XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s8

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0205

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0010

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.315111	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.314262	-0.35%	0.31645	+0.34%	0.0042	✗	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.311789	-0.42%	0.31537	+0.73%	0.0037	✓	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.299766	-0.27%	0.3131	+4.16%	0.0281	✗	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.299899	-0.26%	0.30059	-0.03%	0.0047	✗	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.300418	-0.22%	0.30068	-0.14%	0.0079	✓	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.314911	-0.31%	0.30109	-4.68%	0.0432	✓	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.311738	-0.30%	0.315885	+1.02%	0.0220	✗	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.308309	-0.29%	0.31269	+1.12%	0.0063	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.321155	-0.47%	0.30922	-4.17%	0.0165	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.30219	-0.21%	0.32266	+6.55%	0.0469	✗	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.321849	-0.37%	0.302825	-6.26%	0.0351	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.299792	-0.20%	0.32306	+7.55%	0.0647	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.297975	-0.14%	0.30039	+0.67%	0.0032	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.288884	-0.00%	0.298385	+3.29%	0.0210	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.311671	-0.22%	0.28889	-7.51%	0.0557	✓	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.332115	-0.30%	0.312355	-6.23%	0.0342	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.335609	-0.30%	0.333125	-1.03%	0.0049	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.3292	-0.26%	0.336605	+1.98%	0.0313	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.321189	-0.31%	0.330075	+2.45%	0.0062	✗	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.315044	-0.27%	0.32219	+1.99%	0.0195	✗	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.324866	-0.34%	0.31591	-3.09%	0.0238	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.315312	-0.36%	0.32599	+3.01%	0.0170	✗	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.31084	-0.34%	0.316455	+1.46%	0.0189	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.311998	-0.36%	0.311915	-0.39%	0.0026	✓	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.320016	-0.41%	0.313135	-2.55%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.327336	-0.44%	0.32132	-2.27%	0.0191	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.33053	-0.50%	0.32877	-1.03%	0.0094	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.329506	-0.46%	0.332185	+0.35%	0.0118	✗	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.323444	-0.37%	0.33102	+1.96%	0.0231	✗	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.345681	-0.54%	0.32465	-6.59%	0.0407	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.337754	-0.58%	0.34756	+2.31%	0.0334	✗	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.346277	-0.98%	0.33972	-2.85%	0.0984	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.359137	-2.13%	0.3497	-4.71%	0.0255	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.293065	-0.83%	0.36697	+24.18%	0.2195	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.254281	-0.16%	0.29552	+16.04%	0.0891	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.25337	-0.10%	0.25468	+0.41%	0.0023	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.249373	-0.03%	0.25363	+1.67%	0.0088	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.272355	-0.18%	0.249455	-8.57%	0.0532	✓	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.281929	-0.63%	0.272845	-3.83%	0.0513	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.265581	-0.07%	0.283705	+6.75%	0.0724	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.25098	+0.07%	0.265765	+5.96%	0.0565	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.253116	-0.04%	0.25081	-0.95%	0.0184	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.26286	-0.31%	0.25322	-3.96%	0.0137	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.250207	+0.23%	0.26367	+5.62%	0.0546	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.236188	+0.43%	0.249635	+6.15%	0.0642	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.241937	+0.44%	0.235175	-2.37%	0.0113	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.239923	+0.46%	0.24088	+0.86%	0.0029	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.231485	+0.52%	0.23882	+3.70%	0.0291	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.229898	+0.55%	0.23029	+0.72%	0.0228	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.218806	+0.45%	0.228645	+4.97%	0.0150	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.215368	+0.47%	0.217825	+1.61%	0.0128	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.213944	+0.51%	0.21437	+0.71%	0.0189	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.212035	+0.53%	0.21285	+0.92%	0.0091	✗	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.220824	+0.53%	0.210915	-3.98%	0.0378	✗	