8=======>

2022-08-07 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3548
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.3%
in alpha space · 44.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.92%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.038893-4.13%0.02573-36.58%0.4622✓1.02159k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.952416-3.65%1.0019+1.36%0.0324✓1.73296k2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000096844-2.73%0.00010014+0.58%0.0524✓1.79466k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.015-2.68%6.368-11.65%0.1733✓1.6011.9M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1921.6089-2.62%21.24-4.28%0.0535✓0.762.6M2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.46123.4681-2.37%118.61-6.21%0.0843✓0.924.5M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.458283-2.35%0.4118-12.25%0.1614✓1.1380k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.6721-2.30%6.354-6.96%0.0697✓0.432.7M2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0496-2.26%2.98-4.49%0.0472✓0.50116k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.8869-2.24%16.2019-11.45%0.1519✓1.1053k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.177907-2.20%0.171-5.99%0.0970✓1.203.3M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9588-2.19%5.06-0.20%0.0090✓0.611.3M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.2903-2.19%28.19+1.04%0.0422✓1.5529.2M2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.794304-2.06%0.753-7.15%0.1204✓1.402,7022022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.105092-2.03%0.09281-13.48%0.1953✓1.481.2M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.106788-2.03%0.1275+16.97%0.1405✗0.77163k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.301753-2.03%0.2996-2.73%0.0597✓1.10300k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.9991-1.98%3.821-6.35%0.1266✓1.695.2M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4831.8448-1.96%39.27+20.91%0.1390✗1.471.1M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.8748-1.95%1.44-24.69%0.3574✓1.953.1M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5402-1.94%5.42-4.07%0.0472✓0.532.1M2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.0897-1.93%8.001-3.01%0.0686✓1.206.8M2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3757-1.90%1.3892-0.94%0.0630✓1.526.4M2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1418-1.89%2.039-6.60%0.1028✓1.12225k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.55308-1.87%0.5199-7.75%0.1250✓1.32232k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043284-1.85%0.0428-2.95%0.0666✓1.1577k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9611-1.85%1.939-2.95%0.0773✓1.38234k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum44.2243.4059-1.84%43.26-2.17%0.0932✓1.87293k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.250405-1.84%0.2284-10.47%0.1527✓1.271,5612022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.155881-1.84%0.1641+3.34%0.0112✓0.843.6M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.675856-1.83%0.71015+3.16%0.0211✓1.4769k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.5727-1.82%14.53-13.92%0.1971✓1.372.6M2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.033748-1.78%0.02926-14.84%0.2057✓1.3113.9M2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.082377-1.77%0.0883+5.29%0.0068✓1.3129k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3199.5473-1.74%107.44+6.05%0.0019✓1.639.9M2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.541565-1.71%0.534-3.09%0.0676✓1.1114k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.467104-1.71%0.49265+3.66%0.0210✗0.6770k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.915492-1.67%0.981+5.37%0.0082✓1.61462k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8562.7883-1.66%63.04-1.27%0.0618✓1.3738k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0266-1.65%1.4588+39.75%0.2991✗1.09933k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5807-1.65%2.832+7.93%0.0320✗1.27505k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.063248-1.64%0.067+4.20%0.0021✓1.24799k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4404-1.60%2.55+2.82%0.0077✓1.08507k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1481-1.56%1.1212-3.87%0.0626✓0.814.1M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017605-1.54%0.01762-1.45%0.0363✓0.78175k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.1687-1.54%3.5378+9.93%0.0796✗0.641.2M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.173191-1.48%0.1842+4.78%0.0059✓1.16529k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.9999-1.43%4.154+2.37%0.0100✓0.581.6M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.421111-1.42%0.40475-5.25%0.1010✓1.28507k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.337-1.39%2.187-7.72%0.1287✓1.30160k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7598-1.37%2.773-0.89%0.0615✓1.3848k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019604-1.35%0.019846-0.14%0.0021✓0.30173k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.19333-1.35%0.1917-2.18%0.1182✓2.291,0642022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0613-1.33%2.387+14.27%0.0928✗1.12606k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.672959-1.33%0.699+2.49%0.0267✓1.3590k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.796339-1.32%0.839+3.97%0.0080✓0.92380k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.38e-7-1.29%4.26e-7+24.32%0.1882✗0.88150k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.846974-1.29%0.887+3.38%0.0101✓1.17246k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.078674-1.28%0.08115+1.83%0.0041✓0.738502022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.859917-1.27%0.874+0.34%0.0654✓1.704.3M2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,293.57-1.27%11,226.83-1.85%0.0