8=======>

2022-09-04 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2237
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 78.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.9275+0.04%15.51-18.02%0.2110✗0.711.7M2022-10-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.348117-2.49%0.331-7.28%0.0718✓1.26194k2022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.487466-2.51%0.364-27.20%0.3126✓1.223,8602022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.061941-2.53%0.062261-2.02%0.0052✓0.62123k2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9292-2.57%2.43+22.73%0.2222✗0.5175k2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.2466-2.87%34.1+6.00%0.0681✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.054566-2.91%0.0677+20.46%0.2009✗0.8891k2022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.1727-3.09%0.1593-10.61%0.1040✓1.382,0092022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.174727-3.09%0.1149-36.27%0.4193✓0.0193k2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.198267-3.10%0.1573-23.12%0.2537✓1.32111k2022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035269-3.11%0.0378+3.85%0.0562✗0.788,1752022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7515-3.23%5.35+8.96%0.1042✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.036499-3.29%0.03552-5.88%0.0410✓0.822,6312022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,342.48-3.31%20,345.19+1.70%0.0337✗1.00480.9M2022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.102744-3.37%0.119187+12.10%0.1345✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.055737-3.40%0.0501-13.17%0.1225✓0.9497k2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.061059-3.42%0.065854+4.17%0.0575✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2991.8381-3.62%141.6+48.60%0.4185✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035156-3.68%0.0343-6.03%0.0402✓0.9266k2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.57e-7-3.69%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0825✓0.8015k2022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.070972-3.78%0.06231-15.52%0.1499✓1.1725k2022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.230831-3.78%0.2664+11.05%0.1272✗0.9681k2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.0571-3.78%4.147-21.10%0.2001✓0.10115k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9358.5622-3.89%55.32-9.21%0.0737✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.0453-3.96%4.3937+4.31%0.0694✗0.78724k2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1195-3.99%1.071-8.15%0.0607✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.371345-3.99%0.39405+1.88%0.0428✗0.9834k2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0784-4.00%1.2652+12.63%0.1447✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.531739-4.00%0.45671-17.54%0.1744✓1.3239k2022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,515.78-4.01%1,362.06-13.74%0.1305✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.861.2359-4.02%56.77-11.02%0.0954✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6589-4.05%1.739+0.58%0.0315✓0.93540k2022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.098702-4.08%0.0904-12.15%0.1001✓0.732,7842022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77149.3618-4.11%147.1-5.57%0.0328✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.938188-4.13%0.918-6.19%0.0302✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.002981-4.15%0.00342+9.97%0.1201✗1.02486k2022-10-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,038.88-4.16%20,310.50+2.24%0.0488✗0.9413k2022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8585.1309-4.19%78.82-11.29%0.1031✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.195484-4.22%0.1815-11.07%0.0969✓1.34140k2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.482083-4.25%0.4357-13.47%0.1168✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.079272-4.26%0.0821-0.85%0.0191✓0.9410k2022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.1979-4.27%17.45-8.21%0.0636✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.02394-4.32%0.02476-1.04%0.0121✓1.283,2982022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8753-4.32%1.647-15.97%0.1583✓1.6974k2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.019808-4.37%0.019507-5.83%0.0290✓0.8112k2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.222292-4.39%0.1886-18.88%0.1796✓0.9067k2022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3948.981-4.40%9.208-1.98%0.0087✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006171-4.40%0.006321-2.08%0.0165✓0.4444k2022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.01229-4.43%0.0099-23.02%0.2272✓0.65220k2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012581-4.49%0.011761-10.71%0.0783✓0.65929k2022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.256882-4.50%0.256-4.83%0.0161✓0.75627k2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.344498-4.51%0.42019+16.47%0.1851✗0.80332k2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000042319-4.51%0.00004218-4.83%0.0175✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.65576-4.55%0.604-12.08%0.1027✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001492-4.55%0.001573+0.64%0.0372✓0.93413k2022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.042123-4.55%0.04142-6.15%0.0311✓0.8429k2022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.404678-4.56%0.424+0.00%0.0292✓1.048,1172022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.0575-4.58%9.29-11.86%0.1004✓1.24277k2022-10-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.02519-4.59%0.0194-26.52%0.2715✓0.6147k2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.285115-4.65%0.271296-9.27%0.0680✓1.08514k2022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.447635-4.66%0.4439-5.45%0.0278✓1.15384k