METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s8

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +1d

assessed

389

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0486

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0058

actual -0.0014

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.346955	0.344243	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.336424	-0.68%	0.346955	+2.43%	0.0340	✗	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.335645	-0.66%	0.338725	+0.26%	0.0055	✓	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.332798	-0.68%	0.33786	+0.83%	0.0173	✗	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.345893	-0.74%	0.33508	-3.84%	0.0402	✓	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.367306	-0.84%	0.348475	-5.92%	0.0511	✓	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.3728	-0.92%	0.37041	-1.55%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.377355	-0.97%	0.376245	-1.26%	0.0104	✓	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.382124	-1.01%	0.381055	-1.28%	0.0186	✗	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.380475	-1.01%	0.386015	+0.43%	0.0044	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.418736	-1.35%	0.384375	-9.44%	0.0615	✓	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.414381	-1.94%	0.42445	+0.44%	0.0146	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.400233	-1.96%	0.42258	+3.52%	0.0498	✗	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.430735	-2.58%	0.408225	-7.67%	0.0646	✓	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.433612	-2.70%	0.442135	-0.79%	0.0394	✗	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.32393	-1.13%	0.445645	+36.02%	0.3542	✗	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.294118	-0.84%	0.32764	+10.46%	0.1111	✗	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.299566	-0.87%	0.296605	-1.85%	0.0018	✓	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.302124	-0.91%	0.302195	-0.88%	0.0275	✓	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.291764	-0.88%	0.304885	+3.58%	0.0402	✗	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.298366	-0.87%	0.29436	-2.20%	0.0081	✓	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.313792	-0.89%	0.30098	-4.94%	0.0627	✓	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.323316	-0.94%	0.316625	-2.99%	0.0196	✓	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.326933	-0.98%	0.32638	-1.15%	0.0047	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.376677	-1.24%	0.330185	-13.43%	0.1160	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.346717	-1.10%	0.38139	+8.79%	0.0946	✗	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.354106	-1.40%	0.350575	-2.39%	0.0152	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.324857	-1.20%	0.359145	+9.23%	0.1051	✗	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.336673	-1.84%	0.3288	-4.14%	0.0238	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.326734	-1.47%	0.34299	+3.43%	0.0783	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.281139	-1.17%	0.331615	+16.57%	0.1718	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.253487	-0.90%	0.284465	+11.21%	0.0252	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.255659	-1.09%	0.2558	-1.03%	0.0018	✓	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.257425	-1.29%	0.258475	-0.89%	0.0020	✓	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.224184	-0.92%	0.260795	+15.26%	0.0764	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.199307	-0.46%	0.22627	+13.01%	0.1233	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.195789	-0.40%	0.20022	+1.85%	0.0123	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.21928	-0.64%	0.196575	-10.93%	0.0660	✓	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.218487	-0.72%	0.220695	+0.29%	0.0131	✓	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.2245	-0.78%	0.220065	-2.74%	0.0120	✓	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.227907	-1.38%	0.226265	-2.09%	0.0082	✓	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.211188	-0.54%	0.231085	+8.83%	0.0787	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.209708	-0.45%	0.21234	+0.80%	0.0424	✗	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.193803	-0.24%	0.21066	+8.44%	0.0862	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.198796	-0.28%	0.19427	-2.55%	0.0120	✓	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.211548	-0.49%	0.19936	-6.23%	0.0388	✓	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.190189	-0.17%	0.212595	+11.59%	0.1031	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.184563	-0.10%	0.19052	+3.12%	0.0293	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.198308	-0.11%	0.18475	-6.94%	0.0466	✓	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.194037	-0.24%	0.19852	+2.07%	0.0486	✓	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.191498	-0.17%	0.1945	+1.39%	0.0173	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.196227	-0.13%	0.19183	-2.37%	0.0025	✓	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.186791	-0.11%	0.19649	+5.07%	0.0366	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.202407	