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.221735	+0.47%	0.219655	-0.47%	0.0151	✗	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.231887	+0.45%	0.22069	-4.40%	0.0150	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.228789	+0.37%	0.23084	+1.27%	0.0087	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.224384	+0.34%	0.227945	+1.93%	0.0086	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.230734	+0.26%	0.223625	-2.83%	0.0248	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.235426	+0.15%	0.230135	-2.10%	0.0408	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.23254	+0.05%	0.23508	+1.14%	0.0010	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240874	-0.14%	0.232425	-3.64%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.220893	-0.31%	0.2412	+8.85%	0.0101	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.21407	-0.30%	0.22158	+3.20%	0.0256	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.19968	-0.21%	0.21471	+7.30%	0.0079	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.198999	-0.19%	0.20011	+0.36%	0.0019	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.194534	-0.13%	0.199385	+2.36%	0.0056	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.197648	-0.15%	0.19479	-1.59%	0.0112	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.196262	-0.15%	0.197945	+0.71%	0.0077	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.196419	-0.16%	0.196555	-0.09%	0.0091	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.194036	-0.13%	0.19673	+1.26%	0.0135	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.194249	-0.14%	0.194285	-0.12%	0.0024	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.198139	-0.20%	0.194525	-2.02%	0.0114	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.201952	-0.15%	0.198545	-1.83%	0.0001	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.207654	-0.18%	0.202255	-2.78%	0.0253	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.201182	-0.13%	0.208035	+3.27%	0.0332	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.200481	-0.13%	0.20144	+0.35%	0.0066	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.196459	-0.11%	0.200745	+2.07%	0.0278	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.19784	-0.11%	0.19668	-0.70%	0.0161	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.203076	-0.16%	0.19806	-2.63%	0.0361	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.199877	-0.15%	0.2034	+1.61%	0.0181	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.198435	-0.15%	0.200185	+0.73%	0.0053	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.200799	-0.15%	0.198725	-1.18%	0.0092	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.205256	-0.10%	0.201095	-2.13%	0.0161	✗	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.203858	-0.10%	0.20547	+0.69%	0.0077	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.20669	-0.11%	0.20406	-1.38%	0.0137	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.207181	-0.11%	0.206925	-0.23%	0.0041	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.222933	-0.13%	0.2074	-7.09%	0.0425	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.223491	-0.13%	0.22322	-0.25%	0.0198	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.227953	-0.14%	0.22378	-1.97%	0.0223	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.234834	-0.16%	0.22828	-2.95%	0.0111	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.227233	-0.06%	0.235215	+3.45%	0.0530	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228575	-0.02%	0.22736	-0.56%	0.0023	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.228085	-0.05%	0.22863	+0.19%	0.0209	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.223265	-0.03%	0.22819	+2.17%	0.0122	✗	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.225241	-0.03%	0.223335	-0.87%	0.0064	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.22225	-0.01%	0.225305	+1.36%	0.0028	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.220426	-0.02%	0.22228	+0.82%	0.0061	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.227449	-0.04%	0.220465	-3.11%	0.0141	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.231702	-0.08%	0.22755	-1.87%	0.0132	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.220532	-0.04%	0.23189	+5.11%	0.0001	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.226751	-0.06%	0.220625	-2.76%	0.0002	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.230708	-0.06%	0.22688	-1.72%	0.0161	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.235566	-0.09%	0.230855	-2.09%	0.0139	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.235259	-0.06%	0.23579	+0.16%	0.0149	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.24132	-0.11%	0.235405	-2.56%	0.0422	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.253669	-0.20%	0.241585	-4.96%	0.0289	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.250115	-0.19%	0.25418	+1.43%	0.0285	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.252579	-0.45%	0.250595	-1.23%	0.0156	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.238608	-0.22%	0.25371	+6.10%	0.0523	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.244405	-0.38%	0.239125	-2.53%	0.0321	