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.275673-4.66%0.23843-17.54%0.1629✓1.0512k2022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.0218-4.68%1.779-16.12%0.1474✓1.1538k2022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.1636-4.68%25.11-4.89%0.0185✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.147908-4.69%0.17452+12.46%0.1312✗2.033442022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.5291-4.69%11.8219-10.07%0.0748✓0.9932k2022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.8944-4.73%3.093+1.81%0.0575✗0.53650k2022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.131958-4.74%0.13062-5.70%0.0306✓1.21183k2022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.214415-4.75%0.2235-0.71%0.0257✓0.94468k2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.926253-4.77%0.8516-12.44%0.1045✓1.22841k2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5945.317-4.78%42.31-11.09%0.0851✓0.98419k2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.661-4.80%14.31-13.01%0.1090✓1.11107k2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,373.51-4.80%1,315.41-8.83%0.0601✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.054259-4.81%0.0522-8.42%0.0576✓1.12220k2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008489-4.83%0.00656-26.46%0.2703✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.131875-4.85%0.1251-9.74%0.0614✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27350.688-4.85%49.146-7.75%0.0437✓0.76302k2022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.856863-4.86%0.806453-10.46%0.0748✓0.8454k2022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.04224-4.87%0.042-5.41%0.0223✓0.98132k2022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.638212-4.89%0.586-12.67%0.1018✓0.98196k2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.091111-4.89%0.1219+27.24%0.2748✗0.97375k2022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.835-4.90%2.34-21.50%0.2178✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010332-4.91%0.010764-0.94%0.0240✓1.005602022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.020509-4.92%0.02265+5.01%0.0864✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.040109-4.92%0.038072-9.75%0.0607✓0.5125k2022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.123584-4.94%0.1359+4.54%0.0774✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.063733-4.99%0.06279-6.40%0.0303✓0.917702022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005681-4.99%0.006303+5.41%0.0921✗0.702,1662022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.144698-4.99%0.1457-4.33%0.0107✓1.051,4472022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005775-5.01%0.00509-16.28%0.1370✓0.63977k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.048058-5.02%0.0396-21.74%0.2105✓1.00739k2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.331589-5.03%0.30859-11.62%0.0885✓0.9940k2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.276033-5.08%0.2818-3.09%0.0046✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.296725-5.11%0.3577+14.39%0.1718✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.824569-5.12%0.78707-9.43%0.0635✓1.0113k2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36112.2868-5.13%121.15+2.36%0.0566✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.097943-5.19%0.0992-3.97%0.0018✓0.86150k2022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.764719-5.19%0.70257-12.89%0.0995✓0.87519k2022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.1511-5.19%6.649+2.48%0.0557✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0035-5.23%0.972677-8.14%0.0456✓0.8641k2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.7744-5.24%8.28-10.58%0.0663✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7212.9971-5.27%16.1+17.35%0.1966✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.00144-5.29%0.001465-3.62%0.0059✓0.698,3412022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.048858-5.31%0.0415-19.57%0.1788✓0.92204k2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8084-5.31%1.7399-8.90%0.0570✓1.0927k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.33e-7-5.35%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0665✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.802925-5.37%0.82-3.36%0.0042✓1.49116k2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.0959-5.38%1.1563-0.16%0.0332✓1.21949k2022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1107-5.39%0.871-25.81%0.2716✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.7667-5.43%7.726+7.98%0.1149✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.50476-5.48%0.459-14.04%0.1143✓1.1476k2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.199446-5.48%0.197-6.64%0.0292✓1.0058k2022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002782-5.48%0.002242-23.82%0.2312✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.636051-5.49%0.597-11.29%0.0779✓0.86199k2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.13573-5.55%0.1287-10.44%0.0703✓1.0199k2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.0566-5.57%2.8964-10.51%0.0709✓1.0119k2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.3134-5.57%6.178-7.60%0.0359✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.4764-5.58%4.99-13.97%0.1006✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.5264-5.66%5.26+9.63%0.1275✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.413-5.67%1.478-1.34%0.0251✓1.1784k2022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.6028-5.68%4.49-7.99%0.0339✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.04224-5.74%0.0407-9.17%0.0496✓0.7415k2022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4042-5.76%1.56+4.70%0.1075✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.1534-5.82%3.767-14.58%0.1056✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.294303-5.82%0.29-7.