OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s8

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0726

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0106

actual -0.0149

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.128601	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.127001	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.122076	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.123072	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.126513	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.134648	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.133998	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.136804	-2.81%	0.131675	-6.45%	0.0604	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.15177	-4.19%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1537	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.128191	-1.88%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0328	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.139763	-2.69%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0806	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.135396	-2.70%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0221	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129676	-2.01%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0795	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.117748	-1.01%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1467	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.121264	-1.41%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1778	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.127996	-1.79%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2528	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.135462	-2.21%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0289	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.131577	-1.97%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1338	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.133009	-2.46%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0759	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.124671	-1.99%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0927	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.125421	-2.07%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0004	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.126409	-2.44%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0225	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.125615	-2.44%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0043	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.130537	-2.73%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0211	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.143954	-3.61%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1028	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.138819	-3.49%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0231	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.140784	-3.86%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1082	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.128068	-2.54%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0077	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.120619	-1.82%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0853	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.131329	-2.93%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0204	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.124392	-2.40%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1237	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.121183	-3.16%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1539	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.118184	-2.84%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1433	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.117244	-2.75%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1681	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100434	-0.46%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1470	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.096021	+0.27%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1231	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.094017	+0.43%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2106	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.10207	-0.14%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1095	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.09506	+0.36%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2161	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.09603	+0.35%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1830	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.096088	+0.59%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1776	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.094372	+0.62%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0695	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100282	+0.84%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0169	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105776	+0.45%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0823	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110706	+0.23%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0674	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110866	+0.60%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1098	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108282	+0.65%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.0890	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.099232	+1.11%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0050	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.102612	+1.41%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0269	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.09907	-0.16%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0114	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095013	-0.18%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0863	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093942	+0.42%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1545	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086556	+0.17%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.2050	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088872	+0.20%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1706	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.090041	-0.03%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0625	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097606	+0.40%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0240	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.098749	-0.25%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0267	✗	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.100711	-0.77%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0419	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.106514	-1.15%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1245	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.109896	-2.04%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2396	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.106409	-2.31%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.1976	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.104888	-2.11%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1459	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.095399	-2.65%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0758	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.087633	-2.59%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0038	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080004	-2.42%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0659	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082313	-2.21%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0867	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.08164	-2.05%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1241	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083037	-2.10%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0888	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084483	-2.16%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0381	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.086638	-2.29%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0059	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.084153	-2.06%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0166	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089436	-2.26%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1033	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089377	-2.32%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0681	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.086279	-1.96%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0045	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.086779	-1.94%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0054	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.084836	-1.92%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0459	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084889	-1.86%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0558	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085903	-1.82%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0180	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086814	-1.91%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0601	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086869	-1.84%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0452	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.084726	-1.48%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0175	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081488	-1.23%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0505	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083998	-1.18%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0016	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.086643	-0.98%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0052	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.088596	-1.01%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0231	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088699	-0.90%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0053	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086938	-0.64%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0213	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.09462	-0.92%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0694	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.091921	-0.63%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0863	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092039	-0.50%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0617	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.0922	-0.32%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0477	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096127	-0.39%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0417	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097575	-0.43%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0503	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094197	-0.32%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0541	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094165	-0.35%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0056	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095122	-0.40%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0214	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096072	-0.44%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0405	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.09796	-0.55%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0752	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.10182	-0.66%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0721	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.100876	-0.61%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0499	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.097857	-0.65%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0782	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.099806	-0.69%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0684	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.10077	-0.72%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0698	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.10266	-0.81%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0581	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101139	-0.84%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0362	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098689	-0.82%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0026	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101028	-0.95%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0220	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105707	-1.21%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0424	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.107027	-1.36%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0656	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106038	-1.36%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0554	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105493	-1.41%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0459	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.097965	-1.05%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0126	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094243	-0.80%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0165	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096206	-0.82%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0249	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099346	-1.15%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0091	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.098441	-1.06%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0259	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.099336	-1.16%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0237	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103614	-1.32%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0122	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.1045	-1.42%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0858	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.102884	-1.55%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0610	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.099919	-1.56%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0490	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.098795	-1.70%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0885	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.097933	-1.58%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0877	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.101549	-1.88%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0648	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.101657	-1.78%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0940	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.107279	-2.03%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0466	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.106642	-2.16%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0434	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.106013	-2.29%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0109	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.105757	-2.53%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0078	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.105409	-2.40%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0115	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.10407	-2.28%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.098239	-1.27%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0534	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095299	-0.73%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1522	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090807	+0.34%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1249	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096763	+0.27%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0401	