8=======>

2022-08-16 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1157
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.1%
in alpha space · 86.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.968518+0.16%0.893-7.65%0.0317✗0.484.4M2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025424+0.14%0.02359-7.09%0.0131✓0.86271k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.810.810096+0.01%0.74-8.64%0.0495✗0.40105k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000010.000001+0.01%9.00e-7-10.00%0.0270✗0.7621k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.959-0.02%5.74-3.69%0.0697✗1.041.5M2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044488-0.03%0.0408-8.31%0.0071✗0.9111k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008277-0.03%0.00708-14.49%0.0910✓0.641.6M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.052004-0.09%0.04645-10.76%0.0407✓0.7016k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2442-0.12%5.389+2.63%0.0412✗0.14225k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.315419-0.18%0.287-9.18%0.0178✓0.751.0M2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.566521-0.21%0.4933-13.11%0.0243✓1.11388k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.080914-0.23%0.0678-16.40%0.0922✓0.82134k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069593-0.24%0.066225-5.07%0.0131✗0.61182k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006747-0.30%0.005889-12.97%0.0633✓0.713,2222022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.299137-0.32%0.2559-14.73%0.0618✓0.9281k2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260308-0.34%0.2605-0.27%0.0021✓0.0159k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024519-0.34%0.021625-12.11%0.0427✓0.8113k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.3542-0.34%9.713-6.52%0.0364✗0.982.0M2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.502922-0.35%0.41-18.76%0.0875✓1.1460k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8737-0.40%4.5224-7.58%0.0006✓0.72912k2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0181-0.44%0.943427-7.75%0.0002✓0.7477k2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1509-0.45%0.94089-18.62%0.1058✓0.9312k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.210351-0.45%0.1727-18.27%0.0510✓1.421,3972022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.121215-0.46%0.110676-9.12%0.0006✓0.887.8M2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,746.13-0.47%21,528.34-9.76%0.0047✗1.00482.6M2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4628-0.49%1.43-2.72%0.0242✓-0.01124k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.65e-7-0.51%9.10e-7-6.19%0.0215✗0.785.4M2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.031198-0.52%0.02647-15.59%0.0313✓1.293,2032022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027745-0.52%0.02356-15.53%0.0659✓0.9514.3M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.142952-0.52%0.124-13.71%0.0350✓1.0443k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.353368-0.54%0.29912-15.80%0.0592✓1.0514k2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.205885-0.54%0.1725-16.67%0.0679✓1.061,7402022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.47620.473606-0.54%0.3899-18.12%0.0814✓1.10808k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.242663-0.55%0.185-24.18%0.1539✓1.14696k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054499-0.55%0.048516-11.47%0.0658✓0.4936k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.270.268487-0.56%0.2343-13.22%0.0474✓0.86550k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.426753-0.57%0.37206-13.32%0.0362✓0.9896k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.586292-0.58%0.5139-12.85%0.0477✓0.82784k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2636-0.58%1.067-16.05%0.0422✓1.241.1M2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2463-0.58%1.1311-9.77%0.0079✓0.8756k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero169.61168.6084-0.59%154.81-8.73%0.0135✗0.961.2M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053581-0.59%0.047-12.80%0.0297✓0.99220k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.122254-0.61%0.1087-11.63%0.0397✓0.764,2082022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006895-0.61%0.006696-3.47%0.0176✗0.4655k2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.187135-0.62%0.16294-13.47%0.0910✗2.236712022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.00473-0.63%0.00408-14.29%0.0434✓1.02158k2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.1017-0.63%4.3642+39.82%0.3951✗0.521.3M2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.051612-0.69%0.046576-10.38%0.0109✓0.8943k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.4553-0.70%27.78-9.42%0.0030✓0.929.2M2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9187-0.73%2.79-5.10%0.0087✗0.5296k2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.2832-0.75%7.109-14.82%0.0206✓1.2910.1M2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.2737-0.83%2.4359-26.21%0.1679✓1.2413k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000044605-0.83%0.00003947-12.25%0.0327✓0.872.0M2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,656.17-0.86%21,511.10-9.85%0.0046✓0.977,5932022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.105969-0.87%0.0914-14.50%0.0438✓1.0110k2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001746-0.88%0.001585-9.99%0.0203✓0.749,4152022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.451888-0.88%0.3851-15.53%0.0464✓1.10190k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4124-0.89%1.242-12.84%0.0258✓1.002.5M2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.0855-0.89%7.16+16.61%0.2044✗0.411.1M2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.0128-0.91%0.8686-15.02%0.0316✓1.192.3M2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1767-0.91%0.04351-96.34%3.1816✓1.1313k2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