8=======>

2022-07-14 · +1d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0187
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.3%
in alpha space · 33.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.077055+0.20%0.0764-0.65%0.0235✗1.246,9262022-07-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.467824+0.18%0.4671+0.02%0.0152✗1.13311k2022-07-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7358+0.10%2.7818+1.79%0.0034✓1.1027k2022-07-15
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0131+0.10%4.0067-0.06%0.0103✗0.721.1M2022-07-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99103.0733+0.08%106.07+2.99%0.0151✓1.124.5M2022-07-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,193.22+0.04%1,231.10+3.22%0.0168✓1.19326.5M2022-07-15
DASHDashDash43.6243.6361+0.04%43.24-0.87%0.0226✗1.11628k2022-07-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.609215+0.04%0.613+0.66%0.0123✗1.53118k2022-07-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0220,581.93+0.02%20,827.55+1.22%0.0002✓1.00453.1M2022-07-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.611088+0.01%0.577-5.56%0.0721✗1.21867k2022-07-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0254+0.01%1.0478+2.20%0.0084✓1.0952k2022-07-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.00095457+0.01%0.0009706+1.69%0.0011✓1.281.9M2022-07-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.13681+0.01%0.1399+2.27%0.0072✓1.2593k2022-07-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.43-0.00%1.43+0.00%0.0178✓1.47155k2022-07-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.7398-0.00%15.06+2.17%0.0072✗1.181.3M2022-07-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.3535-0.01%5.226-2.39%0.0379✓1.141.9M2022-07-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.7206-0.02%6.794+1.07%0.0040✓1.239.7M2022-07-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0976-0.03%9.19+0.99%0.0034✓1.112.5M2022-07-15
STXStacksnative0.38020.380092-0.03%0.3829+0.71%0.0080✓1.27405k2022-07-15
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.066914-0.03%0.067024+0.13%0.0083✓0.82453k2022-07-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.113966-0.03%0.1194+4.74%0.0344✗1.013.9M2022-07-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,487.21-0.03%21,161.60+3.26%0.0204✗0.9945k2022-07-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.062362-0.05%0.06297+0.93%0.0050✓1.222.0M2022-07-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.29057-0.05%0.294158+1.19%0.0030✓1.261.7M2022-07-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.614691-0.05%0.653+6.18%0.0490✗0.94391k2022-07-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.174-0.07%9.21+0.33%0.0137✓1.461.1M2022-07-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.106623-0.07%0.1064-0.28%0.0154✓1.10388k2022-07-15
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.20235-0.07%0.2001-1.19%0.0257✓1.20705k2022-07-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006405-0.07%0.00642+0.16%0.0097✓0.99392k2022-07-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.210822-0.08%0.208-1.42%0.0325✓1.571.0M2022-07-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.107045-0.09%0.107412+0.26%0.0088✓1.017.8M2022-07-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.088722-0.09%0.0907+2.14%0.0122✗0.81145k2022-07-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.18893-0.09%0.1983+4.87%0.0307✗1.46127k2022-07-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049555-0.09%0.0495-0.20%0.0190✓1.48106k2022-07-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.129511-0.10%0.12894-0.54%0.0240✓1.62155k2022-07-15
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.3945-0.10%16.03+4.02%0.0233✗1.4177k2022-07-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.044252-0.11%0.0495+11.74%0.0958✗1.35837k2022-07-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.00568-0.11%0.005697+0.17%0.0083✓0.923,1492022-07-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.268484-0.12%0.2706+0.67%0.0066✓1.193.0M2022-07-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003875-0.12%0.0039+0.52%0.0101✓1.35141k2022-07-15
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.884113-0.12%0.888214+0.34%0.0077✓1.0274k2022-07-15
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038942-0.12%0.00003922+0.59%0.0076✓1.211.9M2022-07-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.6791-0.13%4.601-1.79%0.0381✓1.7613.1M2022-07-15
