METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s8

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +30d

assessed

340

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2019

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0477

actual -0.0079

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.35966	0.333069	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.35826	0.332943	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.314618	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.3137	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.310998	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.321855	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.340767	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.345125	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.348375	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.353754	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.351769	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.388414	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.384453	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.370688	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.396393	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.398256	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.302282	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.274607	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.280508	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.280694	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.270999	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.276883	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.290849	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.300487	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.304218	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.352716	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.325489	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.333795	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.307146	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.319928	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.312823	-5.67%	0.35966	+8.46%	0.1719	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.271484	-4.56%	0.35826	+25.94%	0.3210	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.238012	-6.95%	0.338725	+32.42%	0.3227	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.240606	-6.91%	0.33786	+30.71%	0.3293	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.241941	-7.23%	0.33508	+28.48%	0.3068	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.208449	-7.88%	0.348475	+54.01%	0.4309	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.186332	-6.94%	0.37041	+85.00%	0.5954	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.183313	-6.75%	0.376245	+91.40%	0.6054	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.206175	-6.58%	0.381055	+72.66%	0.5597	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.204787	-6.94%	0.386015	+75.41%	0.5308	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.210772	-6.85%	0.384375	+69.88%	0.5267	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.214327	-7.25%	0.42445	+83.68%	0.5772	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.198797	-6.38%	0.42258	+99.01%	0.6500	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.19898	-5.54%	0.408225	+93.78%	0.6483	✗	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.185186	-4.68%	0.442135	+127.59%	0.8154	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.191368	-4.01%	0.445645	+123.54%	0.7755	✗	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.20504	-3.55%	0.32764	+54.11%	0.3862	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.184334	-3.25%	0.296605	+55.68%	0.3827	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.179875	-2.64%	0.302195	+63.57%	0.4159	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.195828	-1.36%	0.304885	+53.58%	0.3912	✗	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.188618	-3.02%	0.29436	+51.34%	0.3177	✗	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.187705	-2.15%	0.30098	+56.90%	0.3393	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.194716	-0.90%	0.316625	+61.14%	0.4028	✗	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.18469	-1.24%	0.32638	+74.53%	0.4788	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.200405	-1.21%	0.330185	+62.76%	0.4243	✗	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.206661	-0.94%	0.38139	+82.82%	0.5177	✗	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.223469	+0.28%	0.350575	+57.32%	0.3931	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.216832	+0.25%	0.359145	+66.04%	0.4340	✓	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.211714	+0.37%	0.3288	+55.88%	0.3579	✓	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.228905	+1.10%	0.34299	+51.49%	0.3293	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.246931	+0.69%	0.331615	+35.22%	0.1752	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.223717	+1.53%	0.284465	+29.11%	0.1076	✓	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.222413	+2.44%	0.2558	+17.82%	0.0992	✓	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.207686	-1.24%	0.258475	+22.92%	0.0862	✗	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.191771	-4.12%	0.260795	+30.39%	0.1046	✗	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.163859	-5.98%	0.22627	+29.83%	0.1222	✗	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.15281	-6.10%	0.20022	+23.03%	0.0696	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.150865	-6.51%	0.196575	+21.81%	0.0369	✓	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.153612	-6.44%	0.220695	+34.41%	0.0969	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.152907	-6.51%	0.220065	+34.55%	0.1188	