TRX

TRON · Tron · gru_s8

token id: #23
symbol: TRX
variant: –
chain: Tron
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0086

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0018

actual +0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.330674	0.329877	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.33119	0.33053	-0.20%	0.330674	-0.16%	0.0009	✓	0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.331815	0.331082	-0.22%	0.33119	-0.19%	0.0016	✓	0.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.33229	0.331592	-0.21%	0.331815	-0.14%	0.0010	✓	0.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.333361	0.332675	-0.21%	0.33229	-0.32%	0.0023	✓	0.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.335033	0.334372	-0.20%	0.333361	-0.50%	0.0028	✓	0.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.332252	0.331637	-0.19%	0.335033	+0.84%	0.0114	✗	0.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.332097	0.331458	-0.19%	0.332252	+0.05%	0.0013	✓	0.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.327001	0.326544	-0.14%	0.332097	+1.56%	0.0200	✗	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	0.328674	0.328144	-0.16%	0.327001	-0.51%	0.0063	✓	0.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.329961	0.329564	-0.12%	0.328674	-0.39%	0.0012	✗	0.17
2026-10-10	oos	0.330588	0.330178	-0.12%	0.329961	-0.19%	0.0023	✓	0.18
2026-10-09	oos	0.331647	0.331267	-0.11%	0.330588	-0.32%	0.0029	✓	0.18
2026-10-08	oos	0.332454	0.331973	-0.14%	0.331647	-0.24%	0.0029	✓	0.18
2026-10-07	oos	0.335278	0.334827	-0.13%	0.332454	-0.84%	0.0037	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.335352	0.335091	-0.08%	0.335278	-0.02%	0.0055	✗	0.18
2026-10-05	oos	0.336077	0.335809	-0.08%	0.335352	-0.22%	0.0009	✓	0.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.335617	0.335407	-0.06%	0.336077	+0.14%	0.0036	✗	0.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.33543	0.335143	-0.09%	0.335617	+0.06%	0.0024	✓	0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.334614	0.334381	-0.07%	0.33543	+0.24%	0.0026	✗	0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.334643	0.334421	-0.07%	0.334614	-0.01%	0.0013	✗	0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.337228	0.336909	-0.09%	0.334643	-0.77%	0.0098	✓	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.334363	0.334085	-0.08%	0.337228	+0.86%	0.0096	✗	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.335352	0.335031	-0.10%	0.334363	-0.29%	0.0024	✓	0.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.333425	0.33323	-0.06%	0.335352	+0.58%	0.0089	✗	0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.334209	0.334043	-0.05%	0.333425	-0.23%	0.0020	✓	0.21
2026-09-25	oos	0.338144	0.337986	-0.05%	0.334209	-1.16%	0.0120	✓	0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.340168	0.340058	-0.03%	0.338144	-0.60%	0.0049	✓	0.21
2026-09-23	oos	0.342168	0.34204	-0.04%	0.340168	-0.58%	0.0055	✓	0.21
2026-09-22	oos	0.34201	0.341977	-0.01%	0.342168	+0.05%	0.0052	✗	0.22
2026-09-21	oos	0.344652	0.344646	-0.00%	0.34201	-0.77%	0.0067	✓	0.21
2026-09-20	oos	0.342473	0.342258	-0.06%	0.344652	+0.64%	0.0081	✓	0.23
2026-09-19	oos	0.339717	0.339607	-0.03%	0.342473	+0.81%	0.0086	✗	0.24
2026-09-18	oos	0.338267	0.338234	-0.01%	0.339717	+0.43%	0.0033	✗	0.23
2026-09-17	oos	0.334636	0.334607	-0.01%	0.338267	+1.08%	0.0030	✓	0.24
2026-09-16	oos	0.335377	0.335405	+0.01%	0.334636	-0.22%	0.0029	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.33273	0.332803	+0.02%	0.335377	+0.80%	0.0059	✓	0.24
2026-09-14	oos	0.338015	0.338204	+0.06%	0.33273	-1.56%	0.0090	✗	0.22
2026-09-13	oos	0.33818	0.338407	+0.07%	0.338015	-0.05%	0.0051	✗	0.22
2026-09-12	oos	0.3397	0.340002	+0.09%	0.33818	-0.45%	0.0041	✗	0.22
2026-09-11	oos	0.338558	0.338931	+0.11%	0.3397	+0.34%	0.0021	✓	0.22
2026-09-10	oos	0.33985	0.340239	+0.11%	0.338558	-0.38%	0.0069	✗	0.23
2026-09-09	oos	0.338853	0.33948	+0.18%	0.33985	+0.29%	0.0063	✓	0.23
2026-09-08	oos	0.338709	0.339373	+0.20%	0.338853	+0.04%	0.0011	✓	0.21
