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2022-08-25 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0121
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047856-0.13%0.0454-5.26%0.0062✓0.6816k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.57887-0.19%0.489-15.69%0.0851✓1.222,3272022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005837-0.33%0.005808-0.83%0.0408✗0.672,6192022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,478.24-0.39%20,133.65-6.62%0.0039✗1.00485.5M2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,517.21-0.41%20,192.40-6.54%0.0016✓0.9512k2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4341-0.41%1.53+6.25%0.0605✗-0.06115k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5474-0.43%4.3083-5.66%0.0011✓0.77827k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0433-0.49%0.9424-10.12%0.0191✓1.211.0M2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.7124-0.52%9.143-6.35%0.0050✓0.951.8M2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.605263-0.53%0.54872-9.82%0.0103✓1.2845k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.227695-0.53%0.2105-8.04%0.0098✓1.0070k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.493276-0.57%0.4685-5.56%0.0247✗1.11400k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.261101-0.57%0.2424-7.69%0.0092✓0.9583k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.240407-0.58%0.2258-6.62%0.0013✓0.90510k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046625-0.59%0.0441-5.97%0.0111✗0.97182k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.06511-0.59%0.063287-3.38%0.0114✗0.58151k2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.182571-0.61%0.1809-1.52%0.0839✗1.362,2552022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.109721-0.62%0.105077-4.82%0.0153✗0.857.8M2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.164295-0.63%0.15694-5.07%0.0991✗2.116042022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6541-0.63%4.91-13.71%0.0838✓0.841.6M2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027136-0.67%0.02463-9.85%0.0100✓1.273,4352022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.13-0.69%0.124-5.27%0.0222✗1.0135k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.39980.396997-0.70%0.3628-9.25%0.0110✓1.15470k2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero153.94152.8456-0.71%154.26+0.21%0.0772✗0.991.2M2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.047461-0.74%0.044086-7.80%0.0161✓0.8432k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.30506-0.76%0.2936-4.49%0.0244✗0.927.8M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.7272-0.76%26.91-3.69%0.0353✗0.957.5M2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.943991-0.78%0.8799-7.52%0.0043✓0.9613k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006985-0.78%0.00616-12.50%0.0819✓0.641.2M2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.951348-0.79%0.9001-6.13%0.0008✓0.8084k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.047005-0.80%0.042711-9.87%0.0599✓0.5233k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.05981-0.81%0.0569-5.64%0.0124✗0.91112k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.372335-0.82%0.346-7.83%0.0113✗1.23205k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2516-0.82%1.198-5.07%0.0233✗0.982.1M2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.421204-0.82%0.4267+0.47%0.0893✗1.1189k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.407596-0.83%0.37505-8.75%0.0186✓0.9462k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.02e-7-0.85%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0310✗0.8217k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.647-0.86%1.97-26.22%0.2614✓0.5093k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.090087-0.89%0.0821-9.68%0.0273✓0.9613k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040335-0.90%0.0367-9.83%0.0371✓0.8411k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.108815-0.90%0.0996-9.29%0.0405✓0.703,6712022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039115-0.90%0.00004614+16.90%0.2260✗0.891.7M2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.17093-0.91%0.149-13.62%0.0645✓1.061,7802022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.9845-0.94%7.62-5.46%0.0288✗1.10638k2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.00416-0.95%0.00402-4.29%0.0335✗0.99152k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.11e-7-0.96%8.90e-7-3.26%0.0309✗0.792.4M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.0618-0.96%6.927-2.85%0.0534✗1.0619.5M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022809-0.96%0.02281-0.96%0.0551✗0.80419k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.832004-0.97%0.78027-7.13%0.0018✓0.91507k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.06849-0.99%0.062347-9.87%0.0234✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.066931-0.99%0.0612-9.47%0.0059✓1.221.0M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.9529-1.00%6.315-10.08%0.0080✓1.2910.3M2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.370401-1.00%0.34021-9.07%0.0193✓0.9687k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.9738-1.00%2.946-1.93%0.0339✗0.63669k2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.506-1.02%7.184-5.26%0.0262✗1.0214.0M2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003280.003246-1.04%0.00318-3.05%0.0502✗1.03537k2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4507-1.04%2.2908-7.49%0.0148✗1.2013k2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.856681-1.05%0.8299-4.15%0.0420✗1.082.2M2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1917.0037-1.08%15.87-7.68%0.0064✓1.10130k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097821-1.09%0.0925-6.47%0.0080✓0.93430k2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.110382-1.09%0.1013-9.23