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2022-07-10 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0443
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.9%
in alpha space · 47.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.485491+0.62%0.4787-0.79%0.0109✗1.12252k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.623832+0.29%0.602-3.22%0.0322✗1.22952k2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.078926+0.29%0.0796+1.14%0.0121✓1.267,1372022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.2794+0.10%9.07-2.16%0.0197✗1.123.1M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046604+0.01%0.0505+8.37%0.0841✓1.36897k2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005659-0.06%0.005648-0.26%0.0007✗0.963,1492022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77106.6424-0.12%109.99+3.02%0.0341✗1.145.7M2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107246-0.12%0.106625-0.70%0.0029✓1.019.2M2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.5424-0.15%59.43-0.34%0.0018✗1.321.8M2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.472-0.22%5.689+3.74%0.0421✗1.152.2M2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,164.56-0.27%1,338.20+14.60%0.1423✗1.17339.3M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.647236-0.27%0.621-4.31%0.0369✓1.57214k2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.0089-0.28%13.2428+9.97%0.1012✗1.19316k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.0867-0.29%19.22+27.03%0.2455✗1.181.7M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.124156-0.30%0.13279+6.63%0.0718✗1.62198k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.40560.404347-0.31%0.3859-4.86%0.0431✓1.27354k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9309-0.40%2.9505+0.26%0.0098✗1.1030k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051554-0.48%0.054+4.25%0.0485✗0.77209k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8159-0.48%6.919+1.02%0.0185✗1.2411.3M2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098415-0.49%0.0943-4.65%0.0404✓0.81157k2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.197617-0.50%0.2071+4.28%0.0510✗1.47146k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.003380.003363-0.50%0.00353+4.44%0.0522✗1.35664k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.27257-0.52%0.282+2.92%0.0369✗1.02600k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004059-0.52%0.00394-3.43%0.0258✓1.36169k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,739.19-0.53%20,791.74-0.28%0.0054✗1.00472.7M2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.308887-0.55%0.3365+8.34%0.0890✗1.199.4M2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.050804-0.56%0.05194+1.66%0.0263✗1.49847k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0673-0.59%1.0511-2.10%0.0122✓1.1065k2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002822-0.60%0.002791-1.69%0.0082✓1.031.3M2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028346-0.61%0.02736-4.07%0.0317✓1.3024k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052676-0.61%0.0507-4.34%0.0340✓1.49118k2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.280779-0.63%0.32185+13.91%0.1401✗1.27464k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.850.844655-0.63%0.81-4.71%0.0399✓0.72129k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3504-0.64%1.537+13.10%0.1336✗1.47170k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099254-0.65%0.0979-2.00%0.0099✓1.342.8M2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.6141-0.65%54.43+8.99%0.0960✗1.18333k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5097-0.67%1.46-3.95%0.0294✓1.47284k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.5968-0.70%2.624+0.34%0.0137✗1.16969k2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,623.25-0.70%21,043.20+1.32%0.0230✗0.9946k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash45.1644.8392-0.71%45.92+1.68%0.0269✗1.09739k2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.77e-7-0.74%3.57e-7-5.94%0.0507✓1.11543k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero129.44128.482-0.74%135.99+5.06%0.0600✗1.151.3M2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.0667-0.76%0.062984-6.28%0.0539✓1.212.3M2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.310199-0.76%0.294596-5.75%0.0480✓1.262.3M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067068-0.79%0.067437-0.25%0.0078✓0.83611k2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.096424-0.80%0.1027+5.66%0.0668✗1.34696k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.861849-0.80%0.83755-3.60%0.0248✓1.35547k2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2208-0.81%2.171-3.04%0.0187✓1.4266k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006774-0.82%0.00645-5.56%0.0462✓1.00407k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.0889-0.82%88.27+13.56%0.1401✗1.648.9M2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001001-0.84%0.0009901-1.95%0.0076✓1.292.7M2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.872451-0.86%0.90356+2.67%0.0379✗1.0393k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.00667-0.86%0.006838+1.63%0.0265✗0.5897k2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4409-0.87%4.78+6.70%0.0755✗0.66795k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.387949-0.88%0.3774-3.58%0.0237✓1.3694k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4117-0.88%5.95+8.97%0.0986✗1.34264k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009078-0.90%0.00892-2.62%0.0149✓0.941.2M2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3031-0.91%1.3548+3.03%0.0428✗1.37685k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.148332-0.91%0.1386-7.41%0.0643✓1.27102k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.233908-0.93%0