OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s8

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.130943	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.129107	-0.50%	0.131675	+1.48%	0.0244	✗	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.123793	-0.38%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0254	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.124834	-0.37%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0012	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.128522	-0.38%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0378	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.137265	-0.47%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0596	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136657	-0.50%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0215	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.139908	-0.61%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0294	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.156572	-1.16%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0772	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.130146	-0.38%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1718	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.142679	-0.66%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0549	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.138172	-0.70%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0258	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131689	-0.48%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0489	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.118679	-0.23%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.0945	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.122579	-0.34%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0035	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.129744	-0.45%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0166	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137753	-0.56%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0521	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133554	-0.50%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0488	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135517	-0.62%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0386	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126585	-0.48%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0705	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.127433	-0.50%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0039	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.128846	-0.55%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0281	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.12806	-0.54%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0131	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.133387	-0.61%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0384	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.148059	-0.86%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0819	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.14259	-0.87%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0456	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.144916	-1.04%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0127	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.130559	-0.64%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1196	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.122262	-0.48%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0720	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.134152	-0.84%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0596	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.126485	-0.76%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0733	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.123955	-0.95%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0617	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.120464	-0.96%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0393	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.119349	-1.01%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0128	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100644	-0.25%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1106	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095675	-0.09%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0500	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093563	-0.06%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0146	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.101981	-0.22%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0485	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094621	-0.10%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0582	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095592	-0.11%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0028	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095482	-0.05%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0015	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.093772	-0.02%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0091	✗	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.09943	-0.01%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0346	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105171	-0.12%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0537	✓	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110193	-0.23%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.109896	-0.28%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0216	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107334	-0.23%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0197	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098017	-0.12%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0910	✗	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.10097	-0.22%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0077	✓	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.098805	-0.43%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0365	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.094659	-0.55%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0486	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093194	-0.38%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0376	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086192	-0.25%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0695	✗	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088442	-0.28%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0159	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.089703	-0.41%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0165	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.096722	-0.51%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0410	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.09849	-0.52%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0286	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.100805	-0.68%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0244	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.106777	-0.90%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.110793	-1.24%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0441	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107374	-1.43%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0349	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.105467	-1.57%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0491	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096819	-1.21%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0312	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089165	-0.88%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0445	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081481	-0.62%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0379	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083733	-0.52%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0239	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.082991	-0.43%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0094	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084431	-0.46%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.085926	-0.49%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0136	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.088177	-0.56%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0144	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085537	-0.45%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0358	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.091011	-0.53%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0558	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.090972	-0.58%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0113	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087614	-0.44%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0572	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.088116	-0.43%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0004	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.086127	-0.43%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0269	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.086141	-0.42%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0048	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.087132	-0.42%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.088092	-0.46%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0147	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.088109	-0.44%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0044	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085719	-0.33%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0324	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.082286	-0.26%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0330	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084771	-0.27%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0262	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.087299	-0.23%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0020	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089284	-0.24%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0326	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089285	-0.24%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087344	-0.18%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0221	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.095229	-0.28%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0613	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092329	-0.19%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0191	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092363	-0.15%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092397	-0.11%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0147	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096359	-0.15%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0269	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097827	-0.18%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0079	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094378	-0.13%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0212	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094376	-0.13%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0055	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095368	-0.14%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0077	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096361	-0.14%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0211	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098329	-0.17%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0205	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.10229	-0.20%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0248	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101307	-0.19%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0155	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098307	-0.20%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0081	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100297	-0.20%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0039	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101292	-0.20%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0073	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103262	-0.23%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0114	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101763	-0.23%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099281	-0.22%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0115	✗	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101743	-0.25%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0045	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106655	-0.32%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0337	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108107	-0.36%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0173	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107113	-0.36%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0044	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106596	-0.38%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098735	-0.27%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0633	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094807	-0.20%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0179	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096792	-0.21%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0443	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100209	-0.29%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0035	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099236	-0.26%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0003	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100219	-0.28%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104671	-0.31%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0394	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105636	-0.34%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0114	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.104101	-0.38%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0416	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.10113	-0.36%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0638	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.100108	-0.39%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0379	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.099151	-0.35%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0004	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.103063	-0.42%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0183	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.103097	-0.39%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0089	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108999	-0.46%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0624	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108474	-0.48%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0378	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.107948	-0.51%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0308	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.107853	-0.60%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0181	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.1074	-0.56%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0002	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.105891	-0.57%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0046	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.099201	-0.30%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0539	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095846	-0.16%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0379	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090534	+0.04%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0176	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096514	+0.01%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0597	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.096144	