%0.0269✓0.86255k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.996902-1.10%0.9574-5.02%0.0028✓0.553.6M2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.068334-1.11%0.058-16.06%0.1023✓0.90116k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.452915-1.11%0.414-9.61%0.0218✓0.998,8922022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1872-1.12%1.06-11.71%0.0286✓1.24981k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.292686-1.12%0.276-6.76%0.0095✓0.72826k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.03846-1.13%0.0353-9.25%0.0225✓0.9286k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9208-1.14%1.693-12.87%0.0641✓0.91782k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.360933-1.14%0.31561-13.56%0.0673✓0.98435k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.02225-1.16%0.021111-6.22%0.0032✓0.8113k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.9855-1.17%2.931-2.98%0.0897✗1.584.0M2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003454-1.19%0.002879-17.63%0.1229✓0.861.1M2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61554.9545-1.19%52.447-5.70%0.0038✓0.74332k2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4505-1.19%2.28-8.06%0.0109✓1.21299k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5224-1.20%1.461-5.19%0.0386✗1.16138k2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4850.857-1.21%48.03-6.70%0.0264✗1.2215k2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1205-1.21%1.047-7.69%0.0096✓0.8553k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.069447-1.23%0.06737-4.18%0.0254✗0.819142022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8331-1.23%1.789-3.61%0.0413✗0.96146k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.039429-1.25%0.03845-3.71%0.0307✗0.822,7072022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.9088-1.26%2.735-7.16%0.0039✓0.84749k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.8039-1.27%31.62-10.30%0.0172✓1.1570.1M2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013752-1.28%0.00001229-11.77%0.0496✓0.92900k2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.5314-1.28%14.02-4.76%0.0478✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.503182-1.30%0.5023-1.47%0.0541✗0.81625k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001739-1.30%0.00149-15.44%0.0930✓0.90590k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.720499-1.30%0.71-2.74%0.0103✓0.36105k2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.215062-1.30%0.2038-6.47%0.0147✗1.00149k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052211-1.30%0.0486-8.13%0.0064✓0.95877k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.155447-1.30%0.1435-8.89%0.0115✓1.00178k2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.265663-1.31%0.2309-14.23%0.0730✓0.98109k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash49.1848.5312-1.32%44.79-8.93%0.0143✓0.96504k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.114337-1.35%0.1049-9.49%0.0129✓1.073.7M2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6464-1.36%1.5398-7.74%0.0077✓1.09355k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4298-1.36%3.1819-8.49%0.0073✓0.9930k2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023584-1.36%0.02063-13.72%0.0752✓0.8613.4M2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.299935-1.37%0.30195-0.71%0.0781✗1.0413k2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.152852-1.39%0.141-9.03%0.0146✓0.96668k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.009013-1.39%0.00869-4.92%0.0155✗0.766.4M2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6255.8283-1.40%57.56+1.66%0.0983✗0.9913.5M2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.779916-1.40%0.6827-13.69%0.0357✓1.42259k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4097-1.42%1.32-7.69%0.0007✓0.95182k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.723566-1.42%0.674-8.17%0.0205✗1.335.0M2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.56910.560967-1.43%0.5486-3.60%0.0384✗0.881.7M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001574-1.43%0.001534-3.94%0.0229✗0.719,9742022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.141199-1.44%0.13757-3.97%0.0578✗1.22213k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.138766-1.44%0.1272-9.66%0.0219✓0.951.9M2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.5447.8339-1.45%47.43-2.29%0.0589✗0.98607k2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.457423-1.46%0.4576-1.42%0.0715✗1.0440.7M2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.05399-1.48%0.0506-7.66%0.0030✓0.99256k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.234831-1.50%0.2265-4.99%0.0564✗1.35133k2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0964-1.50%5.5317+6.91%0.0919✗0.14158k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014264-1.50%0.013315-8.06%0.0258✓0.631.4M2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.157-1.50%1.955-10.73%0.0195✗1.72114k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum106.79105.1712-1.52%95.02-11.02%0.0439✓0.843.5M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.2563-1.52%12.1573-9.69%0.0215✓0.9539k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.732651-1.53%0.668-10.22%0.0296✓0.92322k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash67.7566.7128-1.53%58.98-12.94%0.0467✓1.122.0M2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.562109-1.56%0.514-9.98%0.0125✓1.1288k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.388829-1.56%0.3534-10.53%0.0207✓1.09174k2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.256689-1.58%0.2187-16.14%0.1595✓0.0187k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.2501-1.61%6.313-0.61%0.0729✗0.925.2M2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.31642-1.62%0.297461-7.52%0.0120✓1.08743k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