735✓1.415.2M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001178-1.26%0.001432+20.01%0.1384✗1.181.3M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.149411-1.25%0.1811+19.70%0.1437✗1.011.1M2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.2378-1.20%11.588+1.88%0.0320✓1.3113.7M2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.8334-1.19%8.97+0.34%0.0013✓0.351.8M2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010336-1.19%0.01037-0.86%0.0409✓0.925.1M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration65.4264.6456-1.18%58.87-10.01%0.1483✓1.14419k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.0984-1.17%4.102-1.09%0.0218✓0.471.9M2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4824-1.17%1.48-1.33%0.0681✓1.391.2M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.581827-1.17%0.5344-9.22%0.1390✓1.1346k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87861.1573-1.16%62.391+0.83%0.0181✓0.79306k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.354027-1.15%0.36752+2.62%0.0225✓1.2513k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015769-1.15%0.015677-1.72%0.0458✓0.832.1M2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.4751-1.14%0.4837+0.65%0.0443✓1.30155k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1524-1.14%1.2058+3.45%0.0065✓1.0812k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.9176-1.12%10.26+2.29%0.0305✓1.34385k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7891-1.10%1.732-4.26%0.0995✓1.40371k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.6335-1.10%5.932+26.62%0.2264✗0.431.2M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.460885-1.10%0.4793+2.85%0.0341✓1.53207k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.59910.592565-1.09%0.6213+3.71%0.0065✓1.122.1M2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4362-1.08%3.6932+6.32%0.0367✗0.741.7M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.072716-1.07%0.0721-1.90%0.0536✓0.94158k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032668-1.07%0.04879+47.76%0.3447✗1.1814k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.6927-1.04%8.882+1.12%0.0446✓1.389.9M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.6196-1.03%11.81+0.60%0.0417✓1.21263k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.711-1.02%6.12+6.07%0.0446✗0.51964k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.078596-1.01%0.0809+1.89%0.0255✓1.131.3M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.118007-1.00%0.1166-2.18%0.0696✓1.20529k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9725-0.98%3.865-3.66%0.0680✓0.85976k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8697-0.97%1.8226-3.46%0.0831✓1.20530k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.2598-0.96%8.77+5.16%0.0017✓1.2116.7M2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0308-0.96%3.06+0.00%0.0590✓1.43234k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.339824-0.95%0.3467+1.05%0.0343✓1.133.6M2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5598-0.95%1.6481+4.65%0.0119✓1.40619k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7137.3525-0.95%41.57+10.24%0.0384✗1.4313.0M2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023269-0.95%0.025582+8.90%0.0492✗0.9512k2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002265-0.90%0.002102-8.01%0.1225✓1.001.2M2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.522996-0.89%0.5701+8.03%0.0308✗1.1539.5M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054567-0.89%0.056453+2.54%0.0056✓0.5926k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0289-0.88%3.077+0.70%0.0552✓1.4813k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.2651-0.87%44.89+10.51%0.0441✗1.3579.4M2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.129-0.85%1.0962-3.73%0.0949✓1.361.7M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.084601-0.84%0.08572+0.47%0.0002✓0.271.1M2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045429-0.83%0.04942+7.88%0.0399✗0.922,3482022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.6805-0.82%73.71+4.91%0.0026✓1.231.8M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,921.36-0.82%24,209.70+4.76%0.0076✓0.9812k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0509-0.82%1.0735+1.32%0.0386✓1.25532k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.125374-0.81%0.1284+1.58%0.0242✓1.00398k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.127276-0.80%0.1393+8.57%0.0250✗1.362.9M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.351648-0.80%0.374117+5.54%0.0040✓1.211.0M2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.387307-0.79%0.4905+25.64%0.1912✗0.941492022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.257482-0.78%0.2693+3.78%0.0106✓1.1698k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.1038-0.78%1.207+8.50%0.0365✗1.1013k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7706-0.77%2.808+0.57%0.0718✓1.78126k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.753318-0.75%0.7-7.77%0.1427✓1.44135k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.128436-0.74%0.1308+1.08%0.0321✓1.054,5002022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,688.06-0.73%1,935.85+13.85%0.0737✗1.32407.7M2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.050838-0.71%0.0472-7.81%0.1342✓1.2510k2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.103962-0.70%0.0995-4.97%0.0984✓1.145,6912022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054028-0.68%0.0541-0.55%0.0564✓1.20256k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.08871-0.66%0.0854-4.37%0.0916✓1.12124k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053426-0.66%0.05538+2.98%0.0056✓0.8616k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003401-0.65%0.00419+22.41%0.1629✗0.961.0M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.3706-0.65%18.56+0.38%0.0522✓1.301