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2022-08-08 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3508
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 63.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.148076-4.16%0.1145-25.89%0.2671✓0.84184k2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.951532-3.64%1.0012+1.39%0.0306✓1.72296k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.00009657-2.74%0.00009691-2.40%0.0192✓1.93421k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.497159-2.73%0.4009-21.56%0.2288✓1.1680k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8421.2496-2.70%20.58-5.77%0.0409✓0.752.6M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3147.1165-2.70%6.215-15.03%0.1540✓1.5711.9M2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum128.79125.5489-2.52%113.47-11.90%0.1120✓0.924.5M2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466619.006-2.37%15.8559-18.55%0.1943✓1.1153k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.821264-2.35%0.718-14.63%0.1511✓1.422,7022022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9227.2738-2.31%27.9-0.07%0.0046✓1.5430.5M2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.163735-2.19%0.1569-6.27%0.0526✓0.843.6M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative3.0232.9574-2.17%2.71-10.35%0.1026✓1.30540k2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum45.6344.654-2.14%40.9-10.37%0.1096✓1.85304k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum102.58100.4275-2.10%107.14+4.45%0.0456✗1.629.1M2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.052.9865-2.08%2.96-2.95%0.0147✓0.49110k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.176647-2.08%0.168-6.87%0.0641✓1.183.1M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0954.0098-2.08%3.694-9.79%0.1019✓1.695.2M2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9166-2.06%4.97-1.00%0.0038✓0.601.3M2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.86-2.05%1.569-17.38%0.1928✓1.933.1M2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.306208-2.04%0.2975-4.83%0.0418✓1.10300k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.3991-2.03%1.3341-6.58%0.0654✓1.516.4M2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0582.0164-2.02%1.893-8.02%0.0795✓1.38234k2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.110531-1.94%0.09505-15.68%0.1683✓1.481.4M2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2598.0996-1.93%7.794-5.63%0.0524✓1.186.5M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0429.463-1.92%40+33.16%0.2890✗1.421.2M2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.6877-1.91%2.46-10.22%0.1017✓1.12636k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7416.4229-1.89%15.12-9.68%0.0987✓1.362.6M2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.044544-1.89%0.0425-6.39%0.0604✓1.1477k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.08798-1.86%0.08413-6.16%0.0537✓0.768502022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.5159-1.85%5.44-3.20%0.0201✓0.532.1M2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.066794-1.77%0.0659-3.09%0.0280✓1.24803k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.551448-1.70%0.4992-11.02%0.1147✓1.29232k2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.543584-1.70%0.519-6.15%0.0594✓1.1213k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.263167-1.69%0.2205-17.63%0.1918✓1.261,5612022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.084199-1.60%0.0886+3.54%0.0359✗1.2829k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0161.0245-1.59%62.03+0.03%0.0005✓1.3435k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.034578-1.57%0.02883-17.93%0.1972✓1.3013.9M2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.883951-1.56%0.87-3.12%0.0359✓1.704.3M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.1616-1.55%3.4246+6.64%0.0723✗0.641.2M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0497-1.55%1.4669+37.58%0.3219✗1.08907k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1485-1.52%1.1419-2.08%0.0151✓0.804.1M2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash77.5376.354-1.52%73.84-4.76%0.0482✓1.251.9M2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.146844-1.51%0.1342-9.99%0.1064✓1.393.0M2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.4608-1.49%2.119-15.17%0.1651✓1.32169k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5369-1.48%1.44-7.69%0.0815✓1.391.2M2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.688635-1.48%0.71526+2.33%0.0207✗1.4669k2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.9422-1.47%6.023-0.13%0.0087✓0.413.0M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.930297-1.45%1.053+11.55%0.1049✗1.61462k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.173434-1.40%0.1799+2.27%0.0231✗1.15529k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.150469-1.40%0.1968+28.96%0.2567✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.881577-1.39%0.857-4.14%0.0420✓1.17253k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.82346-1.38%0.819-1.92%0.0163✓0.92377k2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.416392-1.34%0.41114-2.58%0.0276✓1.27488k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.062.0326-1.33%2.01-2.43%0.0237✓1.06238k2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.6612-1.32%11.408-3.46%0.0372✓1.3014.4M2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.043.987-1.31%4.131+2.25%0.0287✗0.581.6M2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.476793-1.27%0.47474-1.70%0.0124✓0.6968k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.4334-1.26%3.6239+4.22%0.0452✗0.741.7M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8111,304.67-1.26%11,093.56-3.10%0.0352✓1.395.3M2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8514-1.26%1.711-8.75%0.0954✓1.40371k2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.68851-1.22%0.681