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2022-08-14 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0030
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.4%
in alpha space · 84.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.939036+0.75%0.876-6.01%0.0054✓0.524.4M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.810.813606+0.45%0.73-9.88%0.0578✗0.41105k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1455+0.35%5.1185-0.17%0.0112✓0.13233k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001014+0.35%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0081✓0.7721k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008278+0.33%0.00718-12.97%0.0635✗0.641.6M2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025785+0.22%0.02257-12.28%0.0289✗0.85209k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006723+0.14%0.005915-11.89%0.0400✗0.723,2222022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.287077+0.10%0.2628-8.37%0.0250✓0.9370k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.327177+0.05%0.288-11.93%0.0286✗0.811.1M2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.261142+0.02%0.2611+0.00%0.0015✓0.0155k2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.0472-0.00%0.0412-12.71%0.0178✓0.9711k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.055375-0.01%0.04674-15.60%0.0804✓0.7316k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224922-0.03%0.187-16.89%0.0361✓1.22657k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006712-0.12%0.006771+0.76%0.0635✗0.4555k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070258-0.13%0.065924-6.29%0.0105✗0.61192k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.055-0.17%0.927762-12.21%0.0344✓0.7777k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025537-0.18%0.02191-14.35%0.0499✓0.8413k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085219-0.21%0.0696-18.50%0.0935✓0.89130k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2576-0.23%1.0912-13.43%0.0300✓0.9256k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.593098-0.27%0.4896-17.67%0.0545✓1.12365k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.6144-0.30%9.628-9.56%0.0218✗0.982.0M2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.05628-0.31%0.051048-9.57%0.0358✓0.5136k2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032189-0.31%0.0271-16.07%0.0139✓1.292,9912022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.2105-0.33%0.1759-16.71%0.0054✓1.421,3132022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.532603-0.34%0.4286-19.80%0.0786✓1.1359k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0366-0.36%4.5693-9.61%0.0081✓0.73882k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.125189-0.36%0.110977-11.67%0.0097✓0.917.2M2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,226.10-0.37%21,518.62-11.51%0.0037✓1.00472.7M2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.443051-0.38%0.37086-16.61%0.0542✓1.01109k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.2012-0.38%0.96387-20.07%0.1017✓0.9712k2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.147103-0.40%0.1243-15.84%0.0349✓1.0946k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.170905-0.40%0.1499-12.65%0.0053✓1.03131k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero168.04167.3398-0.42%154.56-8.02%0.0422✗0.991.2M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004969-0.42%0.00421-15.63%0.0360✓1.06145k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099075-0.43%0.0898-9.75%0.0282✗1.039,7202022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9669-0.44%2.76-7.38%0.0082✓0.52102k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.3917-0.44%5.91-7.94%0.0509✗1.061.4M2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.7022-0.45%27.72-10.12%0.0120✗0.939.8M2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.053561-0.46%0.046233-14.07%0.0329✓0.9343k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.365775-0.47%0.30199-17.83%0.0584✓1.0913k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.271007-0.47%0.2375-12.78%0.0186✓0.93551k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4926-0.49%1.38-8.00%0.0774✓0.01132k2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053818-0.52%0.0473-12.57%0.0079✓0.99237k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.49170.489114-0.53%0.395-19.67%0.0754✓1.13808k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001005-0.53%9.00e-7-10.89%0.0151✓0.785.7M2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.0603-0.54%2.478-19.47%0.0475✓1.3413k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.08524-0.56%0.09106+6.23%0.0949✗0.241.1M2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.605914-0.57%0.5133-15.77%0.0727✓0.76784k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.190503-0.62%0.16409-14.40%0.1239✗2.236712022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,057.03-0.63%21,631.30-10.65%0.0121✗0.977,5932022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.129964-0.64%0.109-16.67%0.0787✓0.793,9702022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045837-0.66%0.00003955-14.28%0.0372✓0.902.1M2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.08115-0.67%0.069279-15.20%0.0325✓1.031.8M2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.1386-0.70%3.6812+16.46%0.2214✗0.511.3M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.029052-0.71%0.02263-22.66%0.1275✓1.0014.3M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3311-0.74%1.072-20.06%0.0657✓1.231.1M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001779-0.74%0.001501-16.24%0.0771✓0.769,0932022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.694728-0.75%0.636-9.14%0.0696✗1.29137k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.226627-0.78%0.1768-22.59%0.1148✓1.091,7402022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4335-0.79%1.243-13.98%0.0185✓1.022.6M2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.