XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s8

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

72.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1138

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0383

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.295867	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.294666	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.284053	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.285076	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.285328	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.297793	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.294742	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.28967	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.301364	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.284321	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.302546	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.281946	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.280477	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.272397	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.292923	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.313067	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.316698	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.311057	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.300565	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.294549	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.302876	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.291449	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.286655	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.286519	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.29348	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.299703	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.301919	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.30143	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.29677	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.31672	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.311198	-8.40%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0610	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.312445	-10.65%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0244	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.321513	-12.39%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.0763	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.272002	-7.96%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0834	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.238112	-6.51%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1668	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.237298	-6.44%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.2131	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.233856	-6.25%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1995	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.255856	-6.23%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1459	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.261528	-7.82%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1276	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.251377	-5.41%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1263	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.241024	-3.90%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.2079	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.242476	-4.24%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1292	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.253029	-4.04%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.1092	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.245212	-1.77%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1212	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.236122	+0.40%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2238	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.243081	+0.91%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2469	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.241422	+1.09%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2547	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.235045	+2.06%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2532	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.23531	+2.91%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2694	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.220537	+1.25%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2542	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.217807	+1.60%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2936	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.218263	+2.54%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3015	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.216712	+2.75%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2806	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.226966	+3.33%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2498	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.22686	+2.80%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2570	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.238959	+3.52%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2627	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.233741	+2.54%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2818	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.230016	+2.86%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2833	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.236099	+2.59%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2440	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.238456	+1.44%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2598	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.235405	+1.28%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2350	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.245333	+1.71%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.3146	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.220165	-0.64%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3926	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.2091	-2.61%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1681	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.192099	-4.00%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0886	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.191323	-4.04%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0872	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.186558	-4.23%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0736	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.189354	-4.34%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1127	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.187893	-4.41%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1780	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.188079	-4.40%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1124	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.185916	-4.31%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0668	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.186146	-4.31%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0900	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.189681	-4.46%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0920	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.193983	-4.09%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0285	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.199309	-4.19%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0670	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.193557	-3.91%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0343	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.192351	-4.18%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0396	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.18879	-4.01%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0511	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.189838	-4.15%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0981	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.194015	-4.61%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1234	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.191087	-4.54%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1271	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.189404	-4.69%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1556	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.191856	-4.59%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1625	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.198513	-3.39%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1319	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.196641	-3.64%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1234	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.199256	-3.71%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1287	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.199872	-3.63%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1293	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.216063	-3.21%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1794	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.215941	-3.50%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1735	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.220269	-3.51%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1573	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.227373	-3.33%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1722	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.222622	-2.08%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1186	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.224883	-1.64%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1239	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.223635	-2.00%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1122	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.218756	-2.05%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0891	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.220966	-1.93%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0970	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.218307	-1.79%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0944	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.21609	-1.98%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0737	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.222967	-2.01%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0944	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.226617	-2.27%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1130	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.214462	-2.79%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1202	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.221486	-2.38%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1259	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.225528	-2.31%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1299	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.23075	-2.14%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1445	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.230239	-2.19%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1324	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.235274	-2.61%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2039	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.247292	-2.71%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2255	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.244644	-2.37%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2291	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.246738	-2.75%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2283	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.234659	-1.87%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1499	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.239922	-2.21%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1988	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.21311	-0.60%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0922	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.208623	-0.54%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0873	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201571	-0.39%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0890	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.21077	-0.45%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0965	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209676	-0.34%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0887	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.211878	-0.36%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0864	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.215157	-0.38%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0544	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.212072	-0.32%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0253	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.214216	-0.39%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0095	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.219807	-0.54%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0262	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.226397	-0.83%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0314	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.22712	-0.81%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0483	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.234527	-1.08%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0439	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.241281	-1.32%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0978	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.228711	-1.02%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0475	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.241704	-1.39%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0746	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.241069	-1.53%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0586	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.237575	-1.55%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0181	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.235899	-1.52%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0056	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.234806	-1.44%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0261	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.231255	-1.19%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0225	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.231304	-1.32%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0054	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.225315	-0.88%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0000	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.234906	-1.21%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0233	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.241708	-1.62%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0135	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.241466	-1.64%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0510	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.241528	-1.20%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0168	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.240299	-1.22%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0111	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.270656	-2.65%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1130	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.287398	-3.04%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1355	