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2022-07-28 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0483
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.0%
in alpha space · 42.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3611-6.00%1.918+32.46%0.4471✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.539-5.61%34.8-14.77%0.0268✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.01095-4.45%0.009-21.47%0.1290✓1.27352k2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.7741-3.76%21.62+24.04%0.3000✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0763-3.67%1.0505-5.98%0.0304✓1.0312k2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.9972-3.33%3.777-8.66%0.0357✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.081303-3.28%0.08615+2.49%0.1286✗1.3428k2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.819208-3.17%0.786-7.09%0.0379✗1.503,1392022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.945861-3.13%1.0192+4.38%0.1612✗1.64209k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7046-3.06%2.48-11.11%0.0296✓1.08175k2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.6509-2.99%11.07-7.83%0.0133✓1.22241k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4988-2.97%1.3286-14.00%0.0407✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.819871-2.97%0.846+0.12%0.1231✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.7309-2.79%7.437+7.41%0.1884✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1233-2.78%5.59+6.07%0.1201✗0.62786k2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.287093-2.71%0.302+2.34%0.1106✗1.13323k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.070179-2.68%0.0809+12.19%0.2224✗1.52768k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.0056-2.61%9.2+11.92%0.2111✗1.36256k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.7891-2.56%8.75-2.99%0.0238✓0.53918k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.7713-2.54%3.1854+12.02%0.2230✗1.5810k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,911.36-2.51%10,646.82+16.48%0.2509✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.7401-2.38%15.86+5.03%0.1481✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.0567-2.35%8.819-4.92%0.0480✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.179278-2.33%0.18887+2.89%0.1747✗2.321,1272022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78101.4015-2.29%103.74-0.04%0.0764✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000097972-2.28%0.00009925-1.01%0.1160✗1.95662k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3538-2.21%2.252-6.44%0.0315✗1.43160k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2058-2.19%4.83+12.33%0.1764✗0.72685k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.1603-2.15%27.99+50.81%0.5061✗1.39534k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.541422-2.04%0.5813+5.17%0.1326✗1.161.5M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.311173-2.00%0.36281+14.27%0.2230✗1.3111k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0236-1.96%1.1129+6.60%0.1423✗1.119,1202022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.654-1.88%3.982+6.93%0.1324✗0.88754k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.993377-1.84%0.909-10.18%0.0048✓1.77551k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.051454-1.80%0.0537+2.48%0.1062✗1.20263k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.161578-1.78%0.1642-0.18%0.0827✗1.26411k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.269-1.77%2.1899-5.20%0.0304✗1.2524k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0449-1.73%5.156+25.27%0.2718✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021505-1.70%0.022448+2.61%0.0949✗0.988,3682022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.046638-1.69%0.0491+3.50%0.0994✗0.9115k2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.438869-1.69%0.45707+2.39%0.0816✗0.7853k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.491565-1.69%0.558+11.60%0.1873✗1.1413k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.6799-1.64%10.359-4.60%0.0421✗1.3714.4M2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.8995-1.63%17.75+3.32%0.1215✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.048493-1.62%0.05021+1.87%0.0974✗1.1832k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.0206-1.61%0.020525-1.97%0.0232✗0.51165k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.218-1.59%3.09-5.50%0.0142✓0.5082k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.335.7253-1.58%46.01+26.75%0.3553✗1.94181k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.8491-1.57%23.37-3.55%0.0644✗1.6027.5M2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038102-1.54%0.0421+8.79%0.1648✗1.2368k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4153-1.54%3.9592-11.71%0.0508✓1.1028k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5557-1.54%1.58+0.00%0.0293✗0.26283k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.296875-1.50%0.329+9.16%0.1633✗1.1575k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.761436-1.50%0.799+3.36%0.1009✗1.00360k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4198.9248-1.48%96.34-4.05%0.0617✗1.679.0M2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7421-1.47%2.728-1.98%0.0710✗1.4443k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.927841-1.46%1.0339+9.80%0.1706✗1.181.2M2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.826-1.46%1.967+6.15%0.1504✗1.44217k2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2866-1.45%3.3721+45.34%0.4361✗0.90979k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3084-1.45%3.844+14.51%0.1818✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7012-1.44%5.54+16.14%0.1970✗0.62587k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5475-1.44%1.47-