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2022-09-08 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2964
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.1%
in alpha space · 79.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000462062-10.50%0.00029525-42.81%0.4515✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68226.8773-10.48%6.0322-21.48%0.1329✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.76e-7-9.55%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2506✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.147331-9.28%0.1363-16.07%0.0831✓1.0524k2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.133.8153-8.85%26.96-27.33%0.2344✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.055131-8.77%0.05844-3.29%0.0528✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.3037-8.56%5.2565-23.75%0.1830✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.3814-8.41%2.02-22.31%0.1684✓0.77262k2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.7988-8.04%1.686-13.80%0.0717✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.3576-7.72%3.746-20.67%0.1562✓0.99298k2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.958996-7.61%0.85-18.11%0.1227✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.1054-7.25%1.8-20.70%0.1631✓1.26232k2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.0922-7.20%1.7914-20.54%0.1613✓1.2013k2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3001-7.14%1.14-18.57%0.1362✓0.9681k2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.447-7.13%5.399-7.95%0.0132✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.293.9854-7.10%3.701-13.73%0.0758✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.375.9191-7.08%6.41+0.63%0.0772✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.12087-7.02%0.0685-47.31%0.5719✓0.79203k2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.173925-6.99%0.2155+15.24%0.2100✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.4773-6.95%1.4096-11.22%0.0526✓1.12247k2022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.35-6.90%1.23-15.17%0.0990✓1.1745k2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.2047-6.76%15-13.69%0.0807✓0.68396k2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.5775-6.75%15.367+23.77%0.2804✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.680852-6.73%0.6-17.81%0.1281✓0.3453k2022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.5741-6.58%1.589-5.70%0.0050✓0.8759k2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.1902-6.50%1.2-5.73%0.0021✓1.21429k2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001248-6.50%0.0009955-25.43%0.2302✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.1864-6.43%3.5435-20.80%0.1699✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.356679-6.43%0.31877-16.37%0.1173✓0.97392k2022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.1656-6.29%4.7846+7.64%0.1276✗2.17129k2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.03295-6.26%0.03008-14.42%0.0962✓1.0159k2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6617-6.23%1.1244-36.55%0.3954✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.282454-6.22%0.2731-9.33%0.0385✓0.9683k2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.097875-6.16%0.0962-7.77%0.0227✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.0304-6.14%13.15-5.28%0.0034✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.159901-6.13%0.15272-10.34%0.0510✓1.00268k2022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.139995-6.11%0.1437-3.62%0.0206✓1.11469k2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.019619-6.04%0.01883-9.82%0.0450✓0.79241k2022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.131825-5.97%0.1309-6.63%0.0121✓1.01128k2022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.305819-5.96%0.325-0.06%0.0560✓0.976202022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.02297-5.96%0.026408+8.12%0.1389✗0.11465k2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003752-5.95%0.00349-12.53%0.0774✓0.98123k2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.0256-5.95%12.34-10.90%0.0596✓1.11925k2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1327.3962-5.95%25.79-11.47%0.0696✓1.83186k2022-10-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,717.84-5.92%8,043.91-13.20%0.0876✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.476741-5.91%0.3931-22.42%0.1966✓0.73467k2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.322424-5.89%0.2851-16.78%0.1284✓1.0671k2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.375794-5.89%0.3541-11.32%0.0653✓1.1775k2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.519324-5.89%0.535-3.04%0.0257✓0.81867k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.614967-5.87%0.6385-2.27%0.0305✓1.40210k2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.471715-5.85%0.49-2.20%0.0326✓1.0857k2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.2498-5.84%1.3699+3.21%0.0856✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.5017-5.81%2.269-14.57%0.1021✓0.88671k2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.376.9473-5.74%6.43-12.75%0.0831✓1.13276k2022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.041837-5.73%0.04056-8.61%0.0348✓0.7514k2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2647.3874-5.72%42.64-15.16%0.1106✓1.00409k2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3896.9668-5.71%6.312-14.58%0.1040✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4345.6821-5.67%58.49+20.77%0.2407✗1.289,1802022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011539-5.65%0.000011-10.06%0.0526✓0.96898k2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.341645-5.65%0.3278-9.47%0.0472✓1.17365k2022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7114.8228-5.65%17.73+12.86%0.1740✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62119.5978-5.55%117.04-7.57%0.0275✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.0656-5.53%0.8838