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2022-07-10 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0726
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 50.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.754163-6.19%0.8755+8.91%0.1538✗1.64160k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.00010575-4.65%0.0001015-8.48%0.0354✓1.97766k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.683274-3.22%0.64-9.35%0.0612✓1.503,2002022-07-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.1363-2.90%3.54-16.90%0.1549✓0.2882k2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.520492-2.53%0.582+8.99%0.1165✗1.701.5M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.368-2.46%3.597+4.17%0.0674✗0.572.2M2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.812954-2.29%0.776-6.73%0.0411✓1.9010.2M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.932489-2.05%0.896-5.88%0.0348✓1.81620k2022-07-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.169561-2.00%0.18476+6.79%0.0942✗2.978572022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0088-1.82%0.9894-3.70%0.0162✓1.151,9162022-07-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.245796-1.76%0.2865+14.51%0.1561✗1.00436k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9485-1.55%3.087+3.07%0.0477✗0.632.4M2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.4697-1.53%14.48-7.83%0.0632✓1.03501k2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.1708-1.53%3.47+7.76%0.0922✗0.70765k2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038898-1.52%0.0363-8.10%0.0656✓1.27112k2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0202-1.45%2.018-1.56%0.0031✓1.47114k2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.6875-1.41%3.91+4.55%0.0603✗0.62755k2022-07-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.39646-1.40%0.3873-3.68%0.0205✓1.00179k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8744-1.40%1.778-6.47%0.0491✓1.33953k2022-07-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.100357-1.35%0.09082-10.72%0.0970✓1.00347k2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.3646-1.34%17.39+19.44%0.1959✗1.67463k2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.774205-1.27%0.8024+2.32%0.0387✗1.034.0M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5402-1.27%1.64+5.13%0.0634✗0.23575k2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4125-1.25%2.653+8.60%0.1000✗1.763.4M2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.673254-1.23%0.66332-2.69%0.0102✓1.66120k2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.02105-1.22%0.021277-0.15%0.0136✗1.028952022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.925997-1.20%0.9377+0.05%0.0161✗1.26284k2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.403267-1.18%0.38262-6.24%0.0490✓1.25155k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7089-1.14%3.268+19.27%0.1908✗1.11552k2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.777266-1.11%0.78631+0.04%0.0140✗0.842472022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.412366-1.11%0.511+22.54%0.2176✗1.1111k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019699-1.11%0.01857-6.78%0.0568✓0.77414k2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.474911-1.08%0.44441-7.43%0.0620✓1.561.4M2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7331-1.04%4.969+3.89%0.0537✗1.7816.6M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017228-1.02%0.017915+2.92%0.0407✗0.56291k2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025813-1.02%0.02299-11.85%0.1111✓1.6621.5M2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.41243-1.00%0.43709+4.92%0.0601✗0.7355k2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.151828-0.96%0.1663+8.48%0.0948✗1.33353k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum81.4380.6609-0.94%98.86+21.40%0.2063✗0.992.5M2022-07-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5156-0.94%1.529-0.07%0.0116✗1.00178k2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7406-0.94%3.872+2.54%0.0363✗0.621.8M2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3252.8236-0.93%54.86+2.89%0.0418✗1.4127k2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.301583-0.92%0.28874-5.14%0.0396✓1.372,9402022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.172898-0.92%0.1784+2.23%0.0353✗1.403,2022022-07-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.259053-0.90%0.2616+0.08%0.0126✗1.0046k2022-07-17
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.844-0.89%23.77+7.85%0.0873✗1.00126k2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.77e-7-0.88%3.57e-7-5.94%0.0492✓1.11543k2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3684-0.88%2.5474+6.61%0.0775✗1.654,8022022-07-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.351899-0.87%0.4+12.68%0.1309✗1.005252022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.7869-0.85%53.662-1.08%0.0000✓0.84488k2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.091527-0.84%0.0857-7.15%0.0621✓1.29179k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.118417-0.82%0.1168-2.18%0.0109✓1.004.0M2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.388382-0.82%0.3946+0.77%0.0204✗1.61208k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010543-0.81%0.0091-14.39%0.1443✓1.035.5M2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.5922-0.81%5.2307-7.22%0.0663✓0.19291k2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.488044-0.80%0.4817-2.09%0.0100✓1.1167k2022-07-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.190476-0.79%0.187-2.60%0.0141✓1.522,7942022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3355-0.78%7.225+13.16%0.1352✗1.355.5M2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.263999-0.75%0.203-23.68%0.2584✓1.521.1M2