6.37%0.0255✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3376-1.43%1.297-4.42%0.0347✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.3224-1.42%38.82-9.57%0.0140✓1.3781.8M2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.1632-1.40%7.98+9.84%0.1748✗1.265.5M2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.093019-1.40%0.08541-9.47%0.0715✓0.26859k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.054271-1.40%0.054264-1.41%0.0323✗0.6120k2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.964441-1.39%1.1853+21.20%0.2545✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.476221-1.38%0.5776+19.61%0.2458✗1.00224k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026932-1.35%0.03497+28.10%0.3428✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.603759-1.35%0.686+12.09%0.2023✗1.4184k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,702.06-1.34%1,608.16-6.78%0.0098✓1.26383.0M2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4516-1.33%3.83+9.49%0.1413✗0.71497k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.5814-1.31%61.12-6.60%0.0079✓1.19244k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2429.8511-1.29%29.14-3.64%0.0263✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015231-1.28%0.015595+1.08%0.0708✗0.891.2M2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.45945-1.28%0.4388-5.72%0.0321✗1.48220k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.16171-1.28%0.1729+5.56%0.1346✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8533-1.21%2.6+38.59%0.4059✗1.27413k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.06471-1.21%0.0667+1.83%0.0810✗0.96183k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.493391-1.20%0.5677+13.68%0.1996✗1.1242k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4009-1.18%3.1416+29.31%0.3102✗0.78884k2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.3077-1.14%56-3.40%0.0505✗1.3932k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69153.9295-1.13%134.34-13.71%0.0731✓1.193.9M2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.119341-1.13%0.1447+19.88%0.2514✗1.11617k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8258-1.13%2.596-9.17%0.0080✓1.7692k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8078-1.10%2.223+21.61%0.2747✗1.29626k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7368-1.09%1.755-0.06%0.0874✗1.46316k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.21682-1.09%0.1995-8.99%0.0097✓1.391,1792022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5392-1.08%6.43+14.82%0.2237✗1.41959k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4362.7461-1.08%59.65-5.96%0.0107✓1.1613.5M2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.664146-1.08%0.66591-0.81%0.0833✗1.5379k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.570284-1.06%0.5965+3.49%0.1068✗1.17624k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8412-1.00%3.12+8.71%0.1748✗1.54192k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.485-1.00%1.502+0.13%0.0870✗1.43561k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.875218-0.99%1.214+37.33%0.3649✗0.711.2M2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.115839-0.99%0.1168-0.17%0.0649✗1.07357k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51160.9311-0.97%159.25-2.01%0.0475✗1.101.3M2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.745685-0.97%0.782+3.85%0.1134✗1.25178k2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.430984-0.97%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3094-0.94%5.82+8.58%0.1271✗0.67514k2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.541-0.93%60.269-4.53%0.0080✓0.85386k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.310803-0.89%0.3306+5.42%0.1248✗1.192.7M2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.113779-0.89%0.1202+4.70%0.1280✗1.382.5M2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.0303-0.88%0.03038-0.62%0.0717✗1.311,3002022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020805-0.88%0.02113+0.67%0.0700✗1.03136k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4805-0.86%2.9175+16.60%0.2143✗0.98863k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083871-0.86%0.0854+0.95%0.0814✗1.20155k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003081-0.83%0.003069-1.22%0.0488✗1.001.0M2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.252586-0.83%0.2606+2.32%0.0886✗1.0963k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.07472-0.82%0.07693+2.11%0.0680✗0.741,3772022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.134806-0.80%0.1392+2.43%0.0854✗1.013.2M2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1619-0.80%7.364+1.99%0.0948✗1.2716.2M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3632-0.78%1.399+1.82%0.0939✗1.292.4M2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.042871-0.74%0.04386+1.55%0.0740✗0.971,9372022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018691-0.74%0.01758-6.64%0.0211✓0.76263k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.43e-7-0.72%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0619✗0.845.9M2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009164-0.71%0.00979+6.07%0.1172✗0.974.7M2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.989781-0.68%1.0151+1.87%0.0770✗0.9857k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.197282-0.66%0.2175+9.52%0.1701✗1.371,5612022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.3425-0.64%17.32-6.18%0.0157✗1.38100k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.428264-0.63%0.4162-3.43%0.0429✗1.35104k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.120857-0.61%0.1269+4.36%0.1014✗1.005,8712022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.61e-7-0.60%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