.4M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7985-0.63%1.75-3.31%0.0877✓1.26132k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0333.0143-0.62%3.446+13.62%0.0847✗1.02585k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.003-0.61%6.17+2.15%0.0007✓0.59887k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.3187-0.60%2.3122-0.87%0.0587✓1.1738k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1260.7611-0.59%63.17+3.35%0.0143✓1.1113.5M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.176335-0.57%0.1773-0.03%0.0677✓1.53207k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4169-0.57%1.445+1.40%0.0389✓1.222.5M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011954-0.55%0.00001688+40.43%0.2908✗1.13926k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.353975-0.54%0.3642+2.33%0.0228✓1.078.2M2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.051272-0.54%0.053806+4.37%0.0039✓1.0937k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.213445-0.54%0.2112-1.58%0.0784✓1.411,1742022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.660332-0.54%0.6094-8.21%0.1319✓1.08726k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.431583-0.51%0.44475+2.52%0.0246✓1.14124k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.562-0.51%1.5-4.46%0.0519✓0.24207k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.3126-0.48%1.341+1.67%0.0381✓1.241.1M2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.7516-0.46%8.235-6.34%0.1082✓0.994.0M2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.6173-0.46%8.955+3.44%0.0178✓1.1711.0M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.060239-0.43%0.0765+26.45%0.1710✗1.42339k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.238206-0.42%0.2555+6.81%0.0024✓1.5189k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash53.3553.1298-0.41%55.08+3.24%0.0157✓1.08552k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224083-0.41%0.225+0.00%0.0639✓1.42703k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003740.003725-0.41%0.00403+7.75%0.0179✗1.27534k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0507-0.40%1.0568+0.18%0.0368✓0.8951k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045141-0.39%0.00004614+1.81%0.0297✓1.081.8M2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9768-0.39%3.1608+5.77%0.0196✗0.841.2M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006308-0.36%0.00672+6.14%0.0388✗0.5148k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004695-0.33%0.00499+5.94%0.0008✓1.26102k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.337895-0.33%0.327-3.54%0.0814✓1.011.1M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.77e-7-0.32%0.00000101+3.06%0.0012✓0.7225k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.315963-0.31%0.37655+18.80%0.1274✗1.00366k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.13699-0.30%0.1477+7.50%0.0176✗1.2061k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.009035-0.27%0.00865-4.53%0.1019✓1.22421k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.8224-0.26%6.42-6.14%0.1215✓1.271.4M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.49070.489466-0.25%0.4917+0.20%0.0536✓1.21808k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260795-0.23%0.2611-0.11%0.0006✓0.0131k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.840.838055-0.23%0.81-3.57%0.0618✓0.5878k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase19.1719.1298-0.21%20.14+5.06%0.0109✓1.30118k2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001725-0.21%0.001792+3.64%0.0079✓0.958,9342022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.270539-0.21%0.2868+5.79%0.0070✗1.0765k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.258967-0.21%0.2723+4.93%0.0021✓1.09766k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031681-0.12%0.03229+1.80%0.0430✓1.291,3502022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98140.8704-0.08%139.45-1.09%0.0667✓1.184.7M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069606-0.07%0.070349+0.99%0.0189✓0.61279k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.161685-0.07%0.1716+6.06%0.0036✗1.16102k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.6002-0.02%10.646+0.42%0.0478✓1.091.9M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.123893+0.02%0.125646+1.43%0.0327✗0.977.0M2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7613+0.02%5.0549+6.19%0.0232✓0.76887k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero164.87164.9098+0.02%168.04+1.92%0.0313✗1.041.1M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060618+0.03%0.0703+16.01%0.0841✓1.34179k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008373+0.03%0.00825-1.43%0.0511✗0.761.6M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.6862+0.05%30.84+0.55%0.0407✗0.959.1M2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.71e-7+0.07%0.00000101+4.12%0.0002✓0.836.0M2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.069056+0.14%0.0817+18.47%0.1138✓1.131.6M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.752286+0.17%1.008+34.22%0.2320✓1.26963k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4626+0.19%3.944+60.46%0.4284✓0.8992k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.1043+0.30%4.1906+2.41%0.0310✗1.0853k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,252.49+0.32%24,316.71+4.92%0.0032✗1.00414.2M2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1171+0.55%0.932-16.11%0.2100✗0.602.1M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006513+0.58%0.006713+3.68%0.0073✗0.784,5222022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2241+0.64%1.2606+3.64%0.0198✗1.0243k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9324+0.68%5.1274+4.66%0.0302✓0.18234k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.596878+0.70%0.5947+0.34%0.0592✗1.16303k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.