.2123-10.08%0.0935✓1.20695k2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1332-0.93%6.345+2.49%0.0376✗1.2820.5M2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.01993-0.95%0.02009-0.15%0.0110✗1.0798k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.91893.8818-0.95%4.0915+4.40%0.0546✗0.711.2M2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.103698-0.96%0.1096+4.68%0.0582✗0.997,0862022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012393-0.96%0.012404-0.87%0.0033✓0.831.4M2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.042783-0.96%0.0416-3.70%0.0242✓1.369,9202022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.035,974.62-0.97%6,069.87+0.61%0.0196✗1.334.5M2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.0587-1.00%9.05-1.09%0.0023✓1.17307k2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1618.9666-1.01%20.62+7.62%0.0879✗1.5227.8M2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.6987-1.01%53.662-1.08%0.0017✓0.84488k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3856-1.01%2.52+4.56%0.0593✗1.58236k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8706-1.01%3.223+11.14%0.1179✗0.76583k2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2587-1.05%1.244-2.20%0.0079✓1.372.9M2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.3856-1.05%2.5042+3.87%0.0514✗1.021.3M2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.631293-1.05%0.644+0.94%0.0225✗0.92419k2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000039924-1.06%0.00004004-0.77%0.0064✓1.232.4M2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.039984-1.07%0.040555+0.35%0.0175✗1.1714k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.487987-1.08%0.5072+2.82%0.0420✗1.21634k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062419-1.08%0.071+12.52%0.1329✗1.45322k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.5767-1.08%5.2307-7.22%0.0635✓0.19291k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011077-1.10%0.0000107-4.46%0.0311✓1.261.3M2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.2513-1.10%14.51+0.69%0.0219✗1.371.5M2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.662568-1.11%0.667-0.45%0.0103✓1.29157k2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2754-1.11%2.164-5.95%0.0454✓1.6990k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.42-1.11%1.382-3.76%0.0230✓1.45428k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.80e-7-1.12%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0248✗0.845.7M2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.456968-1.13%0.4477-3.14%0.0169✓1.2846.7M2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6073-1.13%1.5731-3.24%0.0179✓1.28555k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.104005-1.14%0.1055+0.29%0.0174✗1.12551k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.107068-1.14%0.1105+2.03%0.0347✗1.10401k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0951.489-1.15%55.74+7.01%0.0827✗1.1818.8M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7321-1.16%3.872+2.54%0.0386✗0.621.8M2022-07-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.189753-1.17%0.187-2.60%0.0103✓1.522,7942022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8035-1.18%2.043+11.94%0.1271✗0.85954k2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.1848-1.20%6.82+8.95%0.0991✗0.49815k2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.2857-1.22%9.37-0.32%0.0131✗1.451.1M2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.293482-1.22%0.273-8.11%0.0690✓1.183.0M2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.8127-1.22%16.55-2.76%0.0118✓1.4176k2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6209-1.23%1.564-4.69%0.0323✓1.19297k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.2301-1.25%38.63+5.29%0.0678✗1.3190.8M2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.259602-1.29%0.2316-11.94%0.1105✓1.27220k2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3028-1.30%1.4+6.06%0.0762✗1.50784k2022-07-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.350371-1.30%0.4+12.68%0.1353✗1.005252022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.251662-1.31%0.2371-7.02%0.0564✓1.1262k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.900668-1.32%0.9124-0.03%0.0170✗1.452.0M2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.117793-1.35%0.1168-2.18%0.0056✓1.004.0M2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.172148-1.35%0.1784+2.23%0.0396✗1.403,2022022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.6522-1.35%8.915+1.64%0.0337✗1.3313.1M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.255338-1.38%0.2537-2.01%0.0032✓1.1531k2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.132439-1.39%0.1532+14.07%0.1493✗1.282.8M2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6862-1.39%1.71+0.00%0.0172✗1.14114k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.938895-1.40%1.0786+13.27%0.1426✗1.384.5M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8366-1.40%1.8014-3.29%0.0159✓1.2437k2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051171-1.40%0.051428-0.91%0.0068✓0.6415k2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1497-1.41%2.2375+2.61%0.0423✗0.791.1M2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.518483-1.43%0.497-5.51%0.0384✓1.3999k2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.794359-1.44%0.777-3.60%0.0198✓0.811.6M2022-07-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5078-1.45%1.529-0.07%0.0168✗1.00178k2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.2916-1.46%7.225+13.16%0.1422✗1.355.5M2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.6994-1.48%3.268+19.27%0.1943✗1.11552k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.044979-1.49%0.04502-1.40%0.0035✓0.935,7282022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