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.096734	+0.77%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0539	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.097914	+0.94%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0530	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.096154	+2.29%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0329	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.100218	+2.26%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0557	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.11286	+0.77%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1575	✗	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.12327	+0.22%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2635	✗	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.115698	+0.61%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0868	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.122446	-1.25%	0.096	-22.58%	0.1025	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.117252	-1.05%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0066	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.119163	-1.11%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0091	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117501	-0.84%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0349	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.117483	-0.86%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1189	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.122349	-1.33%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1755	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.124859	-1.69%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0659	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.127064	-1.88%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0656	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.123828	-1.72%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0071	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.127941	-1.96%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0184	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.123731	-1.80%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0130	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.129616	-2.18%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0325	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.126196	-2.17%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0257	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.122757	-2.19%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0464	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.126402	-2.39%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0201	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.125294	-2.49%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0115	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.129155	-2.52%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0300	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.132925	-2.62%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0045	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.140622	-2.68%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0132	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.1423	-2.87%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0737	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.147514	-2.95%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1128	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.152603	-2.80%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1023	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.158799	-2.88%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1501	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.158988	-3.06%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1490	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.165777	-3.62%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1798	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.14385	-2.80%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0090	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.138807	-2.59%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0803	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.125931	-2.00%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1936	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.121482	-2.03%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2332	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.120618	-1.94%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2581	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.123474	-2.00%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2587	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.118784	-1.83%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3452	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118023	-2.06%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1769	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.117029	-2.07%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1213	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.11935	-1.77%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.12045	-1.67%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0050	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.123564	-1.54%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0030	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.123349	-1.71%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0070	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123368	-1.70%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0302	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119927	-1.29%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0327	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.119509	-1.23%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0348	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.121612	-1.53%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0005	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.121578	-1.56%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0141	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.118251	-1.46%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0110	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.123629	-1.49%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0125	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.132034	-1.83%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0560	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.12976	-2.07%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1107	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118207	-1.08%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0250	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.110675	-0.74%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0783	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.115439	-0.91%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0472	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.105811	-0.65%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0782	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.113546	-0.83%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0605	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.114514	-0.85%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1001	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113025	-0.86%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1081	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.113452	-0.92%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0052	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117176	-1.12%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0841	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.108497	-0.92%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0141	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.109403	-0.99%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0542	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.10935	-1.04%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0451	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.109328	-1.06%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0406	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105589	-0.86%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.109335	-1.05%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0012	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.109263	-1.12%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0218	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104617	-0.84%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0107	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100884	-0.61%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0408	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.101861	-0.62%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0652	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.10336	-0.62%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0567	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.107753	-0.69%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0192	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.112852	-0.57%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0303	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113049	-0.40%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0147	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113082	-0.37%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0018	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113819	-0.60%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0821	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116716	-0.67%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0858	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.122907	-0.48%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0977	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.120926	-0.47%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0895	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.125995	-0.40%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1054	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136085	-0.30%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1274	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.136965	-0.39%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1241	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.127861	-0.50%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0294	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.122802	-0.56%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0066	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122018	-0.80%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0193	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.118702	-0.67%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0332	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120256	-0.62%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0340	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.117768	-0.62%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0853	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.117914	-0.49%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0513	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114796	-0.18%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0011	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.117134	+0.11%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0135	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121143	+0.12%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0316	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125485	-0.01%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0430	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.12885	-0.12%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0224	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126228	+0.18%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0915	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125198	+0.16%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0479	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.122105	+0.50%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0638	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.123017	+0.42%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0557	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.12078	+0.65%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0409	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.120155	+0.55%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0195	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124643	+0.52%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0512	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.119621	+1.37%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0321	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.123144	+1.35%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0660	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.123695	+0.98%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0185	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.129735	+0.96%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0380	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.130361	+1.06%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0412	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.14158	+1.13%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1798	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.166368	+0.83%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3263	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.188142	+0.34%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3974	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190898	+0.21%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3668	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.190053	+0.29%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4160	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.19716	+0.08%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3923	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189854	+0.45%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3702	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.18453	+1.11%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2917	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.179747	+1.27%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0735	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.184384	+1.03%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0429	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.190109	+0.85%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0259	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.19234	+0.97%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0139	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.198806	+1.17%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0198	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.20022	+1.12%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0242	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.188086	+3.63%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1091	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.220223	+0.79%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0710	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.213992	+0.70%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0072	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229255	-0.11%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0080	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.228482	+0.43%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0272	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234067	+0.03%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0555	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.259524	-1.13%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0500	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.266006	-1.30%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1603	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.295745	-1.75%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0568	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.296163	-1.77%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0338	