+0.15%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0308	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.097177	+0.18%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0076	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094405	+0.43%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0208	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098413	+0.42%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0423	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.112157	+0.14%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0854	✗	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.123036	+0.03%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0900	✗	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.115137	+0.12%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1150	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.123636	-0.29%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0049	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.118203	-0.25%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0859	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.120186	-0.26%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0110	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.118268	-0.20%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0122	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118258	-0.20%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0044	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123604	-0.32%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0297	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126468	-0.42%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0034	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.128883	-0.48%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0062	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125465	-0.42%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0277	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.129863	-0.49%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0348	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125466	-0.42%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0222	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.131782	-0.54%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0154	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.128318	-0.53%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0311	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.124865	-0.51%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0233	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.128777	-0.56%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0234	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127777	-0.56%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0197	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.131763	-0.56%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0157	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.135711	-0.58%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0113	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.143602	-0.62%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0245	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.145556	-0.64%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0308	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.150968	-0.68%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0146	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.155944	-0.67%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0099	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162307	-0.73%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0273	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.162721	-0.78%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0148	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.170194	-1.05%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0430	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.146844	-0.78%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1558	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141242	-0.88%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0642	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127689	-0.63%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1030	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123226	-0.62%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122386	-0.50%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0035	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125312	-0.55%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0170	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120404	-0.49%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0397	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.119877	-0.52%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0168	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.118876	-0.52%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0060	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121015	-0.40%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0046	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.122004	-0.41%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0105	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.125003	-0.40%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0022	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.124932	-0.45%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0096	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.124933	-0.45%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121082	-0.34%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0473	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120598	-0.33%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0064	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.123029	-0.38%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0432	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.123008	-0.40%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119593	-0.34%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0019	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.125005	-0.39%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0126	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133717	-0.58%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0438	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.131585	-0.69%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0062	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.119109	-0.33%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.1018	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111262	-0.21%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0618	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.116183	-0.27%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0373	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.106314	-0.17%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0344	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114224	-0.24%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0340	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.115211	-0.25%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0075	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113716	-0.25%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0028	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.114192	-0.27%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0128	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.118101	-0.34%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0182	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.109212	-0.26%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0342	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.110184	-0.29%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0038	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.110175	-0.29%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0248	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.110165	-0.30%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0024	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.10624	-0.24%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0382	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.110164	-0.30%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0138	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.11013	-0.33%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0052	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105241	-0.25%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0241	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101314	-0.18%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0274	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.10231	-0.19%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0018	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103806	-0.19%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0121	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108268	-0.21%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0002	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113273	-0.20%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0024	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113321	-0.16%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0106	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113328	-0.15%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114266	-0.20%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0570	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117236	-0.22%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0057	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123264	-0.19%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0219	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121287	-0.17%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0087	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126273	-0.18%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0168	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136178	-0.24%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0312	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.13705	-0.33%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0108	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128172	-0.26%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0385	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123172	-0.27%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0172	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122484	-0.42%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0037	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119101	-0.33%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0256	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120585	-0.34%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0142	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118084	-0.35%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0204	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118148	-0.30%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0221	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114822	-0.16%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0107	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116983	-0.01%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0053	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120979	-0.02%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0190	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125444	-0.04%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0102	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128899	-0.08%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0025	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125991	-0.01%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0506	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124984	-0.01%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0168	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121571	+0.06%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0290	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122555	+0.04%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0144	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120109	+0.09%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0015	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119595	+0.08%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0348	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124081	+0.07%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0281	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118269	+0.23%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0301	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121772	+0.22%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0203	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122712	+0.17%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0494	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128725	+0.18%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0430	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129249	+0.19%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0053	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140278	+0.20%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1038	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165213	+0.13%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1771	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187537	+0.02%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1071	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190487	-0.01%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0116	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189523	+0.01%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0038	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196922	-0.04%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0191	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189081	+0.04%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0222	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182811	+0.17%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0188	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177865	+0.21%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0420	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182803	+0.17%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0054	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188757	+0.14%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0088	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190814	+0.16%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0088	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.1969	+0.20%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0533	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.19836	+0.18%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0155	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182639	+0.63%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0923	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218805	+0.14%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0682	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.212791	+0.14%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0893	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.22945	-0.02%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0079	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.227708	+0.09%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0313	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234032	+0.01%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0125	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.261865	-0.24%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0097	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268713	-0.29%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0147	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.299724	-0.42%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0100	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.300228	-0.42%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0016	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296265	