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2022-05-29 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0529
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.2%
in alpha space · 45.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.1620.164951+1.82%0.1601-1.17%0.0517✗1.431,7182022-06-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,435.407,520.47+1.14%7,431.12-0.06%0.0316✗1.283.5M2022-06-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4818.6624+0.99%20.08+8.66%0.0507✓1.473.1M2022-06-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008450.008527+0.92%0.00902+6.75%0.0440✓0.79146k2022-06-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.5864.1432+0.89%63.1-0.75%0.0359✗1.2719.8M2022-06-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.716.7638+0.80%7.64+13.86%0.0997✓1.4419.8M2022-06-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.972980.980623+0.79%0.97643+0.35%0.0304✗1.711.2M2022-06-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7571.7704+0.76%1.742-0.85%0.0408✗1.61110k2022-06-05
ADACardanoCardano0.48170.485182+0.72%0.5669+17.69%0.1334✓1.4544.7M2022-06-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5369+0.67%2.73+8.33%0.0435✓1.95354k2022-06-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.524296+0.63%0.504-3.26%0.0673✗1.82785k2022-06-05
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.5558+0.57%1.629+5.30%0.0212✓1.62418k2022-06-05
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0856.3922+0.56%58.45+4.23%0.0126✓1.5230k2022-06-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.2712.334+0.52%11.72-4.48%0.0660✗0.98473k2022-06-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.1863.2019+0.50%3.077-3.42%0.0620✗1.452.2M2022-06-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.599.6362+0.48%9.166-4.42%0.0723✗1.4618.8M2022-06-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7532.7662+0.48%2.722-1.13%0.0327✗1.0884k2022-06-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16350.164252+0.46%0.1822+11.44%0.0805✓1.52314k2022-06-05
MOVRMoonriverBase21.929522.0295+0.46%20.9153-4.62%0.0764✗1.60247k2022-06-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2281.2336+0.45%1.371+11.64%0.0773✓1.85478k2022-06-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063376+0.44%0.0646+2.38%0.0005✓1.28406k2022-06-05
STXStacksnative0.520.522269+0.44%0.5329+2.48%0.0027✓1.14217k2022-06-05
ZECZcashZcash92.392.6981+0.43%90.36-2.10%0.0462✗1.354.9M2022-06-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13060.131146+0.42%0.1274-2.45%0.0482✗1.2616k2022-06-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash184.88185.6439+0.41%179.67-2.82%0.0516✗1.244.6M2022-06-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.6612.7122+0.41%12.33-2.61%0.0506✗1.31655k2022-06-05
QNTQuantEthereum66.3666.6322+0.41%64.76-2.41%0.0458✗1.132.6M2022-06-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8880.891578+0.40%0.837-5.74%0.0883✗1.64749k2022-06-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14230.142863+0.40%0.156+9.63%0.0630✓1.637.2M2022-06-05
DASHDashDash57.6957.9115+0.38%58.53+1.46%0.0081✗1.221.2M2022-06-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,404.7029,510.01+0.36%29,859.60+1.55%0.0031✓0.9778k2022-06-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07860.078876+0.35%0.0746-5.09%0.0848✗1.90173k2022-06-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1340.134468+0.35%0.1408+5.07%0.0196✓1.725.4M2022-06-05
SOLSolanaSolana44.9145.066+0.35%38.49-14.30%0.1811✗1.53104.0M2022-06-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.127.1444+0.34%7.34+3.09%0.0029✓1.578.0M2022-06-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372280.373475+0.32%0.382+2.61%0.0014✓1.39168k2022-06-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.01180.011837+0.31%0.01146-2.88%0.0490✗1.092.1M2022-06-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.115036+0.29%0.1188+3.57%0.0059✓1.721.3M2022-06-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25990.260646+0.29%0.294+13.12%0.0996✓1.36318k2022-06-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.1326.1985+0.26%24.15-7.58%0.1057✗1.5852.8M2022-06-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143290.014363+0.24%0.01482+3.43%0.0199✓0.75176k2022-06-05
