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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3338
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 17.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.549089+0.68%0.5937+8.86%0.0136✓1.14333k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0123+0.25%4.7078-5.84%0.0726✗0.17219k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067443+0.13%0.070882+5.24%0.0168✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.11403+0.10%0.125283+9.97%0.0379✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1511+0.08%1.2591+9.48%0.0301✓1.0543k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006148+0.04%0.006618+7.67%0.0254✓0.857,1222022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008212-0.09%0.00834+1.46%0.0358✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739178-0.11%0.85+14.86%0.1058✗0.6079k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.473122-0.12%0.5032+6.23%0.0087✓1.24808k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.312888-0.16%0.38689+23.46%0.1485✗1.12396k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.0579-0.21%142.98+6.43%0.0036✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.725429-0.22%0.74+1.79%0.0636✓1.47121k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0088-0.26%10.512+4.75%0.0136✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.2269-0.35%55.61+12.57%0.0597✗1.10574k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097122-0.39%0.0988+1.33%0.0512✓1.207,1482022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.106-0.43%79.26+23.11%0.1413✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024789-0.44%0.0263+5.62%0.0277✗0.5540k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155397-0.45%0.1701+8.97%0.0206✗1.23107k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.73445-0.48%0.911+23.44%0.1466✗1.21968k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,511.29-0.50%23,944.86+5.84%0.0050✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.402237-0.52%0.4605+13.89%0.0677✗1.19107k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001648-0.56%0.001703+2.78%0.0256✓1.039,0682022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058918-0.64%0.0621+4.72%0.0265✓1.39172k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198137-0.68%0.2226+11.58%0.0371✗1.401,2762022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068495-0.70%0.070371+2.02%0.0124✓0.69345k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061163-0.71%0.078+26.62%0.1621✗1.43350k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.158864-0.71%0.17809+11.31%0.0272✗1.53212k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.246715-0.72%0.2705+8.85%0.0227✗1.22101k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1955-0.72%21.63+24.88%0.1509✗1.38116k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.333634-0.73%0.3613+7.50%0.0155✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.96-0.74%3.021+1.31%0.0431✓1.12591k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.00665-0.75%0.006698-0.03%0.0220✓0.5140k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011758-0.78%0.00001233+4.05%0.0233✓1.25951k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9273-0.81%4.2149+6.46%0.0091✗1.0945k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,309.42-0.83%24,153.10+7.37%0.0238✗0.9813k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003738-0.85%0.00393+4.24%0.0234✓1.30551k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0226-0.86%9.201+13.70%0.0678✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.250015-0.87%0.2695+6.86%0.0091✗1.16768k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.224332-0.87%0.2297+1.50%0.0596✓1.4787k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072462-0.87%0.1304+78.39%0.5462✗0.73159k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.42e-7-0.89%0.00000102+7.37%0.0233✗1.0025k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.216008-0.91%0.228+4.59%0.0318✓1.51782k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.072609-0.94%0.0819+11.73%0.0576✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5062-0.96%4.9372+8.51%0.0490✗0.75920k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030088-0.96%0.03187+4.90%0.0163✓1.301,4012022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258543-0.98%0.2613+0.08%0.0100✗0.0129k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.133369-0.99%0.1474+9.43%0.0279✗1.2761k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.98256-1.00%1.0527+6.07%0.0047✓1.30532k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.50e-7-1.05%0.00000101+5.21%0.0138✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003036-1.07%0.004951+61.32%0.4328✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020901-1.08%0.02718+28.63%0.2051✗1.02159k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0039-1.10%1.0862+7.00%0.0253✗0.9460k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.388-1.12%3.611+49.52%0.3630✗0.89110k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.472-1.12%17.0874+16.75%0.1010✗1.1558k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004489-1.13%0.00517+13.88%0.0671✗1.31112k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.8085-1.14%30.52+4.74%0.0039✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25157.4351-1.14%160.49+0.78%0.0436✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.493973-1.15%0.5306+6.18%0.0033✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.137604-1.15%0.1646+18.25%0.1253✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.414712-1.15%0.40616-3.19%0.0991✓1.