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2022-08-09 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3547
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.1%
in alpha space · 41.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0482+0.53%5.2507+4.56%0.0350✓0.14367k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1693+0.03%1.2535+7.24%0.0414✓0.9552k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068998-0.04%0.087041+26.09%0.2015✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.591049-0.13%0.5677-4.07%0.0739✓1.13318k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.67e-7-0.27%0.000001+3.09%0.0115✗0.7322k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006465-0.30%0.006767+4.35%0.0240✗0.734,4282022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776977-0.39%0.81+3.85%0.0277✗0.4783k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.12147-0.47%0.12178-0.22%0.0251✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008209-0.49%0.00828+0.36%0.0111✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154025-0.50%0.1861+20.22%0.1572✗1.07110k2022-08-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024774-0.51%0.0295+18.47%0.1609✗0.4640k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9284-0.56%3.334+13.21%0.1040✗0.87585k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.432662-0.59%0.42922-1.39%0.0389✓1.04124k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006143-0.62%0.006937+12.23%0.1068✗0.5050k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259611-0.65%0.2612-0.04%0.0057✓0.0135k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.474699-0.65%0.4762-0.33%0.0319✓1.18892k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.24913-0.67%0.27+7.66%0.0526✗0.94681k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.135569-0.68%0.1437+5.27%0.0253✗1.1155k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.217406-0.73%0.244+11.42%0.0782✗1.25716k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.456-0.76%10.39-1.39%0.0367✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058445-0.77%0.0734+24.62%0.1905✗1.25339k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.216606-0.78%0.2113-3.21%0.0671✓1.421,2802022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.096928-0.79%0.1069+9.42%0.0680✗1.017,6272022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011952-0.81%0.00001581+31.20%0.2504✗0.99864k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7133.5605-0.85%136.34+1.22%0.0129✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.709876-0.86%0.7-2.23%0.0536✓1.33137k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.249031-0.86%0.2645+5.29%0.0295✗1.0491k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.125881-0.88%0.123-3.15%0.0487✓0.864,5002022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003647-0.89%0.00401+8.97%0.0615✗1.12517k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.257646-0.94%0.3001+15.38%0.1233✗0.9865k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001641-0.96%0.001761+6.28%0.0467✗0.808,9342022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,985.51-0.97%23,861.50+2.81%0.0086✓0.9712k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.0678-0.97%0.069764+1.90%0.0106✗0.60216k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.427486-0.98%0.4464+3.41%0.0032✓1.35207k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0079-0.99%0.967-5.01%0.0576✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,922.70-1.02%23,857.93+3.02%0.0102✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004464-1.02%0.00476+5.54%0.0309✗1.1299k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031238-1.02%0.05113+62.01%0.4618✗1.0414k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.087186-1.04%0.0811-7.95%0.0987✓0.89127k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.223714-1.06%0.2556+13.05%0.0918✗1.3997k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9714-1.08%4.0127-0.04%0.0200✓1.0257k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.26e-7-1.09%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8057✗0.68150k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.3826-1.11%52.46-0.96%0.0284✓1.00552k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5125-1.15%1.47-3.92%0.0307✓0.07173k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7124-1.15%2.752+0.29%0.0217✓1.2254k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017296-1.16%0.01753+0.17%0.0071✓0.69167k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059197-1.17%0.0696+16.19%0.1285✗1.12185k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.341136-1.18%0.3526+2.14%0.0038✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.657271-1.19%0.69252+4.11%0.0113✓1.3857k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0074-1.21%1.0299+0.99%0.0108✓1.10543k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000042872-1.22%0.00004498+3.64%0.0224✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3483-1.22%1.425+4.40%0.0226✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5071-1.25%5.889+29.03%0.2601✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.9716-1.25%61.168+2.43%0.0151✗0.72321k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.04869-1.25%0.051969+5.40%0.0350✗1.0137k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.171634-1.26%0.16955-2.46%0.0516✓1.32216k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.58e-7-1.27%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0101✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1858.4266-1.27%61.33+3.63%0.0172✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046885-1.29%0.0