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.214626	+0.11%	0.245335	+14.43%	0.1157	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.210066	+0.15%	0.2144	+2.22%	0.0067	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.202789	+0.21%	0.209745	+3.65%	0.0077	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212064	+0.16%	0.202365	-4.42%	0.0174	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.210775	+0.18%	0.211725	+0.63%	0.0078	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.213004	+0.17%	0.21039	-1.06%	0.0041	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.216365	+0.18%	0.212635	-1.55%	0.0162	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.213167	+0.20%	0.215985	+1.52%	0.0078	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.215404	+0.16%	0.21275	-1.07%	0.0107	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221232	+0.11%	0.21506	-2.68%	0.0013	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.228416	+0.06%	0.22099	-3.20%	0.0107	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.229135	+0.07%	0.22829	-0.30%	0.0159	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.237139	+0.02%	0.22898	-3.42%	0.0183	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.24449	-0.01%	0.23709	-3.04%	0.0435	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.23116	+0.04%	0.24452	+5.83%	0.0460	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.245056	-0.02%	0.23106	-5.73%	0.0324	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.244688	-0.05%	0.245115	+0.13%	0.0211	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.241178	-0.05%	0.244805	+1.45%	0.0254	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239447	-0.04%	0.24131	+0.74%	0.0013	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.238265	+0.01%	0.23954	+0.54%	0.0155	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.234153	+0.05%	0.238245	+1.80%	0.0026	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.234569	+0.07%	0.234035	-0.16%	0.0019	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.227762	+0.19%	0.234405	+3.12%	0.0073	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.238189	+0.17%	0.22732	-4.40%	0.0426	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.245985	+0.12%	0.23779	-3.21%	0.0105	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.245831	+0.14%	0.24568	+0.08%	0.0034	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.245113	+0.26%	0.24549	+0.42%	0.0404	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.244004	+0.31%	0.24447	+0.50%	0.0050	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.278199	+0.06%	0.24326	-12.50%	0.0918	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.296579	+0.06%	0.27802	-6.20%	0.0612	✗	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.294478	+0.06%	0.2964	+0.71%	0.0462	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.317686	-0.10%	0.2943	-7.45%	0.0132	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.327173	-0.24%	0.318	-3.03%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.330715	-0.42%	0.32795	-1.25%	0.0060	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.304696	+0.02%	0.3321	+9.01%	0.0812	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.309805	+0.00%	0.30465	-1.66%	0.0150	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.318566	-0.01%	0.3098	-2.76%	0.0182	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.331502	-0.07%	0.3186	-3.96%	0.0221	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.333533	-0.10%	0.33175	-0.63%	0.0119	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.334993	-0.06%	0.33385	-0.40%	0.0067	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.344874	-0.09%	0.3352	-2.90%	0.0323	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.334518	-0.01%	0.3452	+3.18%	0.0171	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.349438	-0.06%	0.33455	-4.32%	0.0190	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.340996	-0.00%	0.34965	+2.54%	0.0242	✗	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.334151	+0.06%	0.341	+2.11%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.342133	+0.05%	0.33395	-2.34%	0.0222	✗	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.340451	+0.09%	0.34195	+0.53%	0.0098	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.357505	+0.03%	0.34015	-4.83%	0.0418	✗	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.365066	+0.03%	0.3574	-2.07%	0.0103	✗	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.378122	+0.06%	0.36495	-3.43%	0.0127	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.375026	+0.03%	0.3779	+0.80%	0.0123	✗	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.385143	+0.05%	0.3749	-2.61%	0.0138	✗	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.397592	+0.06%	0.38495	-3.12%	0.0190	✗	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.400751	+0.05%	0.39735	-0.80%	0.0035	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386997	+0.05%	0.40055	+3.55%	0.0181	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.394511	+0.00%	0.3868	-1.95%	0.0247	✗	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.375669	+0.06%	0.3945	+5.07%	0.0470	