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.158617	-6.55%	0.226265	+33.31%	0.1103	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.147449	-6.42%	0.231085	+46.66%	0.2037	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.148245	-6.49%	0.21234	+33.94%	0.1252	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.147339	-6.41%	0.21066	+33.82%	0.0943	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.15217	-6.23%	0.19427	+19.72%	0.0039	✓	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.157489	-6.32%	0.19936	+18.59%	0.0221	✓	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.151258	-6.47%	0.212595	+31.46%	0.0677	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.151376	-6.91%	0.19052	+17.16%	0.0477	✓	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.157295	-6.97%	0.18475	+9.27%	0.1082	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.152239	-7.21%	0.19852	+21.00%	0.0323	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.148993	-7.41%	0.1945	+20.87%	0.0203	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.15102	-7.40%	0.19183	+17.62%	0.0053	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.15522	-7.57%	0.19649	+17.00%	0.0480	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.164657	-7.68%	0.187005	+4.85%	0.1413	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.161033	-7.04%	0.202865	+17.10%	0.0214	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.160358	-7.31%	0.20862	+20.59%	0.0001	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.157155	-7.21%	0.222835	+31.57%	0.0440	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.15021	-7.00%	0.2163	+33.92%	0.0784	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.166298	-6.83%	0.21093	+18.17%	0.0043	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.151396	-6.78%	0.226415	+39.42%	0.1471	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.151002	-6.80%	0.245235	+51.37%	0.2434	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.15167	-6.41%	0.220335	+35.96%	0.1616	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.151566	-5.82%	0.217115	+34.92%	0.1417	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.153665	-5.43%	0.210285	+29.41%	0.1948	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.158748	-6.15%	0.200015	+18.25%	0.1509	✗	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.137105	-5.42%	0.17428	+20.23%	0.2399	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.13097	-4.95%	0.16274	+18.11%	0.2238	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.122867	-4.87%	0.161375	+24.95%	0.2946	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.135381	-5.30%	0.16419	+14.85%	0.2088	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.150376	-5.32%	0.163555	+2.97%	0.1185	✗	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.141331	-5.15%	0.16973	+13.91%	0.2143	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.139154	-5.63%	0.15757	+6.86%	0.0994	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.140078	-5.34%	0.158535	+7.13%	0.1283	✗	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.143973	-5.37%	0.157425	+3.47%	0.0864	✗	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.147536	-5.36%	0.162275	+4.09%	0.0795	✗	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.152183	-5.47%	0.168105	+4.42%	0.0605	✗	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.151903	-5.53%	0.16172	+0.58%	0.0021	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.150316	-5.13%	0.162615	+2.63%	0.0570	✗	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.162232	-5.11%	0.16908	-1.10%	0.0277	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.165663	-5.31%	0.16407	-6.22%	0.0203	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.167676	-5.28%	0.16092	-9.09%	0.0499	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.180482	-5.76%	0.163095	-14.84%	0.1241	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.165844	-5.36%	0.16794	-4.17%	0.0170	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.167603	-5.81%	0.178355	+0.23%	0.0068	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.153131	-5.33%	0.173235	+7.10%	0.0226	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.158788	-5.37%	0.173	+3.10%	0.0015	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.150043	-4.97%	0.16936	+7.26%	0.0216	✓	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.156869	-5.21%	0.161515	-2.40%	0.0558	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.157697	-5.23%	0.17849	+7.27%	0.0041	✓	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.143111	-4.44%	0.1624	+8.44%	0.0238	✓	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.145387	-4.41%	0.162015	+6.52%	0.0465	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.153791	-4.62%	0.162055	+0.51%	0.0057	✓	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.150186	-4.28%	0.160925	+2.56%	0.0270	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.154245	-4.88%	0.162495	+0.20%	0.0137	✓	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.152099	-5.00%	0.16915	+5.65%	0.0875	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.130347	-3.94%	0.144955	+6.82%	0.0838	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.104143	-2.14%	0.13779	+29.48%	0.2463	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.1102	-2.09%	0.129155	+14.75%	0.1682	✗	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.111835	-2.01%	0.14296	+25.27%	0.2769	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.115845	-2.27%	0.15883	+34.00%	0.3419	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.10692	-2.13%	0.149005	+36.40%	0.3439	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.102892	-2.05%	0.14746	+40.38%	0.3975	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.101439	-2.06%	0.147985	+42.88%	0.3742	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.101804	