2026-09-07	oos	0.3345	0.335276	+0.23%	0.338709	+1.26%	0.0120	✓	0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.335129	0.33598	+0.25%	0.3345	-0.19%	0.0009	✓	0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.333838	0.334737	+0.27%	0.335129	+0.39%	0.0002	✓	0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.331466	0.332439	+0.29%	0.333838	+0.72%	0.0038	✓	0.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.33072	0.331776	+0.32%	0.331466	+0.23%	0.0035	✓	0.22
2026-09-02	oos	0.325048	0.325868	+0.25%	0.33072	+1.75%	0.0022	✓	0.25
2026-09-01	oos	0.322146	0.322944	+0.25%	0.325048	+0.90%	0.0068	✓	0.25
2026-08-31	oos	0.332446	0.333392	+0.28%	0.322146	-3.10%	0.0309	✗	0.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.33612	0.336888	+0.23%	0.332446	-1.09%	0.0162	✗	0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.340873	0.34158	+0.21%	0.33612	-1.39%	0.0142	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.341291	0.341898	+0.18%	0.340873	-0.12%	0.0043	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.337747	0.338441	+0.21%	0.341291	+1.05%	0.0171	✓	0.28
2026-08-26	oos	0.336069	0.336589	+0.15%	0.337747	+0.50%	0.0010	✓	0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.336231	0.336669	+0.13%	0.336069	-0.05%	0.0037	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.344983	0.345252	+0.08%	0.336231	-2.54%	0.0248	✗	0.30
2026-08-23	oos	0.343915	0.343997	+0.02%	0.344983	+0.31%	0.0018	✗	0.29
2026-08-22	oos	0.344215	0.344139	-0.02%	0.343915	-0.09%	0.0032	✓	0.29
2026-08-21	oos	0.34349	0.343353	-0.04%	0.344215	+0.21%	0.0074	✗	0.30
2026-08-20	oos	0.337372	0.336908	-0.14%	0.34349	+1.81%	0.0017	✓	0.30
2026-08-19	oos	0.334401	0.333582	-0.24%	0.337372	+0.89%	0.0049	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.332481	0.331427	-0.32%	0.334401	+0.58%	0.0151	✓	0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.33098	0.329984	-0.30%	0.332481	+0.45%	0.0064	✗	0.35
2026-08-16	oos	0.33078	0.329803	-0.30%	0.33098	+0.06%	0.0057	✓	0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.330907	0.329946	-0.29%	0.33078	-0.04%	0.0036	✗	0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.332395	0.331457	-0.28%	0.330907	-0.45%	0.0019	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.334274	0.33316	-0.33%	0.332395	-0.56%	0.0002	✓	0.35
2026-08-12	oos	0.335962	0.334871	-0.32%	0.334274	-0.50%	0.0019	✓	0.35
2026-08-11	oos	0.334831	0.333462	-0.41%	0.335962	+0.34%	0.0081	✗	0.35
2026-08-10	oos	0.33049	0.329495	-0.30%	0.334831	+1.31%	0.0182	✗	0.35
2026-08-09	oos	0.329642	0.328677	-0.29%	0.33049	+0.26%	0.0107	✗	0.36
2026-08-08	oos	0.328726	0.327765	-0.29%	0.329642	+0.28%	0.0060	✗	0.36
2026-08-07	oos	0.327402	0.326433	-0.30%	0.328726	+0.40%	0.0069	✗	0.35
2026-08-06	oos	0.326822	0.325872	-0.29%	0.327402	+0.18%	0.0013	✓	0.35
2026-08-05	oos	0.327089	0.326112	-0.30%	0.326822	-0.08%	0.0040	✗	0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.326906	0.325744	-0.36%	0.327089	+0.06%	0.0011	✓	0.35
2026-08-03	oos	0.328586	0.32753	-0.32%	0.326906	-0.51%	0.0051	✓	0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.326491	0.325484	-0.31%	0.328586	+0.64%	0.0097	✗	0.35
2026-08-01	oos	0.327663	0.326678	-0.30%	0.326491	-0.36%	0.0047	✓	0.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.32567	0.324764	-0.28%	0.327663	+0.61%	0.0092	✗	0.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.328323	0.327386	-0.29%	0.32567	-0.81%	0.0055	✗	0.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.325346	0.324462	-0.27%	0.328323	+0.92%	0.0073	✗	0.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.324413	0.323466	-0.29%	0.325346	+0.29%	0.0055	✗	0.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.324688	0.32364	-0.32%	0.324413	-0.08%	0.0015	✓	0.35
2026-07-26	oos	0.332125	0.331314	-0.24%	0.324688	-2.24%	0.0114	✓	0.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.331311	0.330472	-0.25%	0.332125	+0.25%	0.0005	✓	0.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.330574	0.329433	-0.34%	0.331311	+0.22%	0.0046	✗	0.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.328678	0.328039	-0.19%	0.330574	+0.58%	0.0128	✗	0.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.328782	0.328258	-0.16%	0.328678	-0.03%	0.0068	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.329551	0.32903	-0.16%	0.328782	-0.23%	0.0015	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.326659	0.326062	-0.18%	0.329551	+0.89%	0.0041	✗	0.33
