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2022-08-03 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2698
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.7%
in alpha space · 19.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8784-5.75%1.569-21.27%0.2758✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.0425-4.27%21.15-3.78%0.0362✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.2799-4.19%10.61-1.12%0.0356✓1.38334k2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2033-3.53%5.43-15.55%0.1628✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0634.8421-3.38%38.83+7.68%0.0401✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0026-3.34%1.1836+14.12%0.1149✗1.0513k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6515-3.16%3.0285+10.61%0.0569✗1.5612k2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.7767-3.12%38.68+39.94%0.3018✗1.36773k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.9463-3.09%7.116-0.73%0.0602✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.972394-3.02%0.9791-2.35%0.0765✓1.72211k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.08509-2.99%0.08743-0.32%0.0392✓1.3629k2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2596-2.92%3.3964+1.15%0.0021✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.9703-2.86%16.17-1.64%0.0559✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6051-2.83%4.199+13.18%0.0679✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9373-2.81%4.92-3.15%0.0376✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.3094-2.80%0.3078-3.30%0.0592✓1.11294k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036461-2.75%0.03296-12.08%0.1709✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.758619-2.74%0.79+1.28%0.0302✓1.453,6872022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.2896-2.73%8.75-8.38%0.0835✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079013-2.71%0.10427+28.40%0.2051✗1.49786k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1773-2.70%3.2108-1.67%0.0266✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,437.01-2.69%11,510.60+7.32%0.0287✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.794453-2.64%0.88+7.84%0.0177✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.6749-2.49%5.68-2.41%0.0278✓0.59873k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.340601-2.47%0.36767+5.28%0.0130✓1.3113k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9746-2.44%2.049+1.24%0.0316✓1.41255k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.6441-2.41%126.64+20.40%0.1620✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.581656-2.41%0.6261+5.05%0.0161✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.52832-2.36%0.537-0.76%0.0519✓1.40222k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3027-2.35%1.3894+4.15%0.0083✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097636-2.33%0.00009856-1.41%0.0896✓2.04536k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8667-2.29%6.395+28.39%0.2474✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.8877-2.27%4.046+1.71%0.0062✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155237-2.24%0.1861+17.19%0.1210✗1.24508k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053384-2.23%0.0548+0.37%0.0360✓1.28284k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.818-2.23%4.198+7.50%0.0532✗0.86922k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.6893-2.18%8.348+6.20%0.0228✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4161-2.18%2.59+4.86%0.0171✓1.08398k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.455564-2.16%0.48951+5.13%0.0347✗0.7668k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.184015-2.14%0.19756+5.06%0.0415✓2.311,1512022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0823-2.11%1.145+3.56%0.0025✓1.1111k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040434-2.10%0.0441+6.78%0.0272✗1.2376k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.311581-2.08%0.4951+55.59%0.4082✗1.1377k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1994-2.08%2.452+9.17%0.0414✗1.38177k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.7261-2.03%9.22+3.51%0.0125✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7483-2.03%4.079+6.61%0.0560✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.131106-2.01%0.1532+14.50%0.1030✗1.09779k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022594-2.00%0.024212+5.01%0.0223✗0.9611k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1025-2.00%1.046-7.02%0.0844✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.5961-1.99%47.24+33.82%0.2182✗1.92251k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.998504-1.90%1.4709+44.52%0.3316✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.167574-1.89%0.1819+6.50%0.0227✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019573-1.89%0.020275+1.63%0.0147✓0.42165k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.507526-1.83%0.532+2.90%0.0087✓1.1513k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1139-1.77%3.02-4.73%0.0546✓0.49102k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.086465-1.76%0.08979+2.02%0.0250✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.889214-1.74%0.98+8.29%0.0113✓1.77513k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3196-1.72%6.71+4.35%0.0076✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.8758-1.71%18.55+8.04%0.0310✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6351-1.71%12.16+12.38%0.0757✗1.20259k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008532-1.71%0.00896+3.23%0.0132✓1.28375k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0167-