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2022-09-09 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3104
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 88.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.0956-1.07%15.46-10.53%0.0253✓0.801.6M2022-10-09
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.062087-2.05%0.062443-1.48%0.0615✗0.59123k2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8097-2.18%2.43+31.35%0.3352✗0.4363k2022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.485276-2.36%0.372-25.15%0.1535✓1.194,5592022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.132483-2.44%0.1177-13.33%0.1172✓0.0187k2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8418-2.56%4.1088-17.31%0.1556✓0.09115k2022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058599-2.66%0.0491-18.44%0.0916✓0.9180k2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.037827-2.91%0.03485-10.55%0.0092✓0.772,4552022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036483-2.97%0.037-1.60%0.0823✗0.727,8252022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8020,727.15-3.02%19,442.20-9.03%0.0248✓0.9413k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.20605-3.04%0.1578-25.74%0.1574✓1.16111k2022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.061661-3.05%0.0611-3.93%0.0666✗0.8082k2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.061963-3.06%0.062134-2.79%0.0985✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5020,700.36-3.11%19,443.47-8.99%0.0316✓1.00480.9M2022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.402568-3.11%0.3236-22.12%0.1174✓1.07215k2022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.539583-3.28%0.45944-17.64%0.0437✓1.2441k2022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.110651-3.28%0.1288+12.58%0.2304✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.5382-3.32%32.93-5.07%0.0813✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.1166-3.33%53.93-11.81%0.0012✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.178868-3.37%0.1601-13.51%0.0110✓1.291,5202022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,659.77-3.46%1,323.41-23.02%0.1044✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.071504-3.46%0.06092-17.75%0.0552✓1.1125k2022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.011922-3.54%0.0124+0.32%0.1002✗0.65228k2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.321851-3.58%0.36474+9.27%0.1970✗0.76332k2022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.099672-3.61%0.0846-18.18%0.0979✓0.702,7842022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.003158-3.71%0.00335+2.13%0.1493✗0.96483k2022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1487.6934-3.78%75.5-17.16%0.0155✓1.426.0M2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29155.1729-3.79%145.74-9.64%0.0319✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.483153-3.79%0.423-15.77%0.0485✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.037598-3.84%0.034-13.04%0.0189✓0.8777k2022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.3599.3731-3.85%156.03+50.97%0.5253✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.163787-3.89%0.16431-3.58%0.2066✗2.164042022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.13e-7-3.94%7.80e-7-17.89%0.0853✓0.7615k2022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.8219-3.95%5.02+0.00%0.1163✗0.81943k2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.381799-3.96%0.3903-1.82%0.1089✗0.9231k2022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.1421-3.98%4.3572+1.01%0.1230✗0.77724k2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.205862-4.03%0.1989-7.27%0.0823✗1.24139k2022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012711-4.05%0.011043-16.64%0.0815✓0.63929k2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.131828-4.06%0.1262-8.15%0.0031✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006055-4.06%0.006271-0.63%0.0754✗0.4336k2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.265244-4.07%0.2675-3.25%0.0843✗0.8184k2022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.02493-4.12%0.02333-10.27%0.0508✗1.242,9582022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042696-4.14%0.00004076-8.49%0.0299✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.064505-4.20%0.06045-10.22%0.0180✓0.886022022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.2068-4.21%9.025-6.10%0.0664✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.219969-4.24%0.229-0.30%0.1243✗0.89537k2022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0163.2122-4.24%54.8-16.98%0.0352✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.425014-4.28%0.413-6.98%0.0652✗1.007,7812022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.0362-4.31%24.14-11.28%0.0121✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.219215-4.36%0.1679-26.75%0.1946✓0.7767k2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7642-4.38%1.732-6.12%0.0643✗0.88627k2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.044188-4.40%0.041301-10.65%0.0079✓0.8029k2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.2902-4.43%1.2235-9.38%0.0354✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.3945-4.45%11.0215-15.03%0.0309✓0.9222k2022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.660147-4.46%0.59-14.62%0.0057✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.629154-4.53%0.607-7.89%0.0509✗0.92178k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.1781-4.53%1.084-12.16%0.0028✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.4759-4.55%8.02-9.68%0.0110✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.089622-4.56%0.0817-12.99%0.0070✓0.9113k2022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.050677-4.56%0.0621+16.95%0.2982✗1.01234k2022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0146.7724-4.57%42.99-12.28%0.0055✓0.95338k2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