38583k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125432-1.16%0.134+5.59%0.0095✓1.004,7012022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.00004243-1.19%0.00004644+8.15%0.0247✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108296-1.19%0.1215+10.86%0.0439✗1.25505k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.336046-1.22%0.376118+10.55%0.0406✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047607-1.23%0.0488+1.24%0.0491✓1.307,5232022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6558.9155-1.23%61.89+3.76%0.0162✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084341-1.24%0.0916+7.26%0.0174✗1.15126k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031908-1.24%0.05195+60.79%0.4176✗1.2314k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5636-1.25%2.875+10.75%0.0152✗1.75109k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001075-1.25%0.001521+39.72%0.2766✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017357-1.27%0.01787+1.65%0.0175✓0.82193k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.3438-1.27%60.91-0.34%0.0572✓1.17379k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.433124-1.29%0.4591+4.63%0.0257✓1.48278k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7905-1.30%2.089+15.16%0.1184✗0.63206k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.2743-1.30%63.11+12.70%0.0537✗1.3935k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,587.01-1.32%1,881.04+16.97%0.0976✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.4759-1.32%61.928+2.75%0.0069✓0.83321k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.00216-1.32%0.002212+1.05%0.0330✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6775-1.33%1.91+12.35%0.0550✗1.32122k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257145-1.33%0.3041+16.69%0.1045✗1.1165k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.51e-7-1.34%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1290✓0.99164k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.2974-1.35%42.8+10.25%0.0336✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115227-1.35%0.1263+8.13%0.0307✗1.08370k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009656-1.37%0.01006+2.76%0.0090✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.328388-1.39%0.321-3.60%0.0817✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2619-1.39%8.96+21.67%0.1391✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.558-1.39%1.52-3.80%0.0416✓0.30242k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3793-1.41%1.456+4.07%0.0182✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5507-1.41%4.683+1.45%0.0033✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4807-1.42%1.6643+10.81%0.0375✗1.40594k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.410304-1.42%0.458+10.04%0.0354✗1.31127k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075828-1.43%0.08332+8.31%0.0527✗0.739772022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043231-1.43%0.04793+9.28%0.0499✗0.942,0262022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065728-1.46%0.0718+7.65%0.0350✗0.94183k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.118442-1.46%0.1425+18.55%0.1071✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.325705-1.48%0.3493+5.66%0.0038✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.8884-1.51%107.55+11.64%0.0313✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4477-1.52%1.54+4.76%0.0181✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7969-1.54%1.9022+4.24%0.0150✓1.27530k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015353-1.55%0.015949+2.27%0.0126✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9649-1.57%8.347+3.15%0.0124✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2763-1.59%1.324+2.08%0.0338✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.586991-1.59%0.6487+8.75%0.0352✗1.14690k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053397-1.60%0.057169+5.35%0.0354✗0.5825k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7258-1.62%5.91+1.55%0.0067✓0.68746k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1541-1.64%2.3938+9.31%0.0374✗1.2032k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.769191-1.64%0.924+18.16%0.1150✗1.20225k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049386-1.64%0.053086+5.73%0.0043✓1.2035k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6819-1.69%2.849+4.44%0.0207✓1.4349k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7251-1.70%1.767+0.68%0.0571✓1.43341k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.654471-1.72%0.7242+8.75%0.0155✓1.5188k2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.9679-1.72%28.54+22.12%0.1275✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061906-1.74%0.0749+18.89%0.1178✗1.28802k2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.893135-1.75%0.967+6.38%0.0206✓1.76496k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1762-1.76%11.749+13.42%0.0668✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048233-1.77%0.05344+8.84%0.0522✗0.8915k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3163-1.77%6.61+2.80%0.0334✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.083894-1.77%0.08746+2.40%0.0263✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.034-1.81%2.93-5.18%0.0629✓0.49109k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.213455-1.86%0.2554+17.43%0.1052✗1.311,5612022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1059-1.90%1.1274+0.01%0.0585✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.4086-1.92%18.45+3.94%0.0160✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.6478