-2.31%	0.15215	+46.00%	0.3983	✗	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.095444	-2.11%	0.155895	+59.89%	0.4456	✗	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.098683	-2.41%	0.16099	+59.21%	0.4644	✗	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.099065	-2.78%	0.160795	+57.80%	0.4984	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.096318	-2.90%	0.15845	+59.73%	0.4974	✗	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.09546	-2.89%	0.170965	+73.92%	0.5286	✗	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.100675	-3.29%	0.174945	+68.05%	0.5086	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.115977	-4.55%	0.177015	+45.69%	0.4338	✗	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.125703	-5.27%	0.19151	+44.32%	0.4431	✗	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.123095	-5.31%	0.175245	+34.80%	0.4330	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.124949	-5.48%	0.17795	+34.61%	0.5319	✗	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.122062	-5.45%	0.16175	+25.29%	0.5303	✗	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.119984	-5.52%	0.1678	+32.13%	0.5443	✗	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.118243	-5.52%	0.157895	+26.16%	0.5043	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.120362	-5.60%	0.16549	+29.80%	0.5270	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.124926	-5.75%	0.1664	+25.54%	0.5011	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.128117	-5.80%	0.149765	+10.12%	0.3953	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.124842	-5.64%	0.1521	+14.97%	0.4307	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.124916	-5.58%	0.16124	+21.87%	0.4584	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.130604	-5.56%	0.156905	+13.45%	0.3698	✗	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.128992	-5.60%	0.162165	+18.67%	0.4114	✗	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.139445	-5.65%	0.1601	+8.32%	0.3273	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.137647	-5.62%	0.1357	-6.96%	0.1848	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.133065	-5.56%	0.10642	-24.47%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.135912	-5.49%	0.112555	-21.73%	0.0079	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.135844	-5.40%	0.114125	-20.53%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.13913	-5.42%	0.11853	-19.42%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.144859	-5.51%	0.109245	-28.74%	0.0960	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.151901	-5.21%	0.105045	-34.45%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.145339	-5.38%	0.103575	-32.57%	0.1158	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.161301	-5.64%	0.10421	-39.04%	0.2095	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.16878	-5.55%	0.0975	-45.44%	0.2825	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.169212	-5.31%	0.101115	-43.42%	0.2469	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.169554	-5.75%	0.1019	-43.36%	0.2777	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.170667	-5.92%	0.0992	-45.31%	0.3232	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.16339	-5.77%	0.0983	-43.31%	0.2582	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.159192	-5.21%	0.1041	-38.02%	0.1578	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.157665	-5.36%	0.1215	-27.07%	0.0410	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.158421	-5.59%	0.1327	-20.92%	0.0268	✓	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.15286	-5.76%	0.13	-19.85%	0.0124	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.154703	-5.96%	0.1322	-19.64%	0.0668	✓	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.150202	-5.83%	0.1291	-19.06%	0.0952	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.145572	-6.02%	0.127	-18.01%	0.1051	✓	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.14303	-6.03%	0.12515	-17.77%	0.1039	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.143993	-5.95%	0.1275	-16.72%	0.0876	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.146209	-5.43%	0.13255	-14.26%	0.0615	✓	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.154046	-5.03%	0.136	-16.15%	0.0907	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.1486	-4.99%	0.1323	-15.41%	0.1115	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.154947	-4.94%	0.1323	-18.83%	0.1522	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.167588	-4.73%	0.1383	-21.38%	0.1726	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.175607	-4.95%	0.13665	-26.04%	0.2175	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.170371	-5.40%	0.1478	-17.93%	0.1565	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.140934	-4.16%	0.14585	-0.82%	0.0151	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.134806	-4.12%	0.1409	+0.21%	0.0075	✓	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.1423	-2.83%	0.1438	-1.81%	0.0043	✓	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.148653	-1.81%	0.1436	-5.15%	0.0383	✓	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.148002	-2.44%	0.1471	-3.03%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.137846	-2.24%	0.1533	+8.72%	0.0550	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.131771	-2.03%	0.16025	+19.14%	0.1126	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.137028	-1.98%	0.1536	+9.87%	0.0556	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.12776	-2.77%	0.17095	+30.10%	0.1718	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.139423	-2.57%	0.1787	+24.88%	0.1467	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.133067	-2.44%	0.1787	+31.01%	0.1868	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.129844	-2.48%	0.1799	+35.11%	0.2206	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.129602	-2.26%	