-0.23%	0.187005	-7.82%	0.0707	✓	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.208007	-0.29%	0.202865	-2.76%	0.0309	✓	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.221992	-0.38%	0.20862	-6.38%	0.0271	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.215385	-0.42%	0.222835	+3.02%	0.0162	✗	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.210015	-0.43%	0.2163	+2.55%	0.0222	✗	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.22497	-0.64%	0.21093	-6.84%	0.0579	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.24273	-1.02%	0.226415	-7.67%	0.0881	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.218119	-1.01%	0.245235	+11.30%	0.1073	✗	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.215	-0.97%	0.220335	+1.48%	0.0432	✗	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.208015	-1.08%	0.217115	+3.25%	0.0445	✓	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.197991	-1.01%	0.210285	+5.13%	0.0083	✓	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.173192	-0.62%	0.200015	+14.77%	0.0606	✗	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.161983	-0.46%	0.17428	+7.09%	0.0694	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.160636	-0.46%	0.16274	+0.85%	0.0188	✓	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.163419	-0.47%	0.161375	-1.71%	0.0090	✓	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.162797	-0.46%	0.16419	+0.39%	0.0077	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.168822	-0.53%	0.163555	-3.64%	0.0229	✓	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.156878	-0.44%	0.16973	+7.72%	0.0785	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.157847	-0.43%	0.15757	-0.61%	0.0006	✓	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.156748	-0.43%	0.158535	+0.71%	0.0191	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.161513	-0.47%	0.157425	-2.99%	0.0067	✓	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.167168	-0.56%	0.162275	-3.47%	0.0285	✓	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.160806	-0.57%	0.168105	+3.95%	0.0441	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.161807	-0.50%	0.16172	-0.55%	0.0129	✓	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.168128	-0.56%	0.162615	-3.82%	0.0267	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.16322	-0.52%	0.16908	+3.05%	0.0245	✗	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.160172	-0.46%	0.16407	+1.96%	0.0126	✗	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.162334	-0.47%	0.16092	-1.33%	0.0081	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.167106	-0.50%	0.163095	-2.88%	0.0390	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.177239	-0.63%	0.16794	-5.84%	0.0526	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.172178	-0.61%	0.178355	+2.96%	0.0748	✗	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.171943	-0.61%	0.173235	+0.14%	0.0096	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.1684	-0.57%	0.173	+2.15%	0.0259	✗	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.160722	-0.49%	0.16936	+4.86%	0.0492	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.177189	-0.73%	0.161515	-9.51%	0.0602	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.161511	-0.55%	0.17849	+9.91%	0.0799	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.161088	-0.57%	0.1624	+0.24%	0.0040	✓	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.161124	-0.57%	0.162015	-0.02%	0.0243	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.160017	-0.56%	0.162055	+0.70%	0.0329	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.16149	-0.62%	0.160925	-0.97%	0.0048	✓	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.167616	-0.91%	0.162495	-3.93%	0.0571	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.144227	-0.50%	0.16915	+16.69%	0.1486	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.137179	-0.44%	0.144955	+5.20%	0.0575	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.12865	-0.39%	0.13779	+6.69%	0.0502	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.142201	-0.53%	0.129155	-9.66%	0.0988	✓	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.157663	-0.73%	0.14296	-9.99%	0.0793	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.148097	-0.61%	0.15883	+6.59%	0.0753	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.146542	-0.62%	0.149005	+1.05%	0.0418	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.147047	-0.63%	0.14746	-0.35%	0.0353	✗	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.151139	-0.66%	0.147985	-2.74%	0.0204	✓	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.15483	-0.68%	0.15215	-2.40%	0.0096	✓	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.159901	-0.68%	0.155895	-3.16%	0.0469	✓	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.159717	-0.67%	0.16099	+0.12%	0.0137	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.157421	-0.65%	0.160795	+1.48%	0.0465	✗	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.169581	-0.81%	0.15845	-7.32%	0.0523	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.173584	-0.78%	0.170965	-2.28%	0.0248	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.175566	-0.82%	