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.383346	+0.08%	0.37545	-1.98%	0.0060	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.375263	+0.07%	0.38305	+2.15%	0.0145	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.362188	+0.08%	0.375	+3.62%	0.0229	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.362894	+0.03%	0.3619	-0.25%	0.0173	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.366313	+0.00%	0.3628	-0.96%	0.0082	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.366073	-0.01%	0.3663	+0.05%	0.0045	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.365095	-0.06%	0.3661	+0.22%	0.0200	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.370783	-0.07%	0.3653	-1.55%	0.0216	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.384405	-0.13%	0.37105	-3.60%	0.0286	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.378267	-0.04%	0.3849	+1.72%	0.0299	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.37086	+0.04%	0.3784	+2.08%	0.0356	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.369402	-0.01%	0.3707	+0.34%	0.0086	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.372117	-0.06%	0.36945	-0.78%	0.0094	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.374137	-0.08%	0.37235	-0.56%	0.0050	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.372463	+0.03%	0.37445	+0.56%	0.0045	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.366566	-0.02%	0.37235	+1.55%	0.0067	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.366262	-0.04%	0.36665	+0.07%	0.0049	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.353934	-0.05%	0.3664	+3.47%	0.0084	✗	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.364983	-0.03%	0.3541	-3.01%	0.0059	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379679	-0.04%	0.3651	-3.88%	0.0222	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.376228	-0.11%	0.37985	+0.85%	0.0147	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.360528	-0.10%	0.37665	+4.36%	0.0396	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.346122	-0.02%	0.3609	+4.25%	0.0335	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.354766	-0.07%	0.3462	-2.48%	0.0211	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.341761	-0.04%	0.355	+3.83%	0.0106	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.353539	-0.07%	0.3419	-3.36%	0.0025	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.358328	-0.10%	0.3538	-1.37%	0.0139	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.352935	-0.12%	0.3587	+1.51%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.35146	-0.13%	0.35335	+0.41%	0.0041	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.360543	-0.18%	0.3519	-2.57%	0.0133	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.341292	-0.10%	0.3612	+5.72%	0.0155	✗	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.344354	-0.13%	0.34165	-0.91%	0.0058	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.348378	-0.12%	0.3448	-1.15%	0.0346	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.349226	-0.15%	0.3488	-0.27%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.342139	-0.11%	0.34975	+2.12%	0.0211	✗	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.351365	-0.12%	0.3425	-2.64%	0.0080	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.351851	-0.16%	0.3518	-0.17%	0.0014	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.346449	-0.10%	0.3524	+1.61%	0.0045	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.339659	-0.04%	0.3468	+2.06%	0.0092	✗	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.34592	-0.05%	0.3398	-1.82%	0.0124	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.34934	-0.10%	0.3461	-1.03%	0.0088	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.369704	-0.08%	0.3497	-5.49%	0.0206	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.388362	-0.14%	0.37	-4.86%	0.0132	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.399364	-0.18%	0.3889	-2.80%	0.0372	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.392748	-0.20%	0.4001	+1.66%	0.0233	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.378111	-0.13%	0.39355	+3.95%	0.0029	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.387896	-0.16%	0.3786	-2.55%	0.0089	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.402572	-0.19%	0.3885	-3.68%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.389011	-0.10%	0.40335	+3.58%	0.0282	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.393086	-0.08%	0.3894	-1.02%	0.0089	✗	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.396322	-0.12%	0.3934	-0.86%	0.0291	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.400212	-0.12%	0.3968	-0.97%	0.0041	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.386389	-0.13%	0.4007	+3.57%	0.0089	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.377752	-0.09%	0.3869	+2.33%	0.0020	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.372962	-0.09%	0.3781	+1.29%	0.0097	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.367853	-0.07%	0.3733	+1.41%	0.0089	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.36475	-0.07%	0.3681	+0.85%	0.0046	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.362974	-0.06%	0.365	+0.50%	0.0021	