445-6.32%0.0812✓0.9810k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044057-1.31%0.04681+4.86%0.0357✗0.842,3482022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.32367-1.32%0.316-3.66%0.0491✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.03137-1.32%0.03136-1.35%0.0390✓1.301,7322022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5054-1.32%3.876+52.66%0.4113✗0.8486k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050087-1.35%0.05205+2.52%0.0156✗0.7717k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.4772-1.35%30.67+2.64%0.0122✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.399578-1.35%0.40858+0.87%0.0091✓1.05481k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002111-1.36%0.00202-5.61%0.0738✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.324138-1.36%0.3392+3.23%0.0144✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0234-1.38%1.0226-1.45%0.0245✓0.8056k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9327-1.39%2.409+22.91%0.1909✗0.99588k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6862-1.39%1.75+2.34%0.0055✓1.06140k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.33938-1.40%0.362039+5.19%0.0313✗1.12875k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.505838-1.40%0.5571+8.60%0.0640✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78156.5529-1.40%169.61+6.82%0.0495✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.798266-1.45%0.959+18.40%0.1482✗1.18968k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015117-1.46%0.015966+4.07%0.0336✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070147-1.48%0.0688-3.37%0.0434✓0.81151k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.3672-1.48%56.07-6.95%0.0889✓1.07489k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8267-1.51%2.94+2.44%0.0243✗0.50110k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022483-1.51%0.024604+7.78%0.0647✗0.8512k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.00972-1.52%0.01154+16.92%0.1497✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081245-1.52%0.08258+0.10%0.0067✓0.779072022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008577-1.53%0.00854-1.95%0.0382✓1.14457k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4082-1.53%1.41-1.40%0.0371✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7932-1.54%3.1212+10.03%0.0938✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.11116-1.54%0.1138+0.80%0.0084✓1.07566k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.50908-1.55%0.5047-2.40%0.0423✓1.1350k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.088072-1.55%0.08578-4.11%0.0333✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.510934-1.55%0.545+5.01%0.0345✗1.0113k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.502-1.56%1.635+7.16%0.0461✗1.30698k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7774-1.57%1.8887+4.60%0.0266✗1.15530k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.6986-1.58%4.8932+2.50%0.0194✗0.71887k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2735-1.58%1.271-1.78%0.0389✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.7566-1.60%6.14+4.96%0.0535✗0.37894k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.6015-1.60%20.12+1.00%0.0093✓1.19118k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6586-1.61%2.651-1.89%0.0547✓1.74131k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.3032-1.61%8.346-1.10%0.0339✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8434-1.61%3.26+12.80%0.0985✗1.28227k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.121205-1.62%0.1265+2.68%0.0166✗0.88370k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003302-1.62%0.004101+22.20%0.1908✗0.87988k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.2757-1.63%61.09+3.12%0.0091✓1.2835k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.442575-1.63%0.4559+1.33%0.0052✓1.17165k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.7561-1.64%8.839-0.71%0.0234✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0843-1.67%1.1489+4.19%0.0368✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.054364-1.68%0.054802-0.89%0.0073✓0.5229k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.342992-1.69%0.35342+1.30%0.0031✓0.90396k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3539.6666-1.69%43.09+6.79%0.0456✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7368-1.71%1.675-5.21%0.0763✓1.35383k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0201-1.75%1.4706+41.65%0.3375✗0.95907k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.231826-1.77%0.207-12.29%0.1467✓1.121,5612022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0638-1.77%2.061-1.90%0.0319✓1.03261k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0858-1.77%1.1561+4.59%0.0335✗0.9812k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3927-1.80%5.96-8.45%0.1034✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.187477-1.80%0.1883-1.37%0.0629✓2.261,0642022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.93185-1.81%1.072+12.96%0.0954✗1.50469k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9696.1753-1.82%109.79+12.08%0.0862✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.657783-1.82%0.672+0.30%0.0157✓1.2591k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.611992-1.83%0.5897-5.41%0.0638✓0.90755k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025838-1.83%0.02539-3.53%0.0422✓0.83159k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.168203-1.86%0.1676-2.22%0.0347✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019781-1.88%0.025638+27.17%0.2543✗0.17215k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031