253435-0.81%0.2298-10.06%0.0670✗1.35132k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.1188-0.83%6.56+6.32%0.1109✗0.341.0M2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010283-0.84%0.00945-8.87%0.0177✗0.845.6M2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017472-0.84%0.01736-1.48%0.0803✗0.71155k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39161.8677-0.84%54.958-11.91%0.0293✓0.73354k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1969-0.84%1.0512-12.91%0.0051✓1.1013k2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.488442-0.85%0.41334-16.10%0.1096✓0.4770k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.704026-0.86%0.58884-17.08%0.0157✓1.3349k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7347-0.87%1.39-20.57%0.0941✓1.04190k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0327-0.89%2.48-18.95%0.0454✓1.27244k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.9528-0.93%16.73-16.93%0.0315✓1.18124k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.479164-0.94%0.3848-20.45%0.0812✓1.13190k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.7155-0.95%1.352-21.94%0.0760✓1.33460k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash55.0854.556-0.95%46.8-15.03%0.0334✓0.98574k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.360696-0.96%0.3062-15.93%0.0455✓0.978.3M2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.3008-0.97%50.64-13.98%0.0140✓1.04524k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.794-0.99%7.211-18.81%0.0378✓1.3110.0M2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.8657-1.00%7.434-16.98%0.0459✓1.0713.7M2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.127112-1.00%0.1115-13.16%0.0197✓0.91328k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0626-1.02%0.85255-20.58%0.0983✓1.00574k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.4107-1.02%2.914-15.44%0.0515✓0.87640k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7444-1.03%2.229-19.62%0.0642✓1.1862k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.175429-1.06%0.14385-18.87%0.0419✓1.28243k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.26641-1.07%0.224-16.82%0.0509✓1.0091k2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071321-1.08%0.0597-17.20%0.0758✓0.83119k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0843-1.09%0.8737-20.30%0.0671✓1.222.3M2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8024-1.11%1.6327-10.42%0.0396✗1.13467k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.004030.003985-1.12%0.00326-19.11%0.0691✓1.08517k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.400209-1.12%0.37078-8.39%0.0415✗0.96479k2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008552-1.13%0.00947+9.48%0.2390✗1.12463k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.182094-1.14%0.1556-15.53%0.0226✓1.10586k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2856-1.15%1.9484-15.73%0.0281✓1.0838k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3595-1.15%1.914-19.82%0.0903✓0.97607k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45137.7996-1.18%119.67-14.18%0.0042✓1.125.1M2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6284-1.20%1.7908+8.66%0.2500✗1.27540k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1762.4024-1.22%55.68-11.86%0.0141✗1.0513.6M2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.342473-1.22%0.2949-14.94%0.0247✓1.023.6M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1601-1.23%1.724-21.17%0.0858✓1.14169k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.473359-1.24%0.3918-18.26%0.0273✓1.32242k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019598-1.25%0.023427+18.04%0.1997✗0.17230k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.102-1.25%4.479+7.82%0.1281✗0.331.7M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.527288-1.26%0.47-11.99%0.0078✓1.0014k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.069415-1.26%0.054-23.19%0.1201✓1.07225k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.115115-1.27%0.1011-13.29%0.0023✓1.04499k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.8156-1.28%3.174-17.88%0.0981✓0.701.1M2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.62130.613299-1.29%0.5638-9.25%0.0367✗0.992.4M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002075-1.30%0.001778-15.41%0.0321✓1.001.0M2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0398-1.31%6.35+3.76%0.0919✗0.341.4M2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.0478-1.32%5.101+24.35%0.2604✗0.242.2M2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048766-1.32%0.0402-18.66%0.0938✓0.812,5822022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.281601-1.33%0.2119-25.75%0.1621✓1.00108k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4601-1.34%1.21-18.24%0.0294✓1.301.2M2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.3103-1.35%14.47-22.04%0.0900✓1.191.6M2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015466-1.35%0.014659-6.49%0.0255✗0.652.1M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.079798-1.36%0.0675-16.56%0.0274✓1.151.4M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.0101-1.42%1.876-7.99%0.0529✗1.00189k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1052-1.42%1.0779-3.86%0.0584✗0.683.9M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.6412-1.43%10.41-11.85%0.0277✗1.14305k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.079977-1.45%0.07057-13.04%0.0310✓0.778802022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1293-1.46%3.4692-17.22%0.0518✓1.0053k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0462.1145-1.47%50.91-19.24%0.0429✓1.2835k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.7666-1.48%2.17-22.72%0.0290✓1.75144k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.368544-1.49%0.308829-17.45%0.0449✓1.08916k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.688456-1.51%0.572-18.17%0.0381✓1.20115k2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