-0.42%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0000	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.285442	-0.37%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0068	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302184	-0.43%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0020	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.302752	-0.41%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0103	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.305725	-0.42%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0059	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.307092	-0.46%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0023	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.298383	-0.37%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0123	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.318065	-0.45%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0246	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.321661	-0.41%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0141	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.344833	-0.48%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0375	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.33843	-0.46%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0309	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.339264	-0.51%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0037	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349416	-0.59%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0009	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.36343	-0.97%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0632	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.307221	-0.41%	0.367	+18.96%	0.1005	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.314166	-0.42%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0242	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.316158	-0.42%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0116	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.313232	-0.40%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0162	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.3122	-0.41%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0172	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.315776	-0.39%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0013	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330387	-0.49%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0150	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328433	-0.47%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0142	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.317562	-0.45%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0167	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.308687	-0.42%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0116	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.303618	-0.45%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0056	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.294767	-0.42%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0049	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.266785	-0.27%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0744	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.270882	-0.23%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0091	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.26842	-0.22%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0193	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273373	-0.23%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0022	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277281	-0.26%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0135	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.266994	-0.19%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0284	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251795	-0.08%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0576	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.263225	-0.10%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0333	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.270189	-0.12%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0292	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270747	-0.09%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0252	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272251	-0.09%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0027	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.278225	-0.10%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0282	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.279223	-0.10%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0080	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.259998	-0.00%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0101	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.27289	-0.04%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0305	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.293169	-0.11%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0326	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.292174	-0.11%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0294	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.300125	-0.12%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0159	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.314919	-0.18%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0015	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.306998	-0.16%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0278	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.3139	-0.19%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0311	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.322736	-0.24%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0373	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337414	-0.32%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0273	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317771	-0.23%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0173	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.304436	-0.18%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0394	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313823	-0.22%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0549	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.300024	-0.16%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0489	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.318249	-0.24%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0059	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.3266	-0.27%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0071	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.31582	-0.21%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0125	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287328	-0.06%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0240	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.317864	-0.20%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0012	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.325796	-0.22%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0119	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331298	-0.21%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0128	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.332787	-0.21%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0073	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.32494	-0.17%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0063	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.324156	-0.11%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0734	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.318203	-0.09%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0432	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.30154	+0.01%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0182	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.302769	+0.09%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0604	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.308212	+0.07%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0084	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.360205	-0.08%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1188	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.373798	-0.19%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0940	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.37964	-0.23%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0234	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.363961	-0.15%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0237	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.381244	-0.20%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0075	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.388611	-0.23%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0166	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.377286	-0.19%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0061	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.389368	-0.29%	0.378	-3.20%	0.1017	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.398228	-0.32%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0310	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.404634	-0.34%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0216	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.441604	-0.54%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0105	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.42614	-0.43%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0094	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.422109	-0.45%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0474	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.421229	-0.65%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0316	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.364337	-0.18%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1027	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.372116	-0.24%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0443	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344794	-0.06%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0196	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.35208	-0.12%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1111	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.419437	-0.25%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0783	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.41607	-0.22%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0009	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397813	-0.17%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0353	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.399921	-0.14%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0337	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439469	-0.23%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0521	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435156	-0.19%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0806	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.450436	-0.24%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0050	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.463191	-0.28%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0149	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445371	-0.25%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0255	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.447364	-0.25%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0168	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.432592	-0.21%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0139	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.418934	-0.13%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0277	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.43269	-0.19%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0119	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.446287	-0.27%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0256	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.438087	-0.21%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0249	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.426989	-0.12%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0087	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.41982	-0.04%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0005	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.42715	-0.08%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0266	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.455612	-0.19%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0002	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.484265	-0.25%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0051	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.50126	-0.35%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0197	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.486663	-0.27%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0284	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.455392	-0.13%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0313	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.496863	-0.23%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0343	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.704963	-0.36%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1953	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.728774	-0.37%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0027	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.709337	-0.37%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0024	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.755302	-0.42%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0024	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.715731	-0.39%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0379	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.721976	-0.42%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0228	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.741452	-0.48%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0248	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.746805	-0.62%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0318	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.701518	-0.49%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0341	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.667622	-0.43%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0317	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.671042	-0.44%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0049	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.680002	-0.44%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0522	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.670808	-0.40%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0348	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.667332	-0.40%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0095	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.638678	-0.36%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0336	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.679862	-0.39%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0346	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.680118	-0.35%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0252	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.7011	-0.41%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0116	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.775373	-0.47%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0446	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.804948	-0.50%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0232	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.788653	-0.49%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0242	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.826184	-0.58%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0124	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.807645	-0.54%	0.831	+2.34%	0.0156	✗	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.