8=======>

2022-06-30 · +7d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2590
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 53.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5822.8541-7.02%16.65-32.26%0.3979✓1.04230k2022-07-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000107368-5.04%0.0001126-0.42%0.1023✓1.91969k2022-07-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.688189-3.61%0.727+1.82%0.0685✓1.572,9032022-07-07
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.52947-2.85%0.577+5.87%0.0076✓1.003.2M2022-07-07
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.409549-2.60%0.3579-14.89%0.2132✓1.009832022-07-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.830373-2.42%0.875+2.82%0.1077✓2.0423.8M2022-07-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.3155-2.23%3.504+3.33%0.0079✓0.603.2M2022-07-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.039836-2.12%0.0395-2.95%0.1123✓1.32192k2022-07-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03861.0171-2.07%1.0105-2.71%0.1196✓1.44190k2022-07-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.134625-1.79%0.201+46.63%0.3225✗1.008412022-07-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.830174-1.52%1.014+20.28%0.0564✗1.83886k2022-07-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.6943-1.38%2.102+22.35%0.1079✗1.37953k2022-07-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.387634-1.30%0.45268+15.26%0.0510✗1.33143k2022-07-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.267981-1.30%0.2458-9.47%0.1648✓1.001.0M2022-07-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.9716-1.28%3.053+1.43%0.0255✓0.675.2M2022-07-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.791128-1.27%0.8089+0.95%0.0616✓1.073.6M2022-07-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5552-1.25%3.85+6.94%0.0291✗0.651.2M2022-07-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1726-1.16%3.14-2.18%0.0887✓1.00143k2022-07-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.7377-1.14%5.784-0.35%0.0088✓0.21255k2022-07-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023134-1.14%0.0252+7.69%0.0526✓1.7628.8M2022-07-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.776-1.11%2.5398-9.53%0.2257✓1.7512k2022-07-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.432186-1.01%0.4258-2.47%0.1484✓1.70210k2022-07-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.459349-0.98%0.519+11.88%0.0437✗1.00100k2022-07-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.692911-0.97%0.80564+15.14%0.0200✗1.6799k2022-07-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.4843-0.96%3.773+7.25%0.0265✗0.682.5M2022-07-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010165-0.92%0.00932-9.16%0.1640✓0.981.2M2022-07-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.057139-0.90%0.05894+2.22%0.0786✓1.4047k2022-07-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0035-0.87%3.24+6.93%0.0189✗0.731.1M2022-07-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.467805-0.82%0.45682-3.15%0.1514✓1.632.4M2022-07-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.901963-0.80%0.97043+6.73%0.0207✓1.204,6812022-07-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4188-0.79%1.47+2.80%0.0051✓0.39637k2022-07-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.994596-0.76%1.0044+0.22%0.1110✓1.542.8M2022-07-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.256076-0.75%0.275+6.59%0.0598✓1.671.2M2022-07-07
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.05112-0.74%0.053373+3.64%0.0095✓0.6728k2022-07-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024261-0.73%0.02907+18.94%0.1025✗1.002,1812022-07-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014515-0.73%0.015667+7.15%0.0346✗0.53469k2022-07-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.6012-0.69%5.105+10.19%0.0384✓1.8216.0M2022-07-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.3286-0.63%55.861+0.32%0.0570✓0.851.1M2022-07-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.095606-0.62%0.1008+4.78%0.0566✓1.40179k2022-07-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2719-0.61%2.666+16.62%0.0161✗1.843.0M2022-07-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.311198-0.60%0.3056-2.39%0.1314✓1.455,5012022-07-07