.294997-1.54%0.2705-9.71%0.0459✗1.08189k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.1076-1.55%6.413-22.13%0.1290✓0.868.3M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.741336-1.55%0.611-18.86%0.0426✓1.232,7912022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.965607-1.57%0.804-18.04%0.0049✓1.46407k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.860252-1.57%0.722-17.39%0.0038✓1.464.4M2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.8242-1.63%8.93-0.45%0.0259✗0.111.8M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash73.7172.4868-1.66%64.62-12.33%0.0259✗1.152.3M2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042089-1.66%0.0377-11.92%0.0138✓1.0176k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.136984-1.66%0.108-22.47%0.1014✓1.123.9M2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.560619-1.66%0.4624-18.89%0.0631✓1.0642.0M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.168091-1.70%0.1393-18.54%0.0647✓1.012.6M2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.2458-1.70%6.594+3.78%0.0669✗0.103.5M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9049-1.76%1.562-19.44%0.0581✓1.15203k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.824205-1.76%0.7-16.57%0.0493✓0.93370k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.510692-1.77%0.3841-26.12%0.1226✓1.33213k2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.6277-1.77%5.9198+60.29%0.5452✗0.451.9M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.6144-1.77%7.08-19.27%0.0607✓1.1119.3M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.990038-1.78%0.919-8.83%0.0742✗1.221.3M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.5043-1.79%2.38-6.67%0.0629✗0.93636k2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana44.8944.072-1.82%36.48-18.73%0.0409✓1.2178.8M2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.8717-1.83%5.094+29.16%0.3800✗0.86124k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.2610.0712-1.84%8.2-20.08%0.0694✓1.11638k2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8311,019.20-1.85%8,749.39-22.07%0.0679✓1.336.5M2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.4724-1.85%4.9686+40.44%0.3986✗0.331.6M2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.965-1.88%5.04-0.40%0.0637✗0.401.3M2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.086642-1.88%0.07522-14.81%0.0032✓1.1329k2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.441.4126-1.91%1.176-18.33%0.0511✗1.923.7M2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.8476-1.92%6.459-19.27%0.0697✓1.025.5M2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.2488-1.94%13.18-9.29%0.0723✗1.232.6M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.8845-1.96%14.1071-12.93%0.0022✓0.9959k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004108-1.96%0.003742-10.69%0.0049✓0.801.0M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.3589-1.98%10.644-8.15%0.0779✗1.1713.2M2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.869092-2.02%0.728-17.93%0.0597✓0.96280k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.8322.7743-2.04%2.163-23.62%0.0931✓1.27754k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.3081-2.07%5.94+9.59%0.1454✗0.272.0M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.065573-2.13%0.0514-23.28%0.1100✓1.09877k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016516-2.15%0.00001348-20.14%0.0857✓0.96679k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,893.02-2.21%1,617.84-16.43%0.0049✓1.32522.8M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.8004-2.22%12.738+114.73%0.8126✗0.211.1M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.090726-2.25%0.06849-26.20%0.1324✓1.222.2M2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.07478-2.25%0.0654-14.51%0.0151✓1.22350k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.047667-2.30%0.03818-21.75%0.0974✓1.0220k2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.2179-2.36%5.19-18.50%0.0150✓1.3612.8M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.16e-7-2.36%7.12e-7+67.40%0.6227✗0.68150k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001397-2.41%0.001518+6.05%0.1881✗0.861.5M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3553-2.44%1.0248-26.23%0.1048✓1.436.4M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.4229-2.46%1.3019-10.76%0.0334✗1.001.0M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.12432-2.49%0.1006-21.10%0.1040✓0.88220k2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.7244-2.53%3.111-18.58%0.0144✓1.595.3M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.401324-2.54%0.3366-18.26%0.0408✓1.10100k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2420.6772-2.65%18.97-10.69%0.0012✓0.702.2M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.176119-2.75%0.1872+3.37%0.1657✗0.861.1M2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum118.61115.3457-2.75%110.77-6.61%0.0657✗0.873.8M2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000097371-2.77%0.00009038-9.75%0.0501✗1.02336k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44104.4263-2.81%85.89-20.06%0.0044✓1.567.1M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum43.2642.0301-2.84%34.76-19.65%0.0487✗1.95385k2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.15935-2.89%0.1381-15.84%0.0611✓0.674.4M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5740.3575-2.92%33.76-18.79%0.0094✓1.3816.5M2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.364694-3.15%0.32001-15.02%0.0233✓0.88439k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.474473-3.27%0.3715-24.26%0.1404✓0.851382022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2737.966-3.32%44.36+12.96%0.2914✗1.111.7M2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.968511-3.33%0.8569-14.47%0.0712✗1.58296k2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1927.2226-3.43%22.97-18.52%0.0015✓1.3830.5M2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.