2026-07-19	oos	0.32669	0.326202	-0.15%	0.326659	-0.01%	0.0013	✓	0.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.325597	0.325152	-0.14%	0.32669	+0.34%	0.0053	✗	0.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.322468	0.322035	-0.13%	0.325597	+0.97%	0.0066	✗	0.32
2026-07-16	oos	0.322999	0.32258	-0.13%	0.322468	-0.16%	0.0009	✓	0.31
2026-07-15	oos	0.324321	0.323899	-0.13%	0.322999	-0.41%	0.0017	✗	0.31
2026-07-14	oos	0.325675	0.325187	-0.15%	0.324321	-0.42%	0.0014	✓	0.31
2026-07-13	oos	0.323934	0.32331	-0.19%	0.325675	+0.54%	0.0065	✓	0.32
2026-07-12	oos	0.331243	0.330677	-0.17%	0.323934	-2.21%	0.0134	✓	0.31
2026-07-11	oos	0.329608	0.329068	-0.16%	0.331243	+0.50%	0.0067	✗	0.28
2026-07-10	oos	0.330283	0.329751	-0.16%	0.329608	-0.20%	0.0010	✓	0.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.331937	0.331365	-0.17%	0.330283	-0.50%	0.0073	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	0.328199	0.327647	-0.17%	0.331937	+1.14%	0.0091	✗	0.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.33143	0.330848	-0.18%	0.328199	-0.97%	0.0036	✓	0.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.329427	0.328904	-0.16%	0.33143	+0.61%	0.0104	✗	0.26
2026-07-05	oos	0.329027	0.328454	-0.17%	0.329427	+0.12%	0.0014	✓	0.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.324947	0.324426	-0.16%	0.329027	+1.26%	0.0122	✗	0.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.323195	0.322677	-0.16%	0.324947	+0.54%	0.0049	✗	0.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.317229	0.316823	-0.13%	0.323195	+1.88%	0.0161	✗	0.23
2026-07-01	oos	0.315691	0.315334	-0.11%	0.317229	+0.49%	0.0003	✓	0.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.31495	0.314665	-0.09%	0.315691	+0.24%	0.0023	✓	0.23
2026-06-29	oos	0.320879	0.32049	-0.12%	0.31495	-1.85%	0.0114	✓	0.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.3217	0.321333	-0.11%	0.320879	-0.26%	0.0037	✓	0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.320827	0.320435	-0.12%	0.3217	+0.27%	0.0055	✗	0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.320055	0.31964	-0.13%	0.320827	+0.24%	0.0039	✗	0.20
2026-06-25	oos	0.323441	0.322949	-0.15%	0.320055	-1.05%	0.0100	✓	0.20
2026-06-24	oos	0.327041	0.326492	-0.17%	0.323441	-1.10%	0.0054	✓	0.19
2026-06-23	oos	0.328831	0.328237	-0.18%	0.327041	-0.54%	0.0015	✓	0.19
2026-06-22	oos	0.333735	0.333	-0.22%	0.328831	-1.47%	0.0086	✓	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.327378	0.326756	-0.19%	0.333735	+1.94%	0.0190	✗	0.19
2026-06-20	oos	0.326381	0.325744	-0.20%	0.327378	+0.31%	0.0077	✗	0.17
2026-06-19	oos	0.323618	0.323017	-0.19%	0.326381	+0.85%	0.0083	✗	0.17
2026-06-18	oos	0.320497	0.31988	-0.19%	0.323618	+0.97%	0.0101	✗	0.16
2026-06-17	oos	0.321564	0.321	-0.18%	0.320497	-0.33%	0.0026	✗	0.17
2026-06-16	oos	0.316718	0.316185	-0.17%	0.321564	+1.53%	0.0200	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.318097	0.317492	-0.19%	0.316718	-0.43%	0.0007	✓	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	0.321611	0.320963	-0.20%	0.318097	-1.09%	0.0104	✓	0.17
2026-06-13	oos	0.317191	0.316669	-0.16%	0.321611	+1.39%	0.0125	✗	0.15
2026-06-12	oos	0.315238	0.31482	-0.13%	0.317191	+0.62%	0.0054	✗	0.15
2026-06-11	oos	0.31668	0.316143	-0.17%	0.315238	-0.46%	0.0028	✓	0.15
2026-06-10	oos	0.320766	0.320422	-0.11%	0.31668	-1.27%	0.0176	✓	0.17
2026-06-09	oos	0.322665	0.322386	-0.09%	0.320766	-0.59%	0.0044	✓	0.17
2026-06-08	oos	0.326604	0.326229	-0.11%	0.322665	-1.21%	0.0073	✓	0.17
2026-06-07	oos	0.326696	0.326288	-0.12%	0.326604	-0.03%	0.0016	✗	0.16
2026-06-06	oos	0.324237	0.324256	+0.01%	0.326696	+0.76%	0.0018	✓	0.14
2026-06-05	oos	0.319993	0.320022	+0.01%	0.324237	+1.33%	0.0135	✓	0.14
2026-06-04	oos	0.332188	0.33175	-0.13%	0.319993	-3.67%	0.0318	✓	0.10
2026-06-03	oos	0.33273	0.332546	-0.06%	0.332188	-0.16%	0.0007	✓	0.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.3322	0.331599	-0.18%	0.33273	+0.16%	0.0076	✗	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.343145	0.342147	-0.29%	0.3322	-3.19%	0.0242	✓	0.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.350985	0.350066	-0.26%	0.343145	-2.23%	0.0181	✓	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.347681	0.34685	-0.24%	0.350985	+0.95%	0.0120	✗	0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.343942	0.343088	-0.25%	0.347681	+1.09%	0.0129	✗	0.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.352531	0.351401	-0.32%	0.343942	-2.44%	0.0213	✓	0.06