04690.998945-4.58%0.9431-9.91%0.0078✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.00148-4.59%0.001516-2.26%0.0963✗0.77374k2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010658-4.65%0.01046-6.42%0.0754✗1.005862022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51252.9071-4.69%49.815-10.26%0.0106✓0.75287k2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.3933-4.70%4.34-5.86%0.0380✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.0863-4.70%13.53-19.85%0.0704✓1.0987k2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.0244-4.70%3.707-12.22%0.0375✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.883415-4.70%0.782722-15.57%0.0454✓0.8052k2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3626-4.72%1.58+10.49%0.1278✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.1355-4.72%4.8-10.95%0.0258✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.0862-4.75%3.019-6.82%0.0302✓0.55720k2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.134487-4.81%0.12637-10.56%0.0434✓1.12163k2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,520.39-4.82%1,282.56-19.70%0.0759✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.045209-4.82%0.0405-14.74%0.0253✓0.90138k2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.915202-4.86%0.882-8.32%0.0794✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.005912-4.87%0.005787-6.89%0.0436✓0.692,0942022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.93163-4.89%0.836-14.65%0.0010✓1.16899k2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8519-4.90%2.253-24.87%0.1026✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.263231-4.97%0.248-10.47%0.0089✓0.73563k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.474375-4.99%0.4318-13.52%0.0093✓1.10384k2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.308336-5.01%0.3389+4.41%0.1768✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.909-5.02%1.613-19.75%0.0165✓1.6165k2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017455-5.05%0.015117-17.77%0.0496✓1.004152022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.277371-5.07%0.2723-6.81%0.0682✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.093493-5.08%0.1144+16.14%0.2871✗0.90359k2022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.3541-5.13%16.91-17.11%0.0214✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.297785-5.15%0.272878-13.08%0.0084✓1.02514k2022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.1385-5.16%9.36-12.44%0.0354✓1.22281k2022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.210209-5.18%0.1993-10.10%0.0362✓0.9557k2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0781-5.20%1.728-21.17%0.0802✓1.1134k2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001539-5.22%0.001377-15.21%0.0490✓0.667,1022022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.765745-5.23%0.69192-14.37%0.0238✓0.82537k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.040338-5.24%0.037252-12.49%0.0330✓0.5025k2022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.7989-5.25%5.026-17.88%0.0991✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.0544-5.25%5.63-11.89%0.0292✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.10839-5.25%0.0973-14.95%0.0310✓0.82169k2022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.62e-7-5.28%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0290✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.00553-5.31%0.00499-14.55%0.0442✓0.62951k2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0227-5.34%1.0032-7.15%0.0560✗0.8038k2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.810512-5.36%0.8318-2.87%0.1553✗1.3794k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.128026-5.38%0.1292-4.51%0.1056✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012217-5.45%0.00001104-14.55%0.0155✓0.91898k2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.020599-5.46%0.019486-10.57%0.0176✓0.7813k2022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048954-5.49%0.0386-25.48%0.1463✓0.97546k2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.1518-5.50%6.633+1.89%0.1924✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.3128-5.57%7.634-1.42%0.1363✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009178-5.58%0.0063-35.19%0.3060✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.3344-5.58%0.30141-14.90%0.0134✓0.9635k2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022195-5.59%0.02177-7.40%0.0559✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.6997-5.64%5.854-17.55%0.0552✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.273553-5.67%0.23395-19.33%0.0632✓0.9914k2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.154788-5.67%0.1463-10.85%0.0315✓0.931,1642022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002734-5.68%0.00221-23.77%0.1296✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2509-5.68%1.3862+4.52%0.2066✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.826-5.68%1.7097-11.69%0.0326✓1.0523k2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.5916-5.74%18.05+16.60%0.2966✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7359-5.76%1.131-38.60%0.3438✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9125.1402-5.84%117.18-11.83%0.0392✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007382-5.84%0.00655-16.45%0.0194✓1.06406k2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6549.5673-5.85%43.67-17.06%0.0367✓0.96395k2022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.022817-5.87%0.026132+7.81%0.1416✗0.06465k2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.796768-5.88%0.81537-3.68%0.1085✗0.9114k2022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.141071-5.89%0.1309-12.68%0.0173✓0.98128k2022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.5871-5.92%2.276-17.24%0.0499✓0.83630k2022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.003913-5.93%0