0.174945	-1.17%	0.0150	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.189256	-1.18%	0.177015	-7.57%	0.0801	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.173568	-0.96%	0.19151	+9.28%	0.0744	✗	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.175756	-1.23%	0.175245	-1.52%	0.0400	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.160248	-0.93%	0.17795	+10.02%	0.0696	✗	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.16587	-1.15%	0.16175	-3.61%	0.0149	✗	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.156579	-0.83%	0.1678	+6.27%	0.0531	✗	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.163643	-1.12%	0.157895	-4.59%	0.0250	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.163983	-1.45%	0.16549	-0.55%	0.0107	✓	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.148188	-1.05%	0.1664	+11.11%	0.1090	✗	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.150372	-1.14%	0.149765	-1.54%	0.0224	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.159258	-1.23%	0.1521	-5.67%	0.0127	✓	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.154715	-1.40%	0.16124	+2.76%	0.0677	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.159281	-1.78%	0.156905	-3.24%	0.0296	✓	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.157046	-1.91%	0.162165	+1.29%	0.0511	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.133363	-1.72%	0.1601	+17.98%	0.1688	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.106158	-0.25%	0.1357	+27.51%	0.2349	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.112201	-0.31%	0.10642	-5.45%	0.0258	✓	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.113675	-0.39%	0.112555	-1.38%	0.0099	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.117968	-0.47%	0.114125	-3.72%	0.0221	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.108942	-0.28%	0.11853	+8.50%	0.0749	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.104815	-0.22%	0.109245	+4.00%	0.0198	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.103363	-0.20%	0.105045	+1.42%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.104022	-0.18%	0.103575	-0.61%	0.0039	✓	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.097501	+0.00%	0.10421	+6.88%	0.0309	✓	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.101122	+0.01%	0.0975	-3.58%	0.0324	✗	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.10189	-0.01%	0.101115	-0.77%	0.0158	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.099245	+0.05%	0.1019	+2.72%	0.0304	✓	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.098469	+0.17%	0.0992	+0.92%	0.0350	✗	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.104262	+0.16%	0.0983	-5.57%	0.0557	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.121304	-0.16%	0.1041	-14.32%	0.1102	✓	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.132417	-0.21%	0.1215	-8.44%	0.0827	✓	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.129651	-0.27%	0.1327	+2.08%	0.0628	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.131797	-0.31%	0.13	-1.66%	0.0557	✗	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.128741	-0.28%	0.1322	+2.40%	0.0604	✗	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.126759	-0.19%	0.1291	+1.65%	0.0210	✗	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.125	-0.12%	0.127	+1.48%	0.0103	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.127333	-0.13%	0.12515	-1.84%	0.0153	✓	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.132297	-0.19%	0.1275	-3.81%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.135595	-0.30%	0.13255	-2.54%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.132115	-0.14%	0.136	+2.80%	0.0473	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.132177	-0.09%	0.1323	+0.00%	0.0026	✓	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.138116	-0.13%	0.1323	-4.34%	0.0474	✓	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.136578	-0.05%	0.1383	+1.21%	0.0039	✓	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.147435	-0.25%	0.13665	-7.54%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.145555	-0.20%	0.1478	+1.34%	0.0144	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.140807	-0.07%	0.14585	+3.51%	0.0260	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.14369	-0.08%	0.1409	-2.02%	0.0173	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.143508	-0.06%	0.1438	+0.14%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.146923	-0.12%	0.1436	-2.38%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.152987	-0.20%	0.1471	-4.04%	0.0270	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.159779	-0.29%	0.1533	-4.34%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.15331	-0.19%	0.16025	+4.33%	0.0218	✗	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.170259	-0.40%	0.1536	-10.15%	0.0885	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.177813	-0.50%	0.17095	-4.34%	0.0251	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.177825	-0.49%	0.1787	+0.00%	0.0103	✗	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.178965	-0.52%	0.1787	-0.67%	0.0193	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.18036	-0.57%	0.1799	-0.83%	0.0079	