METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s8

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +7d

assessed

375

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1088

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0232

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.346955	0.335422	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.328307	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.327411	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.324315	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.336311	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.356039	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.36013	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.36328	-4.66%	0.346955	-8.95%	0.0611	✓	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.367491	-4.80%	0.338725	-12.25%	0.0793	✓	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.3654	-4.94%	0.33786	-12.10%	0.0797	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.400319	-5.69%	0.33508	-21.06%	0.1571	✓	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.393762	-6.82%	0.348475	-17.54%	0.1031	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.380699	-6.74%	0.37041	-9.26%	0.0143	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.40673	-8.01%	0.376245	-14.90%	0.0835	✓	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.409994	-8.00%	0.381055	-14.49%	0.0517	✓	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.313051	-4.45%	0.386015	+17.82%	0.2474	✗	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.28504	-3.90%	0.384375	+29.59%	0.3615	✗	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.289958	-4.05%	0.42445	+40.46%	0.4252	✗	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.291639	-4.34%	0.42258	+38.60%	0.4002	✗	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.281402	-4.40%	0.408225	+38.68%	0.4035	✗	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.287728	-4.40%	0.442135	+46.90%	0.4798	✗	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.302208	-4.55%	0.445645	+40.75%	0.3930	✗	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.311199	-4.65%	0.32764	+0.39%	0.0214	✓	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.314531	-4.74%	0.296605	-10.17%	0.0958	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.361358	-5.25%	0.302195	-20.76%	0.2103	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.333337	-4.92%	0.304885	-13.03%	0.0943	✓	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.339127	-5.57%	0.29436	-18.04%	0.1481	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.31227	-5.03%	0.30098	-8.46%	0.0443	✓	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.321676	-6.21%	0.316625	-7.69%	0.0025	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.314069	-5.29%	0.32638	-1.58%	0.0805	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.271933	-4.41%	0.330185	+16.07%	0.2475	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.245293	-4.11%	0.38139	+49.10%	0.3859	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.246857	-4.49%	0.350575	+35.63%	0.2979	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.24799	-4.91%	0.359145	+37.71%	0.3172	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.217373	-3.93%	0.3288	+45.31%	0.2838	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.195344	-2.44%	0.34299	+71.31%	0.4245	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.192213	-2.22%	0.331615	+68.70%	0.3654	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.214054	-3.01%	0.284465	+28.90%	0.1530	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.213059	-3.18%	0.2558	+16.24%	0.1106	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.21878	-3.31%	0.258475	+14.24%	0.1008	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.220741	-4.48%	0.260795	+12.86%	0.1056	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.207562	-2.25%	0.22627	+6.56%	0.0895	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.2068	-1.83%	0.20022	-4.96%	0.0044	✓	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.192428	-0.95%	0.196575	+1.19%	0.0717	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.197276	-1.05%	0.220695	+10.70%	0.1280	✗	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.209128	-1.63%	0.220065	+3.51%	0.1102	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.189562	-0.50%	0.226265	+18.76%	0.2195	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.184349	-0.22%	0.231085	+25.08%	0.2653	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.198338	-0.09%	0.21234	+6.96%	0.1418	✗	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.192732	-0.91%	0.21066	+8.31%	0.0710	✗	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.190624	-0.63%	0.19427	+1.27%	0.0005	✓	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.195916	-0.29%	0.19936	+1.46%	0.0083	✗	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.186459	-0.29%	0.212595	+13.68%	0.0898	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.201459	-0.69%	0.19052	-6.09%	0.0793	✓	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.206573	-0.98%	0.18475	-11.44%	0.1388	✓	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.220589	-1.01%	0.19852	-10.91%	0.1193	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.213573	-1.26%	0.1945	-10.08%	0.0686	✓	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.208102	-1.34%	0.19183	-9.06%	0.0649	✓	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.222223	-1.85%	0.19649	-13.22%	0.1170	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.237946	-2.97%	0.187005	-23.74%	0.2400	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.214756	-2.53%	0.202865	-7.93%	0.0742	✓	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.212351	-2.19%	0.20862	-3.91%	0.0106	✓	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.204002	-2.99%	0.222835	+5.97%	0.0296	✓	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.193759	-3.13%	0.2163	+8.14%	0.0624	✓	