.385724-1.50%0.3946+0.77%0.0273✗1.61208k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.4892-1.51%27.61+6.68%0.0826✗0.9311.6M2022-07-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.257414-1.52%0.2616+0.08%0.0190✗1.0046k2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.40173-1.56%0.38262-6.24%0.0452✓1.25155k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3252.4844-1.57%54.86+2.89%0.0482✗1.4127k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010463-1.57%0.0091-14.39%0.1366✓1.035.5M2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.1359-1.57%6.943+11.37%0.1274✗1.355.4M2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0191-1.59%5.15+0.98%0.0299✗1.471.3M2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.299484-1.61%0.28874-5.14%0.0326✓1.372,9402022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.9636-1.65%4.32+7.20%0.0879✗0.64689k2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.3985-1.66%2.355-3.44%0.0157✓0.92148k2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.483736-1.68%0.4817-2.09%0.0011✓1.1167k2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.261522-1.68%0.203-23.68%0.2490✓1.521.1M2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1414-1.69%1.182+1.81%0.0383✗1.171.7M2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.150706-1.69%0.1663+8.48%0.1022✗1.33353k2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.409928-1.70%0.511+22.54%0.2235✗1.1111k2022-07-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.026317-1.73%0.0273+1.94%0.0413✗1.642,0362022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.471768-1.73%0.44441-7.43%0.0553✓1.561.4M2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.6993-1.75%4.969+3.89%0.0609✗1.7816.6M2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.090666-1.77%0.0857-7.15%0.0527✓1.29179k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019557-1.82%0.01857-6.78%0.0496✓0.77414k2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.1599-1.87%3.47+7.76%0.0956✗0.70765k2022-07-17
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.6257-1.88%23.77+7.85%0.0974✗1.00126k2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.769379-1.89%0.8024+2.32%0.0449✗1.034.0M2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.668768-1.89%0.66332-2.69%0.0035✓1.66120k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.46440.455574-1.90%0.4404-5.17%0.0303✓1.281.2M2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.0671-1.93%0.0772+12.83%0.1425✗0.812,3072022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025571-1.95%0.02299-11.85%0.1017✓1.6621.5M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.020894-1.95%0.021277-0.15%0.0210✗1.028952022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8634-1.98%1.778-6.47%0.0431✓1.33953k2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.665-2.01%3.91+4.55%0.0665✗0.62755k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.056551-2.01%0.06269+8.63%0.1070✗1.3927k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.045738-2.06%0.0496+6.21%0.0846✗1.24264k2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017042-2.09%0.017915+2.92%0.0515✗0.56291k2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3394-2.09%2.5474+6.61%0.0898✗1.654,8022022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038665-2.11%0.0363-8.10%0.0595✓1.27112k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.070176-2.13%0.0706-1.53%0.0090✓1.05108k2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0053-2.15%0.9894-3.70%0.0127✓1.151,9162022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.768937-2.17%0.78631+0.04%0.0247✗0.842472022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.930547-2.25%0.896-5.88%0.0327✓1.81620k2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.3875-2.27%2.653+8.60%0.1104✗1.763.4M2022-07-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.39291-2.29%0.3873-3.68%0.0116✓1.00179k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9256-2.32%3.087+3.07%0.0555✗0.632.4M2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.406869-2.33%0.43709+4.92%0.0737✗0.7355k2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5229-2.38%1.64+5.13%0.0747✗0.23575k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum81.4379.4577-2.42%98.86+21.40%0.2213✗0.992.5M2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.520699-2.49%0.582+8.99%0.1161✗1.701.5M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.3652-2.54%3.597+4.17%0.0682✗0.572.2M2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.912934-2.59%0.9377+0.05%0.0303✗1.26284k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.152799-2.61%0.126-19.69%0.1891✓1.3334k2022-07-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.099053-2.63%0.09082-10.72%0.0839✓1.00347k2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.9949-2.69%2.018-1.56%0.0157✓1.47114k2022-07-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.243461-2.69%0.2865+14.51%0.1656✗1.00436k2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.1668-2.70%17.39+19.44%0.2097✗1.67463k2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.807358-2.96%0.776-6.73%0.0342✓1.9010.2M2022-07-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.16712-3.41%0.18476+6.79%0.1088✗2.978572022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.0832-3.99%14.48-7.83%0.0379✓1.03501k2022-07-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.0868-4.07%3.54-16.90%0.1428✓0.2882k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.675508-4.32%0.64-9.35%0.0498✓1.503,2002022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.766632-4.64%0.8755+8.91%0.1374✗1.64160k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000105219-5.13%0.0001015-8.48%0.0304✓1.97766k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.