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.363183	-0.03%	0.3632	-0.03%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.359219	+0.03%	0.3633	+1.17%	0.0258	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.361774	+0.02%	0.3591	-0.72%	0.0123	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.370892	-0.00%	0.3617	-2.48%	0.0124	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.384079	-0.08%	0.3709	-3.51%	0.0056	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.39004	-0.14%	0.3844	-1.59%	0.0109	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.37605	-0.04%	0.3906	+3.83%	0.0261	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.375574	-0.06%	0.3762	+0.11%	0.0092	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.370871	-0.06%	0.3758	+1.27%	0.0344	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.38466	+0.04%	0.3711	-3.49%	0.0173	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.383607	+0.08%	0.3845	+0.31%	0.0150	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.392078	+0.02%	0.3833	-2.22%	0.0027	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.395966	-0.01%	0.392	-1.01%	0.0024	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.366713	+0.17%	0.396	+8.17%	0.0162	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.369669	+0.19%	0.3661	-0.77%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.379513	+0.12%	0.36895	-2.66%	0.0175	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.388973	+0.08%	0.37905	-2.47%	0.0208	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.392748	+0.09%	0.38865	-0.96%	0.0101	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.383383	+0.17%	0.3924	+2.52%	0.0082	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.385472	+0.17%	0.38275	-0.53%	0.0154	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.395541	+0.14%	0.3848	-2.58%	0.0118	✗	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.399795	+0.14%	0.395	-1.06%	0.0085	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.398649	+0.16%	0.39925	+0.31%	0.0005	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.423475	+0.06%	0.398	-5.95%	0.0476	✗	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.40706	+0.16%	0.4232	+4.13%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.401131	+0.25%	0.4064	+1.56%	0.0263	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.395381	+0.31%	0.40015	+1.52%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.403597	+0.29%	0.39415	-2.06%	0.0027	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.41184	+0.28%	0.40245	-2.01%	0.0043	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.413673	+0.33%	0.4107	-0.39%	0.0047	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.423203	+0.34%	0.4123	-2.24%	0.0412	✗	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.431232	+0.32%	0.42175	-1.88%	0.0039	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.396238	+0.70%	0.42985	+9.24%	0.0413	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.468802	+0.25%	0.3935	-15.86%	0.0120	✗	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.474063	+0.20%	0.46765	-1.15%	0.0234	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.479465	+0.14%	0.4731	-1.19%	0.0278	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.463139	+0.29%	0.4788	+3.68%	0.0099	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.467387	+0.25%	0.4618	-0.94%	0.0121	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.505464	-0.03%	0.4662	-7.79%	0.0103	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.508401	-0.04%	0.5056	-0.59%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.535178	-0.15%	0.5086	-5.11%	0.0057	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.569193	-0.26%	0.536	-6.08%	0.0606	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.563846	-0.27%	0.5707	+0.94%	0.0017	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.560902	-0.23%	0.5654	+0.57%	0.0127	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.582879	-0.33%	0.5622	-3.86%	0.0056	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.586988	-0.38%	0.5848	-0.75%	0.0009	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.57843	-0.24%	0.5892	+1.62%	0.0183	✗	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.592623	-0.28%	0.5798	-2.44%	0.0231	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.551327	-0.18%	0.5943	+7.60%	0.0629	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.607047	-0.55%	0.5523	-9.52%	0.0494	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.581909	-0.38%	0.6104	+4.50%	0.0591	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.599684	-0.37%	0.5841	-2.96%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.616714	-0.35%	0.6019	-2.75%	0.0203	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.580253	-0.32%	0.6189	+6.32%	0.0653	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.57627	-0.30%	0.5821	+0.71%	0.0239	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.589652	-0.43%	0.578	-2.40%	0.0362	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.552908	-0.34%	0.5922	+6.74%	0.0248	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.567028	-0.35%	0.5548	-2.50%	0.0252	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.579727	