1.70%1.1615+12.30%0.0905✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047522-1.69%0.05257+8.75%0.0578✗0.8915k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8093-1.67%3.057+66.14%0.4624✗1.28430k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054805-1.66%0.057508+3.19%0.0199✗0.5824k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.754322-1.65%0.883+15.12%0.1081✗1.02377k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.9981-1.64%11.986+17.91%0.1155✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.8917-1.64%5.97-0.33%0.0198✓0.68725k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9645-1.63%2.075+3.91%0.0071✓1.27626k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.6669-1.62%29.18+26.65%0.1757✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.466783-1.61%0.5471+15.32%0.1043✗1.1246k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048504-1.60%0.052134+5.77%0.0140✓1.2035k2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.777554-1.58%0.976+23.54%0.1689✗1.20225k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.203761-1.56%0.2472+19.42%0.1298✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.804-1.56%2.9592+3.89%0.0062✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6529-1.56%2.856+5.97%0.0043✓1.4349k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0666-1.55%1.133+4.58%0.0064✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015543-1.54%0.015766-0.12%0.0292✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.623303-1.53%0.697+10.11%0.0437✗1.4088k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.594376-1.53%0.6574+8.91%0.0453✗1.14690k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067161-1.52%0.0739+8.36%0.0500✗0.94229k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.639262-1.50%0.71796+10.63%0.0426✗1.5188k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.967-1.48%8.306+2.71%0.0091✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7696-1.44%3.04+8.19%0.0194✗1.52198k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4986-1.41%1.52+0.00%0.0006✓0.30221k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077185-1.40%0.08525+8.90%0.0638✗0.731,0202022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1456-1.39%2.3862+9.66%0.0479✗1.2032k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.666-1.36%1.849+9.47%0.0347✗1.43341k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9793.6896-1.35%111.17+17.06%0.0906✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002225-1.34%0.002157-4.35%0.0796✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2422-1.34%1.348+7.07%0.0213✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116437-1.32%0.1462+23.90%0.1609✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042878-1.32%0.04665+7.36%0.0386✗0.942,3002022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4112-1.31%1.58+10.49%0.0444✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.327678-1.30%0.34+2.41%0.0135✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.434227-1.29%0.4553+3.50%0.0244✓1.48278k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.256471-1.28%0.2716+4.54%0.0030✓1.1265k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.142948-1.28%0.1704+17.68%0.1296✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.638-1.27%2.928+9.58%0.0191✗1.75109k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,598.27-1.27%1,854.12+14.54%0.0864✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1933-1.26%9.062+24.39%0.1701✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.0661-1.26%42.5+10.25%0.0437✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076335-1.25%0.0827+6.99%0.0263✗1.11952k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3421-1.25%1.444+6.25%0.0111✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.085036-1.24%0.0919+6.74%0.0217✗1.15128k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.316045-1.24%0.3479+8.72%0.0393✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.00964-1.23%0.01031+5.64%0.0244✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017466-1.21%0.01893+7.07%0.0404✗0.82207k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.086-1.21%65.2+16.93%0.1010✗1.3934k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.114602-1.21%0.1265+9.05%0.0466✗1.07370k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4414-1.20%1.6203+11.06%0.0490✗1.40675k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.5877-1.20%62.292+3.28%0.0038✓0.83330k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.45e-7-1.19%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0802✓0.99170k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.5832-1.19%62.92+2.63%0.0192✓1.17379k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127274-1.18%0.1324+2.80%0.0089✓1.004,9522022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057809-1.18%0.0686+17.26%0.1087✗1.28799k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4268-1.14%4.752+6.12%0.0434✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001074-1.14%0.001521+39.94%0.2873✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003106-1.12%0.003961+26.11%0.1951✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021063-1.11%0.02661+24.93%0.1844✗1.02159k2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.397795-1.10%0.4648+15.56%0.0917✗1.32127k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7018-1.08%1.8733+8.89%0.0343✗1.27530k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.332314-1.07%0.369005+9.86%0.0430✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.7913-1.06%31.37+7.80%0.0396✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