2026-05-27	oos	0.367571	0.366541	-0.28%	0.352531	-4.09%	0.0384	✓	0.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.375186	0.373814	-0.37%	0.367571	-2.03%	0.0160	✓	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	0.371457	0.37001	-0.39%	0.375186	+1.00%	0.0148	✗	0.05
2026-05-24	oos	0.365216	0.364151	-0.29%	0.371457	+1.71%	0.0197	✗	0.05
2026-05-23	oos	0.362559	0.361556	-0.28%	0.365216	+0.73%	0.0097	✗	0.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.361787	0.360812	-0.27%	0.362559	+0.21%	0.0035	✗	0.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.36504	0.363969	-0.29%	0.361787	-0.89%	0.0040	✓	0.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.358858	0.357876	-0.27%	0.36504	+1.72%	0.0198	✗	0.07
2026-05-19	oos	0.355896	0.354911	-0.28%	0.358858	+0.83%	0.0104	✗	0.08
2026-05-18	oos	0.355383	0.354427	-0.27%	0.355896	+0.14%	0.0043	✗	0.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.355186	0.354293	-0.25%	0.355383	+0.06%	0.0036	✗	0.09
2026-05-16	oos	0.355016	0.354178	-0.24%	0.355186	+0.05%	0.0036	✗	0.09
2026-05-15	oos	0.351988	0.351307	-0.19%	0.355016	+0.86%	0.0116	✗	0.09
2026-05-14	oos	0.353739	0.353117	-0.18%	0.351988	-0.49%	0.0010	✓	0.09
2026-05-13	oos	0.349463	0.348776	-0.20%	0.353739	+1.22%	0.0122	✗	0.09
2026-05-12	oos	0.349142	0.348388	-0.22%	0.349463	+0.09%	0.0043	✗	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.351123	0.350012	-0.32%	0.349142	-0.56%	0.0013	✓	0.08
2026-05-10	oos	0.350665	0.350245	-0.12%	0.351123	+0.13%	0.0030	✗	0.08
2026-05-09	oos	0.350228	0.349755	-0.14%	0.350665	+0.12%	0.0010	✓	0.08
2026-05-08	oos	0.350468	0.350012	-0.13%	0.350228	-0.07%	0.0001	✓	0.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.349003	0.348507	-0.14%	0.350468	+0.42%	0.0054	✗	0.08
2026-05-06	oos	0.346266	0.345968	-0.09%	0.349003	+0.79%	0.0104	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.34474	0.344388	-0.10%	0.346266	+0.44%	0.0044	✗	0.17
2026-05-04	oos	0.341036	0.340494	-0.16%	0.34474	+1.09%	0.0102	✗	0.17
2026-05-03	oos	0.338568	0.337898	-0.20%	0.341036	+0.73%	0.0066	✗	0.16
2026-05-02	oos	0.330066	0.329707	-0.11%	0.338568	+2.58%	0.0268	✗	0.16
2026-05-01	oos	0.326899	0.326568	-0.10%	0.330066	+0.97%	0.0097	✗	0.16
2026-04-30	oos	0.32652	0.32602	-0.15%	0.326899	+0.12%	0.0016	✓	0.17
2026-04-29	oos	0.323033	0.322475	-0.17%	0.32652	+1.08%	0.0112	✗	0.17
2026-04-28	oos	0.323197	0.322403	-0.25%	0.323033	-0.05%	0.0032	✗	0.17
2026-04-27	oos	0.325382	0.324582	-0.25%	0.323197	-0.67%	0.0020	✓	0.17
2026-04-26	oos	0.323432	0.323171	-0.08%	0.325382	+0.60%	0.0096	✗	0.17
2026-04-25	oos	0.323999	0.323605	-0.12%	0.323432	-0.18%	0.0027	✓	0.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.323383	0.323042	-0.11%	0.323999	+0.19%	0.0026	✗	0.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.328929	0.328573	-0.11%	0.323383	-1.69%	0.0142	✓	0.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.329709	0.329415	-0.09%	0.328929	-0.24%	0.0016	✓	0.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.332838	0.33222	-0.19%	0.329709	-0.94%	0.0117	✓	0.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.329101	0.328452	-0.20%	0.332838	+1.14%	0.0122	✗	0.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.329075	0.32816	-0.28%	0.329101	+0.01%	0.0024	✓	0.19
2026-04-18	oos	0.329641	0.328856	-0.24%	0.329075	-0.17%	0.0057	✗	0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.327881	0.327216	-0.20%	0.329641	+0.54%	0.0109	✗	0.20
2026-04-16	oos	0.327047	0.326193	-0.26%	0.327881	+0.26%	0.0001	✓	0.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.327196	0.326244	-0.29%	0.327047	-0.05%	0.0016	✓	0.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.323865	0.322743	-0.35%	0.327196	+1.03%	0.0120	✗	0.19
2026-04-13	oos	0.320439	0.319582	-0.27%	0.323865	+1.07%	0.0140	✗	0.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.321245	0.320207	-0.32%	0.320439	-0.25%	0.0098	✓	0.21
2026-04-11	oos	0.318839	0.317822	-0.32%	0.321245	+0.75%	0.0175	✗	0.21
2026-04-10	oos	0.319373	0.318427	-0.30%	0.318839	-0.17%	0.0010	✓	0.21