-21.64%0.1948✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.058394-5.51%0.057-7.77%0.0306✓1.27617k2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.282022-5.49%0.2372-20.51%0.1786✓1.0997k2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.345.9925-5.48%5.63-11.20%0.0650✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.064185-5.43%0.06886+1.46%0.0701✗0.05389k2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.807925-5.43%0.80978-5.21%0.0027✓1.0014k2022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.087578-5.42%0.0808-12.74%0.0855✓0.9811k2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.29786-5.41%0.288-8.54%0.0394✓1.1387k2022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.2566-5.41%5.166+14.80%0.1869✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.046357-5.39%0.0408-16.73%0.1323✓0.91204k2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.774321-5.39%0.7275-11.11%0.0676✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.202058-5.36%0.1991-6.74%0.0198✓1.0157k2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007032-5.35%0.00635-14.54%0.1077✓1.12389k2022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.0126-5.32%7.454+0.63%0.0557✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001439-5.32%0.00137-9.87%0.0526✓0.677,1022022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05170.996283-5.27%0.977066-7.09%0.0238✓0.8637k2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.617687-5.26%0.58-11.04%0.0673✓0.86134k2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.497445-5.25%0.446-15.05%0.1150✓1.1774k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.7926-5.23%5.085-16.80%0.1330✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3458-5.22%1.53+7.75%0.1294✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002586-5.20%0.00215-21.19%0.1894✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.14812-5.17%0.1422-8.96%0.0458✓1.001,2532022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.105194-5.15%0.0979-11.72%0.0763✓0.87169k2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.756-5.13%1.6788-9.30%0.0505✓1.1123k2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008406-5.12%0.00626-29.35%0.2985✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1179-5.11%0.836-29.03%0.2988✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.313747-5.02%0.29691-10.12%0.0602✓1.0035k2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010035-5.00%0.010527-0.34%0.0428✓1.005382022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.831866-4.97%0.786751-10.12%0.0599✓0.8352k2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.0124-4.95%2.8264-10.81%0.0689✓1.0319k2022-10-08
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.02367-4.94%0.0195-21.69%0.1968✓0.6147k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.016749-4.94%0.015261-13.38%0.0981✓1.001512022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.2926-4.94%0.335+8.84%0.1307✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.092401-4.94%0.1123+15.53%0.1901✗0.99368k2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,418.48-4.91%1,276.54-14.43%0.1105✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.850257-4.89%0.872-2.46%0.0188✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.03897-4.89%0.037113-9.42%0.0514✓0.5125k2022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.8581-4.88%3.706-8.63%0.0427✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.265846-4.85%0.2676-4.22%0.0017✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.37e-7-4.84%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0750✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.3219-4.80%4.39-3.30%0.0127✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.0653-4.79%4.87-8.46%0.0418✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.4456-4.78%9.22-7.06%0.0306✓1.28281k2022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.290704-4.78%0.270386-11.44%0.0780✓1.09514k2022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.450982-4.78%0.4263-9.99%0.0621✓1.15384k2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.736125-4.75%0.68921-10.82%0.0702✓0.87537k2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019754-4.69%0.019332-6.73%0.0256✓0.8113k2022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2750.7785-4.68%49.962-6.21%0.0202✓0.79287k2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.1772-4.64%5.811-10.30%0.0654✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.793186-4.63%0.8303-0.17%0.0383✓1.4899k2022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005633-4.61%0.005918+0.21%0.0457✓0.712,0942022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.046077-4.60%0.0382-20.91%0.1926✓1.01620k2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044364-4.59%0.0411-11.61%0.0813✓0.97138k2022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.3788-4.57%7.98-9.11%0.0514✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.873007-4.57%0.8295-9.32%0.0573✓1.22908k2022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1735.8911-4.57%6.512+5.49%0.0935✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3506-4.55%1.618+14.35%0.1748✗1.1771k2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.266954-4.55%0.2332-16.62%0.1405✓1.0514k2022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005413-4.53%0.00499-11.99%0.0847✓0.65951k2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1344-4.51%1.058-10.94%0.0745✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.0631-4.48%0.06058-8.30%0.0455✓0.956022022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.2254-4.48%10.8961-14.86%0.1201✓0.9925k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.2165-4.46%42.37-8.45%0.0477✓1.00338k2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.005916-4.44%0.006309+1.91%0.0620✗0.4538k2022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.212215-4.36%0.2332+5.09%0.0895✗0.94503k2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