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2022-08-06 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3198
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 23.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9738+0.48%4.8922-1.17%0.0275✗0.17228k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.575097+0.38%0.6153+7.40%0.0049✗1.15318k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.068682+0.06%0.072906+6.21%0.0147✗1.181.6M2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.194+0.03%1.2916+8.20%0.0120✓1.0543k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006316-0.12%0.006994+10.59%0.0475✗0.864,5222022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.12158-0.27%0.126836+4.05%0.0202✓0.997.0M2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008312-0.34%0.00828-0.72%0.0615✓0.911.6M2022-08-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025099-0.40%0.029+15.08%0.1095✗0.5545k2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.314783-0.47%0.3817+20.69%0.1225✗1.11366k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.481868-0.54%0.5095+5.16%0.0224✓1.24808k2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.65e-7-0.56%0.00000101+4.12%0.0008✓0.7225k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.428331-0.57%0.46097+7.01%0.0020✓1.20124k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.4411-0.57%10.697+1.87%0.0454✓1.102.0M2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006416-0.67%0.006824+5.65%0.0305✗0.4944k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0131-0.69%3.746+23.47%0.1466✗1.13572k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.059685-0.69%0.0672+11.81%0.0306✗1.39179k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259467-0.70%0.261-0.11%0.0051✓0.0131k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,795.19-0.72%24,456.49+6.51%0.0072✗1.00427.9M2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011863-0.72%0.00001262+5.61%0.0165✓1.24934k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059959-0.73%0.0784+29.80%0.1792✗1.41350k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34140.2763-0.75%144.43+2.19%0.0471✓1.214.7M2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.003672-0.76%0.00389+5.14%0.0240✓1.30551k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.161296-0.80%0.1743+7.20%0.0011✓1.25102k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.213765-0.81%0.2195+1.86%0.0629✓1.421,2762022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001695-0.82%0.001748+2.28%0.0342✓1.039,0932022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.762593-0.83%0.733-4.68%0.1324✓1.47135k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5752.1306-0.84%57.07+8.56%0.0206✗1.11574k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.068924-0.84%0.069903+0.57%0.0307✓0.71327k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.221106-0.85%0.235+5.38%0.0340✓1.50716k2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.100534-0.85%0.1028+1.38%0.0537✓1.205,6912022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.742458-0.87%1.038+38.58%0.2580✗1.22963k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.255545-0.87%0.2759+7.02%0.0025✓1.17768k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,012.50-0.90%24,547.20+5.71%0.0028✓0.9812k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.256216-0.92%0.2745+6.15%0.0082✓1.2299k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.167713-0.93%0.18116+7.01%0.0207✓1.55212k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.076663-0.95%0.1176+51.94%0.3818✗0.73159k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.345704-1.00%0.3686+5.56%0.0086✓1.158.2M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.137102-1.01%0.1512+9.17%0.0183✗1.2661k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6566.9644-1.01%76.21+12.65%0.0493✗1.271.7M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4248-1.03%4.135+68.78%0.4774✗0.8992k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.0847-1.04%4.2917+3.98%0.0188✓1.0853k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5138-1.06%1.55+1.31%0.0052✓0.29242k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.128383-1.09%0.1341+3.31%0.0193✓1.004,7012022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.085933-1.11%0.0916+5.41%0.0095✓1.16126k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.232666-1.12%0.2699+14.70%0.0557✗1.4789k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.59e-7-1.15%0.00000102+5.15%0.0086✓0.846.1M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031002-1.17%0.03326+6.02%0.0112✓1.291,3502022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.4222-1.19%9.31+9.22%0.0223✗1.2311.0M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0347-1.20%1.0614+1.35%0.0572✓1.31532k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004623-1.21%0.00504+7.69%0.0036✓1.31112k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.447292-1.22%0.462+2.03%0.0611✓1.48242k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.505114-1.23%0.5598+9.46%0.0267✗1.2140.5M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032245-1.24%0.04514+38.25%0.2585✗1.2314k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.406967-1.24%0.41477+0.65%0.0678✓1.38507k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51158.4861-1.26%168.13+4.75%0.0119✓1.121.1M2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.33e-7-1.27%3.22e-7-4.51%0.0944✓0.97153k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.267282-1.30%0.2886+6.57%0.0069✓1.1165k2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7154-1.30%5.1095+6.95%0.0329✗0.75908k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.01748-1.30%0.01788+0.96%0.0295✓0.83176k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000044151-