2026-04-09	oos	0.320455	0.31937	-0.34%	0.319373	-0.34%	0.0035	✓	0.21
2026-04-08	oos	0.317958	0.31693	-0.32%	0.320455	+0.79%	0.0090	✗	0.21
2026-04-07	oos	0.315415	0.314401	-0.32%	0.317958	+0.81%	0.0137	✗	0.21
2026-04-06	oos	0.316487	0.315425	-0.34%	0.315415	-0.34%	0.0094	✓	0.21
2026-04-05	oos	0.318802	0.317693	-0.35%	0.316487	-0.73%	0.0033	✓	0.21
2026-04-04	oos	0.317518	0.31645	-0.34%	0.318802	+0.40%	0.0021	✓	0.21
2026-04-03	oos	0.315196	0.314183	-0.32%	0.317518	+0.74%	0.0095	✗	0.21
2026-04-02	oos	0.315276	0.314276	-0.32%	0.315196	-0.03%	0.0027	✓	0.21
2026-04-01	oos	0.31553	0.314512	-0.32%	0.315276	-0.08%	0.0063	✗	0.21
2026-03-31	oos	0.313148	0.312114	-0.33%	0.31553	+0.76%	0.0112	✗	0.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.319664	0.318556	-0.35%	0.313148	-2.04%	0.0220	✓	0.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.32155	0.320452	-0.34%	0.319664	-0.59%	0.0051	✓	0.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.316456	0.315423	-0.33%	0.32155	+1.61%	0.0205	✗	0.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.311108	0.310143	-0.31%	0.316456	+1.72%	0.0203	✗	0.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.311383	0.310489	-0.29%	0.311108	-0.09%	0.0101	✗	0.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.314411	0.313511	-0.29%	0.311383	-0.96%	0.0014	✓	0.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.30588	0.305114	-0.25%	0.314411	+2.79%	0.0276	✗	0.22
2026-03-23	oos	0.308089	0.307327	-0.25%	0.30588	-0.72%	0.0037	✓	0.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.310198	0.309286	-0.29%	0.308089	-0.68%	0.0140	✓	0.23
2026-03-21	oos	0.312069	0.311195	-0.28%	0.310198	-0.60%	0.0004	✓	0.23
2026-03-20	oos	0.309621	0.308808	-0.26%	0.312069	+0.79%	0.0159	✗	0.24
2026-03-19	oos	0.303613	0.302753	-0.28%	0.309621	+1.98%	0.0205	✗	0.23
2026-03-18	oos	0.30451	0.303748	-0.25%	0.303613	-0.29%	0.0039	✗	0.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.306848	0.305978	-0.28%	0.30451	-0.76%	0.0038	✗	0.23
2026-03-16	oos	0.295785	0.295266	-0.18%	0.306848	+3.74%	0.0415	✗	0.24
2026-03-15	oos	0.298774	0.29812	-0.22%	0.295785	-1.00%	0.0146	✓	0.24
2026-03-14	oos	0.297873	0.297183	-0.23%	0.298774	+0.30%	0.0000	✓	0.24
2026-03-13	oos	0.293445	0.292767	-0.23%	0.297873	+1.51%	0.0163	✗	0.23
2026-03-12	oos	0.289091	0.288497	-0.21%	0.293445	+1.51%	0.0156	✗	0.23
2026-03-11	oos	0.29103	0.290368	-0.23%	0.289091	-0.67%	0.0055	✓	0.24
2026-03-10	oos	0.285816	0.285049	-0.27%	0.29103	+1.82%	0.0199	✗	0.24
2026-03-09	oos	0.285638	0.285083	-0.19%	0.285816	+0.06%	0.0027	✓	0.24
2026-03-08	oos	0.289157	0.28852	-0.22%	0.285638	-1.22%	0.0192	✓	0.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.286621	0.286155	-0.16%	0.289157	+0.88%	0.0153	✗	0.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.28455	0.28411	-0.15%	0.286621	+0.73%	0.0119	✗	0.25
2026-03-05	oos	0.285213	0.284753	-0.16%	0.28455	-0.23%	0.0095	✗	0.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.286996	0.28647	-0.18%	0.285213	-0.62%	0.0019	✗	0.25
2026-03-03	oos	0.280472	0.27999	-0.17%	0.286996	+2.33%	0.0097	✗	0.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.283225	0.282732	-0.17%	0.280472	-0.97%	0.0063	✓	0.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.280685	0.280341	-0.12%	0.283225	+0.90%	0.0008	✓	0.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.281852	0.281443	-0.14%	0.280685	-0.41%	0.0017	✗	0.25
2026-02-27	oos	0.282805	0.282422	-0.14%	0.281852	-0.34%	0.0061	✓	0.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.28562	0.285178	-0.15%	0.282805	-0.99%	0.0023	✓	0.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.285221	0.284776	-0.16%	0.28562	+0.14%	0.0048	✗	0.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.283598	0.283223	-0.13%	0.285221	+0.57%	0.0082	✓	0.26
2026-02-23	oos	0.281643	0.281243	-0.14%	0.283598	+0.69%	0.0106	✗	0.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.290484	0.289505	-0.34%	0.281643	-3.04%	0.0165	✓	0.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.288988	0.288529	-0.16%	0.290484	+0.52%	0.0080	✗	0.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.285275	0.284817	-0.16%	0.288988	+1.30%	0.0146	✗	0.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.284766	0.284344	-0.15%	0.285275	+0.18%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.27861	0.278265	-0.12%	0.284766	+2.21%	0.0211	✗	0.24