0721.9826-4.31%1.708-17.57%0.1550✓1.1734k2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.687-4.31%1.758-0.28%0.0365✓0.94578k2022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0524.9274-4.31%24.12-7.41%0.0378✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.251674-4.31%0.246-6.46%0.0266✓0.76581k2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020005-4.28%0.02161+3.40%0.0732✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8068-4.24%2.215-24.43%0.2445✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.119608-4.24%0.1312+5.04%0.0872✗1.061.4M2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.1618-4.22%1.2118-0.09%0.0374✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.042454-4.21%0.041135-7.19%0.0358✓0.8429k2022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023076-4.21%0.02311-4.07%0.0050✓1.292,9142022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.61136-4.18%0.6-5.96%0.0237✓0.99178k2022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.616344-4.15%0.585-9.02%0.0581✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000040444-4.14%0.00004095-2.94%0.0082✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8895-4.12%13.54-12.81%0.1007✓1.1287k2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.130998-4.12%0.12627-7.58%0.0428✓1.20167k2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.049579-4.10%0.0567+9.67%0.1287✗1.09234k2022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2778.8968-4.10%8.997-3.02%0.0063✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036637-4.09%0.0339-11.26%0.0824✓0.9466k2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.195848-4.09%0.1872-8.33%0.0518✓1.31139k2022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.01245-4.04%0.011067-14.70%0.1211✓0.68929k2022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.217705-4.01%0.174-23.28%0.2282✓0.8366k2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.3749-4.00%16.79-12.28%0.0966✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0932.9694-4.00%2.98-3.65%0.0008✓0.56720k2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9297.8653-3.98%148.85+46.05%0.4150✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.125817-3.96%0.1313+0.23%0.0400✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.003035-3.94%0.00335+6.01%0.0935✗1.02483k2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.935916-3.92%0.9356-3.95%0.0030✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04593.8915-3.82%4.3521+7.57%0.1079✗0.78724k2022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.364635-3.81%0.39246+3.53%0.0686✗0.9832k2022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.460975-3.76%0.4221-11.88%0.0928✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.314338-3.76%0.36616+12.11%0.1485✗0.82327k2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39146.6718-3.75%147.42-3.26%0.0002✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2984.9829-3.75%74.71-15.38%0.1366✓1.546.0M2022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,574.98-3.71%1,315.71-19.56%0.1868✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011247-3.62%0.0144+23.39%0.2438✗0.66228k2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.7767-3.60%1.562-15.25%0.1373✓1.6965k2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.7902-3.56%4.0878-17.70%0.1591✓0.10115k2022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.403341-3.51%0.412-1.44%0.0160✓1.057,7812022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.511169-3.49%0.47285-10.73%0.0846✓1.3241k2022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1018,628.27-3.46%19,285.80-0.05%0.0300✓0.9412k2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1359.02-3.45%54.42-10.98%0.0871✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9956.0002-3.43%52.82-8.92%0.0636✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.15237-3.43%0.1645+4.26%0.0664✗2.022952022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001413-3.40%0.001536+4.99%0.0793✗0.78397k2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.638-3.38%5.09+6.04%0.0887✗0.85943k2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.100835-3.37%0.12613+20.87%0.2196✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.068388-3.31%0.06169-12.78%0.1090✓1.1825k2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.61e-7-3.29%7.80e-7-12.36%0.1024✓0.7815k2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.058983-3.27%0.06163+1.07%0.0385✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.391313-3.26%0.3252-19.60%0.1909✓1.15215k2022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036246-3.24%0.03529-5.79%0.0308✓0.822,5652022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.17099-3.23%0.1582-10.47%0.0846✓1.361,5202022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6232.576-3.11%32.59-3.06%0.0053✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.096284-3.04%0.0858-13.60%0.1190✓0.742,7842022-10-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.058099-3.01%0.0615+2.67%0.0527✗0.8382k2022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8718,752.10-2.95%19,419.39+0.50%0.0299✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.193543-2.84%0.1568-21.29%0.2172✓1.33111k2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.054-2.70%0.0483-12.97%0.1162✓0.9280k2022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.03419-2.59%0.0372+5.98%0.0807✗0.736,2432022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7965-2.36%2.46+33.70%0.3119✗0.4868k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.059758-2.35%0.062098+1.48%0.0353✗0.62123k2022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.137377-1.66%0.1205-13.74%0.1313✓0.0490k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.46315-1.25%0.368-21.54%0.2362✓1.244,4682022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.9678+0.43%15.04-5.41%0.0638✗0.791.6M2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.