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.172502	-0.52%	0.1814	+4.61%	0.0482	✗	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.167141	-0.48%	0.1734	+3.25%	0.0532	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.16577	-0.50%	0.16795	+0.81%	0.0070	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.16686	-0.56%	0.1666	-0.72%	0.0137	✓	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.161179	-0.63%	0.1678	+3.45%	0.0254	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.163531	-0.59%	0.1622	-1.40%	0.0067	✓	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.158633	-0.54%	0.1645	+3.13%	0.0311	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.154102	-0.52%	0.1595	+2.97%	0.0113	✗	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.151415	-0.52%	0.1549	+1.77%	0.0160	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.152277	-0.54%	0.1522	-0.59%	0.0062	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.153862	-0.48%	0.1531	-0.97%	0.0074	✗	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.161407	-0.49%	0.1546	-4.69%	0.0277	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.155699	-0.45%	0.1622	+3.71%	0.0290	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.162212	-0.48%	0.1564	-4.05%	0.0388	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.174764	-0.65%	0.163	-7.33%	0.0600	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.182614	-1.16%	0.1759	-4.79%	0.0383	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.178329	-0.98%	0.18475	+2.58%	0.0132	✗	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.146155	-0.61%	0.1801	+22.48%	0.2030	✗	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.13981	-0.56%	0.14705	+4.59%	0.0249	✗	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.145765	-0.47%	0.1406	-3.99%	0.0121	✓	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.150663	-0.49%	0.14645	-3.27%	0.0118	✓	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.150758	-0.62%	0.1514	-0.20%	0.0195	✓	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.140401	-0.42%	0.1517	+7.59%	0.0733	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.133986	-0.38%	0.141	+4.83%	0.0428	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.139184	-0.44%	0.1345	-3.79%	0.0309	✓	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.130782	-0.47%	0.1398	+6.39%	0.0196	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.141932	-0.82%	0.1314	-8.18%	0.0477	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.135821	-0.42%	0.1431	+4.91%	0.0511	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.132598	-0.41%	0.1364	+2.44%	0.0132	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.132052	-0.41%	0.13315	+0.41%	0.0008	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.141916	-0.62%	0.1326	-7.14%	0.0575	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.133965	-0.55%	0.1428	+6.01%	0.0250	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.12818	-0.40%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0516	✗	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.126621	-0.38%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0065	✓	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.127663	-0.42%	0.1271	-0.86%	0.0089	✓	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.128192	-0.39%	0.1282	-0.39%	0.0008	✓	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.134143	-0.49%	0.1287	-4.53%	0.0250	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.133734	-0.42%	0.1348	+0.37%	0.0094	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.134742	-0.41%	0.1343	-0.74%	0.0236	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.131526	-0.36%	0.1353	+2.50%	0.0175	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.139732	-0.48%	0.132	-5.98%	0.0519	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.149185	-0.77%	0.1404	-6.62%	0.0602	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.135692	-0.37%	0.15035	+10.39%	0.1374	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.143196	-0.42%	0.1362	-5.29%	0.0150	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.135445	-0.33%	0.1438	+5.81%	0.0494	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.13965	-0.36%	0.1359	-3.03%	0.0226	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.140999	-0.35%	0.14015	-0.95%	0.0494	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.148402	-0.40%	0.1415	-5.03%	0.0322	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.152184	-0.40%	0.149	-2.49%	0.0014	✓	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.153586	-0.40%	0.1528	-0.91%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.155378	-0.40%	0.1542	-1.15%	0.0113	✗	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.164082	-0.44%	0.156	-5.34%	0.0133	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.1707	-0.52%	0.1648	-3.96%	0.0221	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.161631	-0.41%	0.1716	+5.73%	0.0318	✗	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.163773	-0.44%	0.1623	-1.34%	0.0315	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.168906	-0.59%	0.1645	-3.18%	0.0306	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.159718	-0.36%	0.1699	+5.99%	