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062641-0.73%0.071+12.52%0.1294✗1.45322k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.155812-0.69%0.126-19.69%0.2086✓1.3334k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.05731-0.69%0.06269+8.63%0.0937✗1.3927k2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.459032-0.69%0.4477-3.14%0.0214✓1.2846.7M2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.5973-0.68%2.624+0.34%0.0135✗1.16969k2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051564-0.64%0.051428-0.91%0.0008✓0.6415k2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.10406-0.61%0.1096+4.68%0.0547✗0.997,0862022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011132-0.61%0.0000107-4.46%0.0360✓1.261.3M2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6997-0.60%1.71+0.00%0.0093✗1.14114k2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.312-0.60%1.4+6.06%0.0691✗1.50784k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.94651-0.60%1.0786+13.27%0.1346✗1.384.5M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.801247-0.59%0.777-3.60%0.0284✓0.811.6M2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.071297-0.56%0.0706-1.53%0.0069✓1.05108k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045409-0.55%0.04502-1.40%0.0060✓0.935,7282022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.133564-0.55%0.1532+14.07%0.1408✗1.282.8M2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.523306-0.51%0.497-5.51%0.0476✓1.3999k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8855-0.50%3.223+11.14%0.1128✗0.76583k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068081-0.49%0.0772+12.83%0.1280✗0.812,3072022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1703-0.47%2.2375+2.61%0.0327✗0.791.1M2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.5215-0.46%38.63+5.29%0.0598✗1.3190.8M2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.261807-0.45%0.2316-11.94%0.1190✓1.27220k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046491-0.45%0.0496+6.21%0.0682✗1.24264k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.732-0.44%8.915+1.64%0.0245✗1.3313.1M2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.865033-0.44%0.83755-3.60%0.0285✓1.35547k2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0779-0.43%5.15+0.98%0.0183✗1.471.3M2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.2077-0.42%6.943+11.37%0.1158✗1.355.4M2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.667195-0.42%0.667-0.45%0.0034✓1.29157k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.107864-0.40%0.1105+2.03%0.0273✗1.10401k2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.3647-0.38%9.37-0.32%0.0047✗1.451.1M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8557-0.37%1.8014-3.29%0.0262✓1.2437k2022-07-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.026683-0.36%0.0273+1.94%0.0275✗1.642,0362022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8186-0.35%2.043+11.94%0.1187✗0.85954k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.850.847082-0.34%0.81-4.71%0.0427✓0.72129k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.157-0.34%1.182+1.81%0.0247✗1.171.7M2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001006-0.34%0.0009901-1.95%0.0127✓1.292.7M2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.296123-0.33%0.273-8.11%0.0780✓1.183.0M2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.00913-0.33%0.00892-2.62%0.0206✓0.941.2M2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6205-0.32%1.5731-3.24%0.0261✓1.28555k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.235363-0.31%0.2123-10.08%0.0997✓1.20695k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006809-0.30%0.00645-5.56%0.0514✓1.00407k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.309676-0.30%0.3365+8.34%0.0864✗1.199.4M2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5156-0.29%1.46-3.95%0.0332✓1.47284k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0185-0.29%4.32+7.20%0.0742✗0.64689k2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3113-0.28%1.3548+3.03%0.0365✗1.37685k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.254334-0.26%0.2371-7.02%0.0670✓1.1262k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4457-0.26%5.95+8.97%0.0923✗1.34264k2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2687-0.26%1.244-2.20%0.0158✓1.372.9M2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.9775-0.25%16.55-2.76%0.0215✓1.4176k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.910436-0.25%0.9124-0.03%0.0063✗1.452.0M2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.10495-0.24%0.1055+0.29%0.0084✗1.12551k2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2342-0.21%2.171-3.04%0.0247✓1.4266k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.46440.463426-0.21%0.4404-5.17%0.0473✓1.281.2M2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4331-0.20%1.382-3.76%0.0322✓1.45428k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3563-0.20%1.537+13.10%0.1292✗1.47170k2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.248-0.19%6.82+8.95%0.0890✗0.49815k2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6379-0.19%1.564-4.69%0.0428✓1.19297k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.636822-0.18%0.644+0.94%0.0138✗0.92419k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.067086-0.18%0.062984-6.28%0.0597✓1.212.3M2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.8352-0.17%27.61+6.68%0.0691✗0.9311.6M2022-07-17