0356✗0.96195k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.159056-0.60%0.16-0.01%0.0876✗1.55205k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.422968-0.59%0.41954-1.39%0.0665✗1.41592k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,735.28-0.59%22,495.20-5.78%0.0019✓0.9819k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044028-0.57%0.00004294-3.03%0.0371✗1.181.7M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.510032-0.56%0.4997-2.57%0.0458✗1.2543.2M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.97503-0.55%0.99245+1.23%0.0886✗1.34399k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.260597-0.54%0.2611-0.34%0.0025✓0.0131k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011789-0.52%0.00001185+0.00%0.0710✗1.25986k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004397-0.51%0.00454+2.71%0.1019✗1.32106k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.708-0.50%1.8249+6.31%0.1327✗1.26492k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.23942-0.49%0.2263-5.94%0.0224✗1.4999k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5823-0.48%1.7+6.92%0.1449✗1.38114k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001092-0.48%0.001089-0.82%0.0652✗1.301.6M2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7011-0.46%1.814+6.14%0.0985✗0.65223k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.29644.2767-0.46%4.55+5.90%0.1002✗0.72968k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.32945-0.46%0.340211+2.79%0.1002✗1.291.0M2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4852.2475-0.44%49.4-5.87%0.0032✓1.12594k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.302673-0.44%0.333+9.54%0.1505✗1.04681k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9751-0.40%4.616+15.66%0.1810✗0.601.1M2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,770.37-0.34%22,623.94-5.15%0.0034✓1.00429.5M2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8546-0.33%2.982+4.12%0.1020✗1.10597k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.32%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0455✗1.0024k2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.083337-0.31%0.0731-12.56%0.0875✓0.83155k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.407612-0.31%0.40433-1.11%0.0565✗1.22118k2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.94998-0.30%1.1273+18.31%0.2466✗1.431.4M2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.2443-0.29%14.6359+2.45%0.0902✗1.1970k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069559-0.29%0.068981-1.12%0.0333✗0.79376k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.335369-0.28%0.3361-0.06%0.0628✗1.157.7M2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054549-0.28%0.063+15.17%0.2133✗1.31765k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105716-0.27%0.1096+3.40%0.1056✗1.32491k2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029852-0.26%0.03231+7.95%0.1454✗1.2514k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.130266-0.26%0.1347+3.14%0.1019✗1.3049k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6277-0.24%2.415-8.31%0.0355✓0.93105k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044201-0.22%0.0482+8.80%0.1575✗1.347,1312022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.250078-0.17%0.2522+0.68%0.0697✗1.16643k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.215655-0.16%0.218+0.93%0.0906✗1.51786k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.00689-0.16%0.0067-2.91%0.0004✓0.5440k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.846-0.13%8.092+3.00%0.0973✗1.269.4M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008939-0.12%0.00822-8.16%0.0354✓0.921.6M2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062842-0.09%0.0616-2.07%0.0543✗1.41337k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.243988-0.09%0.2485+1.76%0.0837✗1.24110k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3196-0.06%5-6.07%0.0510✓0.21214k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.003688-0.06%0.00377+2.17%0.0914✗1.31505k2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.749608+0.08%0.727-2.94%0.0489✓1.5180k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001525+0.09%0.001657+8.73%0.1364✓1.0120k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.069176+0.10%0.067353-2.53%0.0342✓1.151.7M2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3566+0.13%10.035-2.98%0.0262✓1.092.4M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.326235+0.17%0.31338-3.78%0.0219✓1.18407k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.7482+0.17%64.38+1.16%0.0772✓1.271.5M2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.150097+0.20%0.1561+4.21%0.1051✓1.2587k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.07035+0.36%0.0733+4.56%0.0974✓1.07299k2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1405+0.43%1.1502+1.28%0.0652✓1.0743k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.117308+0.53%0.113921-2.37%0.0235✓1.006.8M2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053493+0.55%0.0593+11.47%0.1800✓1.46109k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9658+0.60%8.092+36.46%0.3631✓1.102.0M2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.727488+0.62%0.738+2.07%0.0781✓1.21806k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.805499+0.69%0.74-7.50%0.0524✗0.6179k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.552948+1.16%0.5454-0.22%0.0464✓1.14350k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.439716+1.22%0.4737+9.05%0.1409✓1.26606k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006259+1.30%0.006146-0.54%0.0286✓0.894,8812022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.086078+1.39%0.0975+14.84%0.1887✓1.216,3652022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.