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2022-08-12 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1534
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.0%
in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.8313+0.71%5.2071+8.54%0.0957✓0.13307k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0187+0.56%0.847-16.39%0.0976✗0.554.2M2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001035+0.45%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0510✗0.7721k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.830.83354+0.43%0.74-10.84%0.0480✗0.4591k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008411+0.36%0.00703-16.11%0.0768✗0.651.6M2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.054145+0.34%0.04452-17.49%0.0770✗0.7516k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072446+0.17%0.067937-6.06%0.0996✓1.031.7M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261751+0.13%0.2612-0.08%0.0000✓0.0144k2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.0069+0.11%0.005861-14.97%0.0485✗0.723,4592022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006839+0.10%0.006691-2.06%0.0572✓0.5053k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.329205+0.06%0.272-17.33%0.0561✗0.851.1M2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.02665+0.04%0.02251-15.50%0.0410✗0.81186k2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2881+0.02%1.068-17.07%0.0389✗0.9456k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.607383-0.00%0.4754-21.73%0.0662✓1.13332k2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.175122-0.04%0.1502-14.27%0.0100✗1.03131k2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.23589-0.05%0.186-21.19%0.0429✓1.23657k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.070436-0.07%0.063977-9.24%0.0002✓0.61182k2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.295369-0.08%0.2516-14.88%0.0094✓0.9570k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056363-0.09%0.04825-14.47%0.0734✓0.5233k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050151-0.10%0.0398-20.72%0.0773✓0.9711k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025439-0.11%0.021066-17.28%0.0560✓0.8413k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.6415-0.12%9.359-12.16%0.0303✗1.002.0M2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0354-0.17%4.373-13.30%0.0274✓0.72911k2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.153211-0.19%0.1221-20.46%0.0553✓1.0850k2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,360.83-0.22%20,834.94-14.66%0.0022✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.126123-0.23%0.108067-14.51%0.0091✓0.927.2M2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001702-0.24%0.001479-13.31%0.0142✓0.809,0932022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum31.2231.1376-0.26%26.41-15.41%0.0178✓0.9310.8M2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero166.92166.4639-0.27%142.31-14.74%0.0054✗1.021.1M2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.221767-0.28%0.1722-22.57%0.0271✓1.421,3132022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.08695-0.36%0.08741+0.17%0.0420✗0.231.1M2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.276696-0.36%0.2304-17.03%0.0404✓0.90629k2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.0335-0.39%0.02581-23.25%0.0555✓1.292,7512022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055472-0.41%0.045265-18.73%0.0438✓1.0144k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.46442-0.41%0.36149-22.49%0.0874✓1.03107k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.1034-0.44%0.884025-20.23%0.0972✓0.7963k2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9869-0.44%2.75-8.33%0.0003✓0.5296k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.6294-0.46%5.8-12.91%0.0388✗1.091.4M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001025-0.46%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0409✓0.785.9M2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.226-0.47%0.94175-23.54%0.1101✓0.9714k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,036.70-0.48%21,334.30-11.67%0.0340✗0.9711k2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.197531-0.49%0.16055-19.12%0.1468✗2.238742022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01683.0017-0.50%3.7255+23.49%0.3018✗0.541.3M2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000047585-0.53%0.00003843-19.67%0.0787✓0.852.0M2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005083-0.53%0.00412-19.37%0.0353✓1.10112k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.09141-0.53%0.0618-32.75%0.2594✓0.83127k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.50990.507013-0.57%0.3909-23.34%0.0753✓1.17808k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.18e-7-0.57%6.08e-7+89.86%0.7543✗0.68150k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.368791-0.58%0.29333-20.93%0.0559✓1.0913k2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.554034-0.60%0.4043-27.47%0.1353✓1.1358k2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.2157-0.61%2.3044-28.78%0.1231✓1.3313k2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.103364-0.61%0.0848-18.46%0.0370✓1.019,1182022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5803-0.61%1.38-13.21%0.1291✓0.04143k2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.056524-0.66%0.0447-21.44%0.0715✓1.03254k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3251-0.66%1.045-21.66%0.0418✓1.231.1M2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.065557-0.67%0.0532-19.39%0.0352✓1.09207k2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2209-0.69%1.1177-9.08%0.0867✗1.1013k2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.00001261-0.71%0.00001317+3.70%0.1992✗0.98744k2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.25187-0.72%0.2125-16.24%0.0477✗1.37116k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.639286-0.73%0.4967-22.87%0.1215✓0.83755k