-0.34%	0.569	-2.18%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.577222	-0.46%	0.5817	+0.31%	0.0094	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.583773	-0.55%	0.5799	-1.21%	0.0009	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.56549	-0.32%	0.587	+3.47%	0.0407	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.595843	-0.49%	0.5673	-5.26%	0.0173	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.557517	-0.37%	0.5988	+7.01%	0.0733	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.541563	-0.41%	0.5596	+2.91%	0.0017	✓	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.529902	-0.41%	0.5438	+2.20%	0.0140	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.526038	-0.45%	0.5321	+0.70%	0.0029	✓	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.50422	-0.41%	0.5284	+4.37%	0.0305	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.492013	-0.56%	0.5063	+2.32%	0.0119	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.513853	-0.70%	0.4948	-4.39%	0.0257	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.490058	-0.23%	0.5175	+5.35%	0.0373	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.498524	-0.26%	0.4912	-1.72%	0.0046	✓	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.483539	-0.26%	0.4998	+3.09%	0.0322	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.472829	-0.54%	0.4848	+1.98%	0.0183	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.443719	-0.06%	0.4754	+7.07%	0.0674	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.4436	-0.00%	0.444	+0.09%	0.0066	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.444133	+0.01%	0.4436	-0.11%	0.0036	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.442936	+0.01%	0.4441	+0.27%	0.0174	✓	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.438894	+0.02%	0.4429	+0.93%	0.0102	✓	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.451627	+0.01%	0.4388	-2.83%	0.0330	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.443506	+0.02%	0.4516	+1.85%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.431014	+0.07%	0.4434	+2.95%	0.0072	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.441266	+0.04%	0.4307	-2.36%	0.0140	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.460812	-0.02%	0.4411	-4.30%	0.0216	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.461852	-0.01%	0.4609	-0.22%	0.0215	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.477702	-0.04%	0.4619	-3.35%	0.0100	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.501116	-0.10%	0.4779	-4.72%	0.0202	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.491809	-0.08%	0.5016	+1.91%	0.0200	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.505247	-0.19%	0.4922	-2.77%	0.0028	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.493485	-0.04%	0.5062	+2.53%	0.0190	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.498268	-0.05%	0.4937	-0.96%	0.0009	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.49248	-0.04%	0.4985	+1.18%	0.0141	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.473341	-0.01%	0.4927	+4.08%	0.0368	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.480165	-0.01%	0.4734	-1.42%	0.0292	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.477831	+0.01%	0.4802	+0.50%	0.0060	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.495548	-0.03%	0.4778	-3.61%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.502518	-0.06%	0.4957	-1.41%	0.0038	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.485722	+0.00%	0.5028	+3.52%	0.0069	✓	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.47026	+0.08%	0.4857	+3.36%	0.0378	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.483744	-0.00%	0.4699	-2.86%	0.0301	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.492607	-0.02%	0.48375	-1.82%	0.0117	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.504421	-0.07%	0.4927	-2.39%	0.0225	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.510068	-0.08%	0.50475	-1.13%	0.0047	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.50952	-0.07%	0.5105	+0.12%	0.0101	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.508118	-0.04%	0.5099	+0.31%	0.0433	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.504091	-0.03%	0.5083	+0.80%	0.0225	✗	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.48891	+0.04%	0.50425	+3.18%	0.0089	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.486758	+0.09%	0.4887	+0.49%	0.0296	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.498301	+0.05%	0.4863	-2.36%	0.0182	✗	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.508219	+0.07%	0.49805	-1.93%	0.0030	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.534182	-0.06%	0.50785	-4.99%	0.0285	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.545027	-0.10%	0.5345	-2.03%	0.0030	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.52916	-0.06%	0.54555	+3.03%	0.0179	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.55099	-0.07%	0.5295	-3.96%	0.0077	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.572108	-0.12%	0.55135	-3.74%	0.0164	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.555645	-0.05%	0.5728	+3.03%	0.0147	