ZECZcashZcash57.5957.5163-0.13%58.37+1.35%0.0013✓1.331.6M2022-07-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.175-0.14%2.197+0.87%0.0072✓1.4252k2022-07-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.234665-0.14%0.2376+1.11%0.0009✓1.1060k2022-07-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.091769-0.14%0.1008+9.68%0.0774✗1.36547k2022-07-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.3921-0.14%5.3034-1.79%0.0189✓0.19335k2022-07-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5723-0.14%2.593+0.66%0.0056✓1.13895k2022-07-15
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.352-0.15%1.366+0.89%0.0074✓1.46387k2022-07-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.906,001.74-0.15%6,152.70+2.36%0.0086✗1.344.4M2022-07-15
SOLSolanaSolana37.1237.0632-0.15%37.37+0.67%0.0078✓1.3384.4M2022-07-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042235-0.15%0.0409-3.31%0.0486✓1.368,3162022-07-15
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.59e-7-0.15%8.70e-7+1.16%0.0029✗0.855.8M2022-07-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.500216-0.16%0.501+0.00%0.0153✓1.3985k2022-07-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002745-0.16%0.002797+1.75%0.0063✗1.041.2M2022-07-15
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5576-0.16%1.5743+0.91%0.0048✓1.28582k2022-07-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3322-0.16%2.4393+4.43%0.0329✗1.001.1M2022-07-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.288945-0.16%0.31136+7.58%0.0595✗1.25421k2022-07-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.012033-0.16%0.012236+1.53%0.0069✗0.821.3M2022-07-15
XMRMoneroMonero133.62133.398-0.17%138.94+3.98%0.0270✗1.131.3M2022-07-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283518-0.17%0.285+0.35%0.0073✓1.03575k2022-07-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7674-0.17%1.7681-0.13%0.0147✓1.2436k2022-07-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3251.2326-0.17%51.76+0.86%0.0040✓1.1715.5M2022-07-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.2122-0.17%2.333+5.28%0.0422✗0.9198k2022-07-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009464-0.17%0.00919-3.06%0.0419✓1.035.1M2022-07-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.049474-0.17%0.05059+2.08%0.0045✗1.47778k2022-07-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.3318-0.17%12.831+3.87%0.0252✗1.19265k2022-07-15
XVGVergenative0.003490.003483-0.19%0.00344-1.43%0.0290✓1.36664k2022-07-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.83344-0.19%0.84724+1.46%0.0002✓1.34411k2022-07-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.00001058-0.19%0.00001084+2.26%0.0093✗1.241.2M2022-07-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.2579-0.19%6.321+0.81%0.0052✓1.2619.7M2022-07-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027038-0.19%0.02728+0.70%0.0066✓1.2819k2022-07-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.9327-0.20%13.97+0.07%0.0138✓1.361.3M2022-07-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.3175-0.20%1.4159+7.26%0.0548✗1.42651k2022-07-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.329046-0.20%0.3275-0.67%0.0191✓1.198.5M2022-07-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.228144-0.20%0.2302+0.70%0.0063✓1.26172k2022-07-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.256388-0.20%0.2403-6.46%0.0787✓1.1533k2022-07-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.095904-0.20%0.0986+2.60%0.0114✗1.352.5M2022-07-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.7081-0.21%5.62-1.75%0.0321✓1.37256k2022-07-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.382895-0.21%0.3765-1.88%0.0331✓1.3494k2022-07-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.051789-0.21%0.0531+2.31%0.0156✗0.78204k2022-07-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.00897-0.22%0.00901+0.22%0.0068✓0.921.2M2022-07-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.1785-0.22%5.16-0.58%0.0213✓1.471.3M2022-07-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.70e-7-0.22%3.58e-7-3.24%0.0439✓1.09441k2022-07-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.4198-0.23%4.8+8.35%0.0745✗0.66609k2022-07-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.3104-0.24%8.56+2.76%0.0152✗1.19288k2022-07-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7812-0.25%1.9225+7.67%0.0659✗0.86845k2022-07-15