0.1814	+36.80%	0.2269	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.139228	-2.50%	0.1734	+21.43%	0.1234	✗	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.130464	-3.14%	0.16795	+24.68%	0.1025	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.124733	-3.08%	0.1666	+29.45%	0.1473	✗	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.123012	-3.22%	0.1678	+32.02%	0.1556	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.1242	-3.12%	0.1622	+26.52%	0.1229	✗	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.124531	-3.24%	0.1645	+27.82%	0.1319	✗	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.130236	-3.39%	0.1595	+18.32%	0.0766	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.129669	-3.45%	0.1549	+15.34%	0.0750	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.130472	-3.57%	0.1522	+12.49%	0.0369	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.127488	-3.42%	0.1531	+15.98%	0.0487	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.135613	-3.41%	0.1546	+10.11%	0.0105	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.144776	-3.71%	0.1622	+7.88%	0.0432	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.13208	-3.03%	0.1564	+14.83%	0.0506	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.139621	-2.91%	0.163	+13.35%	0.0743	✗	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.132147	-2.76%	0.1759	+29.43%	0.1856	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.136381	-2.69%	0.18475	+31.82%	0.2086	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.137664	-2.71%	0.1801	+27.28%	0.1515	✗	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.144995	-2.69%	0.14705	-1.31%	0.0809	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.149284	-2.30%	0.1406	-7.98%	0.1056	✓	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.151186	-1.95%	0.14645	-5.03%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.153221	-1.78%	0.1514	-2.95%	0.0915	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.162517	-1.39%	0.1517	-7.95%	0.0854	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.169656	-1.13%	0.141	-17.83%	0.1843	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.15996	-1.44%	0.1345	-17.13%	0.1919	✓	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.16191	-1.57%	0.1398	-15.02%	0.1915	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.167188	-1.60%	0.1314	-22.66%	0.2381	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.157479	-1.76%	0.1431	-10.73%	0.1321	✓	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.159066	-1.87%	0.1364	-15.85%	0.1936	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.155687	-1.90%	0.13315	-16.10%	0.1826	✓	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.154879	-1.98%	0.1326	-16.08%	0.1941	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.152029	-1.92%	0.1428	-7.87%	0.1504	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.15738	-1.76%	0.1347	-15.92%	0.1794	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.167864	-1.72%	0.1287	-24.65%	0.2789	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.169496	-1.48%	0.1271	-26.13%	0.2344	✓	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.174726	-1.34%	0.1282	-27.61%	0.2253	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.169745	-1.82%	0.1287	-25.56%	0.2544	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.17407	-1.88%	0.1348	-24.01%	0.2447	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.175053	-2.15%	0.1343	-24.93%	0.3052	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.179959	-2.09%	0.1353	-26.39%	0.2814	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.17878	-2.04%	0.132	-27.67%	0.3050	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.181438	-1.82%	0.1404	-24.03%	0.2368	✓	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.182455	-1.85%	0.15035	-19.12%	0.1662	✓	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.177222	-2.09%	0.1362	-24.75%	0.3453	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.179214	-2.28%	0.1438	-21.59%	0.3309	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.194454	-2.72%	0.1359	-32.02%	0.4045	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.203913	-2.94%	0.14015	-33.29%	0.4217	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.206968	-2.92%	0.1415	-33.63%	0.3780	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.207759	-3.19%	0.149	-30.57%	0.3636	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.201299	-3.17%	0.1528	-26.50%	0.3406	✓	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.216616	-3.55%	0.1542	-31.34%	0.3799	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.213995	-3.67%	0.156	-29.78%	0.3551	✓	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.208826	-3.63%	0.1648	-23.95%	0.3196	✓	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.220521	-3.95%	0.1716	-25.26%	0.3322	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.2135	-3.92%	0.1623	-26.96%	0.3392	✓	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.203409	-3.78%	0.1645	-22.19%	0.2947	✓	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.201432	-3.85%	0.1699	-18.90%	0.2291	✓	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.200928	-4.05%	0.1603	-23.45%	0.2522	✓	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.203974	-4.24%	0.1621	-23.90%	0.2314	✓	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.202964	-4.22%	0.1587	-25.11%	0.2414	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.210096	-4.33%	0.158	-28.05%	0.2727	✓	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.207659	-4.61%	0.155	-28.80%	0.2241	✓	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.189573	-3.87%	0.1602	-18.76%	0.2414	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.215074	-5.52%	0.1708	-24.97%	0.1503	✓	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.221132	-5.96%	0.17205	-26.83%	0.1749	