543-1.89%0.02789-13.25%0.1536✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.8912-1.90%8.426+4.75%0.0393✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.7134-1.91%15.0779-11.51%0.1336✓1.0358k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0862-1.91%1.0221-7.70%0.0983✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.2424-1.92%17.95+2.10%0.0033✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2513-1.93%2.2701-1.11%0.0242✓1.0938k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.3433-1.96%8.89+4.47%0.0584✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.052743-1.97%0.0539+0.19%0.0094✓1.04248k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062917-2.00%0.0642+0.00%0.0133✓1.13827k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9321-2.02%4.038+0.62%0.0184✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,668.44-2.05%1,876.57+10.17%0.0788✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.791385-2.06%0.818+1.24%0.0053✓0.93377k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.126-2.06%12.36+8.80%0.0713✗1.14306k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2887-2.07%2.016-13.74%0.1614✓1.16172k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.505565-2.08%0.4749-8.02%0.1022✓1.33245k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041906-2.09%0.0426-0.47%0.0149✓1.0577k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.47148-2.09%0.47192-2.00%0.0144✓0.5268k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.1466-2.13%11.396+0.06%0.0142✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.265-2.13%1.2853-0.56%0.0269✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094714-2.14%0.0000971+0.33%0.0064✓0.62421k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.16605-2.15%0.1798+5.95%0.0466✗1.11548k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1464-2.16%5.44+3.42%0.0459✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8415-2.18%4.19+6.70%0.0758✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.746373-2.18%0.71-6.95%0.0874✓1.262,7022022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7145-2.19%4.95+2.70%0.0365✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5716-2.22%2.36-10.27%0.1145✓0.96726k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.5544-2.24%8.453-3.39%0.0456✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.59311-2.24%0.6115+0.79%0.0003✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.136467-2.24%0.1301-6.81%0.0835✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9863-2.25%1.924-5.31%0.0675✓1.20234k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6478-2.26%7.773-0.66%0.0151✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.385-2.27%6.29+14.16%0.1448✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.9928-2.38%3.514+14.62%0.1493✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8177.8601-2.44%75.95-4.84%0.0612✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.083867-2.46%0.09121+6.08%0.0503✗1.1329k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.1772-2.52%15-3.66%0.0477✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.346111-2.53%0.35527+0.05%0.0077✓1.1413k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.079046-2.53%0.0784-3.33%0.0419✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.92841-2.59%0.967+1.46%0.0071✓1.61296k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.833627-2.61%0.87+1.64%0.0016✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.295679-2.67%0.3019-0.63%0.0116✓1.09294k2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,888.88-2.67%11,010.19-1.59%0.0287✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.1938-2.67%3.7239+13.48%0.1385✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.709-2.70%3.68-3.46%0.0559✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.171701-2.72%0.1546-12.41%0.1262✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.141723-2.73%0.2097+43.93%0.3652✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.6715-2.77%27.11-1.17%0.0255✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.927037-2.83%0.84-11.95%0.1285✓1.01263k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2628-2.83%3.62-17.48%0.1863✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8245-2.84%6.197-11.77%0.1380✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1121-2.88%1.1875+3.71%0.0329✗1.1013k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.004-2.97%10.19-1.16%0.0154✓1.14482k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8055-3.11%3.3012+14.01%0.1230✗1.3313k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2528-3.22%6.018-6.86%0.0437✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.2688-3.24%38.9-8.79%0.1149✓1.88328k2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81121.6838-3.28%116.11-7.71%0.0732✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.8941-3.29%20.32-1.22%0.0002✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.129081-3.38%0.1024-23.35%0.2569✓0.85203k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5601-3.58%1.454-10.14%0.1286✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.0422-3.73%39.88+9.56%0.0883✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.00142-4.01%0.001587+7.27%0.0849✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.098637-4.10%0.08996-12.53%0.1305✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8717-4.18%2.685-10.41%0.1056✓1.29587k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.425289-4.49%0.3985-10.51%0.0977✓1.1080k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.5023-4.70%40.61+3.20%0.0434✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.