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.169995	-2.46%	0.21093	+21.03%	0.0188	✓	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.159508	-1.99%	0.226415	+39.13%	0.1056	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.158066	-2.05%	0.245235	+51.97%	0.1770	✗	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.16074	-2.10%	0.220335	+34.20%	0.0677	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.160123	-2.10%	0.217115	+32.75%	0.0349	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.165751	-2.34%	0.210285	+23.89%	0.0633	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.154428	-1.99%	0.200015	+26.94%	0.1479	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.155365	-2.00%	0.17428	+9.93%	0.0923	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.15431	-1.98%	0.16274	+3.38%	0.0418	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.158843	-2.11%	0.161375	-0.55%	0.0569	✗	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.164059	-2.41%	0.16419	-2.33%	0.0394	✗	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.157888	-2.37%	0.163555	+1.13%	0.0736	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.158964	-2.25%	0.16973	+4.38%	0.0824	✗	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.164853	-2.50%	0.15757	-6.81%	0.0213	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.160187	-2.37%	0.158535	-3.37%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.157372	-2.21%	0.157425	-2.17%	0.0084	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.159448	-2.24%	0.162275	-0.50%	0.0084	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.163917	-2.40%	0.168105	+0.10%	0.0172	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.173251	-2.86%	0.16172	-9.33%	0.1098	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.168613	-2.67%	0.162615	-6.13%	0.0268	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.168369	-2.68%	0.16908	-2.27%	0.0105	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.165114	-2.51%	0.16407	-3.12%	0.0106	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.15792	-2.23%	0.16092	-0.37%	0.0236	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.173225	-2.95%	0.163095	-8.63%	0.0240	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.158578	-2.35%	0.16794	+3.41%	0.0873	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.158095	-2.42%	0.178355	+10.09%	0.1454	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.158231	-2.36%	0.173235	+6.90%	0.0969	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.157285	-2.26%	0.173	+7.50%	0.1384	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.158646	-2.37%	0.16936	+4.22%	0.1176	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.163802	-3.16%	0.161515	-4.51%	0.0170	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.142021	-2.02%	0.17849	+23.13%	0.2151	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.13527	-1.83%	0.1624	+17.86%	0.1931	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.126963	-1.70%	0.162015	+25.44%	0.2399	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.13986	-2.17%	0.162055	+13.36%	0.1208	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.154546	-2.70%	0.160925	+1.32%	0.0140	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.14539	-2.43%	0.162495	+9.05%	0.0814	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.1436	-2.62%	0.16915	+14.71%	0.1006	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.144061	-2.65%	0.144955	-2.05%	0.0141	✓	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.147868	-2.81%	0.13779	-9.44%	0.0924	✓	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.151313	-2.94%	0.129155	-17.15%	0.1532	✓	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.156111	-3.03%	0.14296	-11.20%	0.1015	✓	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.155777	-3.12%	0.15883	-1.22%	0.0372	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.153568	-3.08%	0.149005	-5.96%	0.0681	✓	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.16493	-3.53%	0.14746	-13.75%	0.0717	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.168713	-3.56%	0.147985	-15.41%	0.1347	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.17037	-3.75%	0.15215	-14.05%	0.1290	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.18247	-4.72%	0.155895	-18.60%	0.1947	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.167983	-4.14%	0.16099	-8.13%	0.0815	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.169239	-4.90%	0.160795	-9.64%	0.1063	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.155317	-3.98%	0.15845	-2.04%	0.0943	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.160349	-4.44%	0.170965	+1.89%	0.0255	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.152161	-3.63%	0.174945	+10.80%	0.0458	✗	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.158247	-4.38%	0.177015	+6.96%	0.0405	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.158029	-5.03%	0.19151	+15.09%	0.1344	✗	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.143938	-3.89%	0.175245	+17.01%	0.1561	✗	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.145964	-4.03%	0.17795	+17.00%	0.2192	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.154287	-4.31%	0.16175	+0.32%	0.1314	✗	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.149871	-4.48%	0.1678	+6.94%	0.1911	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.153536	-5.32%	0.157895	-2.63%	0.1077	✗	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.15145	-5.40%	0.16549	+3.37%	0.1735	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.129558	-4.53%	0.1664	+22.62%	0.3172	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.105367	-0.99%	0.149765	+40.73%	0.4097	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.111173	-1.23%	0.1521	+35.13%	0.3742	✗	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.112502	-1.42%	0.16124	+41.28%	0.4108	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.116582	-1.64%	0.156905	+32.38%	0.3365	