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.284879	-3.20%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2042	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.3056	-3.90%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2139	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.314277	-4.17%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2261	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.317086	-4.52%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2202	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.294858	-3.21%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1487	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.299532	-3.31%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1599	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.307828	-3.38%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1643	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.320258	-3.46%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1993	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.323991	-2.95%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1909	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.325066	-3.02%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1953	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333901	-3.27%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2158	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.323722	-3.24%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1867	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.339059	-3.03%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1895	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.331658	-2.74%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1259	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.325313	-2.59%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1639	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.333753	-2.40%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1500	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.333099	-2.07%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1606	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.349515	-2.21%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2255	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.35771	-1.98%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2350	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.372073	-1.54%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2389	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.367211	-2.05%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2533	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.378336	-1.72%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2718	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.391954	-1.36%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2974	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.395673	-1.22%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2599	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.381181	-1.45%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2276	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.387071	-1.88%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2539	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.370472	-1.33%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1826	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.380025	-0.79%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2053	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.371713	-0.88%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0725	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.358844	-0.84%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0080	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.357297	-1.52%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0473	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.360183	-1.67%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.359418	-1.83%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0367	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.355358	-2.72%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0368	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.360803	-2.76%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1399	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.374191	-2.78%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1546	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.371488	-1.83%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1167	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.367642	-0.82%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0687	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.364503	-1.34%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0831	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.366482	-1.58%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0834	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.370897	-0.95%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0523	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.368976	-0.91%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0646	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.360219	-1.75%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0442	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.359493	-1.89%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0725	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.345439	-2.45%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0714	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.35878	-1.73%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0631	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.373967	-1.55%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0986	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.367694	-2.38%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0651	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.353874	-1.95%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0215	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.340059	-1.77%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0213	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.348229	-1.91%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0147	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.331949	-2.91%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0249	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.345053	-2.47%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0345	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.34893	-2.72%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0248	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.3424	-3.10%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0111	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.34023	-3.32%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0332	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.349079	-3.36%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0287	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.329057	-3.69%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0074	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.331628	-3.82%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0284	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.334028	-4.24%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0849	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.333662	-4.60%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0708	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.32701	-4.52%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0433	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.335957	-4.50%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0486	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.335613	-4.76%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0242	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.329983	-4.85%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0065	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.32416	-4.60%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0283	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.329674	-4.75%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0136	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.332007	-5.06%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0575	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.352053	-4.85%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0706	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.370624	-4.70%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0762	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.380008	-5.02%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1170	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.373276	-5.15%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.0992	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.35895	-5.19%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.0949	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.367498	-5.41%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.0973	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.381523	-5.41%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1195	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.370157	-4.94%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.0915	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.375059	-4.66%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0641	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.379287	-4.41%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0232	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.383399	-4.32%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0598	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.369109	-4.60%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.0822	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.360704	-4.60%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0595	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.356035	-4.62%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0379	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.352792	-4.16%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0325	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.350846	-3.88%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0166	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.348975	-3.92%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.348455	-4.09%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.344388	-4.10%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0396	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.346772	-4.13%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0387	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.354408	-4.45%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0407	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.366128	-4.75%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0042	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.371334	-4.93%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0235	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.357861	-4.87%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0217	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.356509	-5.13%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0023	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.352007	-5.15%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0372	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.365564	-4.92%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0491	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.364163	-4.99%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0708	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.370901	-5.38%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0511	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.374586	-5.41%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0435	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.349806	-4.45%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0161	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.351207	-4.81%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.357799	-5.61%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0691	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.366445	-5.71%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0287	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.369897	-5.73%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.363856	-4.94%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0368	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.36755	-4.48%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0329	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.377018	-4.55%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.380494	-4.70%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0009	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.379489	-4.65%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0281	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.401123	-5.22%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0721	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.387467	-4.66%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.384732	-3.85%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.0921	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.37983	-3.63%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0743	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.386278	-4.02%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0732	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.393595	-4.16%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0769	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.394709	-4.27%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0786	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.403427	-4.34%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0927	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.409452	-4.75%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.383608	-2.51%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1314	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.442568	-5.36%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1016	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.446445	-5.63%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0824	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.45065	-5.88%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0593	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.435911	-5.61%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0261	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.43955	-5.72%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0141	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.473792	-6.29%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0143	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.47574	-6.46%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0312	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.503654	-6.03%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0471	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.53392	-6.44%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0110	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.527196	-6.76%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.522582	-7.05%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0337	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.542849	-7.17%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0449	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.546241	-7.29%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0708	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.539231	