.467574-0.92%0.4051-14.16%0.0650✓0.7670k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.084953-0.96%0.08526-0.61%0.0275✗0.231.1M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9965-0.97%1.817-9.87%0.0269✗1.18157k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068119-0.99%0.0622-9.59%0.0089✓0.80119k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0197-0.99%0.83469-18.95%0.1030✓0.95623k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.167848-1.00%0.14275-15.81%0.0338✓1.25250k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.5056-1.01%49.54-11.65%0.0092✓1.02645k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.349038-1.01%0.3076-12.76%0.0315✓0.928.3M2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.441856-1.02%0.3844-13.89%0.0104✓1.25255k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7322-1.02%1.4-20.00%0.1099✓1.00190k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.685401-1.03%0.57919-16.36%0.0361✓1.2951k2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.5824-1.04%3.142-13.20%0.0604✓0.69976k2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.086136-1.04%0.068797-20.96%0.1209✓1.011.8M2022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16860.5304-1.04%56.254-8.03%0.0019✓0.69365k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash52.4651.9034-1.06%48.5-7.55%0.0318✗0.97595k2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.7437-1.08%7.635-13.62%0.0307✓1.0214.8M2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2952-1.16%2.977-10.71%0.0156✓0.84696k2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6553-1.18%1.373-18.03%0.0539✓1.30520k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.125008-1.18%0.1117-11.70%0.0238✓0.86317k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017323-1.18%0.01736-0.97%0.0838✗0.79153k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.252573-1.18%0.2192-14.24%0.0043✓1.34131k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7189-1.20%2.25-18.24%0.0706✓1.1564k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.004010.003962-1.20%0.00324-19.20%0.0952✓1.03554k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6187-1.22%2.153-18.79%0.0181✓1.73144k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.177539-1.26%0.1575-12.40%0.0097✓1.07616k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.183753-1.26%0.1488-20.04%0.1075✓1.01140k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3360.55-1.27%57.1-6.90%0.0459✗1.0213.5M2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.241-1.28%1.9643-13.47%0.0236✓1.0538k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34134.591-1.28%133.41-2.15%0.1041✗1.105.1M2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046205-1.29%0.039-16.68%0.0880✓0.792,5822022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.112307-1.31%0.1008-11.42%0.0057✓1.00456k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.7144-1.31%14.66-18.33%0.0662✓1.201.7M2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.2169-1.32%2.44-25.15%0.1509✓1.22269k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.1346-1.32%5.224+24.68%0.2704✗0.361.6M2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.403161-1.33%0.39145-4.19%0.0639✗0.91446k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6132-1.34%1.9086+16.73%0.2986✗1.27598k2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8633-1.34%1.5941-15.60%0.0422✓1.11488k2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001993-1.35%0.001746-13.56%0.0294✓1.00901k2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008424-1.36%0.00808-5.39%0.0697✗1.08463k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.260901-1.36%0.2228-15.77%0.0550✓1.0091k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3908-1.36%1.2121-14.04%0.0083✓1.261.2M2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.69044-1.37%0.617-11.86%0.0116✓1.21135k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.7003-1.37%0.592-16.62%0.0459✓1.192,7912022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.9827-1.37%5.147+27.46%0.2815✗0.242.1M2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.334544-1.37%0.2977-12.23%0.0175✓0.973.6M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.8384-1.40%17.42-13.42%0.0137✓1.13121k2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.468225-1.41%0.39-17.88%0.0439✓1.35211k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.077296-1.41%0.0673-14.16%0.0187✓1.171.4M2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3747-1.43%1.962-18.56%0.0946✓0.94680k2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9548-1.44%3.5261-12.13%0.0148✓0.9750k2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1319-1.48%1.0251-10.78%0.0348✓0.633.9M2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.297387-1.49%0.2756-8.71%0.0343✗1.07178k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.068551-1.51%0.0546-21.55%0.1216✓1.03253k2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.61150.602253-1.51%0.5572-8.88%0.0186✗0.942.1M2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.661797-1.52%0.569-15.33%0.0312✓1.17115k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0295-1.53%1.847-10.38%0.0074✓0.99181k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.3238-1.53%2.3-2.54%0.0839✗0.92520k2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.536419-1.57%0.444-18.53%0.0883✓0.9811k2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.041929-1.58%0.0382-10.33%0.0065✓0.9776k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015559-1.59%0.00001332-15.75%0.0586✓0.94827k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.118-1.59%50.74-16.94%0.0435✓1.2323k2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.081264-1.59%0.07069-14.40%0.0604✓0.778802022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.259396-1.59%0.2209-16.20%0.0579✓1.00111k2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.1882-1.62%7.04+11.92%0.1675✗0.371.4M2