8=======>

2022-06-06 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0411
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.5%
in alpha space · 64.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,455.257,533.78+1.05%4,951.67-33.58%0.0044✓1.273.9M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3865.0348+1.02%43.45-32.51%0.0219✓1.2818.2M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.508821+0.96%0.301-40.28%0.0678✓1.78683k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008590.008672+0.96%0.00733-14.67%0.0995✓0.80214k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase20.558420.7219+0.80%14.6487-28.75%0.1691✓1.55239k2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5612.6566+0.77%8.36-33.44%0.0015✓1.25541k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.0912.1828+0.77%8.14-32.67%0.0627✗1.02369k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.452390.455687+0.73%0.38009-15.98%0.0332✓0.64190k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.41186.673+0.68%126.93-31.54%0.0297✓1.254.6M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01541.0222+0.66%0.82849-18.41%0.3760✓1.76865k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.1033.1234+0.66%1.997-35.64%0.0169✓1.391.4M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.4579.5149+0.61%6.495-31.32%0.1174✓1.5015.2M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12750.128187+0.54%0.0991-22.27%0.1462✓1.2112k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash94.3894.8832+0.53%65.48-30.62%0.0508✓1.274.3M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum67.7668.1156+0.52%49.66-26.71%0.0760✓1.182.2M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7941.8034+0.52%1.145-36.18%0.0934✓1.6479k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.0160.31+0.50%42.59-29.03%0.0583✓1.22948k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.7926+0.50%13.49-34.80%0.1078✓1.623.0M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8730.87715+0.48%0.662-24.17%0.2925✓1.72622k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.843859+0.46%0.6-28.57%0.0308✓1.1281k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8332.8453+0.43%2.414-14.79%0.2111✓1.1372k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7575+0.43%1.29-26.29%0.3202✓1.89580k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.011860.011909+0.42%0.00905-23.69%0.0972✓1.121.7M2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8740.877636+0.42%0.599-31.46%0.0000✓1.15423k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011060.000011106+0.41%0.00000802-27.49%0.1462✓1.42957k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4929.5296+0.40%7.032-25.92%0.1891✓1.4813.7M2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana42.3542.5168+0.39%28.58-32.51%0.1249✓1.57114.5M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004840.004858+0.38%0.00303-37.40%0.0485✓1.56753k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3690.370355+0.37%0.256-30.62%0.0303✓1.201.0M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7261+0.36%1.318-23.37%0.2962✓1.70329k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.5859+0.35%3.88-15.10%0.4509✓1.851.6M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration70.2670.5027+0.35%46.08-34.42%0.0194✓1.331.4M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum59.3859.577+0.33%35.73-39.83%0.0102✗1.5031k2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06840.068618+0.32%0.0519-24.12%0.1165✓1.19396k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.122784+0.31%0.0926-24.35%0.2845✓1.701.2M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.3727.4454+0.28%24.51-10.45%0.2179✓0.999.5M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.9826.051+0.27%16.09-38.07%0.0631✓1.6453.9M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.035095+0.27%0.0291-16.86%0.3361✓1.57224k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5767.5962+0.27%5.442-28.17%0.2244✓1.6710.6M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.842.8475+0.26%2.19-22.89%0.4242✓2.06282k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15850.158901+0.25%0.1066-32.74%0.1570✓1.676.4M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.18161.1845+0.25%0.845884-28.41%0.0973✓1.30160k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.5637.5785+0.20%5.329-29.54%0.1525✓1.512.8M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8130.814596+0.20%0.776-4.55%0.3494✓1.192.1M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009257+0.18%0.00632-31.60%0.0151✗1.10917k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015210.015237+0.18%0.01281-15.78%0.2191✓1.182.6M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.061.0618+0.17%1.61+51.89%0.7176✓0.90138k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202360.202679+0.16%0.13259-34.48%0.1834✓1.82298k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004310.004317+0.15%0.00285-33.87%0.0160✗1.202.2M2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14760.147824+0.15%0.149+0.95%0.5646✓1.673.6M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.367960.3685+0.15%0.25822-29.82%0.1173✓1.42606k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3491.3509+0.14%0.858-36.40%0.2075✓1.99399k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.403560.404128+0.14%0.28493-29.40%0.1065✓1.37125k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001091+0.14%8.10e-7-25.69%0.0091✗0.876.9M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9717.9792+0.10%5.917-25.77%0.1931✓1.4829.2M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005810.005815+0.09%0.00359-38.21%0.0766✓1.68259k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