20%0.0344✓1.17111k2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.983811-5.86%0.904-13.49%0.1060✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6147.6442-5.86%43.97-13.12%0.0969✓0.99459k2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.3347-5.87%5.82-13.52%0.0926✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687069-5.88%0.62-15.07%0.1083✓0.3369k2022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.511899-5.88%0.4984-8.37%0.0408✓0.83953k2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.795315-5.91%0.7941-6.06%0.0190✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.2813-5.93%6.71-13.31%0.1002✓1.09317k2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0277-5.93%0.9124-16.49%0.1449✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3756.9355-5.96%6.496-11.92%0.0831✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.00378-5.98%0.00351-12.69%0.0907✓0.99127k2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.6049-5.99%2.307-16.74%0.1364✓0.88682k2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.137431-6.00%0.1463+0.07%0.0446✓1.06409k2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.473802-6.05%0.412-18.30%0.1527✓0.77496k2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.495874-6.08%0.47-10.98%0.0716✓1.0768k2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.2556-6.11%5.161-22.54%0.1998✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.00744-6.18%0.00681-14.12%0.1076✓1.13428k2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.345059-6.18%0.3298-10.33%0.0648✓1.16335k2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.2664-6.19%1.2-11.11%0.0694✓0.9295k2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.2375-6.20%13.026-0.15%0.0434✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.02406-6.29%0.026967+5.04%0.1121✗0.12315k2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.295806-6.30%0.2603-17.55%0.1463✓1.0999k2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.16303-6.30%0.15194-12.68%0.0870✓0.98268k2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.5801-6.31%1.157-31.40%0.3282✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.033584-6.32%0.03097-13.61%0.0982✓1.0151k2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.3743-6.35%3.6263-22.36%0.1976✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.073167-6.36%0.07267-7.00%0.0077✓0.05397k2022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058521-6.37%0.0592-5.28%0.0101✓1.28713k2022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.343914-6.39%0.2987-18.70%0.1587✓1.0575k2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.661811-6.40%0.6289-11.06%0.0746✓1.40210k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012014-6.44%0.00001162-9.50%0.0495✓0.96861k2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4745.3148-6.51%59.84+23.46%0.2565✗1.279,0502022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.114888-6.52%0.1287+4.72%0.0959✗1.0525k2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.097659-6.55%0.101-3.35%0.0153✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.4542-6.55%1.4575-6.34%0.0167✓1.12253k2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,816.67-6.58%8,347.58-11.55%0.0784✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.330491-6.59%0.34118-3.57%0.0157✓0.95392k2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1128.12-6.61%25.34-15.84%0.1358✓1.88241k2022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001249-6.73%0.001021-23.72%0.2147✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.6258-6.74%15.414+13.85%0.1906✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.5674-6.82%12.98-10.85%0.0628✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1496-6.94%1.87-19.05%0.1589✓1.16217k2022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.404703-6.94%0.3718-14.51%0.1042✓1.1591k2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.112808-7.00%0.07-42.29%0.4890✓0.70208k2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.020692-7.04%0.01907-14.33%0.0954✓0.82459k2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.7623-7.17%3.923-3.21%0.0254✓0.97259k2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.6355-7.18%1.529-13.22%0.0826✓0.91108k2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2397-7.21%1.25-6.44%0.0118✓1.19449k2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4594-7.22%1.292-17.86%0.1418✓1.1856k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.1485-7.26%1.8691-19.32%0.1584✓1.1313k2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1399-7.37%2.03-12.12%0.0655✓0.76262k2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.1015-7.41%14.63-15.87%0.1074✓0.69503k2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.7437-7.64%5.2106+1.45%0.0770✓1.00141k2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.2431-7.70%3.762-18.16%0.1244✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.905465-7.79%0.887-9.67%0.0268✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.7766-7.80%5.606-10.52%0.0444✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.2767-7.83%6.52-4.26%0.0300✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.196034-8.14%0.2186+2.44%0.0948✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4629.7671-8.30%27.88-14.11%0.0913✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.4273-8.41%5.3051-24.41%0.1957✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.00023241-8.42%0.0003074+21.13%0.2666✗0.78640k2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.7823-8.60%1.714-12.10%0.0621✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-78.44e-7-8.75%6.18e-7-33.18%0.3262✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.058533-9.57%0.06112-5.58%0.0250✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.6801-10.24%6.0315-18.96%0.1081✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.