-1.94%8.964+1.64%0.0431✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022011-1.95%0.024997+11.36%0.0725✗0.9611k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.783326-1.96%0.864+8.14%0.0402✗1.02377k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.8501-1.99%11.8+6.59%0.0158✓1.20263k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8595-1.99%2.9337+0.56%0.0300✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.169449-2.00%0.1775+2.66%0.0229✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008818-2.02%0.00871-3.22%0.0850✓1.28387k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0902-2.04%1.1706+5.18%0.0084✓1.1111k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020104-2.05%0.019255-6.19%0.0670✓0.42167k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4288-2.06%2.58+4.03%0.0007✓1.08507k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2053-2.07%2.326+3.29%0.0255✓1.39172k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0124-2.08%1.4845+43.58%0.3175✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.546283-2.10%0.551-1.25%0.0563✓1.1414k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.763-2.11%4.034+4.94%0.0364✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.176-2.11%2.184-1.75%0.0684✓1.27626k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041209-2.12%0.0439+4.28%0.0063✓1.2376k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0538-2.12%3.13+0.32%0.0615✓1.52211k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.184858-2.12%0.1952+3.35%0.0768✓2.311,1512022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052516-2.20%0.0549+2.23%0.0282✓1.28284k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.670807-2.21%0.691+0.73%0.0496✓1.4088k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7448-2.22%4.044+5.59%0.0375✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.446906-2.22%0.47814+4.61%0.0243✗0.7668k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.568275-2.24%0.6302+8.41%0.0362✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8907-2.29%4.091+2.74%0.0016✓0.86922k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000096971-2.30%0.00009727-1.99%0.1127✓2.04516k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74101.322-2.33%124.47+19.98%0.1496✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2974-2.34%1.3595+2.33%0.0380✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9208-2.35%2.005+1.93%0.0372✓1.41266k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1574-2.35%1.127-4.92%0.0760✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.7923-2.35%8.186+2.58%0.0200✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.16032-2.36%0.1949+18.70%0.1249✗1.24518k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.9778-2.42%10.3+11.96%0.0587✗1.39334k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4056-2.43%5.8+4.69%0.0369✗0.59873k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5368-2.44%8.57-2.06%0.0238✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1841-2.46%0.993-18.20%0.2129✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.32083-2.48%0.4285+30.24%0.2255✗1.1377k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034096-2.50%0.03161-9.61%0.1575✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0253-2.54%6.256+21.33%0.1892✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.353356-2.61%0.36776+1.36%0.0340✓1.3013k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.4436-2.63%15.6-1.64%0.0697✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0586-2.64%3.2004+1.87%0.0020✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7017-2.66%4.8-0.62%0.0191✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.764987-2.67%0.769-2.16%0.0774✓1.463,1392022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,362.03-2.67%11,294.44+6.08%0.0053✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.140799-2.70%0.1497+3.46%0.0002✓1.08907k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.823169-2.70%0.889+5.08%0.0218✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.293729-2.74%0.3078+1.92%0.0164✓1.11300k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.078659-2.77%0.09833+21.55%0.1389✗1.49871k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.561114-2.85%0.5389-6.70%0.1184✓1.38234k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.083682-2.87%0.08708+1.08%0.0376✓1.3629k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6679-2.89%4.038+6.91%0.0027✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4273-2.91%5.28-5.55%0.0623✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.550685-3.00%0.5522-2.73%0.0605✓1.1146k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2688-3.06%3.3972+0.74%0.0120✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.987898-3.07%1.0027-1.62%0.0824✓1.71241k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0172-3.17%1.2255+16.66%0.1269✗1.0513k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.6869-3.20%42.06+20.86%0.1423✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.0946-3.20%36.12+29.05%0.2105✗1.36946k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.1893-3.33%6.929-6.83%0.1352✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0732-3.52%3.1366-1.53%0.0683✓1.5612k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.7286-4.12%21.14-2.22%0.0282✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8243-4.88%1.558-18.77%0.2697✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.7094-5.00%44.8-2.63%0.0787✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4694-5.02%2.971+14.27%0.1133✗1.26448k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.