004512-1.06%0.00485+6.36%0.0087✓1.31112k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109727-1.06%0.1219+9.92%0.0443✗1.25505k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.78-1.06%2.108+17.18%0.1382✗0.64189k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0137-1.03%1.0722+4.67%0.0104✗0.9460k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.495757-1.03%0.5376+7.33%0.0226✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030485-1.02%0.03249+5.49%0.0004✓1.301,3502022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.5369-1.00%167.53+6.63%0.0206✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042023-0.98%0.00004643+9.40%0.0435✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4507-0.98%2.734+10.46%0.0660✗0.89110k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.402001-0.97%0.41642+2.59%0.0319✓1.38583k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030973-0.95%0.03518+12.50%0.0674✗1.2314k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.4835-0.95%17.7+21.05%0.1447✗1.1563k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.585-0.94%1.82+13.75%0.0741✗1.32122k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.2386-0.94%61.61+6.63%0.0175✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.22903-0.90%0.2326+0.65%0.0560✓1.4789k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.51e-7-0.89%0.00000101+5.21%0.0190✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,646.70-0.86%23,919.30+4.71%0.0070✓0.9814k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258975-0.85%0.2616+0.15%0.0095✗0.0129k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4721-0.83%4.9377+9.50%0.0628✗0.75920k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.13379-0.82%0.1428+5.86%0.0034✓1.2761k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.161762-0.78%0.17975+10.25%0.0308✗1.53212k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.952939-0.74%1.072+11.67%0.0546✗1.30532k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011745-0.72%0.0000124+4.82%0.0063✓1.25986k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.247724-0.71%0.266+6.61%0.0145✗1.17768k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.211533-0.69%0.229+7.51%0.0058✓1.51786k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003704-0.69%0.00383+2.68%0.0296✓1.29551k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.198537-0.68%0.2383+19.21%0.1146✗1.401,1742022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.73e-7-0.67%0.00000103+5.10%0.0079✗1.0025k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045502-0.65%0.0495+8.08%0.0209✗1.309,0132022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061608-0.63%0.1362+119.68%0.7575✗0.74159k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9456-0.62%3.098+4.52%0.0037✓1.11597k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001694-0.61%0.001757+3.11%0.0134✓1.039,4962022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8752-0.60%4.1947+7.59%0.0265✗1.0945k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9572-0.57%9.529+19.07%0.1209✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.24471-0.56%0.2649+7.64%0.0198✗1.22110k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067423-0.56%0.070307+3.70%0.0086✗0.69364k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.0619-0.51%21.93+27.87%0.1843✗1.37116k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.325107-0.49%0.3644+11.54%0.0594✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006669-0.44%0.006078-9.26%0.1178✓0.5239k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,726.47-0.43%23,962.18+4.98%0.0043✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058487-0.36%0.0607+3.41%0.0323✓1.43350k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.39288-0.34%0.46429+17.77%0.1091✗1.19118k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058148-0.26%0.0635+8.92%0.0204✗1.39167k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154797-0.26%0.1652+6.44%0.0052✗1.23102k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.742137-0.25%0.884+18.82%0.1158✗1.22895k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.09704-0.16%0.1008+3.70%0.0205✓1.206,5342022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0181-0.10%10.779+7.49%0.0195✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.7578-0.02%54.6+11.95%0.0599✗1.10574k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.7332+0.02%142.18+6.34%0.0030✓1.204.5M2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.8836+0.05%78.7+27.24%0.1796✓1.251.5M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.741005+0.14%0.77+4.05%0.0095✓0.5983k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.309742+0.14%0.37799+22.20%0.1443✓1.13398k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008202+0.15%0.00837+2.20%0.0236✗0.901.6M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006217+0.15%0.006634+6.87%0.0240✓0.848,9962022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0275+0.25%4.7-6.28%0.0757✗0.17219k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114476+0.26%0.125982+10.33%0.0476✓0.997.0M2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.142+0.31%1.2251+7.61%0.0192✓1.0547k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.467777+0.32%0.4979+6.78%0.0021✓1.24892k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.688522+0.37%0.766+11.66%0.0349✓1.47106k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066457+0.39%0.071244+7.62%0.0126✓1.171.7M2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.550099+0.88%0.6134+12.49%0.0537✓1.14335k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.