KSMKusamaHydration71.5571.7143+0.23%67.69-5.39%0.0782✗1.331.6M2022-06-05
SCSiacoinnative0.00540.005412+0.21%0.00559+3.52%0.0065✓1.69329k2022-06-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.363020.363781+0.21%0.36717+1.14%0.0135✗1.49751k2022-06-05
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3395.5205+0.20%103.57+8.64%0.0552✓1.688.3M2022-06-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.613168+0.19%0.63+2.94%0.0026✓1.60210k2022-06-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.550150.551068+0.17%0.57798+5.06%0.0229✓1.6265k2022-06-05
FTTFTXEthereum27.2827.3214+0.15%26.13-4.22%0.0599✗1.0010.2M2022-06-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15930.159514+0.13%0.1403-11.93%0.1414✗0.85313k2022-06-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9180.918921+0.10%0.858-6.54%0.0866✗1.17658k2022-06-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001031+0.10%0.00000109+5.83%0.0426✓0.857.6M2022-06-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.850805+0.09%0.85+0.00%0.0184✗1.1487k2022-06-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004220.004224+0.09%0.00419-0.71%0.0267✗1.222.1M2022-06-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.314282+0.09%0.3423+9.01%0.0627✓1.4845k2022-06-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.11.101+0.09%1.05-4.55%0.0584✗0.72174k2022-06-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.065480.065536+0.09%0.0666+1.71%0.0015✗1.1516k2022-06-05
ZENHorizenBase20.2520.2635+0.07%19.72-2.62%0.0526✗1.6696k2022-06-05
XVGVergenative0.004950.004953+0.07%0.00493-0.40%0.0285✗1.56807k2022-06-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.2706+0.05%1.26-0.79%0.0256✗1.1399k2022-06-05
NANOnanopayBase1.12051.121+0.05%1.1647+3.95%0.0176✓1.34167k2022-06-05
DIADIAEthereum0.45460.454741+0.03%0.44367-2.40%0.0340✗0.61121k2022-06-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.647147+0.02%0.73+12.83%0.0957✓1.621.7M2022-06-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19960.199622+0.01%0.2192+9.82%0.0687✓1.62493k2022-06-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001290.00129+0.00%0.001262-2.17%0.0482✗1.712.2M2022-06-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2326.2303-0.03%6.092-2.25%0.0581✓2.3341.9M2022-06-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.113563-0.03%0.1262+11.09%0.0841✗1.40998k2022-06-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.617.6069-0.04%7.358-3.31%0.0560✓1.494.6M2022-06-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32790.327751-0.05%0.3487+6.34%0.0408✗1.388.2M2022-06-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.257119-0.07%0.3001+16.63%0.1335✗1.37105k2022-06-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009290.009283-0.07%0.00895-3.66%0.0533✓1.09997k2022-06-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011480.000011472-0.07%0.00001078-6.10%0.0843✓1.441.0M2022-06-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.101,809.50-0.09%1,804.70-0.35%0.0191✓1.07383.9M2022-06-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8479-0.11%1.72-7.03%0.1003✓1.86602k2022-06-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.85673.8517-0.13%3.8688+0.31%0.0145✓1.2463k2022-06-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.989.966-0.14%9.339-6.42%0.0878✓1.4913.8M2022-06-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.1410.1256-0.14%11.05+8.97%0.0618✗1.676.1M2022-06-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2531.2512-0.14%1.209-3.51%0.0557✓1.406.8M2022-06-05
UNIUniswapEthereum4.944.9312-0.18%5.092+3.08%0.0111✗1.373.0M2022-06-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6517-0.18%4.53-2.79%0.0554✓1.891.9M2022-06-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.153.1443-0.18%3.38+7.30%0.0561✗1.06660k2022-06-05
GTGateEthereum5.41485.4043-0.19%5.401-0.25%0.0088✓0.534.4M2022-06-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0910.0686-0.21%10.3+2.08%0.0056✓1.85188k2022-06-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37860.377744-0.23%0.3914+3.38%0.0153✗1.3217.7M2022-06-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.00447-0.23%0.00487+8.71%0.0671✗1.229,8712022-06-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27840.277747-0.23%0.3297+18.43%0.1512✗1.33420k2022-06-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13635.123-0.26%5.1091-0.53%0.0073✓0.30289k2022-06-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14620.145819-0.26%0.1655+13.20%0.1012✗1.6689k2022-06-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06630.066119-0.27%0.068+2.56%0.0005✓1.802.2M2022-06-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49440.493024-0.28%0.5059+2.33%0.0015✓1.58217k2022-06-05