HIVEHivenative0.52290.519926-0.57%0.4659-10.90%0.2131✓1.321.2M2022-07-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019734-0.56%0.021168+6.67%0.0163✓1.101,8282022-07-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.181925-0.53%0.1915+4.70%0.0271✓1.004,1902022-07-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.690316-0.53%0.643-7.35%0.1473✓0.97520k2022-07-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.797822-0.52%0.892+11.22%0.0418✗0.891.6M2022-07-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.877753-0.51%0.93517+6.00%0.0446✓1.38655k2022-07-07
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.2166-0.51%0.2195+0.83%0.0823✓1.22731k2022-07-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.4924-0.50%2.695+7.58%0.0204✓1.26873k2022-07-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.159598-0.50%0.1885+17.52%0.0594✗1.374,0222022-07-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018329-0.50%0.02047+11.13%0.0473✗0.81369k2022-07-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.5886-0.48%15.18+42.67%0.2341✗1.61427k2022-07-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.506581-0.48%0.556+9.23%0.0186✓1.42109k2022-07-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1179-0.46%1.283+14.25%0.0490✗1.131.5M2022-07-07
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.457745-0.45%0.4774+3.83%0.0635✓1.3573.7M2022-07-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.3077-0.44%2.426+4.66%0.0632✓1.4477k2022-07-07
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.5835-0.44%48.65+8.64%0.0309✓1.5128k2022-07-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0508-0.42%2.1851+6.10%0.0037✓0.862.1M2022-07-07
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.663-0.42%1.72+2.99%0.0563✓1.15202k2022-07-07
PROPropyEthereum0.880.87637-0.41%0.85-3.41%0.0874✓0.73159k2022-07-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.066645-0.41%0.07142+6.72%0.0068✗0.801,8752022-07-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059167-0.39%0.0625+5.22%0.0625✓1.50403k2022-07-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.8112-0.39%5.24+8.49%0.0342✓1.531.4M2022-07-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.043959-0.39%0.04561+3.35%0.0410✓0.9911k2022-07-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9485-0.39%2.57-13.18%0.2661✓1.64314k2022-07-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045524-0.38%0.0495+8.32%0.0267✓1.41272k2022-07-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.68-0.37%2.82+4.83%0.0384✓1.14659k2022-07-07
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.379232-0.37%0.41554+9.17%0.0354✗0.71113k2022-07-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066187-0.36%0.070619+6.31%0.0353✓1.282.0M2022-07-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6341-0.36%1.55-5.49%0.1752✓1.56405k2022-07-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010273-0.36%0.00001131+9.70%0.0042✓1.281.0M2022-07-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.31349-0.35%0.3224+2.48%0.0684✓1.2311.8M2022-07-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.3593-0.35%1.932+41.64%0.2362✗1.4793k2022-07-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7274-0.35%1.842+6.27%0.0029✓0.861.4M2022-07-07
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5033-0.31%1.666+10.48%0.0069✗1.22319k2022-07-07
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.6366-0.31%38.43+13.90%0.0279✗1.34101.1M2022-07-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.2552-0.31%1.332+5.80%0.0530✓1.444.3M2022-07-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.103993-0.29%0.1073+2.88%0.0597✓1.16515k2022-07-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.103023-0.27%0.1117+8.13%0.0002✓1.037,0862022-07-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.112006-0.26%0.1256+11.84%0.0346✗1.024.0M2022-07-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3888-0.26%4.57+3.86%0.0126✓0.681.2M2022-07-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000950632-0.24%0.001001+5.02%0.0564✓1.372.9M2022-07-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.159624-0.23%0.1572-1.75%0.1256✓1.41717k2022-07-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.328146-0.22%0.314984-4.22%0.1454✓1.332.6M2022-07-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.241188-0.21%0.2299-4.88%0.1528✓1.34392k2022-07-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5732-0.20%10.43+21.42%0.0776✗1.511.2M2022-07-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9957-0.13%5.73+14.55%0.0293✗1.385.5M2022-07-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012428-0.11%0.0124-0.34%0.0696✓0.861.6M2022-07-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1343-0.11%5.95+15.76%0.0425✗1.34386k2022-07-07