2026-02-17	oos	0.282089	0.281672	-0.15%	0.27861	-1.23%	0.0071	✓	0.25
2026-02-16	oos	0.284367	0.283861	-0.18%	0.282089	-0.80%	0.0012	✓	0.25
2026-02-15	oos	0.280362	0.279886	-0.17%	0.284367	+1.43%	0.0156	✗	0.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.282454	0.281899	-0.20%	0.280362	-0.74%	0.0020	✓	0.24
2026-02-13	oos	0.282159	0.281657	-0.18%	0.282454	+0.10%	0.0006	✓	0.24
2026-02-12	oos	0.279819	0.279513	-0.11%	0.282159	+0.84%	0.0001	✓	0.25
2026-02-11	oos	0.278169	0.27779	-0.14%	0.279819	+0.59%	0.0102	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.277897	0.27754	-0.13%	0.278169	+0.10%	0.0086	✗	0.24
2026-02-09	oos	0.278944	0.278499	-0.16%	0.277897	-0.38%	0.0024	✗	0.24
2026-02-08	oos	0.277615	0.277283	-0.12%	0.278944	+0.48%	0.0066	✗	0.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.27799	0.277812	-0.06%	0.277615	-0.13%	0.0044	✓	0.25
2026-02-06	oos	0.2739	0.273591	-0.11%	0.27799	+1.49%	0.0205	✗	0.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.268957	0.269637	+0.25%	0.2739	+1.84%	0.0154	✗	0.27
2026-02-04	oos	0.282744	0.282489	-0.09%	0.268957	-4.88%	0.0123	✓	0.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.285687	0.28522	-0.16%	0.282744	-1.03%	0.0002	✓	0.25
2026-02-02	oos	0.283137	0.282553	-0.21%	0.285687	+0.90%	0.0215	✗	0.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.284476	0.283908	-0.20%	0.283137	-0.47%	0.0083	✓	0.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.286334	0.285539	-0.28%	0.284476	-0.65%	0.0027	✓	0.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.293825	0.292872	-0.32%	0.286334	-2.55%	0.0044	✓	0.27
2026-01-29	oos	0.294557	0.29356	-0.34%	0.293825	-0.25%	0.0022	✓	0.27
2026-01-28	oos	0.29498	0.293818	-0.39%	0.294557	-0.14%	0.0181	✗	0.29
2026-01-27	oos	0.294262	0.293274	-0.34%	0.29498	+0.24%	0.0057	✗	0.29
2026-01-26	oos	0.29622	0.295183	-0.35%	0.294262	-0.66%	0.0060	✓	0.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.295318	0.294332	-0.33%	0.29622	+0.31%	0.0007	✓	0.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.294967	0.293974	-0.34%	0.295318	+0.12%	0.0132	✗	0.30
2026-01-23	oos	0.297478	0.296449	-0.35%	0.294967	-0.84%	0.0037	✓	0.30
2026-01-22	oos	0.304863	0.303789	-0.35%	0.297478	-2.42%	0.0210	✓	0.30
2026-01-21	oos	0.299019	0.297973	-0.35%	0.304863	+1.95%	0.0225	✗	0.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.296446	0.295497	-0.32%	0.299019	+0.87%	0.0087	✗	0.26
2026-01-19	oos	0.31167	0.310351	-0.42%	0.296446	-4.88%	0.0357	✓	0.22
2026-01-18	oos	0.317729	0.316572	-0.36%	0.31167	-1.91%	0.0132	✓	0.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.318409	0.317317	-0.34%	0.317729	-0.21%	0.0046	✗	0.21
2026-01-16	oos	0.308971	0.307947	-0.33%	0.318409	+3.05%	0.0343	✗	0.22
2026-01-15	oos	0.31254	0.31122	-0.42%	0.308971	-1.14%	0.0071	✓	0.22
2026-01-14	oos	0.30475	0.303887	-0.28%	0.31254	+2.56%	0.0315	✗	0.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.306904	0.305936	-0.32%	0.30475	-0.70%	0.0080	✓	0.25
2026-01-12	oos	0.299488	0.298515	-0.32%	0.306904	+2.48%	0.0175	✗	0.23
2026-01-11	oos	0.299182	0.298263	-0.31%	0.299488	+0.10%	0.0033	✗	0.23
2026-01-10	oos	0.301929	0.301024	-0.30%	0.299182	-0.91%	0.0074	✓	0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.298112	0.297268	-0.28%	0.301929	+1.28%	0.0160	✗	0.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.294641	0.293802	-0.28%	0.298112	+1.18%	0.0160	✗	0.26
2026-01-07	oos	0.29789	0.297049	-0.28%	0.294641	-1.09%	0.0073	✓	0.31
2026-01-06	oos	0.294014	0.293294	-0.24%	0.29789	+1.32%	0.0241	✗	0.32
2026-01-05	oos	0.292094	0.291076	-0.35%	0.294014	+0.66%	0.0106	✗	0.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.293936	0.293257	-0.23%	0.292094	-0.63%	0.0128	✓	0.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.295483	0.29476	-0.24%	0.293936	-0.52%	0.0063	✓	0.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.288826	0.288149	-0.23%	0.295483	+2.30%	0.0227	✗	0.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.286529	0.285941	-0.21%	0.288826	+0.80%	0.0053	✗	0.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.284106	0.283528	-0.20%	0.286529	+0.85%	0.0057	✗	0.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.286045	0.285518	-0.18%	0.284106	-0.68%	0.0015	✓	0.34