0.0558	✗	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.161508	-0.37%	0.1603	-1.11%	0.0122	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.158206	-0.31%	0.1621	+2.14%	0.0207	✗	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.157561	-0.28%	0.1587	+0.44%	0.0153	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.154647	-0.23%	0.158	+1.94%	0.0158	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.159807	-0.25%	0.155	-3.25%	0.0109	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.170283	-0.30%	0.1602	-6.21%	0.0484	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.171545	-0.29%	0.1708	-0.73%	0.0367	✗	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.176545	-0.31%	0.17205	-2.85%	0.0001	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.172425	-0.27%	0.1771	+2.43%	0.0381	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.176872	-0.30%	0.1729	-2.54%	0.0152	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.178436	-0.26%	0.1774	-0.84%	0.0558	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.183264	-0.29%	0.1789	-2.67%	0.0040	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.182021	-0.26%	0.1838	+0.71%	0.0089	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.184198	-0.33%	0.1825	-1.24%	0.0181	✗	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.185329	-0.31%	0.1848	-0.59%	0.0055	✗	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.1806	-0.22%	0.1859	+2.71%	0.0400	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.183159	-0.13%	0.181	-1.31%	0.0021	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.199368	-0.27%	0.1834	-8.25%	0.0339	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.209405	-0.33%	0.1999	-4.85%	0.0409	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.2124	-0.38%	0.2101	-1.45%	0.0104	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.213935	-0.31%	0.2132	-0.65%	0.0198	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.207384	-0.25%	0.2146	+3.22%	0.0252	✗	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.223698	-0.40%	0.2079	-7.44%	0.0557	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.221384	-0.34%	0.2246	+1.10%	0.0378	✗	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.216058	-0.30%	0.22215	+2.51%	0.0267	✗	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.228732	-0.38%	0.2167	-5.62%	0.0375	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.221512	-0.31%	0.2296	+3.33%	0.0197	✗	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.211054	-0.16%	0.2222	+5.11%	0.0080	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.20918	-0.15%	0.2114	+0.91%	0.0233	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.209041	-0.17%	0.2095	+0.05%	0.0299	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.212566	-0.20%	0.2094	-1.69%	0.0046	✗	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.211521	-0.18%	0.213	+0.52%	0.0095	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.219172	-0.19%	0.2119	-3.51%	0.0492	✓	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.2172	-0.23%	0.2196	+0.87%	0.0298	✗	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.197755	+0.28%	0.2177	+10.40%	0.0273	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.227013	-0.28%	0.1972	-13.38%	0.0335	✗	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.234234	-0.39%	0.22765	-3.19%	0.0133	✗	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.239022	-0.49%	0.23515	-2.10%	0.0303	✗	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.227752	-0.37%	0.2402	+5.07%	0.0272	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.231607	-0.43%	0.2286	-1.72%	0.0140	✗	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.251811	-0.59%	0.2326	-8.17%	0.0001	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.261231	-0.63%	0.2533	-3.65%	0.0252	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.26672	-0.70%	0.2629	-2.12%	0.0503	✗	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.26876	-0.75%	0.2686	-0.81%	0.0012	✓	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.237737	-0.57%	0.2708	+13.26%	0.1189	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.242246	-0.58%	0.2391	-1.87%	0.0354	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.267373	-0.68%	0.24365	-9.49%	0.0609	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.268506	-0.70%	0.2692	-0.44%	0.0075	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.266381	-0.75%	0.2704	+0.75%	0.0148	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.273706	-0.83%	0.2684	-2.75%	0.0208	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.254113	-0.62%	0.276	+7.94%	0.0699	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.283574	-0.85%	0.2557	-10.59%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.29325	-1.00%	0.286	-3.44%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.283197	-0.88%	0.2962	+3.68%	0.0608	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.309914	-1.61%	0.2857	-9.30%	0.0772	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.249875	-0.53%	0.315	+25.40%	0.2325	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.265267	-0.61%	0.2512	-5.88%	0.0404	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.268229	