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.6805-0.11%64.36+19.76%0.1055✗0.971.9M2022-07-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.357622-0.11%0.403+12.57%0.0270✗1.1811k2022-07-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.269218-0.10%0.2876+6.72%0.0316✓1.253.2M2022-07-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.8365-0.09%4.13+7.55%0.0218✗0.661.2M2022-07-07
TRXTRONTron0.064740.064683-0.09%0.068633+6.01%0.0108✓0.89736k2022-07-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.8118-0.08%2.911+3.45%0.0283✓0.801.1M2022-07-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.7693-0.08%52.11-3.16%0.1263✓1.2118.4M2022-07-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8387-0.06%1.9178+4.24%0.0603✓1.3162k2022-07-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.9572-0.05%6.28+5.37%0.0130✗0.511.1M2022-07-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.227642-0.03%0.2478+8.83%0.0088✓1.2087k2022-07-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.735688-0.00%0.8403+14.22%0.0504✗1.0573k2022-07-07
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3074+0.03%1.422+8.80%0.0339✗1.50430k2022-07-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4408+0.03%2.392-1.97%0.0956✗0.96157k2022-07-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.009423+0.04%0.0111+17.83%0.0862✓0.996.4M2022-07-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.39e-7+0.04%4.01e-7+18.34%0.0900✓1.00647k2022-07-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027566+0.06%0.02961+7.48%0.0356✗1.3726k2022-07-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044527+0.06%0.0453+1.80%0.0926✗1.4012k2022-07-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006594+0.06%0.00685+3.95%0.0425✗1.03421k2022-07-07
DASHDashDash42.2342.2585+0.07%46.09+9.14%0.0029✗1.14766k2022-07-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.4302+0.08%2.4723+1.81%0.0691✗1.101.7M2022-07-07
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4225+0.09%1.5719+10.60%0.0029✗1.31654k2022-07-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.5754+0.11%9.36+23.69%0.1035✓1.3815.0M2022-07-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3562+0.12%6.245+16.73%0.0475✓1.359.0M2022-07-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019394+0.12%0.02531+30.67%0.1861✓1.02104k2022-07-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.2862+0.15%6.636+5.72%0.0492✗1.3239.1M2022-07-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.821552+0.16%0.914728+11.52%0.0217✓1.09100k2022-07-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.386432+0.16%0.4192+8.66%0.0316✗1.44115k2022-07-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.3564+0.18%9-3.64%0.1325✗1.20398k2022-07-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.8196+0.18%2.9966+6.47%0.0305✗1.1733k2022-07-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2652+0.19%1.4217+12.58%0.0153✓1.29849k2022-07-07
STXStacksnative0.40770.408467+0.19%0.4106+0.71%0.0981✗1.32318k2022-07-07
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.116929+0.20%0.1356+16.20%0.0426✓1.353.6M2022-07-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.112531+0.20%0.11364+1.19%0.0732✗1.0611.2M2022-07-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054413+0.21%0.0571+5.16%0.0726✗1.54138k2022-07-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.097711+0.22%0.1037+6.36%0.0333✗1.18647k2022-07-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048856+0.22%0.0526+7.90%0.0456✗1.521.1M2022-07-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133897+0.22%0.147+10.03%0.0126✗1.35149k2022-07-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0802+0.23%7.3+3.34%0.0693✗1.2813.5M2022-07-07
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.6488+0.24%27.43+11.55%0.0324✓0.9511.3M2022-07-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0868+0.26%1.0869+0.26%0.0895✗1.1456k2022-07-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.411+0.26%5.796+7.39%0.0266✗1.222.3M2022-07-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.6211+0.28%15.35+5.28%0.0617✗1.411.6M2022-07-07
KSMKusamaHydration48.2848.4161+0.28%52.68+9.11%0.0096✗1.20722k2022-07-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.615735+0.28%0.711+15.80%0.0380✓1.35207k2022-07-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.115543+0.30%0.1002-13.02%0.2100✗0.86209k2022-07-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.720795+0.33%0.84841+18.10%0.0952✓0.875002022-07-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.094416+0.34%0.0947+0.64%0.1115✗1.46791k2022-07-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.039349+0.36%0.04137+5.51%0.0330✗1.063,1732022-07-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.505717+0.36%0.5163+2.46%0.0785✗1.27719k2022-07-07