2025-12-29	oos	0.284662	0.284092	-0.20%	0.286045	+0.49%	0.0017	✓	0.35
2025-12-28	oos	0.284792	0.284267	-0.18%	0.284662	-0.05%	0.0045	✗	0.35
2025-12-27	oos	0.284672	0.284135	-0.19%	0.284792	+0.04%	0.0020	✗	0.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.27948	0.279015	-0.17%	0.284672	+1.86%	0.0181	✗	0.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.278629	0.278178	-0.16%	0.27948	+0.31%	0.0042	✗	0.34
2025-12-24	oos	0.280091	0.279617	-0.17%	0.278629	-0.52%	0.0018	✓	0.34
2025-12-23	oos	0.283332	0.282742	-0.21%	0.280091	-1.14%	0.0101	✓	0.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.284362	0.283737	-0.22%	0.283332	-0.36%	0.0030	✗	0.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.288295	0.287582	-0.25%	0.284362	-1.36%	0.0109	✓	0.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.281751	0.281204	-0.19%	0.288295	+2.32%	0.0237	✗	0.35
2025-12-19	oos	0.279735	0.279197	-0.19%	0.281751	+0.72%	0.0082	✗	0.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.27906	0.278528	-0.19%	0.279735	+0.24%	0.0063	✓	0.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.279462	0.278883	-0.21%	0.27906	-0.14%	0.0037	✗	0.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.280111	0.279628	-0.17%	0.279462	-0.23%	0.0062	✗	0.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.278264	0.277776	-0.18%	0.280111	+0.66%	0.0024	✗	0.36
2025-12-14	oos	0.277233	0.276743	-0.18%	0.278264	+0.37%	0.0127	✗	0.36
2025-12-13	oos	0.271099	0.270684	-0.15%	0.277233	+2.26%	0.0327	✗	0.37
2025-12-12	oos	0.273737	0.273304	-0.16%	0.271099	-0.96%	0.0080	✓	0.38
2025-12-11	oos	0.280524	0.279981	-0.19%	0.273737	-2.42%	0.0134	✓	0.37
2025-12-10	oos	0.280078	0.279524	-0.20%	0.280524	+0.16%	0.0015	✓	0.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.282207	0.281551	-0.23%	0.280078	-0.75%	0.0026	✓	0.38
2025-12-08	oos	0.28129	0.280522	-0.27%	0.282207	+0.33%	0.0025	✓	0.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.286865	0.286232	-0.22%	0.28129	-1.94%	0.0185	✓	0.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.28706	0.286445	-0.21%	0.286865	-0.07%	0.0034	✓	0.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.2856	0.284997	-0.21%	0.28706	+0.51%	0.0076	✗	0.40
2025-12-04	oos	0.286256	0.285506	-0.26%	0.2856	-0.23%	0.0126	✗	0.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.280513	0.2799	-0.22%	0.286256	+2.05%	0.0285	✗	0.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.281119	0.280597	-0.19%	0.280513	-0.22%	0.0101	✓	0.42
2025-12-01	oos	0.276879	0.276435	-0.16%	0.281119	+1.53%	0.0078	✓	0.43
2025-11-30	oos	0.281467	0.281012	-0.16%	0.276879	-1.63%	0.0054	✗	0.44
2025-11-29	oos	0.280838	0.280367	-0.17%	0.281467	+0.22%	0.0061	✗	0.43
2025-11-28	oos	0.281041	0.280566	-0.17%	0.280838	-0.07%	0.0013	✓	0.43
2025-11-27	oos	0.28023	0.279764	-0.17%	0.281041	+0.29%	0.0065	✗	0.43
2025-11-26	oos	0.276462	0.276071	-0.14%	0.28023	+1.36%	0.0109	✗	0.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.274472	0.274213	-0.09%	0.276462	+0.73%	0.0072	✓	0.44
2025-11-24	oos	0.274774	0.274454	-0.12%	0.274472	-0.11%	0.0048	✗	0.44
2025-11-23	oos	0.274848	0.274601	-0.09%	0.274774	-0.03%	0.0069	✓	0.45
2025-11-22	oos	0.274051	0.27395	-0.04%	0.274848	+0.29%	0.0088	✓	0.49
2025-11-21	oos	0.276358	0.276065	-0.11%	0.274051	-0.83%	0.0051	✓	0.48
2025-11-20	oos	0.280079	0.279923	-0.06%	0.276358	-1.33%	0.0045	✓	0.48
2025-11-19	oos	0.286625	0.286112	-0.18%	0.280079	-2.28%	0.0070	✗	0.51
2025-11-18	oos	0.290133	0.289619	-0.18%	0.286625	-1.21%	0.0024	✓	0.51
2025-11-17	oos	0.291427	0.291054	-0.13%	0.290133	-0.44%	0.0077	✓	0.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.292042	0.291491	-0.19%	0.291427	-0.21%	0.0113	✗	0.52
2025-11-15	oos	0.294634	0.294116	-0.18%	0.292042	-0.88%	0.0003	✓	0.52
2025-11-14	oos	0.29229	0.291632	-0.23%	0.294634	+0.80%	0.0046	✗	0.52
2025-11-13	oos	0.293002	0.292445	-0.19%	0.29229	-0.24%	0.0286	✗	0.55
2025-11-12	oos	0.294589	0.29392	-0.23%	0.293002	-0.54%	0.0081	✗	0.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.296631	0.295793	-0.28%	0.294589	-0.69%	0.0032	✗	0.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.296365	0.29554	-0.28%	0.296631	+0.09%	0.0199	✗	0.57