-0.66%	0.2669	-1.15%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.253711	-0.70%	0.27	+5.68%	0.0181	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.260513	-0.72%	0.2555	-2.63%	0.0228	✓	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.248968	-0.61%	0.2624	+4.75%	0.0472	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.263381	-0.69%	0.2505	-5.54%	0.0486	✓	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.271229	-0.72%	0.2652	-2.93%	0.0170	✓	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.269396	-0.63%	0.2732	+0.77%	0.0167	✗	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.283269	-0.68%	0.2711	-4.94%	0.0186	✓	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.289717	-0.78%	0.2852	-2.33%	0.0142	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.276335	-0.71%	0.292	+4.92%	0.0313	✗	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.282345	-0.79%	0.2783	-2.21%	0.0237	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.279696	-0.92%	0.2846	+0.81%	0.0107	✗	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.261939	-0.67%	0.2823	+7.05%	0.0625	✗	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.249903	-0.60%	0.2637	+4.89%	0.0414	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.254029	-0.61%	0.2514	-1.64%	0.0014	✓	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.252654	-0.61%	0.2556	+0.55%	0.0013	✓	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.254279	-0.63%	0.2542	-0.66%	0.0074	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.254526	-0.65%	0.2559	-0.12%	0.0047	✓	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.249139	-0.66%	0.2562	+2.15%	0.0229	✗	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.238619	-0.53%	0.2508	+4.54%	0.0486	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.241947	-0.56%	0.2399	-1.40%	0.0042	✓	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.238206	-0.54%	0.2433	+1.59%	0.0194	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.243974	-0.62%	0.2395	-2.44%	0.0075	✓	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.240184	-0.54%	0.2455	+1.66%	0.0227	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.232726	-0.46%	0.2415	+3.29%	0.0340	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.218783	-0.33%	0.2338	+6.51%	0.0642	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.207699	-0.14%	0.2195	+5.53%	0.0317	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.22143	-0.21%	0.208	-6.26%	0.0559	✓	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.244649	-0.35%	0.2219	-9.61%	0.0838	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.240654	-0.27%	0.2455	+1.74%	0.0081	✗	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.238294	-0.25%	0.2413	+1.00%	0.0274	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.258242	-0.33%	0.2389	-7.80%	0.0615	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.257855	-0.29%	0.2591	+0.19%	0.0050	✗	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.26417	-0.31%	0.2586	-2.42%	0.0039	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.289465	-0.39%	0.265	-8.81%	0.0923	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.319252	-0.51%	0.2906	-9.44%	0.0889	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.322124	-0.52%	0.3209	-0.90%	0.0202	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.323488	-0.53%	0.3238	-0.43%	0.0011	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.324409	-0.52%	0.3252	-0.28%	0.0069	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.321556	-0.51%	0.3261	+0.90%	0.0147	✗	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.333911	-0.59%	0.3232	-3.78%	0.0105	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.32417	-0.56%	0.3359	+3.04%	0.0466	✗	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.321505	-0.56%	0.326	+0.84%	0.0036	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.297892	-0.37%	0.3233	+8.13%	0.0475	✗	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.322842	-0.51%	0.299	-7.86%	0.0531	✓	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.332011	-0.54%	0.3245	-2.79%	0.0203	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.322816	-0.49%	0.3338	+2.90%	0.0339	✗	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.347146	-0.65%	0.3244	-7.16%	0.0655	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.334745	-0.55%	0.3494	+3.80%	0.0385	✗	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.34275	-0.57%	0.3366	-2.35%	0.0373	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.307009	-0.37%	0.3447	+11.86%	0.1219	✗	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.283502	-0.18%	0.30815	+8.50%	0.0761	✗	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.296415	-0.13%	0.284	-4.31%	0.0557	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.319239	-0.21%	0.2968	-7.22%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.329704	-0.24%	0.3199	-3.21%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.371045	-0.52%	0.3305	-11.39%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.417262	-0.84%	0.373	-11.36%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.401667	-0.65%	0.4208	+4.08%	0.0377	✗	