.0876✗1.556.7M2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050288-1.20%0.05-1.77%0.0042✓0.99252k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0033-1.22%2.045+0.84%0.0321✗1.1549k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.217358-1.25%0.212-3.68%0.0115✓1.34133k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.352385-1.26%0.354-0.81%0.0158✗1.11175k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.53350.526734-1.27%0.5434+1.86%0.0401✗0.891.6M2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.8726-1.27%10.12+1.20%0.0367✗1.18439k2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001435-1.28%0.001499+3.09%0.0506✗0.729,7092022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2735-1.28%1.29+0.00%0.0226✗0.96170k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008586-1.31%0.00869-0.11%0.0198✗0.776.4M2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.292977-1.32%0.292785-1.38%0.0103✓1.09620k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7347-1.32%1.771+0.74%0.0302✗0.94143k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.450.44399-1.34%0.4804+6.76%0.0893✗1.0440.7M2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7067-1.34%6.609+14.26%0.1507✗0.395.3M2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.2045-1.35%1.319+8.03%0.1033✗1.24518k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26113.6992-1.35%117.83+2.23%0.0471✗1.134.8M2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.063407-1.36%0.06279-2.32%0.0015✓1.122.4M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.3-1.37%17.13-2.34%0.0027✓0.71965k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,662.26-1.37%9,785.94+11.42%0.1358✗1.376.8M2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.6912-1.38%4.756-0.02%0.0276✗1.379.3M2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.653744-1.40%0.671+1.21%0.0350✗0.89248k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059556-1.40%0.0556-7.95%0.0572✓1.14252k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.363-1.40%12.6808+1.13%0.0351✗0.9635k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.26417-1.43%0.2308-13.88%0.1256✓0.94100k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.275566-1.44%0.2804+0.29%0.0270✗0.953.3M2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.066517-1.46%0.07135+5.70%0.0822✗1.2028k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7611-1.50%1.7905+0.15%0.0274✗1.0733k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.100052-1.52%0.119+17.13%0.1811✗0.76247k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.6773-1.55%4.8007+28.52%0.2725✗0.593.7M2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.34769-1.56%0.3093-12.43%0.1056✓1.13152k2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.6045-1.56%1.543-5.34%0.0269✓1.2093k2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.1766-1.57%7.3234+39.25%0.3491✗0.215.2M2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.750.737916-1.61%0.73-2.67%0.0073✓0.3486k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.9916-1.62%12.627+13.01%0.1501✗1.1210.4M2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1049-1.64%2.26+5.61%0.0791✗0.79407k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.168157-1.66%0.17-0.58%0.0218✗1.08434k2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007443-1.67%0.00798+5.42%0.0810✗1.13477k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.1972-1.68%6.499+3.11%0.0570✗0.935.2M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.82536-1.74%1.014+20.71%0.2100✗0.414.2M2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035346-1.79%0.03443-4.33%0.0161✓1.0031k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.7234-1.81%6.507+11.63%0.1370✗0.8610.1M2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.1531-1.82%4.797+13.40%0.1455✗0.142.3M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.066-1.84%6.87+11.17%0.1287✗0.421.9M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.0575-1.85%4.026-2.61%0.0021✓0.98245k2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006615-1.85%0.006407-4.94%0.0275✓0.4458k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.121259-1.89%0.1363+10.28%0.1227✗0.573.9M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.0667-1.90%5.1775+0.25%0.0230✗0.14138k2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256227-1.90%0.1834-29.79%0.3343✓0.0191k2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.539449-1.92%0.527-4.18%0.0123✓1.0984k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.917991-1.92%1.037+10.79%0.1342✗1.221.4M2022-09-03
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0044-2.01%1.195+16.59%0.1913✗1.743.4M2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.1258-2.05%4.492+6.65%0.0888✗0.372.0M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7447-2.12%1.7051-4.34%0.0124✓1.051.2M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.022733-2.17%0.026685+14.83%0.1615✗0.12258k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative3332.2799-2.18%32.23-2.33%0.0130✓1.4415.4M2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.083598-2.19%0.07801-8.73%0.0685✓0.07613k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.9688-2.19%7.5278+48.18%0.4180✗0.254.6M2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.9365-2.20%13.804+4.36%0.0698✗0.486.1M2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3426-2.20%1.1337-17.42%0.1597✓0.931.6M2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001339-2.25%0.001326-3.19%0.0017✓0.802.1M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1737.2863-2.32%19.02-50.17%0.6645✓0.851.7M2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.0678-2.45%6.85+10.13%0.1256✗0.432.5M2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.331646-2.47%0.35+2.93%0.0634✗0.94321k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.4667-2.69%4.96+8.06%0.1095✗0.471.3M2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.768546-2.72%0.8416+6.53%0.1053✗1.43161k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.1715-2.72%9.31+10.83%0.1351✗0.462.1M2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.213989-2.73%0.2171-1.32%0.0227✓0.823.1M2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.559496-2.75%0.5007-12.97%0.1028✓0.82625k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.014752-2.82%0.01336-11.99%0.0923✓0.67165k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000129991-2.92%0.00026115+95.03%0.7062✗0.85340k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.37e-7-2.93%8.93e-7+17.72%0.2012✗0.82198k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.1087-3.43%5.78+9.26%0.1277✗0.422.6M2022-09-03
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.0806-4.34%5.037+18.09%0.2207✗1.00158k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.