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.225149	-6.27%	0.1771	-26.27%	0.1453	✓	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.214275	-6.27%	0.1729	-24.37%	0.0800	✓	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.217693	-6.41%	0.1774	-23.73%	0.0445	✓	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.236341	-6.70%	0.1789	-29.37%	0.0117	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.24513	-6.76%	0.1838	-30.09%	0.0143	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.250965	-6.57%	0.1825	-32.06%	0.0476	✓	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.252656	-6.70%	0.1848	-31.76%	0.0185	✓	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.222724	-6.85%	0.1859	-22.25%	0.1198	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.22608	-7.21%	0.181	-25.71%	0.1252	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.249499	-7.32%	0.1834	-31.87%	0.0505	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.250167	-7.48%	0.1999	-26.07%	0.0861	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.247825	-7.67%	0.2101	-21.72%	0.1373	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.254562	-7.77%	0.2132	-22.75%	0.1233	✗	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.235832	-7.77%	0.2146	-16.07%	0.2024	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.265024	-7.33%	0.2079	-27.31%	0.0898	✗	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.275034	-7.15%	0.2246	-24.17%	0.1242	✗	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.266349	-6.77%	0.22215	-22.24%	0.1479	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.291976	-7.31%	0.2167	-31.21%	0.0344	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.234368	-6.70%	0.2296	-8.60%	0.2966	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.251229	-5.87%	0.2222	-16.75%	0.2181	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.25294	-6.32%	0.2114	-21.70%	0.1875	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.236453	-7.45%	0.2095	-18.00%	0.1807	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.242639	-7.53%	0.2094	-20.20%	0.1265	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.231274	-7.67%	0.213	-14.97%	0.1647	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.24495	-7.64%	0.2119	-20.10%	0.1015	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.252804	-7.47%	0.2196	-19.62%	0.1251	✗	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.252639	-6.81%	0.2177	-19.70%	0.1019	✗	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.267847	-6.08%	0.1972	-30.86%	0.0776	✗	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.274167	-6.11%	0.22765	-22.04%	0.0551	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.260536	-6.38%	0.23515	-15.50%	0.0744	✗	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.266027	-6.53%	0.2402	-15.60%	0.0308	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.264068	-6.46%	0.2286	-19.02%	0.0030	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.247364	-6.19%	0.2326	-11.79%	0.0476	✓	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.236461	-5.94%	0.2533	+0.76%	0.1035	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.240671	-5.84%	0.2629	+2.86%	0.1279	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.239841	-5.65%	0.2686	+5.66%	0.0928	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.241962	-5.45%	0.2708	+5.82%	0.1003	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.242932	-5.18%	0.2391	-6.67%	0.0203	✓	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.239058	-4.68%	0.24365	-2.85%	0.0264	✓	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.230014	-4.12%	0.2692	+12.21%	0.1386	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.233545	-4.01%	0.2704	+11.14%	0.1284	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.230438	-3.78%	0.2684	+12.07%	0.1328	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.236554	-3.64%	0.276	+12.42%	0.1465	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.232782	-3.61%	0.2557	+5.88%	0.0971	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.225796	-3.42%	0.286	+22.33%	0.1968	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.212914	-3.00%	0.2962	+34.94%	0.2797	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.202199	-2.79%	0.2857	+37.36%	0.2627	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.215312	-2.97%	0.315	+41.96%	0.3017	✗	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.237527	-3.25%	0.2512	+2.32%	0.0056	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.233507	-3.23%	0.2669	+10.61%	0.0512	✗	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.231117	-3.26%	0.27	+13.02%	0.0974	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.250662	-3.26%	0.2555	-1.39%	0.0119	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.250587	-3.10%	0.2624	+1.47%	0.0415	✗	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.256978	-3.03%	0.2505	-5.47%	0.0089	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.281433	-3.15%	0.2652	-8.74%	0.0472	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.310194	-3.34%	0.2732	-14.86%	0.1139	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.312129	-3.60%	0.2711	-16.28%	0.1460	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.313126	-3.71%	0.2852	-12.30%	0.1200	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.313482	-3.87%	0.292	-10.46%	0.1082	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.310588	-3.90%	0.2783	-13.89%	0.1273	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.322763	-3.91%	0.2846	-15.27%	0.1139	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.313011	-3.98%	0.2823	-13.40%	0.0746	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.309853	-4.16%	0.2637	-18.43%	0.1398	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.285998	-4.35%	0.2514	-15.92%	0.1374	✓	