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.292193	-1.78%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0359	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.281691	-1.68%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0017	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.297646	-1.93%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0181	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.298222	-1.90%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0174	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.301064	-1.93%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0095	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.302252	-2.03%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0001	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.294034	-1.83%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0089	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.31341	-1.91%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0339	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.317179	-1.80%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0399	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.339751	-1.95%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0038	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.333672	-1.86%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0232	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.33447	-1.91%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0325	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.344489	-1.99%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0347	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.356732	-2.80%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0340	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.303078	-1.76%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0271	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.309796	-1.81%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0099	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.311774	-1.80%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0172	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.309201	-1.69%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0020	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.308286	-1.66%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0149	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.312059	-1.56%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0094	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.326359	-1.70%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0798	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.324384	-1.70%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0116	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.313624	-1.69%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0206	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.305013	-1.61%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0454	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.29994	-1.66%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0341	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.291453	-1.54%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0183	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.264737	-1.03%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0914	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.269187	-0.85%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0860	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.266844	-0.80%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0560	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.271773	-0.81%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0758	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.27561	-0.86%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0528	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.265865	-0.61%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0758	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251375	-0.25%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1270	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.262665	-0.32%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0208	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269607	-0.33%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0154	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270304	-0.26%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0287	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.271852	-0.24%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0255	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.277743	-0.27%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0130	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.278786	-0.26%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0226	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.260328	+0.13%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0732	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.272872	-0.05%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0680	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.292488	-0.34%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0682	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.291586	-0.31%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1235	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.29927	-0.41%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1047	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.313443	-0.65%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0734	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.305695	-0.59%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0388	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.312296	-0.70%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0169	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.320736	-0.85%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0240	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.334698	-1.12%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0192	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.315853	-0.83%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0221	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.302874	-0.70%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0436	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.311952	-0.81%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0116	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.298648	-0.62%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0076	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.316016	-0.94%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0150	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.323997	-1.07%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0305	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.313846	-0.84%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0440	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287037	-0.16%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0014	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.315964	-0.80%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0361	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.323638	-0.88%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0082	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.329139	-0.86%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0542	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.330589	-0.87%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0537	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.32321	-0.70%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0553	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323212	-0.40%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1188	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317319	-0.37%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0486	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301802	+0.10%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0342	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.303941	+0.48%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0872	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.309291	+0.42%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0796	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.359464	-0.29%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1938	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.371578	-0.78%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1067	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.37705	-0.91%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0041	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.362355	-0.59%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0288	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.378811	-0.83%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0373	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.385664	-0.98%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0410	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.374975	-0.80%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0507	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.385762	-1.21%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2832	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.394192	-1.33%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2139	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.400207	-1.43%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2142	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.434994	-2.03%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1864	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.420598	-1.73%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1780	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.416631	-1.74%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1120	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.414739	-2.18%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1359	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.362385	-0.72%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1166	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.369542	-0.93%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1329	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344533	-0.14%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1261	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.350859	-0.47%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2501	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.416787	-0.88%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1681	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.413804	-0.77%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2162	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.396161	-0.59%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2222	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.398627	-0.47%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0880	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.437185	-0.75%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0100	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.433242	-0.63%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0557	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.447975	-0.78%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0586	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.460094	-0.95%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0046	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.442586	-0.88%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0209	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.444473	-0.90%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0734	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.430202	-0.76%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0277	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.417541	-0.47%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0063	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.430389	-0.72%	0.436	+0.58%	0.0962	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.442529	-1.11%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0649	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.435153	-0.88%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0756	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.425227	-0.53%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0604	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.419025	-0.23%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0446	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.425316	-0.51%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0282	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.451418	-1.11%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0053	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.478945	-1.35%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0136	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.494941	-1.60%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0106	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.480893	-1.46%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0573	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.451697	-0.94%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0312	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.491361	-1.33%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0023	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.697272	-1.45%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2484	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.720961	-1.44%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2397	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.701256	-1.51%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2196	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.74703	-1.51%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2304	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.707957	-1.47%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2245	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.713174	-1.63%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2384	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.731839	-1.77%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2198	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.735392	-2.14%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0576	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.691362	-1.93%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0256	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.657769	-1.90%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0567	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.660867	-1.95%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0515	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.669319	-2.00%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1466	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.660562	-1.92%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1633	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.657051	-1.93%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1313	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.629497	-1.79%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0605	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.669948	-1.84%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0593	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.670879	-1.70%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0446	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.690856	-1.87%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0590	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.762655	-2.10%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0472	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.790823	-2.25%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0336	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.775392	-2.16%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0202	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.811212	-2.38%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0652	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.793853	-2.23%	0.6825	-15.95%	0.0860	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.