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.440304-0.25%0.4419+0.11%0.0118✓1.2746.2M2022-07-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.505835-0.25%0.4954-2.31%0.0355✓1.21536k2022-07-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.38654-0.26%0.38883+0.33%0.0092✓1.25130k2022-07-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.104719-0.27%0.1058+0.76%0.0031✓1.10549k2022-07-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2227-0.27%1.269+3.51%0.0213✗1.312.5M2022-07-15
PROPropyEthereum0.820.817772-0.27%0.81-1.22%0.0186✓0.74114k2022-07-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2259-0.27%2.177-2.46%0.0428✓1.7084k2022-07-15
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5577-0.27%1.546-1.02%0.0223✓1.22287k2022-07-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.056772-0.28%0.06029+5.90%0.0434✗1.3824k2022-07-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.666138-0.28%0.667-0.15%0.0141✓1.27127k2022-07-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2537-0.28%2.33+3.10%0.0145✗1.56216k2022-07-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.796747-0.28%0.769-3.75%0.0450✓0.791.3M2022-07-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.125244-0.28%0.1279+1.83%0.0048✗1.3435k2022-07-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.1819-0.29%6.76+9.03%0.0835✗0.49657k2022-07-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.778711-0.29%0.779-0.26%0.0221✓1.867.9M2022-07-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006737-0.29%0.006739-0.27%0.0067✓0.5784k2022-07-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.913689-0.30%0.9011-1.67%0.0315✓1.461.5M2022-07-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7867-0.30%3.831+37.07%0.3091✗0.76488k2022-07-15
KSMKusamaHydration51.5151.3547-0.30%54.37+5.55%0.0428✗1.17235k2022-07-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20452.0466-0.30%52.433+0.44%0.0028✓0.84414k2022-07-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019679-0.31%0.01939-1.77%0.0276✓1.0699k2022-07-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.9778-0.31%4.37+9.52%0.0864✗0.63555k2022-07-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.107367-0.31%0.1081+0.37%0.0050✓0.986,6852022-07-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6448-0.31%1.7+3.03%0.0195✗1.11117k2022-07-15
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.039774-0.32%0.040445+1.36%0.0028✓1.1515k2022-07-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.065885-0.32%0.0717+8.47%0.0673✗1.43299k2022-07-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.2009-0.34%1.206+0.08%0.0100✓1.181.5M2022-07-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.927726-0.34%0.8988-3.45%0.0468✓1.25794k2022-07-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.036076-0.34%0.036-0.55%0.0173✓1.2699k2022-07-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.460893-0.35%0.4731+2.29%0.0128✗1.1053k2022-07-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.050718-0.36%0.051924+2.01%0.0160✗0.6214k2022-07-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.150959-0.36%0.156+2.97%0.0166✗1.34349k2022-07-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.6843-0.37%3.82+3.30%0.0286✗0.621.6M2022-07-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.794-0.37%26.78+3.44%0.0262✗0.9411.0M2022-07-15
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9754.7629-0.38%55.29+0.58%0.0071✓1.3828k2022-07-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046324-0.38%0.0481+3.44%0.0226✗1.24257k2022-07-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4843-0.38%1.55+4.03%0.0403✗0.25512k2022-07-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.9465-0.38%9.058+0.86%0.0040✓1.3612.7M2022-07-15
HIVEHivenative0.42440.422767-0.38%0.4326+1.93%0.0077✗1.261.2M2022-07-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.023548-0.39%0.02347-0.72%0.0232✓1.6517.7M2022-07-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0362.028-0.40%2.036+0.00%0.0141✓1.50112k2022-07-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017809-0.40%0.01809+1.17%0.0063✗0.77381k2022-07-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.01731-0.40%0.017093-1.65%0.0189✓0.52199k2022-07-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.8097-0.40%1.836+1.05%0.0014✓1.31864k2022-07-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.801643-0.40%0.8014-0.43%0.0127✓1.024.5M2022-07-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.1272-0.41%3.56+13.38%0.1210✗0.71572k2022-07-15
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.371951-0.41%0.3825+2.41%0.0159✗1.004752022-07-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.085839-0.42%0.0863+0.12%0.0100✓1.27171k2022-07-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.6556-0.43%19.35-1.98%0.0344✓1.5525.2M2022-07-15