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.108082	-1.06%	0.162165	+48.44%	0.4475	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.104182	-0.82%	0.1601	+52.41%	0.4332	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.102848	-0.70%	0.1357	+31.02%	0.2783	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.103573	-0.61%	0.10642	+2.12%	0.0388	✗	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.097664	+0.17%	0.112555	+15.44%	0.0917	✓	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.101307	+0.19%	0.114125	+12.87%	0.0543	✓	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.101964	+0.06%	0.11853	+16.32%	0.0977	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.09948	+0.28%	0.109245	+10.13%	0.0543	✓	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.09917	+0.89%	0.105045	+6.86%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.104916	+0.78%	0.103575	-0.50%	0.0561	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.120733	-0.63%	0.10421	-14.23%	0.1435	✓	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.131444	-0.95%	0.0975	-26.53%	0.2607	✓	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.128601	-1.08%	0.101115	-22.22%	0.1639	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.130396	-1.36%	0.1019	-22.92%	0.1201	✓	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.127482	-1.25%	0.0992	-23.16%	0.0874	✓	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.125839	-0.91%	0.0983	-22.60%	0.0497	✓	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.124364	-0.63%	0.1041	-16.82%	0.0107	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.126646	-0.67%	0.1215	-4.71%	0.1032	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.131331	-0.92%	0.1327	+0.11%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.134317	-1.24%	0.13	-4.41%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.131431	-0.66%	0.1322	-0.08%	0.0847	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.131682	-0.47%	0.1291	-2.42%	0.0248	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.137403	-0.65%	0.127	-8.17%	0.0393	✓	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.136284	-0.27%	0.12515	-8.42%	0.0564	✓	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.146211	-1.08%	0.1275	-13.73%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.144611	-0.85%	0.13255	-9.12%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.140505	-0.28%	0.136	-3.48%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.14331	-0.34%	0.1323	-8.00%	0.0840	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.14319	-0.29%	0.1323	-7.87%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.146337	-0.52%	0.1383	-5.98%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.151939	-0.89%	0.13665	-10.86%	0.0590	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.158257	-1.24%	0.1478	-7.77%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.152311	-0.84%	0.14585	-5.05%	0.0201	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.168045	-1.70%	0.1409	-17.58%	0.1306	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.175059	-2.04%	0.1438	-19.53%	0.1404	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.175098	-2.02%	0.1436	-19.64%	0.1422	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.176013	-2.16%	0.1471	-18.23%	0.1492	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.177147	-2.34%	0.1533	-15.49%	0.1314	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.169766	-2.10%	0.16025	-7.58%	0.0699	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.164815	-1.87%	0.1536	-8.54%	0.0457	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.16341	-1.91%	0.17095	+2.61%	0.0500	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.164242	-2.12%	0.1787	+6.50%	0.0629	✗	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.158623	-2.21%	0.1787	+10.17%	0.0779	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.160938	-2.17%	0.1799	+9.36%	0.0886	✗	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.156331	-1.99%	0.1814	+13.73%	0.1261	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.151915	-1.93%	0.1734	+11.94%	0.0884	✗	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.149287	-1.91%	0.16795	+10.35%	0.0507	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.150091	-1.97%	0.1666	+8.82%	0.0513	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.151904	-1.74%	0.1678	+8.54%	0.0707	✗	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.159349	-1.76%	0.1622	+0.00%	0.0191	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.153804	-1.66%	0.1645	+5.18%	0.0553	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.160039	-1.82%	0.1595	-2.15%	0.0126	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.171924	-2.26%	0.1549	-11.94%	0.0807	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.178611	-3.32%	0.1522	-17.62%	0.1305	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.174518	-3.10%	0.1531	-14.99%	0.1306	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.143997	-2.08%	0.1546	+5.13%	0.0531	✗	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.137666	-2.09%	0.1622	+15.36%	0.1043	✗	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.143958	-1.70%	0.1564	+6.79%	0.0595	✗	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.149	-1.58%	0.163	+7.66%	0.0854	✗	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.148698	-1.98%	0.1759	+15.95%	0.1300	✗	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.138827	-1.54%	0.18475	+31.03%	0.2446	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.132559	-1.44%	0.1801	+33.90%	0.2796	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.137606	-1.57%	0.14705	+5.19%	0.0488	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.129061	-1.78%	0.1406	+7.00%	0.0463	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.139712	-2.37%	0.14645	+2.34%	0.0147	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.134225	-1.59%	0.1514	+11.00%	0.0707	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.13099	-1.62%	0.1517	