.1821-1.66%4.1452-2.53%0.0279✗0.542.9M2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.1903-1.67%10.09-11.34%0.0225✓1.18439k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.068622-1.67%0.06427-7.91%0.0102✓1.112.4M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006686-1.68%0.006401-5.87%0.0134✓0.4457k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.300422-1.69%0.2842-7.00%0.0093✓0.953.4M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.16-1.70%1.1541-2.19%0.0967✗1.484.9M2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum35.2334.6286-1.71%30.57-13.23%0.0033✓1.87365k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.062499-1.73%0.0557-12.42%0.0362✓1.15258k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,665.91-1.73%1,586.23-6.43%0.0421✗1.33608.4M2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2798-1.73%2.24-3.45%0.0369✗0.80520k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.082564-1.77%0.08-4.82%0.0254✓0.09637k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2483-1.78%2.05-10.44%0.0140✓1.1460k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.0911-1.79%17.1-7.17%0.0085✓0.701.4M2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.187515-1.82%0.171-10.47%0.0194✓1.06500k2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.6152-1.83%6.7053+17.23%0.1880✗0.155.0M2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.364892-1.83%0.3074-17.30%0.0939✓1.13111k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3591.6352-1.84%86.42-7.42%0.0467✗1.546.7M2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3573-1.86%1.292-6.58%0.0343✗1.22534k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.074458-1.87%0.07449-1.83%0.0819✗1.1929k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9535-1.88%1.803-9.44%0.0075✓1.0633k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.710275-1.90%0.669-7.60%0.0002✓0.87253k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.110262-1.90%0.117+4.09%0.1072✗0.70250k2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.1372.0961-1.91%2.047-4.21%0.0654✗1.301.2M2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.7085-1.92%6.91+1.02%0.0554✗0.382.1M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69128.1498-1.94%116.73-10.68%0.0170✓1.114.9M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.978397-1.96%1.059+6.11%0.1629✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.4194-1.98%6.087-7.05%0.0315✓0.325.3M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.6275-1.98%3.853-18.39%0.1179✓0.95225k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6169-2.00%4.485-4.80%0.0231✓0.092.4M2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,598.52-2.01%9,216.45-5.91%0.0523✗1.367.3M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.3211-2.05%13.45-1.10%0.0860✗1.111.9M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.5044-2.07%19.3-16.01%0.0654✓1.2924.1M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007842-2.10%0.00795-0.75%0.0916✗1.14513k2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.222-2.11%5.77-9.22%0.0178✓0.8410.1M2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.572-2.14%12.73-0.91%0.0880✗1.1010.4M2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.2632-2.15%4.764-11.43%0.0071✓1.3510.1M2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7714-2.16%1.7801-1.68%0.0773✗1.06980k2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.902442-2.23%0.974+5.53%0.1056✗0.434.2M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3584-2.23%1.1439-17.67%0.1090✓0.921.5M2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.5772-2.24%4.31-7.95%0.0383✓0.321.9M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.371587-2.24%0.3184-16.23%0.0682✓1.26152k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.7694-2.24%1.533-15.30%0.0618✓1.19103k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.5498-2.25%12.927-6.75%0.0183✓0.423.8M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.4497-2.28%7.8225+40.27%0.3738✗0.183.5M2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022811-2.28%0.026903+15.25%0.1722✗0.11250k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.585845-2.36%0.527-12.17%0.0313✓1.09102k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1436.2104-2.50%32.92-11.36%0.0029✓1.4316.0M2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134276-2.56%0.1398+1.45%0.0780✗0.553.9M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.04005-2.58%0.03497-14.94%0.0684✓0.9828k2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8936.898-2.62%21.47-43.34%0.4813✓0.881.8M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1468-2.65%1.178+0.00%0.1449✗1.723.6M2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016213-2.68%0.01325-20.47%0.1560✓0.67173k2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001484-2.69%0.001346-11.76%0.0449✓0.772.0M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.6156-2.71%6.87+1.03%0.0633✗0.372.7M2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.79694-2.78%0.8971+9.44%0.2186✗1.46205k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.218234-2.79%0.2143-4.54%0.0369✗0.802.6M2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.8986-3.00%4.79-5.15%0.0060✓0.411.3M2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.8238-3.14%9.54+4.72%0.1074✗0.432.4M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.79e-7-3.16%8.97e-7+11.60%0.1971✗0.80192k2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.362549-3.18%0.3455-7.74%0.0152✓0.93321k2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000127132-3.19%0.00027606+110.22%0.8313✗0.82340k2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.635-3.84%5.79-1.19%0.0529✗0.382.9M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.0887-5.08%4.8782+13.24%0.2451✗1.00171k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.