.31e-76.31e-7+0.09%3.58e-7-43.26%0.2365✗0.99961k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.2909+0.07%0.88-31.78%0.0072✗1.1377k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.55870.559025+0.06%0.347-37.89%0.0900✗1.16180k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13345.1362+0.05%5.3088+3.42%0.1431✓0.33279k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8662.8663+0.01%2.042-28.75%0.2188✓1.67271k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum105.84105.8367-0.00%59.74-43.56%0.0129✗1.758.9M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028490.028488-0.01%0.01883-33.91%0.0830✓0.99175k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.19410.194074-0.01%0.1305-32.77%0.1258✗1.572,3482022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0690.06899-0.01%0.0508-26.38%0.2800✗1.761.8M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,858.211,857.73-0.03%1,207.82-35.00%0.0721✓1.08344.3M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21460.214502-0.05%0.1611-24.93%0.2190✗1.52647k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.48415.4814-0.05%4.2445-22.60%0.0616✓0.583.8M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase20.9520.9364-0.06%14.12-32.60%0.1437✗1.6179k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33920.338907-0.09%0.2205-34.99%0.0847✗1.5433k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2861.2849-0.09%0.718-44.17%0.1197✓1.395.9M2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6520.651387-0.09%0.447-31.44%0.1575✗1.60161k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012750.001274-0.10%0.000828-35.06%0.1118✗1.631.8M2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.60760.606697-0.15%0.37168-38.83%0.0339✗1.5768k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36390.363323-0.16%0.2574-29.27%0.1178✗1.396.7M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2045-0.17%2.75-14.33%0.1960✗1.05663k2022-06-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.03570.035638-0.17%0.0244-31.65%0.2799✓0.30138k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9610.9394-0.19%11.71+6.84%0.7291✗1.98226k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.03494.0264-0.21%2.7762-31.20%0.0437✗1.2548k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61220.610712-0.24%0.5649-7.73%0.4010✗1.443.3M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.5621.5579-0.26%1.149-26.44%0.2459✗1.65847k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.19420.193684-0.27%0.1272-34.50%0.0758✗1.49199k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative16.55916.5132-0.28%11.706-29.31%0.0009✓1.036.9M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,441.5031,353.04-0.28%22,471.70-28.53%0.0087✓0.9771k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41260.411412-0.29%0.3039-26.35%0.1558✗1.3815.2M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3826.3613-0.32%3.485-45.39%0.1388✗2.2226.5M2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.12960.129176-0.33%0.0945-27.08%0.1527✗1.40996k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3695.349-0.37%3.662-31.79%0.0966✗1.432.6M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.5122.425-0.38%14.4-36.03%0.0076✓1.313.1M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13230.131748-0.42%0.0914-30.91%0.0620✗1.28951k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7190.715965-0.42%0.493-31.43%0.1815✗1.661.2M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.60870.606002-0.44%0.4636-23.84%0.2596✗1.5846.8M2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos2.0612.0505-0.51%1.4008-32.03%0.0609✗1.33928k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7762.7619-0.51%1.912-31.12%0.3126✗2.043.1M2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.08790.087434-0.53%0.0599-31.85%0.2704✗1.95146k2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,343.6131,176.51-0.53%22,460.97-28.34%0.0053✗1.00656.1M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152860.015204-0.54%0.012961-15.21%0.0741✗0.70240k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.5652.5506-0.56%1.8846-26.52%0.1479✗1.3568k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.422350.41983-0.60%0.25719-39.11%0.0365✗1.5818k2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09250.091942-0.60%0.0654-29.30%0.0906✓0.75313k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1448140.143837-0.67%0.106761-26.28%0.0966✗1.1811.2M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4850.4817-0.68%0.332-31.55%0.0358✗1.2217k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.616.5639-0.70%4.53-31.47%0.1223✗1.48414k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0824850.081909-0.70%0.054172-34.32%0.0077✓1.221.5M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero189.44188.116-0.70%132.56-30.03%0.0108✓1.022.4M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.65457.2477-0.70%46.677-19.04%0.1406✗1.031.2M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11060.109801-0.72%0.0833-24.68%0.3307✗1.82455k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.873349-0.76%0.68-22.73%0.3118✗1.69232k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55430.550107-0.76%0.3765-32.08%0.1720✗1.65177k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.009580.009507-0.77%0.00763-20.36%0.1418✗1.092,4432022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6113.5831-0.77%3.092-14.37%0.1581✗0.921.6M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32250.320006-0.77%0.1607-50.17%0.2522✓1.31296k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070630.07008-0.78%0.04562-35.41%0.0168✓1.2427k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14420.143069-0.78