+13.93%	0.1053	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.130449	-1.62%	0.141	+6.33%	0.0311	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.139818	-2.09%	0.1345	-5.81%	0.0668	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.131994	-2.01%	0.1398	+3.79%	0.0124	✓	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.126558	-1.66%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0152	✓	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.125047	-1.61%	0.1431	+12.59%	0.0601	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.126006	-1.71%	0.1364	+6.40%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.126563	-1.66%	0.13315	+3.46%	0.0131	✓	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.132216	-1.92%	0.1326	-1.63%	0.0360	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.131936	-1.76%	0.1428	+6.33%	0.0308	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.132943	-1.74%	0.1347	-0.44%	0.0157	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.129925	-1.57%	0.1287	-2.50%	0.0511	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.137663	-1.95%	0.1271	-9.47%	0.0932	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.146301	-2.69%	0.1282	-14.73%	0.1405	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.134058	-1.57%	0.1287	-5.51%	0.0138	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.141352	-1.70%	0.1348	-6.26%	0.0030	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.133965	-1.42%	0.1343	-1.18%	0.0346	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.138049	-1.50%	0.1353	-3.46%	0.0379	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.139374	-1.50%	0.132	-6.71%	0.0264	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.146474	-1.70%	0.1404	-5.77%	0.0045	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.150194	-1.71%	0.15035	-1.60%	0.0610	✗	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.151612	-1.68%	0.1362	-11.67%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.153372	-1.68%	0.1438	-7.82%	0.0652	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.161892	-1.76%	0.1359	-17.54%	0.1277	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.16825	-1.95%	0.14015	-18.33%	0.1267	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.159608	-1.66%	0.1415	-12.82%	0.0489	✓	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.161662	-1.73%	0.149	-9.42%	0.0481	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.166505	-2.00%	0.1528	-10.06%	0.0794	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.157918	-1.49%	0.1542	-3.81%	0.0149	✓	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.159702	-1.48%	0.156	-3.76%	0.0385	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.156701	-1.26%	0.1648	+3.84%	0.0055	✓	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.156226	-1.12%	0.1716	+8.61%	0.0019	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.153588	-0.91%	0.1623	+4.71%	0.0455	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.158632	-0.98%	0.1645	+2.68%	0.0220	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.16882	-1.16%	0.1699	-0.53%	0.0348	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.170063	-1.16%	0.1603	-6.83%	0.0540	✓	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.174946	-1.22%	0.1621	-8.47%	0.0406	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.171021	-1.09%	0.1587	-8.21%	0.0995	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.175303	-1.18%	0.158	-10.94%	0.0978	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.177069	-1.02%	0.155	-13.36%	0.1365	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.181697	-1.14%	0.1602	-12.84%	0.1307	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.180629	-1.03%	0.1708	-6.41%	0.0934	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.182602	-1.19%	0.17205	-6.90%	0.1146	✓	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.183809	-1.12%	0.1771	-4.73%	0.1120	✓	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.179744	-0.69%	0.1729	-4.48%	0.1136	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.182584	-0.45%	0.1774	-3.27%	0.0998	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.197816	-1.04%	0.1789	-10.51%	0.0702	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.207397	-1.29%	0.1838	-12.52%	0.1045	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.21023	-1.39%	0.1825	-14.40%	0.1070	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.212003	-1.21%	0.1848	-13.89%	0.1457	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.205892	-0.97%	0.1859	-10.58%	0.1277	✓	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.221208	-1.51%	0.181	-19.41%	0.1427	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.21913	-1.36%	0.1834	-17.44%	0.1053	✓	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.21415	-1.18%	0.1999	-7.75%	0.0491	✓	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.226148	-1.50%	0.2101	-8.49%	0.0429	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.219445	-1.24%	0.2132	-4.05%	0.0150	✓	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.210113	-0.61%	0.2146	+1.51%	0.0082	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.208287	-0.58%	0.2079	-0.76%	0.0075	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.207904	-0.71%	0.2246	+7.26%	0.0980	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.211066	-0.91%	0.22215	+4.30%	0.0700	✗	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.210095	-0.85%	0.2167	+2.27%	0.0525	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.217602	-0.91%	0.2296	+4.55%	0.0456	✗	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.215405	-1.05%	0.2222	+2.07%	0.0563	✗	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.199962	+1.40%	0.2114	+7.20%	0.0007	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.224232	-1.50%	0.2095	-7.97%	0.0308	✗	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.230332	-2.05%	0.2094	-10.95%	0.0156	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.234178	-2.51%	0.213	