GTGateEthereum4.124.1365+0.40%4.0325-2.12%0.0853✗0.761.2M2022-07-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.0604+0.40%15.91+6.07%0.0427✗1.252.0M2022-07-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,435.10+0.42%6,584.14+21.65%0.0875✓1.334.1M2022-07-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.04781+0.44%0.0495+3.99%0.0755✗1.411.1M2022-07-07
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.994692+0.47%1.18+19.19%0.0485✓1.56846k2022-07-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.239466+0.49%0.2583+8.39%0.0207✗1.2327k2022-07-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002764+0.52%0.00272-1.09%0.1007✗1.081.6M2022-07-07
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.14e-7+0.53%9.30e-7+14.81%0.0666✓0.855.3M2022-07-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9717.0603+0.53%20.18+18.92%0.0486✓1.5232.6M2022-07-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.27751+0.55%0.29+5.07%0.0382✗1.05746k2022-07-07
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.038324+0.55%0.041632+9.23%0.0150✗1.2520k2022-07-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006526+0.55%0.006963+7.29%0.0117✓0.68134k2022-07-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051786+0.56%0.082+59.22%0.3660✓1.20100k2022-07-07
XVGVergenative0.00280.002816+0.58%0.00331+18.21%0.0520✓1.40650k2022-07-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2516+0.61%1.448+16.40%0.0259✓1.53169k2022-07-07
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038525+0.61%0.00004304+12.41%0.0114✓1.272.6M2022-07-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.270086+0.62%0.29145+8.58%0.0252✗1.29480k2022-07-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.050732+0.66%0.0537+6.55%0.0048✓0.79233k2022-07-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.114583+0.69%0.1309+15.03%0.0243✓1.3934k2022-07-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.096163+0.69%0.1026+7.43%0.0437✗1.383.7M2022-07-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.124033+0.70%0.13275+7.78%0.0629✗1.67203k2022-07-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005675+0.72%0.006119+8.59%0.0060✓1.043,8152022-07-07
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.1664+0.74%16.86+29.00%0.1350✓1.4359k2022-07-07
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.8557+0.75%59.83+9.88%0.0192✗1.352.1M2022-07-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.003718+0.77%0.004+8.40%0.0394✗1.43176k2022-07-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.186216+0.77%0.2025+9.58%0.0307✗1.46167k2022-07-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3020,008.92+0.84%21,662.90+9.18%0.0023✓0.9843k2022-07-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,079.35+0.87%1,237.13+15.61%0.0445✓1.17342.4M2022-07-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6220,159.39+0.87%21,614.60+8.15%0.0087✓1.00508.7M2022-07-07
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.9287+0.89%12.5984+16.30%0.0411✓1.29276k2022-07-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.692883+0.90%1.0505+52.98%0.3047✓1.423.7M2022-07-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.90810.0009+0.94%8.944-9.73%0.1999✗1.133.0M2022-07-07
XMRMoneroMonero113114.1001+0.97%130.4+15.40%0.0409✓1.181.4M2022-07-07
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.643+1.00%71.12+24.62%0.0802✓1.667.8M2022-07-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29104.3701+1.05%111.48+7.93%0.0256✗1.176.1M2022-07-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.881+1.07%2.381+27.94%0.1045✓1.67101k2022-07-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.626614+1.23%0.689+11.31%0.0379✗1.70274k2022-07-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.075041+1.27%0.0802+8.23%0.0349✗1.297,0142022-07-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.590433+1.45%0.667+14.60%0.0274✓1.211.0M2022-07-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.499325+1.65%0.5072+3.26%0.0748✗1.15154k2022-07-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.002012+2.01%0.00159-19.37%0.3208✗1.097,2732022-07-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.