.00353-15.14%0.0162✓0.92111k2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.019989-5.98%0.01851-12.94%0.0079✓0.73234k2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.515162-5.99%0.452-17.52%0.0277✓1.0977k2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.043413-6.01%0.04054-12.23%0.0019✓0.7114k2022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1311-6.07%0.8827-26.70%0.1109✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.685572-6.09%0.6-17.81%0.1049✓0.3052k2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048833-6.09%0.0423-18.65%0.0611✓0.88204k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.1092-6.09%2.8703-13.31%0.0117✓0.9719k2022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.358554-6.14%0.3281-14.11%0.0111✓1.066802022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001302-6.16%0.0009941-28.37%0.1995✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.036633-6.24%0.03037-22.27%0.0934✓1.0072k2022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.275-6.24%6.478-16.51%0.0222✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.3919-6.27%1.564+5.32%0.2204✗1.1071k2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.498933-6.29%0.4026-24.38%0.1491✓0.69467k2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.108-6.31%13.193-18.19%0.0275✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.540372-6.32%0.516-10.54%0.0267✓0.77867k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.067454-6.38%0.06824-5.29%0.0240✓0.13397k2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.1862-6.46%3.5064-21.65%0.1245✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.2705-6.49%4.5126-1.19%0.2009✗1.55129k2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.388969-6.52%0.31729-23.75%0.1141✓0.95392k2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.7174-6.53%5.265+4.32%0.2328✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6948.3086-6.54%59.1+14.34%0.3154✗1.219,1802022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3186-6.55%0.844-40.18%0.2930✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.167105-6.55%0.15261-14.66%0.0020✓0.94268k2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.823272-6.55%0.7352-16.55%0.0188✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.129763-6.58%0.1466+5.54%0.2002✗0.8324k2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.144525-6.64%0.1452-6.20%0.1031✗1.04421k2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.639346-6.66%0.585-14.60%0.0111✓0.83129k2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.115912-6.67%0.069-44.44%0.4547✓0.68195k2022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.42061-6.80%0.3586-20.54%0.0500✓1.1675k2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.309393-6.81%0.2876-13.37%0.0257✓1.0587k2022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.355117-6.87%0.3386-11.20%0.0569✓1.11348k2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.346433-6.90%0.2904-21.96%0.0789✓1.0471k2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.6931-6.91%12.43-15.50%0.0024✓1.05925k2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.3717-6.92%6.59-16.79%0.0102✓1.08255k2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.0132-7.06%6.4-1.08%0.1054✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.0156-7.09%3.71-14.16%0.0513✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.5282-7.12%1.4242-13.44%0.0284✓1.05247k2022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.3405-7.14%3.692-21.01%0.0778✓0.89298k2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.4965-7.19%14.608+17.93%0.2851✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.059398-7.19%0.057-10.94%0.0715✓1.20608k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.2803-7.23%1.217-11.81%0.0594✓1.17385k2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.190458-7.23%0.2155+4.97%0.2036✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.059,678.85-7.28%8,080.63-22.59%0.0502✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.286513-7.31%0.224-27.53%0.1511✓1.0195k2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.104298-7.37%0.0963-14.48%0.0186✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.72596-7.45%0.6442-17.87%0.0139✓1.42210k2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.3683-7.55%1.16-21.62%0.0790✓0.9181k2022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1477-7.72%1.7824-23.41%0.0835✓1.0913k2022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.5545-7.74%1.55-8.01%0.0679✓0.7551k2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.167-7.79%1.8-23.40%0.0772✓1.15232k2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.516233-7.98%0.492-12.30%0.0532✓1.0757k2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.956676-8.01%0.854-17.88%0.0779✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4229.8173-8.03%25.89-20.14%0.0200✓1.71185k2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0916.5874-8.31%15.1-16.53%0.0330✓0.65396k2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.3644-8.36%2.03-21.32%0.0879✓0.69262k2022-10-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000392599-8.83%0.00030654-28.82%0.2005✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.3288-8.91%5.1729-25.55%0.1812✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.4071-8.93%1.285-16.83%0.0140✓1.1143k2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.7973-9.12%5.43-14.88%0.0148✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.9023-9.89%1.704-19.28%0.0136✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1935.2482-10.06%26.97-31.18%0.1308✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.55e-7-10.40%5.37e-7-26.58%0.1327✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.7293-10.46%5.7888-22.97%0.1227✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.061395-11.93%0.05915-15.15%0.0673✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.