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.488795-0.45%0.483-1.63%0.0325✓1.701.2M2022-07-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.1154-0.45%2.252+5.98%0.0529✗0.80922k2022-07-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.402833-0.46%0.3968-1.95%0.0342✓1.58197k2022-07-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.6224-0.48%3.91+7.42%0.0688✗0.63672k2022-07-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025879-0.50%0.02687+3.31%0.0198✗1.471,9122022-07-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260284-0.50%0.261-0.23%0.0094✓1.0045k2022-07-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.8765-0.50%3.256+12.63%0.1164✗0.632.1M2022-07-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.647144-0.51%0.68346+5.07%0.0348✗1.63130k2022-07-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.2498-0.51%2.3013+1.76%0.0031✓1.624,8022022-07-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.387097-0.51%0.407+4.60%0.0380✗1.00180k2022-07-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.447623-0.53%0.46396+3.10%0.0175✗1.511.0M2022-07-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4502-0.53%1.484+1.78%0.0109✗1.00178k2022-07-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.7955-0.53%6.813-0.28%0.0135✓1.335.5M2022-07-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.4388-0.55%3.61+4.40%0.0421✗0.542.1M2022-07-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.964755-0.56%1.0188+5.01%0.0407✗1.143,5002022-07-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.93674-0.56%0.92-2.34%0.0398✓1.80528k2022-07-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3822-0.56%1.4+0.72%0.0058✓1.54768k2022-07-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.6936-0.57%2.545-6.05%0.0779✓1.753.5M2022-07-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.173877-0.59%0.1791+2.40%0.0117✗1.482,7942022-07-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.1015-0.59%3.19+2.24%0.0227✗0.4582k2022-07-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.185476-0.60%0.1771-5.09%0.0631✓1.392,2342022-07-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044748-0.60%0.04524+0.49%0.0002✓0.925,7282022-07-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5914.5002-0.62%14.72+0.89%0.0031✓0.991.7M2022-07-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4331-0.62%1.451+0.62%0.0056✓1.49182k2022-07-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.068574-0.62%0.0735+6.52%0.0572✗1.00145k2022-07-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.173765-0.62%0.17457-0.16%0.0288✓2.778962022-07-15
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2290.6496-0.63%90.41-0.89%0.0231✓1.6910.4M2022-07-15
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.146874-0.63%0.1463-1.01%0.0198✓1.312.8M2022-07-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.248417-0.63%0.2645+5.80%0.0506✗1.00503k2022-07-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.405377-0.64%0.396-2.94%0.0369✓1.119,6592022-07-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.286174-0.64%0.28896+0.32%0.0067✓1.353,2762022-07-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6655-0.65%2.734+1.90%0.0118✗1.12534k2022-07-15
METISMetisEthereum22.3322.1813-0.67%23.49+5.19%0.0452✗1.00126k2022-07-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.073715-0.71%0.07463+0.53%0.0023✓0.831,9362022-07-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.094679-0.71%0.09397-1.46%0.0196✓1.00379k2022-07-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000091416-0.74%0.00010743+16.64%0.1382✗1.92682k2022-07-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.1587-0.80%1.1067-5.25%0.0634✓1.444.3M2022-07-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1617.018-0.83%16.53-3.67%0.0493✓1.67427k2022-07-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.781794-0.90%0.8394+6.40%0.0516✗1.61180k2022-07-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.9467-0.95%6.781-3.31%0.0410✓1.395.6M2022-07-15
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.403088-0.97%0.40645-0.14%0.0009✓0.7654k2022-07-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.783507-1.14%0.81221+2.48%0.0254✗0.883222022-07-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.63911-1.22%0.635-1.85%0.0246✓1.503,6872022-07-15
QNTQuantEthereum97.5496.23-1.34%104.42+7.05%0.0694✗1.022.6M2022-07-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.020247-1.36%0.020825+1.46%0.0160✗1.019372022-07-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.