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.566597	-0.13%	0.55595	-2.01%	0.0608	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.582531	-0.18%	0.56735	-2.78%	0.0041	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.591881	-0.21%	0.5836	-1.61%	0.0062	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.62433	-0.41%	0.59315	-5.38%	0.0088	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.625511	-0.32%	0.6269	-0.10%	0.0163	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.647256	-0.54%	0.6275	-3.58%	0.0676	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.688548	-1.17%	0.6508	-6.59%	0.0417	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.594072	-0.77%	0.6967	+16.37%	0.1313	✗	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.535221	+0.00%	0.5987	+11.86%	0.1508	✓	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.519351	+0.14%	0.5352	+3.19%	0.0061	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.533065	+0.09%	0.51865	-2.62%	0.0520	✓	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.579943	-0.02%	0.5326	-8.18%	0.0266	✓	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.578169	-0.02%	0.58005	+0.30%	0.0038	✓	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.580155	-0.02%	0.5783	-0.34%	0.0105	✓	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.565194	-0.00%	0.58025	+2.66%	0.0079	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.589452	-0.06%	0.5652	-4.17%	0.0168	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.591106	-0.07%	0.5898	-0.29%	0.0403	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.599683	-0.10%	0.5915	-1.47%	0.0034	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.613521	-0.15%	0.6003	-2.30%	0.0151	✓	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.604938	-0.14%	0.61445	+1.43%	0.0272	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.602671	-0.12%	0.6058	+0.40%	0.0042	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.593542	-0.12%	0.6034	+1.54%	0.0025	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.58206	-0.12%	0.59425	+1.97%	0.0183	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.585538	-0.11%	0.58275	-0.59%	0.0073	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.5972	-0.18%	0.5862	-2.02%	0.0159	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.595876	-0.16%	0.5983	+0.24%	0.0250	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.586004	-0.10%	0.59685	+1.75%	0.0045	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.577443	-0.05%	0.5866	+1.53%	0.0041	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.595793	-0.09%	0.57775	-3.12%	0.0038	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.607518	-0.15%	0.59635	-1.98%	0.0211	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.627745	-0.18%	0.6084	-3.26%	0.0024	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.656339	-0.25%	0.6289	-4.42%	0.0107	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.629398	-0.28%	0.658	+4.25%	0.0415	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.578876	-0.23%	0.63115	+8.78%	0.0259	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.561537	-0.38%	0.5802	+2.93%	0.0652	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.675845	-0.30%	0.5637	-16.84%	0.0761	✓	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.684226	-0.25%	0.67785	-1.18%	0.0094	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.677415	-0.30%	0.68595	+0.96%	0.0101	✓	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.715205	-0.28%	0.67945	-5.26%	0.0132	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.712173	-0.35%	0.7172	+0.36%	0.0067	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.692247	-0.20%	0.71465	+3.03%	0.0197	✗	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.717358	-0.27%	0.6936	-3.57%	0.0353	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.710159	-0.31%	0.7193	+0.97%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.700332	-0.39%	0.7124	+1.32%	0.0065	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.666549	-0.31%	0.7031	+5.15%	0.0038	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.667383	-0.35%	0.66865	-0.16%	0.0057	✗	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.671447	-0.34%	0.6697	-0.60%	0.0318	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.668324	-0.32%	0.67375	+0.48%	0.0274	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.677938	-0.35%	0.6705	-1.44%	0.0108	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.654855	-0.39%	0.6803	+3.48%	0.0287	✗	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.695772	-0.34%	0.6574	-5.84%	0.0037	✗	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.697343	-0.32%	0.69815	-0.20%	0.0174	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.696102	-0.42%	0.69955	+0.07%	0.0149	✗	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.747625	-0.37%	0.69905	-6.84%	0.0336	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.757886	-0.39%	0.7504	-1.37%	0.0037	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.752754	-0.41%	0.76085	+0.66%	0.0099	✗	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.788877	-0.38%	0.75585	-4.55%	0.0243	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.