1.32%0.0000474+5.95%0.0026✓1.171.9M2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.9887-1.32%31.33+3.09%0.0164✓0.959.4M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.0331-1.33%63.86+4.96%0.0119✓1.1713.5M2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42460.609-1.33%63.346+3.13%0.0088✓0.84321k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0323-1.34%1.0828+3.48%0.0117✓0.9458k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022711-1.34%0.02741+19.07%0.1242✗1.01159k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003197-1.35%0.004633+42.95%0.3076✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.0081-1.36%20.82+8.04%0.0049✓1.36118k2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001101-1.38%0.001473+31.89%0.2122✗1.241.3M2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002179-1.39%0.002197-0.59%0.0550✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.5896-1.43%4.814+3.39%0.0127✓0.551.3M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6595-1.43%2.902+7.56%0.0237✓1.76118k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4092-1.45%1.485+3.85%0.0275✓1.272.5M2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.348337-1.45%0.387693+9.68%0.0270✗1.271.0M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.334032-1.47%0.333-1.77%0.0680✓1.031.1M2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.085124-1.48%0.08755+1.33%0.0109✓0.271.1M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049748-1.49%0.0501-0.79%0.0745✓1.2910k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7189-1.49%2.867+3.88%0.0376✓1.4447k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.11239-1.50%0.1229+7.71%0.0098✓1.26505k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.119367-1.51%0.1296+6.93%0.0140✓1.08370k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.4634-1.51%46.63+16.37%0.0805✗1.3780.8M2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009906-1.53%0.01031+2.49%0.0157✓0.885.2M2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.428609-1.54%0.4939+13.46%0.0588✗1.31134k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.069893-1.56%0.0716+0.85%0.0345✓0.93158k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5346-1.56%1.7029+9.24%0.0165✗1.39619k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.050995-1.56%0.054466+5.14%0.0096✓1.2037k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.335653-1.60%0.3595+5.39%0.0050✓1.173.6M2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.053754-1.60%0.056988+4.32%0.0227✗0.5725k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.680639-1.61%0.72052+4.16%0.0384✓1.5178k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.6675-1.62%9.149+17.39%0.0971✗1.2616.9M2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.298-1.67%1.326+0.45%0.0570✓1.241.1M2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.04573-1.68%0.04922+5.83%0.0146✓0.932,3002022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.073151-1.68%0.0823+10.62%0.0484✗1.101.1M2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015621-1.70%0.01624+2.20%0.0182✓0.902.1M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7989-1.70%1.85+1.09%0.0557✓1.33129k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.907284-1.70%0.974+5.53%0.0423✓1.80469k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8455-1.71%1.9104+1.74%0.0462✓1.28530k2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0897.369-1.73%110.5+11.53%0.0216✗1.6610.0M2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4838-1.73%1.54+1.99%0.0519✓1.411.2M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4165.2498-1.75%61.18-7.88%0.1379✓1.16419k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.082-1.75%2.408+13.64%0.0651✗1.27619k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.076428-1.75%0.08281+6.45%0.0342✗0.739072022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.125552-1.76%0.1441+12.75%0.0492✗1.402.9M2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,661.05-1.76%1,984.75+17.38%0.0968✗1.29407.7M2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008693-1.77%0.00886+0.11%0.0611✓1.27392k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9231-1.77%2.999+0.78%0.0359✓0.981.2M2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.0013-1.78%6.06-0.82%0.0326✓0.67754k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022784-1.81%0.025853+11.42%0.0658✗0.9612k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.4362-1.84%11.906+11.98%0.0461✗1.3613.0M2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.4972-1.86%6.65+0.45%0.0639✓1.381.4M2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.9733-1.87%3.24+6.93%0.0100✓1.52234k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1449-1.88%1.1627-0.35%0.0387✓0.864.1M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.063484-1.88%0.0714+10.36%0.0359✗1.29803k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7935-1.89%1.823-0.27%0.0743✓1.43371k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.665217-1.89%0.702+3.54%0.0344✓1.4090k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2951-1.90%2.4159+3.26%0.0253✓1.2137k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.5982-1.91%19.24+7.25%0.0049✓1.341.3M2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019852-1.91%0.020481+1.20%0.0060✓0.40173k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0407-1.91%3.03-2.26%0.0351✓0.50116k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.902369-1.92%0.82-10.87%0.1321✓0.5878k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1074-1.92%1.138+0.79%0.0594✓1.371.5M2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.155343-1.93%0.1717+8.40%0.0394✗0.963.6M2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.6089-1.95%8.987+2.36%0.0448✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