-2.30%0.0267✓1.3491k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.8649-1.21%2.73-5.86%0.0644✓1.3850k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,755.93-1.21%1,899.39+6.87%0.0630✗1.32427.7M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.0672-1.20%9.92-2.65%0.0306✓1.35436k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.19418-1.20%0.18875-3.96%0.0551✓2.271,0642022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0637.6083-1.19%41.97+10.27%0.0930✗1.4213.5M2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1254.0761-1.18%3.991-3.25%0.0268✓0.481.9M2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.001178-1.18%0.001637+37.31%0.3150✗1.191.3M2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.017423-1.17%0.01742-1.19%0.0092✓0.76172k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.1991-1.17%1.0393-14.34%0.1592✓1.371.8M2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.1161-1.16%2.455+14.67%0.1353✗1.12595k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.015946-1.15%0.016006-0.77%0.0059✓0.822.1M2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.33e-7-1.14%7.43e-7+120.53%0.7926✗0.82146k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.01876-1.13%0.020413+7.58%0.0812✗0.28194k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.7417-1.11%8.78-0.68%0.0003✓0.341.8M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.327401-1.11%0.35764+8.03%0.0766✗0.99383k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.5117-1.11%8.649+0.49%0.0018✓1.2117.7M2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.6557-1.09%5.456+15.91%0.1533✗0.451.2M2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration64.663.8962-1.09%57.71-10.67%0.1153✓1.14462k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.081702-1.09%0.0788-4.60%0.0497✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010331-1.04%0.01073+2.78%0.0270✗0.925.3M2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.531735-1.02%0.5501+2.40%0.0204✗1.1540.5M2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.7018-1.01%8.475-3.59%0.0426✓1.379.9M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.602-1.01%11.94+1.88%0.0145✗1.21279k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31761.6983-0.99%61.418-1.44%0.0138✓0.78321k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.461278-0.99%0.4503-3.35%0.0421✓1.53207k2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana42.241.7827-0.99%43.72+3.60%0.0295✗1.3479.4M2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028717-0.98%0.02686-7.38%0.0781✓0.96159k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.9514-0.97%3.69-7.52%0.0783✓0.83976k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.118747-0.96%0.1148-4.25%0.0477✓1.18566k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.60640.600597-0.96%0.6251+3.08%0.0268✗1.122.1M2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.8619-0.94%2.725-5.68%0.0702✓1.80131k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.259949-0.93%0.2726+3.89%0.0339✗1.1597k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.6571-0.93%6.38+11.73%0.1142✗0.511.1M2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.5939-0.92%1.6772+4.26%0.0343✗1.41619k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.8769-0.90%1.8279-3.49%0.0405✓1.19536k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.574395-0.90%0.5236-9.66%0.1057✓1.1148k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.03291-0.87%0.04885+47.14%0.3813✗1.1614k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.344434-0.85%0.3448-0.75%0.0123✓1.143.6M2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.36626-0.85%0.36134-2.18%0.0283✓1.2513k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.360011-0.85%0.371538+2.32%0.0173✗1.21987k2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0765-0.83%1.0534-2.96%0.0364✓1.24543k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.022.9952-0.82%3.32+9.93%0.0862✗1.42234k2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.073106-0.81%0.0692-6.11%0.0661✓0.95158k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.1554-0.81%1.184+1.66%0.0119✗1.0712k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.466743-0.78%0.4715+0.23%0.0050✓1.28165k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.125754-0.75%0.1261-0.47%0.0089✓0.99370k2022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.002223-0.74%0.002105-6.03%0.0665✓1.001.3M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.761416-0.73%0.72-6.13%0.0729✓1.44135k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.085662-0.73%0.08417-2.46%0.0208✓0.271.1M2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8367-0.72%1.72-7.03%0.0805✓1.26130k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060268-0.71%0.0707+16.47%0.1431✗1.40331k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4278-0.71%1.47+2.23%0.0148✗1.222.5M2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2769.2107-0.70%8.787-5.27%0.0609✓1.1711.6M2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,679.15-0.70%23,840.30-0.03%0.0048✓0.9812k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003409-0.70%0.004238+23.45%0.2062✗0.98994k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.103088-0.69%0.1007-2.99%0.0369✓1.146,7662022-08-15