-11.32%	0.0433	✗	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.223763	-2.12%	0.2119	-7.31%	0.0481	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.227043	-2.39%	0.2196	-5.59%	0.1196	✗	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.245644	-3.02%	0.2177	-14.05%	0.0870	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.25461	-3.15%	0.1972	-24.99%	0.0939	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.259851	-3.26%	0.22765	-15.25%	0.1095	✗	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.261623	-3.39%	0.23515	-13.16%	0.0884	✗	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.232085	-2.93%	0.2402	+0.46%	0.1668	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.236174	-3.07%	0.2286	-6.18%	0.1042	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.259909	-3.45%	0.2326	-13.60%	0.0281	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.260625	-3.61%	0.2533	-6.32%	0.0400	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.258197	-3.80%	0.2629	-2.05%	0.0807	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.264991	-3.99%	0.2686	-2.68%	0.0160	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.247122	-3.35%	0.2708	+5.91%	0.0817	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.274957	-3.86%	0.2391	-16.40%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.284036	-4.11%	0.24365	-17.74%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.275253	-3.66%	0.2692	-5.78%	0.0445	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.298639	-5.19%	0.2704	-14.16%	0.0332	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.244791	-2.55%	0.2684	+6.85%	0.1588	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.259655	-2.71%	0.276	+3.41%	0.1421	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.262189	-2.89%	0.2557	-5.30%	0.0524	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.247387	-3.18%	0.286	+11.94%	0.1304	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.253839	-3.26%	0.2962	+12.88%	0.1249	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.243042	-2.98%	0.2857	+14.05%	0.1120	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.256507	-3.28%	0.315	+18.78%	0.1532	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.26404	-3.35%	0.2512	-8.05%	0.0974	✓	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.263348	-2.86%	0.2669	-1.55%	0.0452	✓	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.276959	-2.89%	0.27	-5.33%	0.0423	✓	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.282808	-3.15%	0.2555	-12.50%	0.0738	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.270141	-2.93%	0.2624	-5.71%	0.0227	✓	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.275495	-3.20%	0.2505	-11.98%	0.0928	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.272501	-3.47%	0.2652	-6.06%	0.0330	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.256483	-2.74%	0.2732	+3.60%	0.0401	✗	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.245148	-2.49%	0.2711	+7.84%	0.0634	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.249123	-2.53%	0.2852	+11.58%	0.0838	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.247795	-2.52%	0.292	+14.87%	0.0985	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.24929	-2.58%	0.2783	+8.75%	0.0746	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.24945	-2.63%	0.2846	+11.09%	0.1043	✗	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.244228	-2.62%	0.2823	+12.56%	0.1187	✗	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.234622	-2.20%	0.2637	+9.92%	0.1015	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.237792	-2.26%	0.2514	+3.33%	0.0567	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.234252	-2.19%	0.2556	+6.72%	0.0778	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.239626	-2.39%	0.2542	+3.54%	0.0731	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.236357	-2.13%	0.2559	+5.96%	0.0868	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.229544	-1.82%	0.2562	+9.58%	0.1148	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.216633	-1.31%	0.2508	+14.26%	0.1540	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.206874	-0.54%	0.2399	+15.34%	0.1327	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.220032	-0.84%	0.2433	+9.64%	0.0881	✗	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.242058	-1.40%	0.2395	-2.44%	0.0071	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.238662	-1.09%	0.2455	+1.74%	0.0107	✓	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.236295	-1.09%	0.2415	+1.09%	0.0179	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.255366	-1.44%	0.2338	-9.76%	0.0731	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.255198	-1.32%	0.2195	-15.12%	0.1335	✓	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.261153	-1.45%	0.208	-21.51%	0.1715	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.285591	-1.72%	0.2219	-23.64%	0.2044	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.314021	-2.14%	0.2455	-23.50%	0.2075	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.3168	-2.16%	0.2413	-25.48%	0.2369	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.318076	-2.19%	0.2389	-26.54%	0.2678	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.319019	-2.17%	0.2591	-20.55%	0.2162	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.316264	-2.15%	0.2586	-19.99%	0.2090	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.327754	-2.43%	0.265	-21.11%	0.2161	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.318343	-2.35%	0.2906	-10.86%	0.0797	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.315842	-2.31%	0.3209	-0.74%	0.0046	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.294107	-1.64%	0.3238	+8.29%	0.0662	✗	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.317282	-2.22%	0.3252	+0.22%	0.0245	✗	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.325931	-2.36%	0.3261	-2.31%	0.0094	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.317119	-2.24%	0.3232	-0.37%	0.0277	✗	