XECeCashnative0.000047790.000047647-0.30%0.00004817+0.80%0.0109✓1.434.7M2022-06-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.631.6251-0.30%1.508-7.48%0.1008✓1.701.6M2022-06-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171580.017105-0.31%0.015252-11.11%0.1326✓1.173.2M2022-06-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.03480.034686-0.33%0.0375+7.76%0.0742✗0.25129k2022-06-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3720.370677-0.36%0.387+4.03%0.0245✗1.21970k2022-06-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036650.036519-0.36%0.03855+5.18%0.0316✗1.4736k2022-06-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62180.619298-0.40%0.6064-2.48%0.0440✓1.504.8M2022-06-05
XEMNEMnative0.04910.048875-0.46%0.051007+3.88%0.0193✗1.5331k2022-06-05
HIVEHivenative0.47270.470531-0.46%0.551+16.56%0.1369✗1.371.3M2022-06-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.130.129384-0.47%0.1294-0.46%0.0198✓1.30951k2022-06-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8460.841994-0.47%0.796-5.91%0.0747✓1.212.5M2022-06-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,447.0729,307.38-0.47%29,901.54+1.54%0.0048✗1.00676.2M2022-06-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4962.4842-0.47%2.731+9.42%0.0642✗1.9916k2022-06-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086564-0.50%0.088+1.15%0.0047✓0.77239k2022-06-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.62.5867-0.51%2.609+0.35%0.0206✓1.914.0M2022-06-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.206070.205004-0.52%0.20206-1.95%0.0427✓1.84293k2022-06-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000103280.00010274-0.52%0.000079-23.51%0.3082✓2.974.9M2022-06-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9662.9498-0.55%2.813-5.16%0.0731✓1.67271k2022-06-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02250.022377-0.55%0.01983-11.87%0.1573✓2.3826.5M2022-06-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55842.5437-0.57%2.4897-2.68%0.0422✓1.3588k2022-06-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10830.107597-0.65%0.1129+4.25%0.0193✗1.88501k2022-06-05
XTZTezosTezos1.98461.9717-0.65%1.9503-1.73%0.0313✓1.331.1M2022-06-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.24411.2358-0.67%1.3849+11.31%0.0949✗1.2454k2022-06-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1309160.130036-0.67%0.143326+9.48%0.0794✗1.1710.5M2022-06-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4894-0.71%1.54+2.67%0.0085✗1.632.3M2022-06-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.58252.2041-0.72%56.443+7.34%0.0620✗1.051.2M2022-06-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3323.3076-0.73%3.53+5.94%0.0497✗1.001.7M2022-06-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0268990.026695-0.76%0.028859+7.29%0.0606✗1.1313k2022-06-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.840.833603-0.76%0.87+3.57%0.0174✗1.66329k2022-06-05
XMRMoneroMonero185.63184.0715-0.84%187.77+1.15%0.0026✓1.132.5M2022-06-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2050.203279-0.84%0.273+33.17%0.2676✗1.791.4M2022-06-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.90e-76.84e-7-0.87%6.49e-7-6.03%0.0669✓0.881.5M2022-06-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.444.4013-0.87%4.51+1.58%0.0124✗0.78829k2022-06-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.6523.4421-0.88%21.8-7.82%0.0930✓1.333.9M2022-06-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.428760.424835-0.92%0.41162-4.00%0.0576✓1.7021k2022-06-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.47416.3159-0.96%16.331-0.87%0.0152✓1.066.6M2022-06-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.009240.00915-0.98%0.009685+4.81%0.0395✗1.135,3132022-06-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.626.5541-1.00%6.47-2.27%0.0352✓1.45535k2022-06-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0825980.081