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017679-0.74%0.01707-4.15%0.0772✗0.71159k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53663.0598-0.75%51.302-19.26%0.0919✓0.72344k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.01031-0.77%0.00905-12.90%0.0139✓0.735.5M2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.198-0.78%2.82-12.50%0.0114✗0.86587k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4841-0.79%1.206-19.39%0.0367✓1.082.6M2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.137864-0.82%0.1065-23.38%0.1201✓0.874,5542022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8843-0.83%1.32-30.53%0.1895✓1.05190k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.472014-0.84%0.3724-21.76%0.0532✓1.16174k2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.0782-0.84%7.02+14.52%0.1997✗0.351.0M2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.276342-0.85%0.2209-20.74%0.0640✓1.0191k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.72039-0.85%0.5697-21.59%0.0192✓1.3659k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003920.003886-0.86%0.0032-18.37%0.0181✓1.11534k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.478242-0.87%0.38673-19.84%0.1325✓0.5070k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7852-0.88%1.325-26.43%0.0857✓1.34432k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.2547-0.88%3.3477-22.01%0.0795✓1.0153k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.362345-0.89%0.303-17.12%0.0236✓0.988.4M2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.2205-0.91%2.3-29.23%0.1360✓1.27269k2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.129208-0.91%0.1085-16.79%0.0378✓0.86350k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.734194-0.92%0.609-17.81%0.0239✗1.33135k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash56.1655.6436-0.92%44.86-20.12%0.0581✓0.99544k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049063-0.94%0.03963-19.99%0.0827✓0.822,5822022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008835-0.95%0.00743-16.70%0.0055✓1.13463k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0584-0.96%0.84451-20.97%0.0643✓1.02543k2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3751-0.96%1.8825-21.50%0.0606✓1.0838k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.071996-0.97%0.0562-22.70%0.1197✓0.81128k2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.032302-0.98%0.0224-31.33%0.2044✓1.0213.8M2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9562.3302-0.98%54.02-14.19%0.0235✗1.0513.7M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.63480.628542-0.99%0.5569-12.27%0.0383✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.240946-1.01%0.1767-27.40%0.1351✓1.101,7402022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.219.1163-1.02%6.895-25.14%0.0698✓1.3210.0M2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.471531-1.02%0.36-24.43%0.0570✓1.34242k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.5125-1.03%48.63-20.46%0.0498✓1.06551k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.3865-1.03%7.303-23.00%0.0791✓1.0813.2M2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.181071-1.05%0.13844-24.35%0.0593✓1.32236k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.8239-1.05%13.488+176.68%1.0671✗0.251.1M2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1141.5567-1.08%114.49-19.99%0.0340✓1.125.1M2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase21.3521.1164-1.09%16.17-24.26%0.0780✓1.19118k2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002167-1.12%0.001717-21.63%0.0740✓1.001.0M2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.422202-1.12%0.33831-20.76%0.0566✓1.04502k2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1338-1.12%0.879-23.35%0.0568✓1.252.3M2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.666-1.13%1.7825+5.78%0.2693✗1.27540k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.9028-1.15%1.5782-18.01%0.0063✓1.14467k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019855-1.17%0.025967+29.26%0.2967✗0.18223k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.358813-1.18%0.2828-22.12%0.0750✓1.033.6M2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.298752-1.21%0.2054-32.08%0.2161✓1.00108k2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.3964-1.22%1.914-21.10%0.0696✓0.98588k2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9107-1.23%2.151-27.01%0.1114✓1.2059k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.193585-1.23%0.1513-22.81%0.0724✓1.10570k2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.4298-1.23%14.23-23.74%0.0643✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.081672-1.24%0.0657-20.56%0.0385✓1.131.4M2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.016077-1.24%0.01381-15.17%0.0403✓0.702.1M2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.3117-1.25%1.661-29.05%0.1484✓1.15172k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.782045-1.26%0.574-27.53%0.1091✓1.262,9182022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.0987-1.26%4.701+13.25%0.1909✗0.341.7M2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.082248-1.27%0.06643-20.26%0.0915✓0.779772022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.1227-1.28%4.972+19.06%0.2279✗0.262.3M2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.533514-1.33%0.4497-16.83%0.0016✓1.0942.0M2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.929265-1.35%0.834-11.46%0.0814✗1.201.1M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.546491-1.36%0.429-22.56%0.0841✓1.0015k2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.7384-1.37%9.57+8.01%0.1164✗0.161.8M2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.9226-1.40%2.112-28.74%0.0478✓1.75143k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.12196-1.41%0.0975-21.18%0.0526✓1.08529k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.627-1.42%6.466-26.11%0.1479✓0.896.2M2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