.818628-1.96%0.917+9.82%0.0368✗1.21241k2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.792107-1.97%0.872+7.92%0.0309✗1.03390k2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.136-1.97%1.2311+6.24%0.0111✓1.1012k2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.538155-1.98%0.558+1.64%0.0360✓1.1516k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.557784-2.04%0.5584-1.93%0.0697✓1.1246k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.05408-2.08%0.05467-1.01%0.0446✓0.8816k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1534-2.09%0.991-15.87%0.1917✓0.632.1M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.194203-2.10%0.20197+1.82%0.1055✓2.291,1202022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4569-2.12%2.66+5.98%0.0119✓1.07507k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.8816-2.13%4.065+2.50%0.0075✓0.85976k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.638056-2.14%0.6271-3.82%0.0903✓1.16755k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.176628-2.15%0.1759-2.55%0.0823✓1.243.3M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.3805-2.15%12.18+4.73%0.0084✓1.21290k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.053508-2.18%0.0554+1.28%0.0462✓1.28269k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.9517-2.21%4.099+1.44%0.0003✓0.571.9M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0563.6126-2.21%65.44+0.60%0.0606✓1.4138k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.571166-2.21%0.6334+8.44%0.0291✗1.182.1M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043416-2.22%0.0442-0.45%0.0600✓1.2376k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.07-2.23%1.419+29.65%0.2098✗1.151.0M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3127-2.25%2.328-1.61%0.0836✓1.43169k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000097759-2.26%0.00009674-3.28%0.1427✓2.10480k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.46156-2.31%0.53395+13.01%0.0979✗0.7670k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.6717-2.35%8.81-0.79%0.0143✓0.481.8M2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.868-2.35%4.086+3.16%0.0113✓0.691.5M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.0086-2.37%29.19+9.57%0.0158✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9452-2.40%1.994+0.05%0.0635✓1.40253k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.17001-2.46%0.1908+9.47%0.0361✗1.26529k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3391-2.49%1.4348+4.48%0.0276✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034371-2.49%0.03126-11.32%0.1864✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.781945-2.50%0.792-1.25%0.0795✓1.462,7912022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.6051-2.52%6.12+6.43%0.0506✗0.59878k2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2213-2.53%2.107-7.55%0.1240✓1.13219k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.552298-2.58%0.5216-7.99%0.1405✓1.32234k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.0713-2.58%8.197-1.06%0.0622✓1.236.9M2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.350974-2.58%0.37115+3.02%0.0255✓1.2913k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.8983-2.62%4.96-1.39%0.0318✓0.701.3M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.4368-2.62%6.38+14.28%0.1273✗0.522.6M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.125-2.66%3.4228+6.62%0.0432✗0.761.2M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.84777-2.67%0.912+4.71%0.0370✓1.744.4M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.083794-2.67%0.09127+6.02%0.0001✓1.3529k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.14227-2.69%0.1616+10.53%0.0594✗1.081.0M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.304492-2.72%0.3084-1.47%0.0565✓1.10300k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.494-2.76%5.4-4.42%0.0556✓0.611.5M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.257012-2.83%0.2265-14.37%0.2088✓1.311,5612022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.4451-2.86%15.39-9.10%0.1552✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.960154-2.87%1.0121+2.39%0.0533✓1.68296k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.0357-2.90%47.76+15.84%0.0587✗1.87293k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,376.18-2.97%11,424.48-2.55%0.0873✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.2838-2.98%10.46-1.32%0.0719✓1.41358k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.345-2.98%3.4312-0.48%0.0297✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0752-2.99%1.243+12.15%0.0793✗1.0413k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.1609-3.01%8.374-11.34%0.1554✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.0347-3.16%6.66-8.31%0.1629✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.083127-3.17%0.09698+12.96%0.0604✗1.481.1M2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14116.2826-3.21%126.57+5.35%0.0233✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.4848-3.31%2.923+13.74%0.0824✗1.27466k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1323-3.31%3.972-7.07%0.1498✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9014-3.38%3.2141+7.03%0.0040✓1.5613k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.8792-3.39%17.0389-7.93%0.1193✓1.1353k2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.6037-3.55%40.15+26.54%0.1839✗1.39949k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.836.3947-3.72%43.58+15.29%0.0905✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.7691-3.98%21.34-1.34%0.0250✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8159-4.48%1.542-18.88%0.2867✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.41292-4.48%0.4375+1.20%0.0169✓1.1880k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.