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.430668	-0.81%	0.4043	-6.89%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.427437	-0.85%	0.4342	+0.72%	0.0300	✗	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.453841	-1.15%	0.4311	-6.10%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.416596	-1.07%	0.4591	+9.02%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.455375	-1.69%	0.4211	-9.09%	0.0581	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.427592	-1.29%	0.4632	+6.93%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.387081	-0.98%	0.4332	+10.82%	0.1410	✗	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.349946	-0.67%	0.3909	+10.96%	0.0985	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.363114	-0.63%	0.3523	-3.59%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.380576	-0.79%	0.3654	-4.74%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.352587	-0.51%	0.3836	+8.24%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.364186	-0.69%	0.3544	-3.35%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.350312	-0.54%	0.3667	+4.12%	0.0223	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.356404	-0.70%	0.3522	-1.87%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.400595	-0.82%	0.3589	-11.14%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.436731	-0.86%	0.4039	-8.31%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.149964	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.149955	-0.30%	0.1504	+0.00%	0.0580	✗	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.21389	-0.61%	0.1504	-30.11%	0.4118	✓	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.201144	-0.47%	0.2152	+6.48%	0.0847	✗	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.288019	-1.06%	0.2021	-30.57%	0.2848	✓	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.519839	-3.55%	0.2911	-45.99%	0.6268	✓	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.174537	-0.21%	0.539	+208.18%	1.1558	✗	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.219117	-0.54%	0.1749	-20.61%	0.2229	✓	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.215647	-0.30%	0.2203	+1.85%	0.0372	✗	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.234808	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.223193	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.223344	-0.16%	0.2236	-0.04%	0.0026	✗	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.235293	-0.22%	0.2237	-5.13%	0.0525	✓	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.229893	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.26752	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.228508	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.246225	-1.03%	0.2305	-7.36%	0.0653	✓	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.217184	-0.28%	0.2488	+14.23%	0.1397	✗	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.261204	-0.38%	0.2178	-16.93%	0.1819	✓	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.261155	-0.32%	0.2622	+0.08%	0.0018	✓	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.262715	-0.30%	0.262	-0.57%	0.0002	✓	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.223058	-0.20%	0.2635	+17.90%	0.1633	✗	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.264869	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.29356	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.278649	-0.34%	0.2947	+5.40%	0.0561	✗	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.273096	-0.37%	0.2796	+2.01%	0.0237	✗	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.29856	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.292317	-0.33%	0.3005	+2.45%	0.0158	✗	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.328146	-0.50%	0.2933	-11.07%	0.1050	✓	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.342987	-0.55%	0.3298	-4.38%	0.0351	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.325504	-0.64%	0.3449	+5.28%	0.0638	✗	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.324217	-1.06%	0.3276	-0.03%	0.0079	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.322918	-0.52%	0.3277	+0.96%	0.0080	✗	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.276987	-0.44%	0.3246	+16.68%	0.1610	✗	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.285971	-0.36%	0.2782	-3.07%	0.0258	✓	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.277434	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.32226	-0.26%	0.2781	-13.93%	0.1505	✓	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.385469	-0.45%	0.3231	-16.55%	0.1774	✓	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.303593	-0.30%	0.3872	+27.16%	0.2546	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.347332	-0.36%	0.3045	-12.65%	0.1531	✓	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.332848	-0.52%	0.3486	+4.18%	0.0412	✗	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.333626	-0.44%	0.3346	-0.15%	0.0194	✗	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.394588	-0.71%	0.3351	-15.68%	0.1650	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.380813	-0.70%	0.3974	+3.62%	0.0224	✗	0.50
2025-01-15	in	0.4014	0.397282	-1.03%	0.3835	-4.46%	0.0328	✓	0.48

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.