771-1.00%0.081039-1.89%0.0278✓1.232.8M2022-06-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9051.8847-1.07%1.946+2.15%0.0024✓1.94508k2022-06-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34812.3205-1.18%2.5379+8.08%0.0730✗1.083.0M2022-06-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.497043-1.18%0.477-5.17%0.0609✓1.2930k2022-06-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.055314-1.22%0.05681+1.45%0.0144✗0.81119k2022-06-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048659-1.30%0.0534+8.32%0.0713✗1.411.0M2022-06-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012390.012227-1.32%0.01211-2.26%0.0340✓1.5922.3M2022-06-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08710.085936-1.34%0.0869-0.23%0.0135✓1.61162k2022-06-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.2954-1.39%5.42+0.93%0.0114✓0.772.8M2022-06-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2513.2055-1.40%3.1878-1.94%0.0314✓1.696.5M2022-06-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.056483-1.43%0.0607+5.93%0.0468✗1.6573k2022-06-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023830.023478-1.48%0.0255+7.01%0.0739✗0.57582k2022-06-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047910.047192-1.50%0.05212+8.79%0.0831✗1.064,9292022-06-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06550.064517-1.50%0.06666+1.77%0.0026✓2.302.9M2022-06-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900590.38418-1.51%0.407448+4.46%0.0363✗1.473.6M2022-06-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029950.029492-1.53%0.02841-5.14%0.0537✓1.06188k2022-06-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1366-1.54%2.11-2.76%0.0314✓1.23247k2022-06-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15780.15522-1.63%0.1483-6.02%0.0609✓1.003,0542022-06-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.4845-1.65%7.43-2.37%0.0135✓0.401.3M2022-06-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.16931.149-1.73%1.3104+12.07%0.1134✗1.187,1582022-06-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6170.606163-1.76%0.596-3.40%0.0426✓1.6811k2022-06-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2471.2236-1.87%1.207-3.21%0.0310✓1.131.8M2022-06-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036985-1.90%0.0341-9.55%0.1056✓1.59269k2022-06-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.723.6469-1.96%4.07+9.41%0.0953✗0.94741k2022-06-05
PROPropyEthereum0.980.960653-1.97%1.23+25.51%0.2343✗0.84246k2022-06-05
TRXTRONTron0.0804590.078821-2.04%0.081368+1.13%0.0183✓0.881.5M2022-06-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21712.1719-2.04%2.3523+6.10%0.0647✗0.984.2M2022-06-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05450.053379-2.06%0.06424+17.87%0.1677✗1.1414k2022-06-05
STEEMSteemnative0.24660.241457-2.09%0.3016+22.30%0.1962✗1.71782k2022-06-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0110.98732-2.34%0.977-3.36%0.0374✓1.754.2M2022-06-05
GMTGMTEthereum1.0781.0527-2.34%0.936-13.17%0.1541✓2.393.8M2022-06-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.94911.9026-2.39%1.9583+0.47%0.0092✓1.285.5M2022-06-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4362.3752-2.50%2.923+19.99%0.1917✗1.03811k2022-06-05
FLOWFlownative2.4312.3672-2.63%2.437+0.25%0.0138✓1.001.1M2022-06-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6042.5327-2.74%2.754+5.76%0.0724✗0.741.3M2022-06-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.284.1596-2.81%4.12-3.74%0.0211✓0.75921k2022-06-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3161.279-2.82%1.424+8.21%0.0836✗1.567.3M2022-06-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48631.4423-2.96%1.4874+0.08%0.0186✓0.795,6992022-06-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.616560.597605-3.07%0.82431+33.70%0.2925✗1.90397k2022-06-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5932.5123-3.11%2.825+8.95%0.1020✗1.00132k2022-06-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2774.1022-4.09%4.537+6.08%0.0924✗0.544.3M2022-06-05
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.17003-4.48%0.1652-7.19%0.0560✓1.782.6M2022-06-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9720.856522-11.88%0.804-17.28%0.0974✓2.232.0M2022-06-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.