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.30972	-4.55%	0.2556	-21.23%	0.1808	✓	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.318336	-4.63%	0.2542	-23.85%	0.2036	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.309661	-4.54%	0.2559	-21.12%	0.1737	✓	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.332991	-4.70%	0.2562	-26.67%	0.2424	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.320255	-4.86%	0.2508	-25.49%	0.2278	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.327283	-5.05%	0.2399	-30.40%	0.3096	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.291936	-5.26%	0.2433	-21.04%	0.1780	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.268285	-5.53%	0.2395	-15.67%	0.1166	✓	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.28003	-5.65%	0.2455	-17.28%	0.1550	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.301647	-5.71%	0.2415	-24.51%	0.2635	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.31082	-5.95%	0.2338	-29.26%	0.3052	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.349699	-6.25%	0.2195	-41.15%	0.4282	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.392661	-6.69%	0.208	-50.57%	0.5518	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.377282	-6.68%	0.2219	-45.12%	0.4647	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.403093	-7.16%	0.2455	-43.46%	0.4263	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.399386	-7.36%	0.2413	-44.03%	0.4035	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.423958	-7.65%	0.2389	-47.96%	0.5042	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.388134	-7.83%	0.2591	-38.47%	0.3055	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.422241	-8.84%	0.2586	-44.17%	0.3718	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.39599	-8.59%	0.265	-38.83%	0.2945	✓	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.35714	-8.64%	0.2906	-25.66%	0.0651	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.321952	-8.61%	0.3209	-8.91%	0.1185	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.335415	-8.21%	0.3238	-11.38%	0.0855	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.351968	-8.25%	0.3252	-15.22%	0.0541	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.325537	-8.14%	0.3261	-7.99%	0.1281	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.33578	-8.43%	0.3232	-11.86%	0.1124	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.322126	-8.54%	0.3359	-4.63%	0.1388	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.325593	-9.28%	0.326	-9.17%	0.1325	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.367649	-8.98%	0.3233	-19.96%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.402772	-8.56%	0.299	-32.12%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.146525	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.145903	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.206268	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.194089	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.271923	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.473228	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.170861	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.212852	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.21036	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.228158	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.215195	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.215106	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.225787	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.221461	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.257161	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.2198	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.238098	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.209812	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.252056	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.252075	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.254691	-3.34%	0.1504	-42.92%	0.4912	✓	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.215684	-3.50%	0.1504	-32.71%	0.3350	✓	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.255449	-3.82%	0.2021	-23.91%	0.2124	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.281443	-4.50%	0.539	+82.90%	0.6935	✗	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.26727	-4.41%	0.1749	-37.45%	0.3959	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.263448	-3.89%	0.2203	-19.63%	0.1516	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.292543	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.28094	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.317139	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.331393	-3.92%	0.2357	-31.66%	0.3216	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.318457	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.317514	-3.11%	0.2236	-31.77%	0.2967	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.313052	-3.56%	0.2237	-31.08%	0.2861	✓	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.269142	-3.26%	0.2358	-15.24%	0.0725	✓	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.278728	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.272553	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.316127	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.376401	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.298843	-1.86%	0.269	-11.66%	0.0688	✓	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.341369	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.326439	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.328626	-1.93%	0.2305	-31.21%	0.3091	✓	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.390336	-1.78%	0.2488	-37.39%	0.4090	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.380903	-0.68%	0.2178	-43.21%	0.5469	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.