DASHDashDash56.2255.8357-0.68%53.17-5.43%0.0616✓1.08552k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046336-0.67%0.04763+2.10%0.0167✗0.922,4562022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.988-0.67%3.3016+9.75%0.0825✗1.4713k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6718.5458-0.67%18.18-2.62%0.0354✓1.311.4M2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.360556-0.65%0.3578-1.41%0.0203✓1.078.3M2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.371013-0.61%0.4936+32.23%0.2748✗0.911602022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0034-0.61%6.12+1.32%0.0123✗0.59887k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6162.2314-0.60%60.69-3.07%0.0381✓1.1013.6M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.661747-0.59%0.5965-10.40%0.1164✓1.07726k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.130931-0.58%0.129-2.05%0.0274✓1.064,2082022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3712-0.58%2.3338-2.15%0.0295✓1.1638k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.051404-0.57%0.045-12.96%0.1476✓1.2410k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.056923-0.57%0.055866-2.42%0.0256✓0.5827k2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.3439-0.53%1.311-2.96%0.0393✓1.241.1M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.6842-0.52%8.417-3.59%0.0428✓0.985.1M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012226-0.52%0.00001525+24.08%0.2080✗1.10898k2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.0523.0362-0.52%3.305+8.29%0.0728✗1.02587k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003770.003751-0.51%0.00403+6.90%0.0569✗1.26517k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.02346-0.50%0.025193+6.85%0.0601✗0.9512k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.05403-0.50%0.0544+0.18%0.0075✓1.22254k2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.175003-0.48%0.1756-0.14%0.0144✓1.51217k2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0792-0.47%1.0171-6.20%0.0698✓0.8956k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54142.9067-0.44%137.34-4.32%0.0535✓1.174.8M2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.089205-0.44%0.0835-6.81%0.0792✓1.11126k2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.22723-0.43%0.2114-7.36%0.0889✓1.421,2762022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.985-0.42%3.0966+3.31%0.0267✗0.851.2M2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.052257-0.42%0.053067+1.13%0.0027✓1.0837k2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.033202-0.39%0.03112-6.63%0.0800✓1.301,3552022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045722-0.37%0.00004601+0.26%0.0062✓1.061.8M2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.50850.506666-0.36%0.4859-4.44%0.0561✓1.21892k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.009079-0.34%0.0085-6.70%0.0800✓1.20450k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.17-0.33%1.2127+3.31%0.0226✗1.1313k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5459-0.27%1.47-5.16%0.0534✓0.26186k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004729-0.24%0.00488+2.95%0.0167✗1.25102k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.144362-0.23%0.1474+1.87%0.0067✗1.2059k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.429008-0.22%0.44286+3.00%0.0185✗1.12124k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase19.1519.1087-0.22%20.11+5.01%0.0359✗1.29118k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.9052-0.21%6.3-8.96%0.1066✓1.261.4M2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.052578-0.21%0.05379+2.09%0.0127✗0.8617k2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.229562-0.19%0.226-1.74%0.0322✓1.40703k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006289-0.18%0.006721+6.68%0.0600✗0.5549k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338463-0.16%0.324-4.42%0.0556✓1.011.1M2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.262106-0.11%0.2752+4.88%0.0358✗1.10701k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.130014-0.11%0.123528-5.09%0.0626✓0.977.0M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.069981-0.09%0.068965-1.54%0.0217✓0.60279k2022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.001762-0.09%0.001789+1.42%0.0037✗0.968,8902022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.773385-0.08%0.99+27.91%0.2321✗1.26963k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero167.1166.9674-0.08%163.5-2.15%0.0335✓1.061.1M2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.228358-0.06%0.2573+12.60%0.1017✗1.5089k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.4931.4715-0.06%30.85-2.03%0.0310✓0.949.1M2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.90554.903-0.05%4.9822+1.56%0.0070✗0.76887k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.273187-0.04%0.2853+4.39%0.0308✗1.0765k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.7631-0.04%10.526-2.24%0.0350✓1.081.9M2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261316-0.03%0.2613-0.04%0.0002✓0.0132k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.062008+0.01%0.067+8.06%0.0618✓1.33185k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.163029+0.02%0.1994+22.33%0.1876✓1.17104k2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.6273+0.05%3.896+48.36%0.3833✓0.9092k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.91e-7+0.07%9.90e-7+0.00%0.0105✗0.836.0M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.16564.1701+0.11%4.042-2.97%0.0438✗1.0757k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000010.000001001+0.11%0.000001+0.00%0.0096✗0.7224k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.00838+0.12%0.00821-1.91%0.0294✗0.761.6M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,849.67+0.14%24,097.82+1.18%0.0014✓1.00427.9M2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.790.791781+0.23%0.82+3.80%0.0281✓0.5983k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006738+0.33%0.006763+0.70%0.0056✗0.784,5222022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.070327+0.39%0.076696+9.48%0.0735✓1.121.6M2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.0915+0.69%0.947-12.64%0.1489✗0.582.7M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2399+0.77%1.2755+3.67%0.0162✓1.0447k2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.614229+0.89%0.5804-4.66%0.0703✗1.16303k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.8482+1.00%5.3846+12.18%0.1030✓0.17300k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.