.690041-1.42%0.562-19.71%0.0124✓1.22100k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.38281-1.43%0.302298-22.16%0.0615✓1.10916k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.5454-1.45%7.67-28.32%0.1434✓1.10638k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1395-1.46%1.0221-11.61%0.0055✓0.723.9M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.3939-1.46%6.7571+96.18%0.7645✗0.481.9M2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.1084-1.48%3-28.06%0.1973✓0.741.3M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.2266-1.48%6.87+8.70%0.1544✗0.351.2M2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4964-1.48%6.927+5.05%0.0878✗0.153.5M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5365-1.50%1.18-24.36%0.0566✓1.311.2M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1264.14-1.50%49.91-23.36%0.0475✓1.2838k2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.96801-1.52%0.776-21.06%0.0129✓1.48440k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0421-1.59%1.87-9.88%0.0692✗0.99261k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.928946-1.59%0.676-28.39%0.0851✓1.474.4M2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.2018-1.60%9.77-21.21%0.0396✓1.15313k2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2579-1.60%5.0422+52.29%0.4921✗0.351.5M2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana45.544.7631-1.62%35.82-21.27%0.0256✓1.2481.1M2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.14481-1.62%0.1055-28.33%0.1356✓1.143.8M2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.090101-1.64%0.07429-18.90%0.0160✓1.1229k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash77.3476.0625-1.65%62.23-19.54%0.0151✓1.172.2M2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.177-1.67%6.899-26.08%0.1061✓1.1319.3M2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,315.45-1.68%8,613.21-25.16%0.0614✓1.336.2M2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.543465-1.74%0.3796-31.37%0.1491✓1.32232k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.921545-1.75%0.708-24.52%0.1068✓0.99280k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.8431-1.81%10.759-10.80%0.0971✗1.2214.4M2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.303765-1.82%0.2715-12.25%0.0595✗1.08203k2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.177553-1.85%0.1293-28.52%0.1523✓1.042.7M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.8039-1.87%12.9755-24.23%0.0952✓1.0359k2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.9452.8894-1.89%2.121-27.98%0.1071✓1.27711k2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9837-1.89%5.39+6.10%0.1431✗0.411.3M2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.9949-1.92%1.506-25.96%0.0947✓1.18220k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.54-1.93%2.29-11.58%0.0442✗0.93636k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.862909-1.94%0.678-22.95%0.0921✓0.94377k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.043631-1.95%0.0347-22.02%0.0637✓1.0476k2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,921.54-1.96%1,608.72-17.92%0.0315✗1.32522.8M2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.6185-1.97%1.222-25.98%0.0232✗1.923.6M2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004434-1.98%0.003321-26.58%0.1517✓0.87994k2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.2272-1.99%6.409-23.65%0.0812✓1.065.5M2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.4179-2.03%6.23+12.66%0.1888✗0.312.1M2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.071785-2.07%0.051-30.42%0.1644✓1.12877k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.072371-2.07%0.0635-14.07%0.0623✗1.22367k2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.6966-2.08%12.8-20.15%0.0124✓1.212.6M2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.160582-2.08%0.1961+19.57%0.3415✗0.891.1M2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.098333-2.13%0.07173-28.61%0.1138✓1.272.0M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.3937-2.26%1.2326-13.56%0.0370✗1.01907k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001474-2.31%0.001441-4.55%0.1148✗0.871.4M2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.434559-2.32%0.3103-30.25%0.1586✓1.1295k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3899-2.34%1.0504-26.19%0.0514✓1.446.7M2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.124004-2.36%0.1096-13.70%0.0110✓0.85209k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.0461-2.50%2.801-32.51%0.1113✓1.625.3M2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4142.3166-2.52%32.98-24.03%0.0306✓1.3816.2M2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.947-2.57%3.13-22.74%0.0957✓0.86102k2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.5954-2.62%17.46-17.45%0.0520✓0.712.4M2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79111.7787-2.62%83.37-27.37%0.0442✓1.577.9M2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000095495-2.65%0.00008591-12.42%0.0180✓0.78353k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.8482-2.66%5.106-27.42%0.0753✓1.3811.9M2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.047111-2.72%0.0386-20.30%0.0369✓1.0219k2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.169665-2.77%0.1279-26.70%0.1716✓0.704.4M2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum128.24124.6499-2.80%99.28-22.58%0.0884✓0.884.0M2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum49.0747.6785-2.84%32.4-33.97%0.0813✓1.92385k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3838.2464-2.88%41.75+6.02%0.2746✗1.181.5M2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.380942-3.01%0.29551-24.76%0.1113✓0.90439k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3528.3978-3.24%22.44-23.54%0.0133✓1.4030.7M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.991106-3.29%0.8698-15.12%0.1233✗1.60296k2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.