%0.1335-7.42%0.2588✗0.98285k2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.621.6069-0.81%0.97-40.12%0.0666✗1.711.4M2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17090.169454-0.85%0.1013-40.73%0.0007✓1.5480k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.56920.564326-0.86%0.3584-37.03%0.0070✓1.381.6M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0530950.052627-0.88%0.039006-26.54%0.2081✗1.5250k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00510.005055-0.89%0.00331-35.10%0.0010✓1.277,4632022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.431.417-0.91%0.939069-34.33%0.0119✓1.2054k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.3060.303024-0.97%0.1992-34.90%0.0225✗1.33105k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0295710.029283-0.97%0.018258-38.26%0.0897✓1.1512k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08720.086342-0.98%0.0561-35.67%0.0690✗1.50165k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012140.012016-1.02%0.00971-20.02%0.3224✗1.6117.8M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.22493.1901-1.08%2.313-28.28%0.1781✗1.504.8M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000052960.000052363-1.13%0.00003827-27.74%0.1722✗1.463.4M2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.32280.31913-1.14%0.195-39.59%0.0292✓1.39384k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.537.4407-1.19%6.79-9.83%0.0817✗0.521.6M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.981.9562-1.20%1.255-36.62%0.1782✗1.87303k2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15050.148607-1.26%0.107-28.90%0.2602✗1.772,8332022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039820.039319-1.26%0.02635-33.83%0.0717✗1.4220k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1712.0158-1.27%8.03-34.02%0.2333✗1.914.2M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.585.5068-1.31%4.54-18.64%0.0733✗0.801.8M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58632.5514-1.35%2.0689-20.01%0.1323✗1.033.1M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.17150.169163-1.36%0.136-20.70%0.3264✗1.632.6M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0814640.080348-1.37%0.063701-21.80%0.0471✗0.841.1M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052850.05212-1.38%0.03724-29.54%0.0098✓1.044,6802022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068210.067242-1.42%0.04897-28.21%0.4066✗2.172.4M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.593406-1.43%0.392-34.88%0.1593✗1.725,9962022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.7626-1.48%2.0821-25.75%0.4173✗2.1015k2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.023675-1.48%0.01829-23.89%0.5491✗2.4238.7M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0593090.05833-1.65%0.0486-18.06%0.0921✗0.8292k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05360.052672-1.73%0.0358-33.21%0.0818✗1.40524k2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32932.2876-1.79%1.7211-26.11%0.0438✗0.993.6M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2441.2213-1.82%0.778-37.46%0.0878✓1.091.2M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.222.1794-1.83%1.52-31.53%0.0606✗1.26247k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4280690.420141-1.85%0.252041-41.12%0.0244✓1.462.5M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06340.062128-2.01%0.048-24.29%0.3101✗1.7040k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.214.1223-2.08%4.17-0.95%0.2621✗0.751.4M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025920.025371-2.12%0.01967-24.11%0.0519✓0.61582k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.8632-2.15%4.2-15.49%0.1359✗0.85845k2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.0050.982836-2.21%0.591-41.19%0.2590✗2.302.4M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.093.9979-2.25%3.52-13.94%0.1687✗0.891.2M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.041.0163-2.28%0.7-32.69%0.2374✗1.833.0M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064630.063122-2.33%0.04329-33.02%0.0055✓1.1215k2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.3187-2.39%0.853-36.86%0.1024✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative2.52.4402-2.39%1.586-36.56%0.0976✓1.00718k2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.273997-2.49%0.189-32.74%0.2556✗1.881.3M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.36421.3299-2.52%0.80971-40.65%0.1049✓1.176,7502022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000080590.000078342-2.79%0.00006043-25.02%0.8179✗3.232.6M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.071.04-2.81%0.9-15.89%0.1220✗0.80187k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98141.9227-2.96%1.2396-37.44%0.0022✓1.312.7M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0172.9195-3.23%3.225+6.89%0.4006✗0.901.9M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.274564-3.32%0.1835-35.39%0.1004✗1.51585k2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9852.8795-3.53%1.808-39.43%0.1454✗1.83113k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6124.448-3.56%3.335-27.69%0.0716✓0.655.1M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1623.0433-3.75%3.286+3.92%0.3112✗0.702.4M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.52771.4697-3.80%1.0426-31.76%0.0981✓0.744,7612022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.843580.809177-4.08%0.45073-46.57%0.1215✗2.122.4M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5591.4926-4.26%1.458-6.48%0.4903✗1.545.0M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0530.952566-9.54%0.941-10.64%0.7027✗2.153.0M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.