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.127971-1.64%0.1138-12.53%0.0060✓1.083.9M2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.356101-1.64%0.310587-14.21%0.0298✓1.04962k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.391888-1.66%0.3902-2.08%0.1083✗1.10101k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.6614-1.68%6.0884+63.50%0.5583✗0.481.9M2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015696-1.69%0.01447-9.37%0.0178✓0.622.1M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.9159-1.70%6.803+13.04%0.1501✗0.103.4M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.789-1.70%13.538+129.89%0.8777✗0.271.2M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.738-1.71%9.49+6.75%0.1156✗0.321.8M2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.854847-1.74%0.722-17.01%0.0231✓1.424.6M2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.6153-1.76%3.05-17.12%0.0098✓1.565.3M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.3036-1.77%7.241-14.34%0.0263✓1.0820.0M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011334-1.79%0.00923-20.02%0.1284✓0.755.8M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.803297-1.80%0.725-11.37%0.0073✓0.93357k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3612.1377-1.80%10.63-14.00%0.0178✓1.12313k2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.824829-1.81%0.733-12.74%0.0227✓0.93280k2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.16457-1.81%0.1397-16.65%0.0654✓0.962.3M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4275-1.82%1.335-8.18%0.1298✗1.923.7M2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.8053-1.83%4.429+14.27%0.2388✗0.85124k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.723-1.85%13.6-9.33%0.0395✗1.162.6M2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.0002-1.86%7.88-22.67%0.1265✓1.09592k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.6269-1.88%6.378-17.95%0.0783✓0.985.4M2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.1818-1.88%12.135+6.48%0.1989✗1.1413.2M2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.2672-1.88%6.378-24.31%0.1747✓0.839.5M2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,799.42-1.91%9,225.54-16.21%0.0216✓1.326.5M2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.54635-1.93%0.466-16.35%0.0539✓1.0243.6M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.8868-1.93%1.57-18.40%0.0684✓1.12170k2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.8539-1.94%5.38+8.69%0.1474✗0.431.2M2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.2534-1.94%35.67-17.22%0.0484✓1.1881.1M2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.7841-1.95%13.7842-8.58%0.0283✗0.9658k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash75.9574.4304-2.00%66.35-12.64%0.0020✓1.102.1M2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.4436-2.00%5.9126+68.26%0.5743✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.6852.6308-2.02%2.143-20.19%0.0739✓1.28873k2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.025116-2.04%0.02313-9.78%0.0632✓0.19232k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.050082-2.05%0.03743-26.79%0.1918✓0.9721k2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.088096-2.07%0.07289-18.98%0.0724✓1.142.4M2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062865-2.08%0.0517-19.47%0.0892✓1.04877k2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.938876-2.10%0.973+1.46%0.1608✗1.221.3M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.258-2.12%1.1837-7.90%0.0845✗1.416.4M2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.089267-2.13%0.07645-16.18%0.0373✓1.1529k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0491-2.13%0.7906-26.25%0.1372✓1.42469k2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.0647-2.13%5.245-15.36%0.0085✓1.3312.6M2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.100204-2.15%0.1015-0.88%0.0984✗0.83220k2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.004012-2.18%0.003625-11.61%0.0207✓0.781.0M2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,834.60-2.24%1,665.93-11.22%0.0390✗1.32534.1M2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.3164-2.27%6.39+17.46%0.2216✗0.372.0M2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4364-2.33%1.3042-11.32%0.0020✓0.961.0M2022-08-23
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.44067-2.38%0.301-33.32%0.2917✓0.871922022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.071643-2.39%0.0652-11.17%0.0249✗1.16331k2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum38.937.9515-2.44%34.76-10.64%0.1157✗1.98408k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum116.11113.1567-2.54%109.96-5.30%0.0556✗0.823.6M2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.7954-2.58%18.01-11.37%0.0250✓0.682.2M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001544-2.67%0.001591+0.28%0.1127✗0.811.6M2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000094375-2.81%0.00010583+8.99%0.2123✗0.95336k2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79106.6634-2.85%89.48-18.50%0.0183✓1.536.4M2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.150194-2.85%0.1294-16.30%0.0858✓0.624.4M2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8838.6961-2.97%34.36-13.84%0.0223✓1.3716.5M2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.342278-3.15%0.32919-6.86%0.0510✗0.88402k2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.203068-3.16%0.2505+19.46%0.2978✗0.861.2M2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.935589-3.25%0.8205-15.15%0.0287✓1.56244k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.1939-3.38%23.51-13.28%0.0296✓1.3430.5M2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6139.235-3.39%41.17+1.38%0.1598✗1.091.8M2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.08e-7-4.79%8.22e-7+10.50%0.2153✗0.65164k2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.7772-6.31%4.6501-8.80%0.0758✗1.00111k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.