-7.00%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0388	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.551621	-7.18%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0525	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.514313	-6.88%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0114	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.567787	-6.98%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0705	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.54822	-6.14%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0080	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.56646	-5.89%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0394	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.582579	-5.87%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0660	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.550532	-5.42%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0393	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.548297	-5.14%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0348	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.557424	-5.87%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0313	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.520623	-6.16%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0219	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.532775	-6.37%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0042	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.543789	-6.52%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.540752	-6.75%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0047	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.546855	-6.84%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0219	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.533017	-6.04%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0986	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.560909	-6.33%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1272	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.528939	-5.48%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1774	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.512189	-5.81%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1506	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.499817	-6.07%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1272	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.495185	-6.29%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1202	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.474765	-6.23%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1262	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.463041	-6.42%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1349	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.485926	-6.10%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0987	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.467988	-4.73%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1084	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.475695	-4.82%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1657	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.462799	-4.54%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1944	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.45135	-5.06%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2292	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.428851	-3.41%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2856	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.429842	-3.10%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2914	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.430529	-3.06%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2712	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.429806	-2.96%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3136	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.425999	-2.92%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2639	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.437182	-3.19%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2789	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.429649	-3.10%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2358	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.417252	-3.12%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2410	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.426337	-3.35%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2522	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.444126	-3.64%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1718	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.444194	-3.83%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1277	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.458643	-4.03%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1630	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.479668	-4.37%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1335	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.470769	-4.35%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1819	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.482399	-4.70%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2149	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.472863	-4.22%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2236	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.477248	-4.26%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2283	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.470273	-4.55%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1794	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.454543	-3.98%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2332	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.460816	-4.04%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1344	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.458936	-3.95%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1414	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.4758	-4.01%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1313	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.482136	-4.11%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1371	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.466723	-3.91%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1154	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.451612	-3.89%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0740	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.463998	-4.08%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1373	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.472476	-4.10%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0919	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.484848	-3.94%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0734	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.489646	-4.09%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0398	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.489422	-4.02%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0169	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.489431	-3.71%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0951	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.485604	-3.70%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0805	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.471267	-3.57%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0688	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.470344	-3.28%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1207	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.479942	-3.64%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1454	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.48806	-3.90%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1054	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.509602	-4.66%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0856	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.51954	-4.77%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0680	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.503493	-4.91%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0374	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.522443	-5.24%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0255	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.539423	-5.83%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0111	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.523429	-5.85%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0082	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.532564	-6.13%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0896	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.550621	-5.65%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0674	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.558012	-5.92%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0648	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.585448	-6.61%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0402	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.586279	-6.57%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0224	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.598054	-8.10%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0039	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.630812	-9.46%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.0853	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.557006	-6.96%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0336	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.517372	-3.33%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1523	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.50377	-2.87%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1336	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.519001	-2.55%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1813	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.563816	-2.80%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1562	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.561308	-2.94%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2125	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.563017	-2.97%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1581	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.547773	-3.08%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1769	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.569796	-3.39%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1832	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.573357	-3.07%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2336	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.581669	-3.10%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2510	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.5925	-3.57%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2941	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.581385	-4.03%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2523	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.579036	-4.04%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2421	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.568631	-4.31%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2824	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.555162	-4.73%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2852	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.557891	-4.83%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2835	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.567327	-5.18%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2655	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.56504	-5.33%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2286	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.555725	-5.26%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.2066	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.547419	-5.25%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2117	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.56358	-5.50%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2239	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.574165	-5.63%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2329	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.593352	-5.65%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1665	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.620845	-5.65%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1469	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.593043	-6.04%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1802	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.540837	-6.78%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.2179	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.523081	-7.21%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.3069	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.643996	-4.99%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2567	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.655698	-4.41%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3118	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.645492	-5.00%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1814	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.689069	-3.92%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0053	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.684649	-4.20%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0011	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.665878	-4.00%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0270	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.688511	-4.28%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0288	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.679093	-4.68%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0310	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.666416	-5.22%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0237	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.630726	-5.67%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0346	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.630835	-5.80%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0102	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.632176	-6.17%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0761	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.626581	-6.55%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1044	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.63356	-6.87%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.0984	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.609602	-7.27%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0435	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.652036	-6.61%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0455	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.650664	-6.99%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0638	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.647933	-7.31%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0334	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.699449	-6.79%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0835	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.709513	-6.75%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1009	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.704864	-6.75%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0712	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.742574	-6.22%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1027	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.739744	-6.23%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1107	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.