2025-11-09	oos	0.290575	0.289877	-0.24%	0.296365	+1.99%	0.0152	✗	0.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.291511	0.290835	-0.23%	0.290575	-0.32%	0.0144	✓	0.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.292117	0.291298	-0.28%	0.291511	-0.21%	0.0064	✗	0.58
2025-11-06	oos	0.283691	0.283163	-0.19%	0.292117	+2.97%	0.0201	✗	0.57
2025-11-05	oos	0.288884	0.28812	-0.26%	0.283691	-1.80%	0.0013	✓	0.57
2025-11-04	oos	0.285515	0.28457	-0.33%	0.288884	+1.18%	0.0019	✓	0.56
2025-11-03	oos	0.281171	0.280398	-0.27%	0.285515	+1.54%	0.0489	✗	0.63
2025-11-02	oos	0.298079	0.297294	-0.26%	0.281171	-5.67%	0.0343	✓	0.59
2025-11-01	oos	0.297298	0.296562	-0.25%	0.298079	+0.26%	0.0025	✗	0.59
2025-10-31	oos	0.296177	0.295516	-0.22%	0.297298	+0.38%	0.0033	✗	0.59
2025-10-30	oos	0.292489	0.291942	-0.19%	0.296177	+1.26%	0.0076	✗	0.59
2025-10-29	oos	0.296	0.295446	-0.19%	0.292489	-1.19%	0.0008	✓	0.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.295542	0.295012	-0.18%	0.296	+0.16%	0.0187	✗	0.60
2025-10-27	oos	0.298196	0.297656	-0.18%	0.295542	-0.89%	0.0009	✓	0.60
2025-10-26	oos	0.300314	0.29973	-0.19%	0.298196	-0.71%	0.0027	✓	0.59
2025-10-25	oos	0.2972	0.296522	-0.23%	0.300314	+1.05%	0.0024	✓	0.59
2025-10-24	oos	0.303657	0.303025	-0.21%	0.2972	-2.13%	0.0227	✓	0.60
2025-10-23	oos	0.313922	0.313197	-0.23%	0.303657	-3.27%	0.0360	✓	0.61
2025-10-22	oos	0.322692	0.321823	-0.27%	0.313922	-2.72%	0.0397	✓	0.64
2025-10-21	oos	0.321808	0.320848	-0.30%	0.322692	+0.27%	0.0103	✗	0.64
2025-10-20	oos	0.322529	0.321585	-0.29%	0.321808	-0.22%	0.0138	✗	0.65
2025-10-19	oos	0.320288	0.319418	-0.27%	0.322529	+0.70%	0.0015	✓	0.65
2025-10-18	oos	0.313074	0.312378	-0.22%	0.320288	+2.30%	0.0163	✗	0.64
2025-10-17	oos	0.309091	0.308497	-0.19%	0.313074	+1.29%	0.0103	✗	0.64
2025-10-16	oos	0.316132	0.315502	-0.20%	0.309091	-2.23%	0.0103	✓	0.63
2025-10-15	oos	0.319408	0.318722	-0.21%	0.316132	-1.03%	0.0067	✗	0.62
2025-10-14	oos	0.316831	0.316145	-0.22%	0.319408	+0.81%	0.0232	✗	0.64
2025-10-13	oos	0.322877	0.322185	-0.21%	0.316831	-1.87%	0.0044	✓	0.64
2025-10-12	oos	0.323061	0.3223	-0.24%	0.322877	-0.06%	0.0006	✓	0.64
2025-10-11	oos	0.314601	0.313978	-0.20%	0.323061	+2.69%	0.0043	✗	0.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.321239	0.320289	-0.30%	0.314601	-2.07%	0.0055	✓	0.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.336897	0.336388	-0.15%	0.321239	-4.65%	0.0001	✓	0.62
2025-10-08	oos	0.342116	0.34159	-0.15%	0.336897	-1.53%	0.0056	✓	0.62
2025-10-07	oos	0.337962	0.337416	-0.16%	0.342116	+1.23%	0.0043	✗	0.60
2025-10-06	oos	0.346205	0.345659	-0.16%	0.337962	-2.38%	0.0068	✓	0.58
2025-10-05	oos	0.341514	0.340982	-0.16%	0.346205	+1.37%	0.0096	✗	0.58
2025-10-04	oos	0.340574	0.340026	-0.16%	0.341514	+0.28%	0.0006	✓	0.58
2025-10-03	oos	0.342132	0.341517	-0.18%	0.340574	-0.46%	0.0034	✓	0.58
2025-10-02	oos	0.342871	0.342161	-0.21%	0.342132	-0.22%	0.0083	✓	0.59
2025-10-01	oos	0.34193	0.341086	-0.25%	0.342871	+0.28%	0.0046	✓	0.60
2025-09-30	oos	0.333724	0.332859	-0.26%	0.34193	+2.46%	0.0032	✗	0.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.337011	0.336186	-0.24%	0.333724	-0.98%	0.0058	✓	0.60
2025-09-28	oos	0.335778	0.334973	-0.24%	0.337011	+0.37%	0.0055	✓	0.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.336785	0.335992	-0.24%	0.335778	-0.30%	0.0146	✓	0.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.338557	0.337647	-0.27%	0.336785	-0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.62
2025-09-25	oos	0.332085	0.331099	-0.30%	0.338557	+1.95%	0.0186	✗	0.61
2025-09-24	oos	0.338299	0.337458	-0.25%	0.332085	-1.84%	0.0080	✗	0.62
2025-09-23	oos	0.335859	0.334993	-0.26%	0.338299	+0.73%	0.0025	✓	0.62
2025-09-22	oos	0.340247	0.339023	-0.36%	0.335859	-1.29%	0.0055	✓	0.61
2025-09-21	oos	0.342575	0.341644	-0.27%	0.340247	-0.68%	0.0097	✗	0.62
2025-09-20	oos	0.346775	0.345805	-0.28%	0.342575	-1.21%	0.0068	✓	0.63
2025-09-19	oos	0.343863	0.342939	-0.27%	0.346775	+0.85%	0.0108	✗	0.64
2025-09-18	oos	0.350477	0.349407	-0.31%	0.343863	-1.89%	0.0082	✓	0.63
2025-09-17	oos	0.343229	0.342304	-0.27%	0.350477	+2.11%	0.0202	✗	0.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.