DASHDashDash45.1645.0856-0.16%45.92+1.68%0.0214✗1.09739k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.149464-0.16%0.1386-7.41%0.0719✓1.27102k2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2981-0.13%2.164-5.95%0.0553✓1.6990k2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012499-0.12%0.012404-0.87%0.0052✓0.831.4M2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051032-0.11%0.05194+1.66%0.0218✗1.49847k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0952.0316-0.11%55.74+7.01%0.0722✗1.1818.8M2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4366-0.10%2.355-3.44%0.0315✓0.92148k2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,027.43-0.09%6,069.87+0.61%0.0108✗1.334.5M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1855-0.09%6.345+2.49%0.0291✗1.2820.5M2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098821-0.08%0.0943-4.65%0.0445✓0.81157k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.6728-0.07%88.27+13.56%0.1325✗1.648.9M2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.003380.003378-0.07%0.00353+4.44%0.0479✗1.35664k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.9069-0.07%54.43+8.99%0.0901✗1.18333k2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.879809-0.03%0.90356+2.67%0.0295✗1.0393k2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002838-0.03%0.002791-1.69%0.0139✓1.031.3M2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006728-0.01%0.006838+1.63%0.0179✗0.5897k2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4803+0.01%4.78+6.70%0.0666✓0.66795k2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.4116+0.01%14.51+0.69%0.0107✓1.371.5M2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.40560.405731+0.03%0.3859-4.86%0.0465✗1.27354k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.39157+0.04%0.3774-3.58%0.0330✗1.3694k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1558+0.06%9.05-1.09%0.0083✗1.17307k2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020135+0.08%0.02009-0.15%0.0008✓1.0798k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.91e-7+0.08%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0128✓0.845.7M2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097278+0.08%0.1027+5.66%0.0580✓1.34696k2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1762+0.08%20.62+7.62%0.0769✓1.5227.8M2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4125+0.10%2.52+4.56%0.0481✓1.58236k2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067676+0.10%0.067437-0.25%0.0012✗0.83611k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9462+0.12%2.9505+0.26%0.0046✓1.1030k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053061+0.12%0.0507-4.34%0.0413✗1.49118k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0749+0.12%1.0511-2.10%0.0193✗1.1065k2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.04326+0.14%0.0416-3.70%0.0353✗1.369,9202022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.7139+0.14%59.43-0.34%0.0010✓1.321.8M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046668+0.15%0.0505+8.37%0.0828✓1.36897k2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.0608+0.15%13.2428+9.97%0.0969✓1.19316k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8617+0.19%6.919+1.02%0.0118✓1.2411.3M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.19898+0.19%0.2071+4.28%0.0442✓1.47146k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028576+0.20%0.02736-4.07%0.0398✗1.3024k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.494476+0.24%0.5072+2.82%0.0288✓1.21634k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107642+0.25%0.106625-0.70%0.0066✗1.019.2M2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4979+0.25%5.689+3.74%0.0374✓1.152.2M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,826.38+0.28%21,043.20+1.32%0.0132✓0.9946k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051946+0.28%0.054+4.25%0.0410✓0.77209k2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.283392+0.30%0.32185+13.91%0.1308✓1.27464k2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4182+0.30%2.5042+3.87%0.0378✓1.021.3M2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.100214+0.31%0.0979-2.00%0.0196✗1.342.8M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.259718+0.32%0.2537-2.01%0.0202✗1.1531k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040551+0.34%0.040555+0.35%0.0034✓1.1714k2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040487+0.34%0.00004004-0.77%0.0076✗1.232.4M2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,171.65+0.34%1,338.20+14.60%0.1362✓1.17339.3M2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.1818+0.34%19.22+27.03%0.2392✓1.181.7M2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004094+0.35%0.00394-3.43%0.0346✗1.36169k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9333+0.37%4.0915+4.40%0.0415✓0.711.2M2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.313821+0.40%0.294596-5.75%0.0596✗1.262.3M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005689+0.47%0.005648-0.26%0.0046✓0.963,1492022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero129.44130.0781+0.49%135.99+5.06%0.0477✓1.151.3M2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,960.93+0.53%20,791.74-0.28%0.0053✓1.00472.7M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.125211+0.55%0.13279+6.63%0.0634✓1.62198k2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77107.3693+0.56%109.99+3.02%0.0273✓1.145.7M2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.275754+0.64%0.282+2.92%0.0253✓1.02600k2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.079214+0.65%0.0796+1.14%0.0084✓1.267,1372022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.653515+0.70%0.621-4.31%0.0466✗1.57214k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.626474+0.72%0.602-3.22%0.0364✗1.22952k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.3494+0.86%9.07-2.16%0.0272✗1.123.1M2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.487085+0.95%0.4787-0.79%0.0142✗1.12252k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.