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.339837	-2.74%	0.3359	-3.86%	0.0159	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.32834	-2.45%	0.326	-3.15%	0.0223	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.336311	-2.43%	0.3233	-6.21%	0.0636	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.302755	-1.75%	0.299	-2.97%	0.0005	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.281269	-0.96%	0.3245	+14.26%	0.1254	✗	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.294492	-0.78%	0.3338	+12.47%	0.0887	✗	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.31618	-1.16%	0.3244	+1.41%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.325827	-1.41%	0.3494	+5.72%	0.0161	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.363038	-2.67%	0.3366	-9.76%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.405103	-3.73%	0.3447	-18.08%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.391678	-3.12%	0.30815	-23.78%	0.1973	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.417682	-3.80%	0.284	-34.59%	0.3042	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.413724	-4.03%	0.2968	-31.15%	0.2115	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.436779	-4.86%	0.3199	-30.32%	0.2062	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.401359	-4.69%	0.3305	-21.52%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.434273	-6.25%	0.373	-19.47%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.41076	-5.18%	0.4208	-2.86%	0.1273	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.374137	-4.29%	0.4043	+3.43%	0.2179	✗	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.340522	-3.34%	0.4342	+23.25%	0.3488	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.353775	-3.18%	0.4311	+17.98%	0.2659	✗	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.369214	-3.75%	0.4591	+19.68%	0.3067	✗	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.344498	-2.79%	0.4211	+18.82%	0.2175	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.353906	-3.49%	0.4632	+26.32%	0.2908	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.341839	-2.94%	0.4332	+23.00%	0.2218	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.34547	-3.74%	0.3909	+8.92%	0.1290	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.387441	-4.07%	0.3523	-12.78%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.422194	-4.16%	0.3654	-17.05%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.148337	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.148456	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.210209	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.198251	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.279677	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.486011	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.173476	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.216437	-1.75%	0.1504	-31.73%	0.3512	✓	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.213786	-1.16%	0.1504	-30.47%	0.3058	✓	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.232314	-1.44%	0.539	+128.68%	0.8962	✗	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.221863	-0.78%	0.2203	-1.48%	0.0173	✓	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.222083	-0.72%	0.2163	-3.31%	0.0485	✓	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.233543	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.227616	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.263559	-2.02%	0.2237	-16.84%	0.1349	✓	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.22423	-2.72%	0.2306	+0.04%	0.0370	✗	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.241597	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.215193	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.258329	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.258471	-1.35%	0.269	+2.67%	0.0356	✗	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.260196	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.2213	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.262376	-1.21%	0.2488	-6.33%	0.0526	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.289949	-1.61%	0.2622	-11.03%	0.1030	✓	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.275442	-1.49%	0.262	-6.29%	0.0502	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.270044	-1.48%	0.2635	-3.87%	0.0277	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.294852	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.289291	-1.37%	0.2656	-9.44%	0.0816	✓	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.324139	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.338503	-1.85%	0.2947	-14.55%	0.1249	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.321836	-1.76%	0.2796	-14.65%	0.1193	✓	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.319645	-2.46%	0.2741	-16.36%	0.1353	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.319375	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.27434	-1.39%	0.3005	+8.02%	0.0929	✗	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.283614	-1.18%	0.2933	+2.20%	0.0508	✗	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.275795	-0.83%	0.3449	+24.02%	0.2319	✗	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.320409	-0.83%	0.3276	+1.39%	0.0194	✗	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.382065	-1.33%	0.3277	-15.37%	0.1538	✓	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.301367	-1.03%	0.3246	+6.60%	0.0966	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.344717	-1.11%	0.2782	-20.20%	0.2139	✓	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.329607	-1.49%	0.287	-14.23%	0.1458	✓	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.330591	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.390274	-1.79%	0.2781	-30.02%	0.3426	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.376922	-1.72%	0.3231	-15.75%	0.1735	✓	0.50
2025-01-15	in	0.4014	0.392254	-2.28%	0.3872	-3.54%	0.0278	✓	0.48

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.